Injuries
12 February 2011 651 comments
Mark Mark
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With the Gameweek and Wildcard deadline approaching at pace, it’s time to chew the fat with Paddy Power to see if his odds can sway our thinking when it comes to last minute tinkering.

Complete with some double Gameweek specials, a United vs City preview and a tempting Money Back Special on the early kick-off at Old Trafford, here’s this week’s Paddy rundown…

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Arsenal 1.83 (WOL) dgw
  • Liverpool 1.83 (WIG)
  • Chelsea 2.25 (ful)
  • Man United 2.37 (MCY)
  • Blackburn 2.75 (NEW)
  • Birmingham 2.80 (STK) dgw
  • West Brom 3.00 (WHM) dgw
  • Stoke 3.10 (bir)

Even off the back of a home win against league leaders Man United, Wolves are fancied to draw blood against Arsenal this weekend. A poor average of 0.75gsa (goals scored away) this campaign agrees with Paddy’s prediction, however Arsenal’s defence at the Emirates has been prone to a lapse and, if Arsene Wenger rests Johan Djourou for the midweek clash with Barcelona, the home cleanie looks less secure. The smart money says that the Gunners will hold their nerve after being on the receiving end of Newcastle’s record-breaking comeback and if Djourou starts, they look well placed for a fifth shut-out in six league matches.

Liverpool are tied at the top of Paddy’s odds and sport an impressive run of form at the back, with a healthy 0.77gch (goals conceded at home) to boot. Opponents Wigan appear to pose little threat with a mere 0.83gsa and, despite their goal glut in the win over Blackburn. Liverpool meanwhile have amassed four cleensheets in a row, the most recent of which came at Stamford Bridge. Paddy’s odds look pretty sound then, with Martin Kelly (if fit) set to continue to as a strong budget option at the back.

Chelsea and league leaders Man United feature next, both a shade over even money, both facing stern competition. On the road, Chelsea have only attained 3 cleansheets, in comparison to their 8 at home, and face a Fulham side seeming increasingly settled under manager Mark Hughes. This one looks shaky to us – Mark even tipped a home win on the ScoutCast this week. While I’m not sure about that, Chelsea’s cleanie does look vulnerable.

Man City travel down the road to Old Trafford for the second Manchester Derby of the season in the early kick-off. The first clash was a drab affair, offering little for the neutrals. Will we get the same again? Rio Ferdinand’s absence at the back for United will provide City with a few more chinks of light and significantly Paddy’s odds lengthened from 2.20 to 2.37 overnight – perhaps a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome here.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • R Van Persie 1.44 (WOL) dgw
  • L Suarez 1.72 (WIG)
  • D Bent 1.83 (blp)
  • M Chamakh 1.90 (WOL) dgw
  • C Fabregas 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • A Arshavin 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • N Bendtner 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • D Kuyt 2.25 (WIG)
  • D N’Gog 2.25 (WIG)
  • P Odemwingie 2.30 (WHM) dgw
  • F Torres 2.30 (ful)
  • D Drogba 2.30 (ful)
  • T Walcott 2.40 (WOL) dgw
  • W Rooney 2.37 (MCY)
  • D Berbatov 2.37 (MCY)
  • C Vela 2.50 (WHM) dgw
  • DJ Campbell 2.50 (AVL) dgw
  • J Defoe 2.50 (sun) dgw

Robin Van Persie has established himself as the most consistent form striker in the league and it’s no surprise to see him topping the Anytime Goalscorer market this week. Netting 7 goals in his last 4 games and featuring twice in this Gameweek (hopefully),Van Persie has been the hot property this week and will be sporting the armband for thousands against Wolves later today. Paddy’s price here – 1.44 is the shortest they’ve gone for any striker in any game this season. The planets seem to be aligning for Van Persie.

Liverpool’s new hitman Luis Suarez is favoured by Paddy’s odds this week, coming in second in the market. The Uruguayan will be eager to make his mark again following his debut goal and Wigan’s away record of 1.5gca (goals conceded away) should grant him every opportunity if Dalglish throws him in from the start at Anfield.

Steady scorer Darren Bent has been welcomed by Aston Villa faithful, already helping take the scalp of Man City and finding a consolation at Man United. His FPL price of 8.8m looks a bit much for a striker without the lure of a double fixture but Bent certainly looks a handy differential and Paddy rate him this weekend.

Significantly Arsenal are so strongly backed for goals against Wolves, they offer four attacking players with Cesc Fabregas’ odds looking particularly short considering he has yet to catch fire since his return from injury.

Peter Odemwingie once again sits above big guns like Torres, Drogba and Rooney, a sight that is becoming more and more familiar. With Roy Hodgson newly installed at the Hawthorns helm, the Nigerian shouldn’t struggle to find the motivation here and will be expected to improve on his 9-goal season haul. With the Baggies playing both West Ham and Wolves at home in the Gameweek, Fantasy investors will be hoping and expecting for at least a 2 goal return.

Paddy’s United vs City Preview

This afternoon derby promises to be more competitive than it has been for quite some time but from a neutral’s point of view, the biggest concern is that we’ll be served up another turgid display between two sides who have only really managed only a handful of truly convincing performances between them this season.

The way Roberto Mancini has set his teams out against his title rivals doesn’t bode well and another 0-0 draw at 8/1 is a distinct possibility. City have scored just once in five games against United, Spurs, Chelsea and Arsenal, with three of those five games ending 0-0. It’s clear that when the pressure is on the Italian reverts to type and focuses firmly on avoiding defeat. A fifth shut-out against a title rival in this game is 7/2 if you fancy them to hold firm.

Rio Ferdinand, though perhaps over-rated, does form a reliable partnership with Vidic and when he’s been absent from the team this season, Ferguson has struggled to find a satisfactory replacement from his underwhelming list of options. With the addition of Dzeko and the improvement of David Silva, City have been more potent going forward or late and for all his off-field attitude problems, once he’s on the pitch Carlos Tevez has been excellent this season. He may feel he has a point to prove, especially if the home fans get on his back, and he’s well priced at 6/1 to score first and 15/8 to score anytime. He certainly looks better value than the sporadic Berbatov and the not-quite-back-to-his-best Rooney, both of whom are 9/2 to open the scoring.

For all the previous United bashing their record at home is near perfect, which is more of a testament to the manager’s ability to instil belief in his players than it is to the general standard of their play. That record is the reason why the home side are odds on at 4/5 but with Ferdinand gone and their unbeaten run ended, the draw at 12/5 and City to win at 15/4 both provide better value.

Paddy’s Money Back Special…

The Money Back Special is a “Feast or Famine” offer for the early kick-off at Old Trafford. If this game finishes scoreless or it has more than four goals, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score and scorecast singles on the match.

Click here for this and other Paddy odds…

Paddy’s Scout Specials

We’ve had a host of specials from Paddy running this week, all tying in with our double Gameweek selections.

Peter Odemwingie to score 3 or more goals in the Gameweek 7/1 (8.00)

Charlie Adam to score 2 or more goals in the Gameweek 6/1 (7.00)

Arsenal to keep two clean sheets in the Gameweek 5/2 (3.50)

Cesc Fabregas to score 2 or more goals in total in the Gameweek 6/4 (2.50)

Robin Van Persie to score 3 or more goals in total in the Gameweek 13/8 (2.62)

Robert Huth to score a header against Arsenal 16/1 (17.00)

Bet £10 Get £20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

651 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. DickFranDyke
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    bleurgh - come on 11.30. Adam to A.Young?

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  2. Demí
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    hmm interesting odds

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  3. TOP 20K
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Adam in or out?

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    1. DickFranDyke
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Not sure, that's my only coin toss too.

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  4. RD
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    yeah intersteing odds enough 😉 but now can be decesive 😉 i am almost set in captaining fabregas 😉 now this odd are holding me 😀

    rvp's 3 goals ==12 points
    fab's 2 goals=== 10 poinnts 😀

    not much difference 😀
    lol 😀

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    1. The relentless pursuit of p…
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      LOL 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 😀 😀 😀 😀 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 LOL
      LOL 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 😀 😀 😀 😀 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 LOL
      LOL 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 😀 😀 😀 😀 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 LOL

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    2. Marknlard
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Have you got a twitch?

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  5. @FuzzyWarbles
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    morning lads!!!

    the highly anticipated GW27 is finally here. 100+ points or BUST!!
    Any chance of seeing team sheets fir the derby before deadline? And any changes you would make to this squad, with reasoning? Those who respond will be guaranteed a green arrow!!!!

    Szczesny

    Huth, Carr, Kelly

    Fabregas, Adam, Brunt, Nani, VDV

    RVP(C), Tevez

    (Berbatov, Simpson, Coleman)

    Cheers and good luck to all!!!

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    1. trisonetwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      your taking a punt on brunt, he's amased something like 7 points in 6 games, big time charlie - whats wrong with barton/bentley?

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      1. @FuzzyWarbles
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        nothing wrong with them, im just not going to use a transfer to get rid of a DGWer with two home games against bottom table opponents.

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    2. DickFranDyke
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      No chance for team sheets and VDV out for me to Walcott, the reason is DGW and not yet injured.
      I better get a greenie.

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      1. @FuzzyWarbles
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        i already have 3 arsenal

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      2. Akers
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        You better not.

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        1. DickFranDyke
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          I better do 🙂

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    3. For Fuchs Sake
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      VDV is injured!!

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      1. @FuzzyWarbles
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        you dont say? i know hes out this week but still expected back against blackpool, which can still produce a nice haul, and if he doesnt play that one, in comes berbatov. I guess i should have clarified to everyone Im not looking for a transfer, just want to know my squad is in order with starters and subs

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  6. trisonetwo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Coleman or Tevez/Nani/Kolorov - at the moment, my bench looks pretty strong hehe - i.e. avoiding the derby like hell!

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  7. donners
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Going to be tough watching the early kickoff with Rooney on my bench!

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  8. Attila the Bum
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Hmmm 2 yellow flags and 1 red. Not liking this one bit, going to leave it as it is though. 😕

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    1. DickFranDyke
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Roll the dice! Barton FTW

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      1. Attila the Bum
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Hope he doesn't give Pedersen a dig again!

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        1. The Stock
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          BARTON 4 EVA

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  9. mouldy_uk
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Think this is going to be my team:

    Foster
    Johnson / Huth / Kelly
    Walcott / Adam / Fabregas / Barton
    Van Persie (c) / Tevez / Odemwingie
    (9 DGW Players)

    Subs: Begovic / Nani, Vidic, Coleman

    Any obvious errors?

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  10. 4-4-who?
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Rubbish format for a forum...

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    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Boooooooo

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      1. Boom!!!
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Booooooooring boring citeh 😉

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  11. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    I will have the strongest bench in the history of FPL today...

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    1. DickFranDyke
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Nice, I will have the strongest first XI 😉

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      1. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        If you have any Brum, WBA & Stoke players in your team you will be very dissappointed 😆

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        1. 4-4-who?
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          Agreed. Doyler hat-trick vs baggies - UTW!

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        2. DickFranDyke
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          Foster, Carr & R.Johnson backline - Walcott,RVP & Cesc frontline. Sorted. :mrgreen:

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  12. Cooper123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Play Kolarov or Simpson?

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  13. sacg.
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    walcott or lennon in for VDV?

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    1. DickFranDyke
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Walcott - homer

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  14. Gregor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Swap VDV for Young and bench Tevez or play Tevez and bench VDV or play VDV and bench Tevez?

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    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      VDV is injured!!!!!!!!

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      1. Woy of the Wovers
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        I think we heard the first time.

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    2. Jax
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      swap vdv for young then to tevez then take tevez out for vdv and young for tevez ad then bench tevez and then bench vdv and then take tevez and put him back in and bench young

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  15. 4-4-who?
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    1000 different discussions in one place, where no one answers questions posed, repeat posts on same subjects questions all the time, can't find things

    Can post because it is busy

    Am I wrong

    New Post!

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    1. mouldy_uk
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Agreed, it's a bit of a free for all with a lack of structure.

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      1. 4-4-who?
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks for agreeing - could be so much better if it had even a little structure

        Any better FPL forums you recommend?

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    2. Attila the Bum
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Saturday mornings are always manic. The easy way to find what you want is ctrl+f.
      As for no-one answering questions posted try answering a few, people generally reciprocate.

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      1. The Stock
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        +1

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  16. TOP 20K
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Is Kelly injured?

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    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      well if you look closely at the yellow ticker beside his name it says he's doubtful, so yeah he's 50/50

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  17. jimmythegent
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Any VDV owners starting to get last hour jitters?

    i think im holding strong, hoping he makes blackpool and storms it.... if he doesnt make it ive got nani first sub to fall back on

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    1. Bojaninho
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      he may get rushed back and injured in the ac game. Plus they will be knackered from the away game and then up to blackpool, dont they have done so well after away games in champs league

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    2. Woy of the Wovers
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      I am. I'm thinking VDV out for Barton

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  18. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    I have Foster in goal

    So Dawson or R Johnson this week?

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      RJ

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  19. The relentless pursuit of p…
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Im heading out to play with my daughter and then to the pub to watch the derby in 3D.

    Good luck to you all, may we all get 100+ points this week 😀

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    1. DickFranDyke
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      3-D - *vomits.

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  20. 4-4-who?
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    A for B?

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    1. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Do it!

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  21. For Fuchs Sake
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    To Suarez or not to Suarez?

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  22. 4-4-who?
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    I've seen comments that he is out for at least two weeks..sorry

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      This was a comment for an earlier post; it took three attempts ot post it; then it doesn't appear in the right place

      It was busy

      Great forum though...not

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  23. js8848
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Who to bench out of Tevez, Nani and VdV…am leaning to VdV at the moment

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    1. The Stock
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Vdv is out.

      And the Berlin wall has fallen.

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      1. 4-4-who?
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        VDV out for both?

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    2. RvpKagawaVidicyesisupportmu…
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Tevez, city not going to score at old traff...... Even I'd vdv is injured then tevez will come in anyway..

      Answer mine??

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  24. Oliver Reed
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    walcott cap, done...will he still be at 11:30 though 🙁

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  25. RvpKagawaVidicyesisupportmu…
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Szecensy (begovic)

    Kelly rafael hutton murphy(bcfc) bardsley

    Vdv fabs Vaughan nani (Albrighton)

    Rvp Suarez berba

    0.0 left
    2 free transfers

    So Adam for Vaughan
    Roger Johnson for murphy
    Odem for Suarez

    Keep Suarez or odem and vdv or Lennon ????

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  26. shadowteam
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Hart Stockdale
    Hangelaand Coleman Djourou Rafael Bosingwa
    Fabregas Adam Nani VDV S.Davies
    RVP Tevez Campbell

    0.5m in bank

    I have 2 free transfers (no WC) was thinking of

    stockdale -> foster

    vdv -> walcott

    then i need to swap djourou for a 4.9 defender, is it worth taking hits?

    Like fab -> walcott then i can upgrade campbell to odem etc

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  27. mouldy_uk
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Kelly or Vidic?

    Kelly more likely to get a cleanie, but Vidic has that goal threat.

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    1. RvpKagawaVidicyesisupportmu…
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Both !!!

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  28. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    anyone taking a punt on defoe instead of RVP this week??? with VDV bale out he will be the main man for goals so could get a decent haul

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      no i already have crouch 😉

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    2. @FuzzyWarbles
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      defoe worth a punt, but not as an RVP replacement. Berbatov, rooney, torres perhaps, but RVP is as in form as you can be.

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      1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        im just a bit concerned RVP will be rested or play 60mins v wolves

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    3. mackay007
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      No not instead of RVP maybe with him though!

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  29. Gubborr
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Rooney or Cahill to play ? I'm playing Nani too.

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  30. For Fuchs Sake
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    WC Tevez or Suarez?

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    1. DickFranDyke
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Tevez

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