Spot the Differential
13 April 2023 208 comments
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Gameweek 31 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Crystal Palace, Manchester United and Everton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

JOACHIM ANDERSEN

FPL Gameweek 13 differentials: Fixtures boost case for Andersen
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: sou | EVE | wol | WHU | tot

Joachim Andersen (£4.5m) has been a reliable performer since arriving at Selhurst Park and could be a decent budget pick for the run-in.

That’s because Crystal Palace sit second on our Season Ticker for ‘defence’ when looking at the remaining fixtures, with seven of the eight matches against sides sitting 10th or below in the Premier League table.

Under Roy Hodgson, they have won both of their games but conceded on each occasion. However, they have allowed just 14 shots and only one Opta-defined ‘big chance’, offering encouragement that clean sheets can be obtained.

As for Andersen, attacking returns feel unlikely, but he has had four shots (including two headers) and created three chances against Leicester City and Leeds United, more than any defensive teammate. He has also played some good passes into Odsonne Edouard (£5.0m), triggering Palace counter-attacks.

The Eagles have some great fixtures coming up, starting with a trip to bottom-of-the-table Southampton, who rank 17th for headed attempts conceded since Ruben Selles’ appointment, so that aforementioned goal threat could be put to good use this weekend.

Palace’s recent performances suggest they are building up some momentum, so Andersen could be a nice set-and-forget option who can be called upon each week bar Gameweek 35.

JADON SANCHO

Leeds v Man Utd team news: Sancho starts, Shaw at centre-back
  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £7.1m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: nfo | – | tot | AVL + bha | whu

With Marcus Rashford (£7.2m) out for a “few games”, Jadon Sancho (£7.1m) is the likeliest candidate to start on the left flank, his preferred position.

The former Dortmund winger created five opportunities against Everton last time out and set up Scott McTominay’s (£4.9m) opener, adding to his goals in Gameweeks 22 and 24. It’s also worth noting among all FPL midfielders with meaningful minutes this term (500+), he sits seventh for chances created per 90.

Admittedly, he hasn’t set the world on fire at Old Trafford, but has looked sharper of late, and could be the one to step up in Rashford’s absence.

Man Utd have responded well to their 2-0 loss at Newcastle United in Gameweek 29, with wins over Brentford and Everton, two good performances with two clean sheets. Those victories have moved them three points clear of fifth-placed Tottenham Hotspur, with the influential Casemiro (£4.9m) set to return having served his suspension.

Now, they visit a Nottingham Forest side who are on a nine-match winless streak, a run that has seen them concede 19 goals, with their opponents easily able to exploit their narrow system. In an attempt to get back on track, they actually lined up in a back-three formation at Villa Park last time out, but remain on the slide after losing 2-0.

Sancho reminded FPL managers of his talents in Gameweek 30, and with more game-time over the next few weeks, could be a handy differential.

DEMARAI GRAY

Smith Rowe injury latest as Gray stars: FPL notes from Everton v Arsenal 2
  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: FUL | cry | NEW | lei | bha

Demarai Gray (£5.2m) remained on the periphery at Old Trafford last weekend but now faces out-of-form Fulham at Goodison Park in Gameweek 31.

The 26-year-old is Everton’s top scorer so far this season with six goals in all competitions and has predominately featured as a central striker under Sean Dyche.

In fact, since becoming a regular starter in Gameweek 26, Gray has registered more shots (nine) and created more chances (nine) than any teammate.

Everton have clearly taken strides forward in their first two months under Dyche, especially on home soil, where they have won 10 points in five games. Next up on Merseyside is a pivotal fixture against Fulham, who have lost five straight competitive matches. Aleksandar Mitrovic (£6.6m) remains a big loss, but with 10 goals conceded in their last six games and an xGC ranking of 17th, bigger problems arguably lie at the other end of the pitch.

Youngster Ellis Simms (£4.5m) came in to partner Gray in a more attacking 4-4-2 formation last time out. However, if he’s spearheading Everton’s attack or cutting in from the left, you get the feeling he will be key to unlocking Fulham’s defence. As a result, Gray could be a nice differential punt for those wishing to free up some budget.

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  1. Dynamic Duos
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Sancho ? OK haha

  2. Random Name
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    United fans laughed at others for losing a 2-0 lead at Anfield. Football won tonight.

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I don't think I've seen you ever post anything positive. Just bile and vitriol, again and again and again. You must be awesome at parties

      1. FPL Brains
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Definitely comes across insecure, can imagine it being an outlet when nobody listens IRL.

  3. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Gray ?
    YAY
    NAY

    1. Haalander
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      May for me. While I defo need a couple of differentials as I’m chasing not sure Everton have much goal threat.

  4. Dynamic Duos
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Slabhead 4.7m 0.4% should be on this article, tempted

  5. Kaneyonero
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Story with Chilly is he banned or can still play prem game

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Banned in champs league

    2. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Can play, I’m really unsure why so many are selling him (even for a hit!)

      1. The Ilfordian
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Probably Chelsea’s most like to have goal involvement

  6. bitm2007
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Lindelöf likely to be a 4.1m starter for DGW34 now but is the United D still worth investing in ?

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      No imo if slabhead is playing something is definitely going to go wrong

    2. Shultan
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      No

  7. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    1FT and £1m ITB. Plan to FH32.

    Transfer out?
    A) Rashford
    B) Maddison

    Transfer in?
    1) Grealish
    2) Martinelli

    Raya
    Trippier, Schar, Estupinan,
    Saka, Mac, Mitoma, Maddison
    Haaland, Kane Watkins

    Kepa, Chilwell, Rashford, Shaw

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Rash for Mart

      1. Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      A2

      1. Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers

  8. Shultan
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Shaw & bruno turning out to be horrible transfer in GW29
    Seriously contemplating a -8

  9. cutch
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Sorry for repeating. Bottomed in the previous article.

    A) Mee - > Aké (-4)
    B) Mee - > Stones (-4)
    C) No hit and start Mee (instead of Estupiñán)
    D) No hit and start Estupiñán (instead of Mee)

    1. AutoFill 2021
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I’m on c at the moment, but like a or b. Extra fixture

      1. cutch
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers. I think I'll do C. Not too keen on hits for defenders. And I can always bring in Aké/Stones just before gw34 for free.

  10. cutch
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Start 3 of these 5:
    A) Trippier
    B) Mings
    C) Mee
    D) Estupiñán
    E) Burn

    Currently on A (which I guess is a no brainer), B, C.

  11. Dynamic Duos
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    9/2 is nice price for Forrest

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I'll put a fiver on that I reckon

  12. JonnyOnionRings
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Anyone know how to put the site onto mobile version whole using your phone?

    For some reason today it went from the mobile version to desktop and I can't switch it back. I've changed it on Google but won't go back to the mobile view for me.

    Thanks

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Bottom left corner is a phone click it

      1. Flying Dutchman
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Damn never knew this. Thanks

  13. Vote Joke
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    I’m putting Fernandes last on my bench. Next week, he can do one.

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Bet you play him

      1. Vote Joke
        • 15 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Bench is: Chilwell Rashford BF

    2. DycheDycheBaby
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Why? Is he injured too now?

      1. Vote Joke
        • 15 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Na. He’s cack

    3. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Bit extreme, United will concede so will need to outscore Forest

    4. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I'm selling him this gw. Sick of him. So many better options

  14. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Damn might sell Bruno for grealish and bench Rashford

    1. The Red Devil
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I know he's banned for europe, but i meant this from a team form pov

  15. Paganoi
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Too many key injuries for United now. I think the wheels are about to come off the season.

    Rash & Bruno > Salah & Olise (-4)?

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Looks good imo.

    2. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I did these moves the other night

    3. Haalander
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Definitely a beet we play in my opinion yes

      1. Haalander
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        * better

  16. cutch
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Which Gw will the Newcastle - Brighton game be played? Does anybody know? What's the best guess right now?

    1. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Best guess is 36

    2. Stamford B
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      36 I think

    3. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      36-37

    4. cutch
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Cheers

  17. Dynamic Duos
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Shaw and Rashford to VVD and Martinelli?

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Great minds.

    2. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Have you used your FH? Good chance Shaw is back soon.

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Used

        1. panda07
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Then they seem like good transfers

    3. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      VVD is a good option, yes sounds decent.

    4. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Yea

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I will get back for 34

    5. Haalander
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Or if you’re looking to free up funds Konate at 4.8m is good value and also has Ariel goal threat

  18. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Is xhaka a no? He has scored lots of goals this season as playing further up field?

    1. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      If you need a cheap enabler, you could do a lot worse.

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Enables Kane & rash to salah & Kane GW32?

        1. Sheffield Wednesday
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          enables Kane to Kane?

          1. Stranger Mings
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            Sorry gw31 Mac to xhaka enables gw32 rash & Kane to salah & Jesus. Sound ok?

      2. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Sorry yeh enables rash to salah gw32

        1. panda07
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          It seems ok if you have no FH left

    2. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      No room for a third Arsenal mid.

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I have only got saka and going Jesus next week. Getting xhaka funds salah

        1. Sheffield Wednesday
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          and he's cheap enough to bench for Arsenal's more difficult fixtures

          1. Stranger Mings
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            Sounds like can’t go wrong for the price

    3. cutch
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      He's got very good value for his price. The general issue is that most people have Arsenal already covered with better (though more expensive) options.

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Yeh seems to be getting goals & assists and next 2 arsenal good fixtures

    4. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Hard to look past Andreas as a cheap enabler? On pens with no Mitro, 1A, 2A in last 4 games, fixtures of EVE, LEE, AVL coming up

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers good point about pens

  19. Sheffield Wednesday
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Raya (Kepa)
    Trippier Gabriel _____?
    Martinelli Mitoma Saka March (Maddison)
    Haaland© Kane Watkins

    ?
    a) Mee (wol)
    b) Botman (avl)
    c) Chilwell (BHA)

    1. Branch Warren
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I’d probably go mee

      1. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Seems the safest pick for a CS.

    2. Riverside Red
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Chilly

    3. Haalander
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Wait for the predicted line ups but chilwell has attacking threat and should start now that he’s suspended for the return leg in CL

      1. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I agree, if only Chelsea could score a goal atm

  20. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Best option to start folks???….

    A- Olise(Saints away)
    Or
    B- Mitoma(Chelsea away)

    Cheers everyone!!!

    1. Haalander
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Probably mitoma he’s been so consistent.

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers mate!! Yeah he certainly has been mate, what a player!!

    2. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      B, although it's a pretty close one

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Thankyou mate!!! It’s a really close one, keep going back and forth!!

  21. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Rashford update from ETH more hopeful

    https://twitter.com/UtdPlug/status/1646630719102373889

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      * sorry wrong quote linked. Correct one is

      Ten Hag says there is "a chance" that Marcus Rashford is fit to face Sevilla next week [@JamieJackson___] #

      1. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Is that the same Jamie Jackson that said Aguero was going to be on the bench a few seasons ago and he played and scored four?!

    2. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      That tweet is about Martinez mate.

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Yes sorry- see above

        1. panda07
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          No worries, you beat me to it.

  22. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    G2G?

    Raya
    Trippier Chilwell AlexMoreno
    Salah Martinelli Grealish Andreas
    Haaland(C) Kane Watkins

    Neto Mitoma Estup Henry

  23. Qaiss
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Erik concerned he will be without Varane and Martinez for v-Forest and Sevilla return; "a chance" Rashford could be back for Sevilla, he says

    Jamie Jackson on Twitter, Manchester football correspondent

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I wouldn't bet on Rash tbh, between Sancho, Antony and Martial backed by Sabitzer they won't need him. It's the defence which is a concern.

      1. Qaiss
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        If Rashford is back for that Spurs game though, then there’s no point selling him

  24. PKnox11
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Hands up, who bought Martinez before the europa league game? I wont scold you, I promise.

    1. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I had wished I’d got him a couple of GWs ago. Was definitely on the radar this week or ahead of GW34

    2. Haalander
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Well 95k bought him in so far this week. Few -4’s needed now to sort that mess out

  25. XX SMICER XX
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts on this Wildcard?

    Plan to move Ward-Prowse & Kane to KDB & Ferguson for GW34. Will likely take a hit GW34 to bring back Rashford if fit

    Steele Iverson
    TAA VVD Martinez Botman Kilman
    Salah Grealish Sancho Ward-Prowse Mitoma
    Kane Haaland Greenwood

    1. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Martinez injured

      1. XX SMICER XX
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Ah, just catching up

  26. Branch Warren
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Anyone punting on palace mids? Olise or Eze

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I am not but you good option and fixtures

  27. The Mighty Hippo
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    1FT / 0.7M ITB / FH32

    Reya
    Trippier | Chilwell | Shaw
    Bruno | MacAllister | March | Grealish
    Haaland (c) | Kane | Watkins
    _______________________________
    Kepa | Schar | Henry | Rashford

    a) Chilwell --> VVD
    b) Chilwell --> Estupinan
    c) Chilwell --> Ake
    d) Rashford --> Mahrez

  28. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    United’s season is hanging on a thread. Injuries and suspensions mounting up.

    Only last month they were in title race according to fans on here and now they’ll be getting the Norwich scarves out again.

    1. Admiral Benson
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Bit late in the evening for fishing?

      1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        😉

        No biters

  29. Tonyawesome69
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    ETH on Rashford:

    “there is a chance but I can’t confirm it in this moment"

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Sounds ok for GW34
      Problem with me holding him is probably losing 1m of team value or something by then!

  30. C0YS
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Rank the best GK's and defenders for DGW34:

    1. De Gea
    2. Ederson
    3. Alisson

    A. TAA
    B. Konate
    C. Shaw
    D. Ake
    E. Akanji
    F. Stones
    G. Other

    Not seeing a whole lot of discussion on defensive assets, curious who everyone else is looking to target for the double

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      231

      ADFBECG

      1. C0YS
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks. Completely avoiding ManU then?

        1. Admiral Benson
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Shaw is worth a look although suspect he plays CB on both GW34 games with Martinez out. Bonus monster when he plays CB

          1. C0YS
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            Agreed

        2. Dynamic Duos
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          My keeper will actually be DDG but would prefer one of the other 2. Yeah Laurel and Hardy at cb I'm defo avoiding bringing any in

          1. Dynamic Duos
            • 12 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            Sorry Laurel and Hardy should be Lindelof and Harry 🙂

            1. C0YS
              • 10 Years
              2 years, 9 months ago

              Yea, hard avoid for that duo

    2. David Parkinson
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      2A

      1. C0YS
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Good choice. Unfortunately also the most expensive combo...hence the ranking 🙂