634x258 Scout Notes
13 October 2013 976 comments
Paul Paul
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Glen Johnson expects to return to training next week for Liverpool, while the Reds coach Mike Marsh elaborates more on the recent switch to 3-5-2. Oscar finds the net for Brazil but has picked up a calf knock. Jozy Altidore nets as the US ease past Jamaica and Phil Bardsley could be set for a surprise return to the Sunderland fold under new boss Gus Poyet.

Johnson Close to Return

Liverpool’s right-back revealed via twitter he was edging towards a first-team comeback somewhat sooner than expected. Johnson took to twitter to announce:

“Six weeks of hard work as paid off. Back with the team on Tuesday. Finally.”

The Scout Says: A potential return for Johnson in time for the Gameweek 8 trip to Newcastle would bring him immediately onto Fantasy radars. Liverpool registered a clean sheet in each of the first three fixtures with Johnson in the XI but have conceded in all of the subsequent four after he was sidelined following a clash with Patrice Evra in the Gameweek 3 win over United. Now down to 5.8 in FPL with an ownership under 5%, he looks an enticing differential – all the more so if the Reds decide to retain their recent 3-5-2 formation, affording him an out of position berth on the right of midfield.

Marsh Discusses Reds 3-5-2

Liverpool coach Mike Marsh hinted that the new 3-5-2 system may not be Brendan Rodgers’ default formation, however, after shifting from 4-2-3-1 in the last couple of league matches. Speaking to the club’s official website, Marsh stressed:

“We have had to adapt. It’s not natural to certain players on the pitch, but it’s not massively different from where we are. It’s a 3-5-2 when we start, but it’s fluid throughout the game. A lot of the stuff that we do in the game are things that we work on anyway, so training hasn’t been radically different. It’s an opportunity to try something different. You need different formations to play against different opposition. We’ve played in that formation now on a couple of occasions, which shows that we can do it and so if we need to flip to it we can do it in the game”.

The Scout Says: Despite the undoubted success of the new system, the picture is likely to become a little clearer when the treatment room empties. At present, Glen Johnson’s absence has had a significant say in the decision to switch to a three-man defence, allowing Jordan Henderson or Raheem Sterling to take the right flank berth instead. In addition, Philippe Coutinho – once fit – also looks tailor-made for such a system with the Brazilian able to slot into the role in “the hole” behind the front two. Given that Luis Suarez and Daniel Sturridge have scored five goals between them in two league games since the Uruguayans’ return from suspension, Rodgers certainly has little reason to change the system right now.

Aspas Struggling to Settle

Liverpool’s summer signing has conceded his lack of game time over the last few matches is becoming an issue after a slow start to his career on Merseyside.

“I’m finding it hard to be a sub at Liverpool having started games in the past few years. When I left Celta Vigo I was aware that to start for Liverpool wasn’t going to be easy. And now the team is winning and we are among the leaders in the Premier League, it’s very hard to get a game. I hope to carry on working hard and little by little to get more game time with Liverpool. I want to change the current situation”.

The Scout Says: Having grabbed 12 goals in 33 La Liga appearances for Celta Vigo last term, Aspas arrived at Anfield with a decent scoring record. So far, though, he’s done little to justify a regular role – handed a start in each of the first three Gameweeks, he failed to find the net and has since been utilised as a sub, with just three minutes of game time over the last two league games. Suarez’s return, allied with a change in system has hardly helped his cause, with the Spaniard looking set for further time on the periphery unless injuries hit hard.

Oscar in the Goals Again

The Chelsea midfielder maintained his recent scoring form by grabbing the second in a 2-0 win over South Korea courtesy of a Paulinho assist. The pair were two of three Premier League starters along with David Luiz, whilst Ramires and Lucas also featured as second-half subs. After the game, Brazil boss Luiz Felipe Scolari revealed Oscar is a doubt for Tuesday’s clash with Zambia, going on to say:

“He had a knock on the calf, and felt a little dizzy. I haven’t decided yet whether he will start.”

The Scout Says: With a long-haul flight back from the friendly (which takes place in China), Oscar’s growing band of Fantasy owners will perhaps be keen for the Blues playmaker to be rested ahead of Saturday’s home game against Cardiff. The 8.8 priced midfielder has been particularly consistent at Stamford Bridge and has racked up double figures in two of his three appearances in front of the Chelsea faithful – over 44,000 FPL managers have already snapped him up on the back of last week’s strike at Norwich. Luiz’ owners will also be hoping Scolari takes it easy on the centre-half – he was the only one of the Premier League-based quintet to play the full 90 minutes last night. Jose Mourinho does, of course, have the option on calling on Gary Cahill as a potential partner for John Terry for the meeting with Cardiff. Cahill has made way in the last two league encounters.

Bardsley In the Black Cats Frame

Gus Poyet’s arrival on Wearside looks good news for Sunderland’s out-of-favour Phil Bardsley. The right-back was frozen out under Paolo Di Canio for disciplinary reasons but has recently recovered from a foot injury and has returned to full training for the Black Cats – reports in the local press suggest he could return to the first-team squad for the trip to Swansea as Poyet looks to bring more Premier League experience to his first XI.

The Scout Says: With his new side sitting six points from safety already, Poyet’s arrival could hand a few faces a lifeline after many were overlooked by Di Canio. The likes of Lee Cattermole has already made a return under the Black Cats’ brief interim boss Kevin Ball and with Di Canio’s raft of summer signings failing to gel or acclimatise quickly, Bardsley may well oust Ondrej Celustka from the right-back berth. Aside from upcoming trips to Hull and Stoke, the schedule remains rough on Sunderland, with the fixtures looking a little kinder from Gameweek 16 onwards – few will be looking to invest right now until the Uruguayan can prove his side are worth our consideration.

Altidore Ends Goal Drought

Poyet was afforded a boost up front after the US international returned to scoring ways in a match against Jamaica that finished in the early hours of yesterday morning. Altidore grabbed the second in a 2-0 win and is starting to find his feet again before a trip to Panama, with the game kicking off at 2.30am Wednesday morning.

The Scout Says: Having arrived on the back of a season which saw him score 23 league goals for AZ Alkmaar, it’s something of an understatement to suggest Altidore has failed to live up to expectations. While the likes of Craig Gardner and Emanuele Giaccherini have chipped in with a couple of goals apiece, the US international has yet to find the net in six league appearances but with Steven Fletcher still sidelined due to a dislocated shoulder, Altidore – who is now down to 6.5 in FPL from an initial price of 7.0 – will be handed plenty opportunity to prosper by his manager over the next few weeks. Given the above-mentioned schedule, though, his acquisition is a risk few will be willing to take.

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976 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Colonel Klink
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 3 months ago

    A full week left to wait to learn whether I was an idiot getting Januzaj after Utd match last week. Starting against Soton the crucial first step...

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    1. UnitednationsXI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      i am contemplating getting him now lol

      thinking of brady >> januzaj on a FT but i already have 4 decent mids in eriksen/michu/ramsey/barkley...just get a feeling one of em will get rested

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      1. Colonel Klink
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        I wish I had held on to Brady. I was too focused on him dropping and rushed to ship out. We'll see what happens with Januzaj, though. If he can actually get into the team, I will be very happy for getting him as a 4.6 mid. Hi s scoring potential is much higher than Ramsey in my opinion if he's in the side (but that's the if).

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    2. MJ6987
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      He should start against Soton. As a reward and given he has had a two week rest.

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      1. Colonel Klink
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        One of the appealing things about Januzaj for me was that he isn't at injury risk over internationals.

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    3. WDT
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      His security is pretty flaky. One bad half, let alone performance, and Moyes doesn't have a particularly big headache in dropping him...

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      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        This. Plus he has to give games to Kagawa, Young, Giggs, Welbeck, etc.

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        1. Colonel Klink
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 3 months ago

          Yeah, I def agree. If he puts in another good performance, it would be great. I feel like a blew a transfer, but at least the price was right. If he can play once more, hopefully get more than 3 points, I may jump off the bandwagon as people buy in. Had an injured Brady, thought I could make some cash...

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    4. Hobo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Everyone with Januzaj seems to have forgotten about Welbeck, he's far more likely to start on the left.

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      1. Colonel Klink
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        True. I think Moyes has definitely cooled on Young, though, and whatever the deal is with Kagawa is still hanging in the balance.

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  2. MJ6987
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 3 months ago

    Another topic for the quiet time. Out of curiosity (and might help some people)...

    A. What do you do for a living (or what are you studying if you're a student)?

    B. How much do you enjoy it?

    C. How well does it pay? (Don't have to quote numbers, just in general).

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    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Investments

      A lot

      Not bad

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      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        What sort of investments? Like buying shares?

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        1. Robe Wan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 3 months ago

          Yeah exactly. Shares, bonds, commodities etc

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          1. MJ6987
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 3 months ago

            Nice. I thought pay would have been a lot better than "not bad" though 🙂

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            1. Robe Wan
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              12 years, 3 months ago

              Haha, it's been tougher since the crisis, plus everyone hates us!

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              1. MJ6987
                • 15 Years
                12 years, 3 months ago

                😆

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    2. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Sports

      pretty much

      not very much

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      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        What do you mean by "Sports"? As in studying it?

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        1. Whazza
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 3 months ago

          yup

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          1. MJ6987
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 3 months ago

            Ah right, out of interest, what sort of career do you hope to get through that?

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            1. Whazza
              • 13 Years
              12 years, 3 months ago

              Thinking about sports management

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    3. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Accountant (auditor)

      Currently studying so not much. Jobs OK though.

      For my age, I'd say quite well. But when I qualify much better.

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      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah, I remember that big rise after qualifying 🙂

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        1. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 3 months ago

          3 weeks until finals. Won't be in here much haha. Plan to lock team in and just change captain based on the polls come Friday.

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    4. Hobo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Sales manager

      Meh...

      Not nearly enough for.

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      1. Hobo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        *for the amount of work involved

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    5. MJ6987
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Accountant turned Buyer

      Enjoy it most days, some are a nightmare!

      Pays pretty well.

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    6. r0nh
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Underwear model for Calvin Klein 😎

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      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        Seriously?

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        1. r0nh
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 3 months ago

          Na, I am a quantity surveyor, 100 quid a day, self employed

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          1. MJ6987
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 3 months ago

            100 quid a day is not great for a skilled / qualified job like that?

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            1. r0nh
              • 14 Years
              12 years, 3 months ago

              It is OK when I only graduated in 2008.

              Plus I live in Ireland, cheaper rent over here.

              Plus the construction industry is dead at the moment.

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              1. MJ6987
                • 15 Years
                12 years, 3 months ago

                Yeah, true. My cousin does that job, been working in Abu Dhabi. Good pay over there.

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                1. r0nh
                  • 14 Years
                  12 years, 3 months ago

                  Yeah I worked in Dubai after I graduated for 2 years.

                  Didnt like it though 🙁

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      2. Robe Wan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        Do you ever bear all?

        *hits drum twice*

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      3. reply fail
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        Thought I recognised you from somewhere:

        http://i81.photobucket.com/albums/j231/sashi04/borat.jpg

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        1. r0nh
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 3 months ago

          😆

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    7. UnitednationsXI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Actuary
      hate it but much better ever since my new job a few months ago
      pays well, atleast in South africa

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    8. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Head of Emerging Markets (covers Middle East, Eastern Europe and Nothern Africa) for a Testing Inspection and Certification (TIC) organisation

      In general, yes

      Not as much as it should

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    9. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Managing a large online poker room
      Not as much anymore
      Very well

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    10. Gentlemen Crier
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      -Studying computer science.

      -I enjoy I it a lot when there isn't an overwhelming amount of work, but usually there's way too much work.

      -Pays a shit ton. Could be earning 6 figures in a few years after graduation(in dollars).

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      1. Gentlemen Crier
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        What about you MJ6987 - ÖRÄNJĒ?

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  3. WDT
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 3 months ago

    Jordan Lukaku...who knew. Younger brother, a left back who plays for Anderlecht. Wonder where his career will take him.

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    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      On loan when he should be starting?

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  4. The3rdTurd
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 3 months ago

    Something to look at if you're bored...

    How players' ownership in FPL has changed so far this season:

    http://public.tableausoftware.com/views/FPL2013-14playerownership/Sheet1?:embed=y

    Figures updated once per gameweek.

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    1. reply fail
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Ozil eyes!

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    2. jas5sk - Youtube channel
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Ramsey ownership rose from the grave

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    3. Midtable
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Cheers

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  5. Baa
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 3 months ago

    RMWCT?
    http://i.imgur.com/z4V1zOH.png?1

    Thank you

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    1. reply fail
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      8.5

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      1. Baa
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks, what improvements would you make?

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        1. reply fail
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 3 months ago

          Morrison, Barkley and Amalfthing is just too light for the MF. Try to downgrade Ozil / Suarez to Walcott / Sturridge to upgrade one of them. You also have Fonte / Figuera, unless you want to play 4 at the back I would downgrade at least one of them. Get Clyne and a 4M defender.

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        2. GREENDREAMS11
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 3 months ago

          Ozil. >. Wally. In all fairness i was looking at a possible wildcard team and it was very similar to this. Benteke is good to go according to a villa forum i was on. Not sure if he will get put straight in tho.

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        3. GREENDREAMS11
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 3 months ago

          I managed to get the following.

          Vorm. Boruc

          Toure. Clyne. Terry. Evra. Chico

          Wally. Mata. Michu. Barkley. Morrison.

          Same front 3. Obviously its all down to where you are with finances but this is what I was thinking

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    2. MJ6987
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Can't argue with that!

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    3. WDT
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Cannot understand Ozil's pricing, 10.4 to me is ludicrously overpriced. Would look to get in Walcott either now or when he's "confirmed" back. Maybe Yaya instead of Ozil, whom you can swap for Walcott when he's fit if you wanted him. This money would afford you a mil to upgrade walker to baines?

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      1. WDT
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        having said this, really good, nitpicking.

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    4. r0nh
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      What does 'Scoutify' mean?

      Beside your 'reset' button?

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      1. The3rdTurd
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        It's a greasemonkey add in:

        http://userscripts.org/scripts/show/152008

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    5. Thomass
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      9 how do you get that scoutify thing?

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    6. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Fonte to Clyne.

      Gives 0.9 to invest elsewhere 🙂

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    7. Baa
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Thanks everyone, scoutify is a plugin..can't remember where I got it though 😛
      Could downgrade Ozil to Walcott, when is he back?

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  6. The Sarjeant
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 3 months ago

    I'm on holiday and at night there's not much to do apart from drink and analyse football statistics!

    So here's something to consider. There has been less goals and more clean sheets this season when comparing it to overall last season. Maybe the same matches that have been played so far resulted in the roughly the same goals or clean sheets. I was going to look into this, but it would be too difficult when there is three new teams in the league, and three teams that were in it last season, but not this season.

    I also thought that the lack of goals maybe because of managers were wanting their teams to play more defensively at the start of the season, as they wanted to 'not lose,' and start their campaign off successfully at the start of the season. (This has been mentioned a lot this season on this website.)

    So I thought I'd compare this seasons first 7 results to last season, and see if the data was roughly the same. Surprising it wasn't. This may be because of the ease of fixtures being played at a different time. The 'easier' fixtures for some teams last season may have been played when they had a cup game that week as well thus, resulting in rotation and possible fatigue.

    I don't know if the lack of goals and increased clean sheets is due to any of the above reasons, or is an abnormality. Whether this season will carry on like this, who knows? But maybe it's worthwhile investing more money in defence for the long term, and spending more time analysing what teams have the best run of fixtures to obtain a clean sheet.

    2012-2013: Overall
    Clean Sheets Total: 200
    Goals Total: 1063

    2012-2013: Gameweek 1-7
    Clean Sheets Total: 34
    Goals Total: 205

    2013-14: Gameweek 1-7
    Clean Sheets Total: 46
    Goals Total: 162

    Premier League Overall Averages Per Gameweek:

    Season: 12/13 13/14
    Clean Sheets - 5.26 6.57
    Goals - 27.97 23.14

    Premier League First 7 Matches Averages Per Gameweek:

    Season: 12/13 13/14
    Clean Sheets - 4.86 6.57
    Goals - 29.29 23.14

    *Please note that the numbers have been rounded.

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    1. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Interesting.

      Which defenders you thinking?

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      1. The Sarjeant
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        No idea, I haven't looked that far haha!

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    2. MJ6987
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      I will read it but here is a suggestion for you if you've got time to analyse.

      How about looking at last season stats for "top teams" (e.g. Last season's top 7) average goals scored against promoted teams at home, versus average goals scored per match (all matches). Thought this might be interesting as these are the fixtures that we tend to pick our captains from. I wonder whether or not the top teams actually tend to score more goals in these fixtures, given that the away team almost invariably comes to park the bus.

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      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        Also, how many goals on average do these top teams score in matches against other top teams. We usually avoid these matches for captaincy but I wonder whether these actually tend to be high scoring?

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    3. The3rdTurd
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      You may find this article worth a read:

      http://infostradalive.com/post/61742514458/analyse-this-is-there-meaning-behind-few-pl-goals

      The short conclusion: sometimes a goal drought happens at the start of a season, but it probably won't last.

      Given that the last two gameweeks have both seen the rate of cleansheets lower than historic averages, the time for expensive defenders may have passed.

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    4. Hobo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Tried making the same point about 4 weeks ago and got totally shouted down.

      I agree that we're going to have a lower than average year for goals

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    5. MJ6987
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Read it now. Good post...food for thought there.

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      1. The Sarjeant
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 3 months ago

        I've wrote something to you on the new article.

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    6. CHANCING PUNT
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 3 months ago

      Go for a beer.

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