Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
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Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    which in each

    a) start ward or kepa
    b) bench 1 of: walker almiron zaha
    c) capt. haland or rash

  2. acidicleo
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Is Schar worth the extra 0.5 over Botman?

    Y or N?

    1. dansully3
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      4yc schar

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      attacking threat he is due

  3. Skout
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Best option?
    A) Mount to Mahrez
    B) R.James to Perisic/Doherty
    C) Both for -4

    Kepa
    Shaw Trip Bueno
    KDB Rash Martinelli Mount
    Haaland Kane Mitro

    Ward Andreas R.James Patterson

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      B

  4. bangers and M*A*S*H
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Kepa to Guaita worth it for a free?

  5. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    A) Darwin & Cancelo -> Kane & Martinez (-4)

    B) Darwin / Cucu / Cancelo -> Kane, Shaw, Botman (-8)

    C) Cucu -> Shaw (free) [play Cancelo + Cucu]

  6. banskt
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Repost. Best idea here?

    Kepa / Ward
    Trippier, Cancelo², Shaw² / White, Patterson*
    KDB², Rashford², Martinelli, Almiron / Andreas
    Haaland²(c), Kane², Mitrovic
    1FT, 1.5m

    1. Save FT
    2. Andreas ➝ Mitoma
    3. Andreas ➝ Casemiro²
    4. Andreas ➝ Hojberg²
    5. Cancelo², Andreas ➝ Doherty², Mahrez² (-4)

    2,3,4,5 would require me to bench Mitrovic. I don't want to waster a transfer on the Man City defense roulette.

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I like 2 - tempted myself and will do it next week if I don't this week. Otherwise 1

      1. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Thanks. Mitoma is in form and has a sea of green fixtures.

  7. Dannyb
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Martial flag worrying me, anyone got any leaked news on him?

    1. Coldplay
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Mate why do you need leaked news when ETH just did a presser a few hours ago?

      1. Dannyb
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        I stupidly didn't check, I've been out of signal all day and I'm tired lol. Will have a look now

  8. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Anything worth a -4 here? Not been on here all day.

    Kepa
    Trippier - Akanji - Dalot
    Almiron - KDB - Rashford - Martinelli
    Kane - Haaland - Darwin

    Ward - Botman - White Andreas

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Dalot defo out, rumour Darwin in squad.

      1. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Who to take him out for?

    2. DARE TO BISCAN
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      G2G. Bench has you covered

  9. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    -4 play/hold Darwin or sell, could use bench?

    Ederson
    Trippier, Botman, Shaw
    KDB, C Rashford, Martinelli, Almiron,
    Hauland, Kane, #Darwin

    Ward, White, Bueno, Andreas,

    .5

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I would sell for Toney

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Cheers

  10. WATERMELONS
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Pope or Raya for next 3?

    1. Plumbers Pan
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I went Raya

      Keeps 3 Newcastle spots free

    2. dansully3
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Raya

  11. acidicleo
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    To fund Kane: (need to make 0.3)

    A) Cancelo to Schar
    B) Salah to KDB

    1. Muller Reus Corner
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      B

  12. Mikey44
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Start:

    A) Ferguson
    B) Bueno

    Thanks

  13. Urban Cowboy.
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Bench Saliba for the chance Darwin starts?

  14. Skout
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Pros and cons of TC Haaland this week?

    1. Dannyb
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Pro, if he does well you get triple his score
      Con, if he doesn't do well you get triple a bad score

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Pros he’s fit and less chance of rotation with no champions league. Also City have kdb fit to supply passes

      Cons - not in the best form. Mostly everyone currently owns him so triple c less effective

      1. artvandelay316
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Bemba, you said Darwin is in squad. Any link please?

      2. dansully3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        When so given your theory of most own him can anyone use the tc chip going on that?

    3. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Pros: - he will probably play both games
      - Utd City usually highscoring
      - Spurs not sound defensively

      Cons: - there might be an easier dgw later
      - other competitions might affect his playingtime later on
      - other players could have good dgws later on in the seson

  15. Muller Reus Corner
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Stones to Ake for a -4?

  16. Redranger
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    G2G?

    Ward
    Trippier Botman Shaw
    KDB Rash Almiron Martinelli
    Haaland (C) Kane Mitro
    Kepa Andreas White Patterson

    1. Muller Reus Corner
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Gtg

  17. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Salah>KDB for a -4 is doing my head in, can’t decide

    1. Muller Reus Corner
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Go with your gut

    2. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      if there is no chance of liverpool getting a double before gw 23 it makes sense to make the move for 2 extra fixtures

    3. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Both have been very poor recently. I suppose De Bruyne has two chances not to be poor.

  18. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Faes > which city def not Cancelo? Rest of defence:

    Trippier - Shaw - Saliba - Kinder

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Leaning Ake

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        pep has liked him recently

  19. Skout
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Perisic or Doherty?

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I went Doherty Just because of budget

      1. dansully3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        2 big fat zeros coming for both!

  20. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    bench 2 of
    walker zaha almiron martineli

  21. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Hi all,

    Would really appreciate any last minute advise:

    is it insanity to WC this? I've done a -4, and * is who I would change

    Kepa*
    Trippier / Stones* / Martinez*
    Salah* / Martinelli / Rashford / Kulusevski*
    Kane / Haaland / Mitrovic*

    Ward / Andreas / Botman / Bueno

    I'd likely revert to this:
    DDG
    Trippier / Shaw / Doherty
    KDB / Gakpo / Martinelli / Rashford
    Kane / Toney / Haaland

    Ward / Botman / Bueno / Andreas

    0.8 left ITB

  22. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Which sounds best?

    1) Play Andreas
    2) Play White
    3) Dariwn to Toney -4

    1. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Previous page someone said Darwin plays.

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Thanks !

  23. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Has Darwin been seen in training today? Worth keeping him and Cancelo - not taking a hit and having Bueno / White 1st sub?

    1. Urban Cowboy.
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      I'm leaning on keeping him.

  24. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Line up correct here? Anything worth -4 ?

    Kepa
    Cancelo, Trippier, Perisic, Shaw
    Kdb, Kulu, Rashford
    Haaland, Toney, Martial

    Ward, Mount, Bruno, Andreas 0ft .2itb

  25. Dreaming of glory
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    A) salah > kdb
    B) salah > mahrez
    C) odegard > mahrez

    Ben dinnery saying double in 21 very unlikely now so safe play is A right? And gamble maybe C?

    Thoughts please!!!!

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      B for me

  26. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Brought Dalot in for free before the cup game, now he’s out.. take a -4 or leave the bench to cover?

    Kepa
    Trippier - Akanji - Dalot
    Almiron - KDB - Rashford - Martinelli
    Kane - Haaland - Darwin

    Ward - Botman - White Andreas

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      May as well use a -4

      1. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 23 days ago

        Who to bring in?

  27. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    What would you go for?

    1) Almiron Vs Fulham at home
    2) Odegaard Vs Tottenham away

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      1

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      1 marginally

    3. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      2

  28. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Y/N?
    A) Cancelo > Schar/Botman (-4)
    B) Haaland TC

    1. Starskyb
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 23 days ago

      Y
      Y

      for me

  29. Starskyb
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    Need a bargain bin defender to do my kane upgrade.... do I go for Rico Lewis or play it safer with Mings who will play during blanks and just bench him?

  30. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 23 days ago

    A) Darwin & Cancelo -> Kane & Martinez (-4)

    B) Darwin / Cucu / Cancelo -> Kane, Shaw, Botman (-8)

    C) Cucu -> Shaw (free) [play Cancelo + Darwin, with Bueno 1st sub]