Injuries
12 February 2011 651 comments
Mark Mark
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With the Gameweek and Wildcard deadline approaching at pace, it’s time to chew the fat with Paddy Power to see if his odds can sway our thinking when it comes to last minute tinkering.

Complete with some double Gameweek specials, a United vs City preview and a tempting Money Back Special on the early kick-off at Old Trafford, here’s this week’s Paddy rundown…

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Arsenal 1.83 (WOL) dgw
  • Liverpool 1.83 (WIG)
  • Chelsea 2.25 (ful)
  • Man United 2.37 (MCY)
  • Blackburn 2.75 (NEW)
  • Birmingham 2.80 (STK) dgw
  • West Brom 3.00 (WHM) dgw
  • Stoke 3.10 (bir)

Even off the back of a home win against league leaders Man United, Wolves are fancied to draw blood against Arsenal this weekend. A poor average of 0.75gsa (goals scored away) this campaign agrees with Paddy’s prediction, however Arsenal’s defence at the Emirates has been prone to a lapse and, if Arsene Wenger rests Johan Djourou for the midweek clash with Barcelona, the home cleanie looks less secure. The smart money says that the Gunners will hold their nerve after being on the receiving end of Newcastle’s record-breaking comeback and if Djourou starts, they look well placed for a fifth shut-out in six league matches.

Liverpool are tied at the top of Paddy’s odds and sport an impressive run of form at the back, with a healthy 0.77gch (goals conceded at home) to boot. Opponents Wigan appear to pose little threat with a mere 0.83gsa and, despite their goal glut in the win over Blackburn. Liverpool meanwhile have amassed four cleensheets in a row, the most recent of which came at Stamford Bridge. Paddy’s odds look pretty sound then, with Martin Kelly (if fit) set to continue to as a strong budget option at the back.

Chelsea and league leaders Man United feature next, both a shade over even money, both facing stern competition. On the road, Chelsea have only attained 3 cleansheets, in comparison to their 8 at home, and face a Fulham side seeming increasingly settled under manager Mark Hughes. This one looks shaky to us – Mark even tipped a home win on the ScoutCast this week. While I’m not sure about that, Chelsea’s cleanie does look vulnerable.

Man City travel down the road to Old Trafford for the second Manchester Derby of the season in the early kick-off. The first clash was a drab affair, offering little for the neutrals. Will we get the same again? Rio Ferdinand’s absence at the back for United will provide City with a few more chinks of light and significantly Paddy’s odds lengthened from 2.20 to 2.37 overnight – perhaps a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome here.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • R Van Persie 1.44 (WOL) dgw
  • L Suarez 1.72 (WIG)
  • D Bent 1.83 (blp)
  • M Chamakh 1.90 (WOL) dgw
  • C Fabregas 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • A Arshavin 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • N Bendtner 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • D Kuyt 2.25 (WIG)
  • D N’Gog 2.25 (WIG)
  • P Odemwingie 2.30 (WHM) dgw
  • F Torres 2.30 (ful)
  • D Drogba 2.30 (ful)
  • T Walcott 2.40 (WOL) dgw
  • W Rooney 2.37 (MCY)
  • D Berbatov 2.37 (MCY)
  • C Vela 2.50 (WHM) dgw
  • DJ Campbell 2.50 (AVL) dgw
  • J Defoe 2.50 (sun) dgw

Robin Van Persie has established himself as the most consistent form striker in the league and it’s no surprise to see him topping the Anytime Goalscorer market this week. Netting 7 goals in his last 4 games and featuring twice in this Gameweek (hopefully),Van Persie has been the hot property this week and will be sporting the armband for thousands against Wolves later today. Paddy’s price here – 1.44 is the shortest they’ve gone for any striker in any game this season. The planets seem to be aligning for Van Persie.

Liverpool’s new hitman Luis Suarez is favoured by Paddy’s odds this week, coming in second in the market. The Uruguayan will be eager to make his mark again following his debut goal and Wigan’s away record of 1.5gca (goals conceded away) should grant him every opportunity if Dalglish throws him in from the start at Anfield.

Steady scorer Darren Bent has been welcomed by Aston Villa faithful, already helping take the scalp of Man City and finding a consolation at Man United. His FPL price of 8.8m looks a bit much for a striker without the lure of a double fixture but Bent certainly looks a handy differential and Paddy rate him this weekend.

Significantly Arsenal are so strongly backed for goals against Wolves, they offer four attacking players with Cesc Fabregas’ odds looking particularly short considering he has yet to catch fire since his return from injury.

Peter Odemwingie once again sits above big guns like Torres, Drogba and Rooney, a sight that is becoming more and more familiar. With Roy Hodgson newly installed at the Hawthorns helm, the Nigerian shouldn’t struggle to find the motivation here and will be expected to improve on his 9-goal season haul. With the Baggies playing both West Ham and Wolves at home in the Gameweek, Fantasy investors will be hoping and expecting for at least a 2 goal return.

Paddy’s United vs City Preview

This afternoon derby promises to be more competitive than it has been for quite some time but from a neutral’s point of view, the biggest concern is that we’ll be served up another turgid display between two sides who have only really managed only a handful of truly convincing performances between them this season.

The way Roberto Mancini has set his teams out against his title rivals doesn’t bode well and another 0-0 draw at 8/1 is a distinct possibility. City have scored just once in five games against United, Spurs, Chelsea and Arsenal, with three of those five games ending 0-0. It’s clear that when the pressure is on the Italian reverts to type and focuses firmly on avoiding defeat. A fifth shut-out against a title rival in this game is 7/2 if you fancy them to hold firm.

Rio Ferdinand, though perhaps over-rated, does form a reliable partnership with Vidic and when he’s been absent from the team this season, Ferguson has struggled to find a satisfactory replacement from his underwhelming list of options. With the addition of Dzeko and the improvement of David Silva, City have been more potent going forward or late and for all his off-field attitude problems, once he’s on the pitch Carlos Tevez has been excellent this season. He may feel he has a point to prove, especially if the home fans get on his back, and he’s well priced at 6/1 to score first and 15/8 to score anytime. He certainly looks better value than the sporadic Berbatov and the not-quite-back-to-his-best Rooney, both of whom are 9/2 to open the scoring.

For all the previous United bashing their record at home is near perfect, which is more of a testament to the manager’s ability to instil belief in his players than it is to the general standard of their play. That record is the reason why the home side are odds on at 4/5 but with Ferdinand gone and their unbeaten run ended, the draw at 12/5 and City to win at 15/4 both provide better value.

Paddy’s Money Back Special…

The Money Back Special is a “Feast or Famine” offer for the early kick-off at Old Trafford. If this game finishes scoreless or it has more than four goals, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score and scorecast singles on the match.

Click here for this and other Paddy odds…

Paddy’s Scout Specials

We’ve had a host of specials from Paddy running this week, all tying in with our double Gameweek selections.

Peter Odemwingie to score 3 or more goals in the Gameweek 7/1 (8.00)

Charlie Adam to score 2 or more goals in the Gameweek 6/1 (7.00)

Arsenal to keep two clean sheets in the Gameweek 5/2 (3.50)

Cesc Fabregas to score 2 or more goals in total in the Gameweek 6/4 (2.50)

Robin Van Persie to score 3 or more goals in total in the Gameweek 13/8 (2.62)

Robert Huth to score a header against Arsenal 16/1 (17.00)

Bet £10 Get £20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

651 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Ninjaa
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    wildcarding:
    chezny (bergovic)
    Huth carr kelly (kolorov coleman)
    walcott etherington nolan gardner (nani)
    vanpersie odemwingie defoe

    10 dgw players
    Intend doing defoe & walcott > Tevez & young next week to give me 11 players, then Etherington > cahill gw29? how does this plan seem. anything you'd cahnge, got 30 mins.heeeeeeeelpppppppp.

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    1. Cooper123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      You on your wildcard? I can only implore you not to get Defoe.

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      1. Ninjaa
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        who else then

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        1. David Davros
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          Tevez

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          1. Ninjaa
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            i was going to have a dgw strike this gw then get tevez in for home games in 28 and 29

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            1. David Davros
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 10 months ago

              No offence but that team is horrific. Seems like you're placing way too much emphasis on the double part.

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        2. Ninjaa
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          ive got rvp and odem too

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  2. 4-4-who?
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Nolan for DGW then Cahill (my plan)

    Stupid reposting forum; busy; busy; busy - sort this rubbish format out!!!

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    1. Attila the Bum
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_zHbr51uZVvQ/SwyduvuMQbI/AAAAAAAAECA/VXzU3t6SgR4/s1600/temper-tantrum-girl-425ds061609_getty.jpg

      Stop moaning, it's always mental on a Saturday morning. Why Nolan anyway, Barton is a better FPL pick.

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      1. njfsdkffslkf
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        No No! 🙂

        Nolan to get 2 jammy tap ins.

        Barton to sit deep and kick people 😉

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      2. 4-4-who?
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Joey Barton - no thanks

        Wonder who else has this opinion? Anyone at the FA?

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  3. breakballartist
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Thats horrible for Tevez; how wld your mind be right? Nani in and bench Carlos is the samrt play.

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    1. GinjaWhinja
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      link?

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    2. CravenA
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Angry. Needing to vent distress? Ready to take it out on next opponents and give them a pasting? Who knows how he'll react?

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  4. Cooper123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Should I bench
    A) Simpson
    or
    B) Kolarov ?

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    1. toonfan
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      this week bench kolarov. I would guess that simpson will get 4 points, kolarov 2...

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      1. Cooper123
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers, you're probably right

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  5. Paul
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    a.young or we have someone better for this dgw???...already have walcott and fab...

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  6. RvpKagawaVidicyesisupportmu…
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Suarez

    Answer mine plzz?

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  7. Lieutenant
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Current XI is (with Begovic, Coleman, Simpson, Yaya on the bench):
    Foster
    R Johnson, Djourou, Kelly
    Fabregas (C), Adam, Nani, VDV
    RVP, Berbatov, Tevez

    Very weak front 7. What should I do about it? Got one free transfer left.

    How about:
    A. VDV OUT, Brunt IN.
    B. VDV OUT, Cahill IN.
    C. Others?

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Wolves

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      1. Open Controls
        1. 4-4-who?
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          Strange...

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      2. Lieutenant
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        But, seriously...

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        1. Cooper123
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          Play VDV, he'll probably be back for Blackpool and has a nice run after that.

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          1. Lieutenant
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            What about Yaya and Berbatov, then? Could transfer them out, alternatives are Brunt and Bent, or maybe some other alternatives?

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    2. njfsdkffslkf
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Benching Simpson over the likes of Tevez, Nani?

      Not worried could easily be a tight 0-0, 1-0 game in the derby.

      And newcastle could get a cleansheet at Birmingham.

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  8. mackay007
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Need to play three of the following:

    Luiz, Rafael, Coleman, Nani Berba & Tevez?

    Currently going with Luiz, Nani & Tevez

    Any help please?

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    1. niko
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Stick with the three you've chosen.

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  9. ClaireT
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Would you play Nani or Berba this week? Have 4.3 in the bank. Here's my team:

    Foster
    Sagna, Coleman, R Johnson
    A Young, Fabergas, Barton, Adam
    Odemwingie, Berbatov, RVP

    Subs: Begovic, Nani, Rafael, Kolarov

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  10. RvpKagawaVidicyesisupportmu…
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    So who wud u put in:
    - Suarez or
    - odemwingie

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  11. 4-4-who?
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Super Kevin Doyle anyone? Also as (c)?

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  12. breakballartist
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Barton in is nearly more about his next 2 fixtures rather than the DGW. The sooner this WC is over the better, aaagggghhhhhh....

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  13. cookster
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    last minute doubts on my team guys. please help!

    which 2 out of nani, evra, bardsley and dj campbell should be benched this week? i am leaning towards playing bardsley and nani, but seems silly leaving campbell on bench in a dgw!

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  14. villian-ty
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Guys iam holding a small 97 point lead

    who is more essential to cover against my rival.

    he has Odemwingie and Walcott out of the DGW players

    I have 2 free transfers to make but cant get in Walcott without having to get rid of Djorou.

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  15. Bojaninho
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    where did the news about tevez daughter come from?

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    1. cookster
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      its on the back page of the daily mail and some other papers i imagine!!

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  16. David Davros
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Some leftfield captain choices being thrown into the mix willy nilly here. Have you all slept?

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  17. Twelve years a slave
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Play chess or Draughts?

    Captain Kirk or Captain Picard?

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    1. Cooper123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Play chess, put the armband on Kirky

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    2. David Davros
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Picard all day long.

      It's very apt, no?

      http://picardfacepalm.com/picard-facepalm-hotlink.jpg

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  18. m165
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    My wildcard team - any opinions?

    Foster
    Kolarov, Coleman, Kelly
    Fabregas, Walcott, Adam, Nani
    Tevez, RVP, Odemwingie

    Bench: Bardsley, Walker, VDV, Begovic.
    2.3 in the bank

    Cheers!

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Odem out Doyle in...:)

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    2. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      looks good

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  19. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    should i make any changes to this wildcard team???

    Foster
    Kelly - Johnson R - Huth
    Nani - Walcott - Adam - Barton
    Tevez- Van Persie(C) - Odemwingie

    subs - Begovic - Coleman - Van der Vaart - Kolarov

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    1. Attila the Bum
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Scrap it all and start again

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      1. Attila the Bum
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Nah looks alright. 🙂

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    2. Cooper123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Adam is a bit risky

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  20. Gubborr
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    rooney or cahill to play ???

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Cahill

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      1. Cooper123
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        +1

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  21. Lieutenant
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Current XI is (with Begovic, Coleman, Simpson, Yaya on the bench):
    Foster
    R Johnson, Djourou, Kelly
    Fabregas (C), Adam, Nani, VDV
    RVP, Berbatov, Tevez

    Any suggestions on what to do with my front 7 (1.0 in the bank + 1 free transfer)?

    VDV, Yaya, Berbatov. One of them surely has to go?

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    1. Cooper123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Lose Adam for Brunt, maybe.

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      1. Lieutenant
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Why not Yaya?

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        1. Cooper123
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          2 Nice games after this weekend if I remember correctly, Adam is going to miss 2 games very soon

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    2. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Kevin Doyle for Berba OR Jamie O'Hara for Yaya

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      1. Lieutenant
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Lol, you're just messing around.

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        1. 4-4-who?
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          Doyle outscored Berba on FPL points last two gameweeks...

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    3. Call Me Old Fashioned
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      keep as it is and save transfer for next week

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  22. mucka
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Should i start
    Albrighton Or VDV?

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    1. Cooper123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Definitely VDV.

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    2. mucka
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Or Nani actually?

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      1. Cooper123
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Still definitely VDV.
        Have you seen Blackpool's defensive record lately?

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  23. njfsdkffslkf
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Eh , last minuter jitters trying to fit Nani in off my Bench.Cant do it. Gona risk Kelly, Cahill, Simpson , Vidic ahead of him for one week.
    Still think will be tight 1-0 , Maybe Giggs to Berba .

    Come on United 🙂

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    1. Evil Frost
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      City must perish!

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      1. Akers
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        They must be punished.

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  24. TheBear
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Nani or Rooney to play?

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  25. Jack Frost
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    foster (Stockdale)
    huth djourou evatt (vidic, coleman)
    Nani Adam lennon walcott (vdv)
    rooney odem RVP(C)

    I have my orig WC for GW28 to recover and prep for GW29.

    Can’t figure out whether to start Rooney or VDV and leave it up to fate if VDV plays the second game. Should I start Rooney, who I have only had for three weeks? thanks
    vdv vidic coleman bench order.

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    1. Call Me Old Fashioned
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      i wudnt play evatt even though he got DGW. With rooney u can be sure that he will play u dunno about VDV hence why he on my bench

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  26. Gubborr
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    nani

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  27. Evil Frost
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Foster(Begovic)

    Kelly/Coleman/Baines(Kolorov/Walker)

    Fab/VDV/Nani/Cahill/Walcott

    RVP/Odem(Tevez)

    Only 5 DGWers and I'm on wildcard. Thinking more about the next 6 weeks. Am I making a mistake?

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    1. Akers
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      She looks about 14.

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    2. Evil Frost
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      bet she's got a tight twonge

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      1. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Paddy says 2/5 on, with a money back special if she's a ladyboy.

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  28. Drip Doctor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Nani or Tevez. Who are you guys starting?

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    1. Attila the Bum
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Nani.

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    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Tevez

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    3. Evil Frost
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Nani for me

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    4. njfsdkffslkf
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      1st sub, 2nd sub.

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    5. Akers
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Nani.

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      1. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Tevez, with my last £3 on him being 1st scorer!

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  29. Johnny Unitas
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Someone please try and talk me out of doing Tevez OUT Defoe IN for a punt on WC, would leave:

    Foster
    Huth/Coleman/Carr
    Fabregas/Walcott/Adam/Lennon
    RVP(C)/Odemwingie/Defoe

    Begovic/Nani/Kolarov/Walker

    Anyone? Please, it's just a hunch, but talk me out of it!

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    1. Attila the Bum
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Tevez has FUL & WIG after this GW, just bench him.

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      1. Evil Frost
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Agreed!

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    2. David Davros
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      You know it's a stupid idea or you wouldn't be saying that. Don't bother.

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      1. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        No no no no no!

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      2. Johnny Unitas
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Ya, see I know it's a bad idea, but I am finding it somewhat irresistible for some reason! Common sense will prevail.

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        1. Johnny Unitas
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          cheers boys, ya okay, no Defoe

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