We roll out the second instalment of our new weekly article for Members this evening, offering an in-depth statistical analysis of the main captaincy contenders for the Gameweek ahead. With Liverpool, City and Arsenal squaring up to some resilient defences, we delve into the data in order to assess our armband possibilities.
still working on my dead league (no transfers allowed after this coming lock) squad..here's where I'm at..headaches!
Boruc (Marshall)
Rosenior, Distin, Ivanovic (Clyne, Burner)
Hazard, Lallana, Walcott, Brady (Ravel)
Rooney (c), Lukaku, Suarez
thoughts on where to go? I need to get some City players in..ideally I would get Silva, but he's still out for nearly a month longer..I could free up some room in the defense to do Lukaku -> Aguero
I have 0.2 available atm..unlimited transfers obviously..cheers folksOpen ControlsGotta give the armband to Suarez for the remained of the season, no?
Open Controlsallowed to make subs off the bench and captaincy changes just no transfers
Open ControlsAh, gotcha.
Thought this was a set it & forget it kinda deal.
Well, why not grab Vorm as he rotates perfectly with Marshall & is a bit cheaper than Boruc. Not to mention that you'll avoid having to doubling up on SOU coverage.
Sure that extra bit of cash could help somewhere...Open Controlsfrees up 0.1, nice..plus Southampton's fixtures are a bit shitty for the next 2 months..
still seeing if I can free up 3.6 to Lukaku -> Aguero..might drop Ivanovic and Brady or Lallana..
this league is a headache lol..Open ControlsI don't have him but, how bout Ramsey for Walcott to save you a cpl mil.
Open Controlsconsidered that but I have a feeling that Ramsey will taper off and that Walcott will be ultra explosive for Arsenal with that midfield behind him (especially with Ozil)
Open ControlsI completely agree. As I said I don't own him...
So it just comes down to who'll score you more points:
Lukaku & Wallcott or Aguero & Ramsey?
I'm leaning towards the former myself.Open Controls
Get in Ageuro or SIlva (even if he's injured)
Open Controlsyou think it's worth it to have 9.3m sitting on the bench for 3 weeks? might as well get Yaya in if I'm hellbent on City, no?
Open ControlsIt's a tough one but no transfers for the rest of the season right? I'd still fancy Silva to be in the top mids.
Open ControlsBut yeah for security you'd probably be better off going Yaya. Personally. I'd go Aguero.
Open Controlsyep, would be a far simpler decision if he hadn't gotten injured..it's just a question of whether I think I can make up the points elsewhere for the next 3-5 matches to compensate for his absence/return to match fitness..at the moment I'm considering Walcott -> Ramsey just to bring Aguero, but even then I still have to come up with an extra 1.9 somewhere..
Open ControlsIt seems getting Aguero in will decimate your team elsewhere unless you ditch Rooney. Quite a conundrum.
Open Controls
Atlético Madrid are making concerted attempts to sign Kevin de Bruyne.
The player hasn't made a decision yet, and nor have Chelsea, but there's a growing sense from both parties that the current situation is no longer tenable.Open Controls@Christina - I'm tempted to whack a tenner on this to get just over £900!
Hull v Palace - both teams to score - no
West Brom v Villa - both teams to score - yes
Everton v Liverpool - both teams to score - yes
Chelsea, Man City, United & Sunderland all to win.Open ControlsCool.
i was actually thinking both Cpal/hull to score.Open ControlsSunderland is a bad pick, but they've got good odds to win!
Open ControlsYeah, Sun/Wham/South all amazing odds
I always like throwing in a draw somewhere in the mix. It does wonders to an accumulator. I called 4 draws a couple of weeks ago. 40/1
I turned $1 into $40.
*shut up TM and BerbillyOpen ControlsI hardly ever back a draw. So hard to pick and so hard to want a draw when watching a match.
Open ControlsIt's easy! I got 4 correct.
lolOpen ControlsTeach me!
Open ControlsDraws:
WBA/Villa - (the last 3 PL fixt between them have been draws)
Hull/Cpal - 7 of last 10 have been draws
Livp/Eve - the last 2 have been drawsOpen Controls
Wasn't gonna say anything, but since you asked so nicely...
lolOpen Controls
Sunderland?? The double chance is just under evens.. go for that instead of the win
Open ControlsThe wins @4.2 though. Worth a punt. Ill do one with and one without.
Open ControlsEverton DNB @ evens and Norwich Double chance @ 23/20 look good too
Open Controls
Let's assume you're 80% sure each of these picks are winners.
So this parlay will payoff around 13% of the time; if you pick winners at an 80% clip that is...
.8 * .8 * .8 * .8 * .8 * .8 * .8 * .8 * .8 = 13%Open ControlsI like where your going with this. But could you explain it further please?
Open ControlsHmm, let me try...
Even if you pick winners at an 80% rate, combining them in a parlay reduces your chances drastically.
So combining nine of your 80% shots to all come in, reduces your chances of winning to 13%.
What I'm driving at is parlays are a sucker bet...
Even the best handicappers in the world pick only winners 55-60% of the time.
So let's say for arguments sake you're the world's best handicapper & do pick winners 6 out of 10 times...
This means that the parlay you're proposing will pay off only 1% of the time & the bookie is only laying you 90:1 on your money.Open ControlsMakes sense. Bookies tend to factor a 10% take into every bet.
Open Controlsdoubles and triples are the way to go IMO..... you have to bet bigger though
It's nice to have a punt bet thoughOpen ControlsOh, of course...
Telling your mates you nailed a 9 team parlay & have got $900 to spend on them at the pub is sublime!Open Controls
all set for GW 12 ?
should i play clyne or b.turner ?
ozil at home good choice for captain ?
boruc
dawson, b.turner, rosenior
yaya, hazard, ramsery, ozil (c)
rooney, aguero, suarez (vc)
sub: lewis, morrison, clyne, chambersOpen ControlsBurner. You have two ARS mids which will probably score you points.
Open Controls
Ah.. Mirallas got the early kickoff i see 🙂 .. And Gerry played 180 mins over the break(to mirallas's 120). Gonna be a start i think especially as it is a derby.. cue a yellow and a 59 minute subbing 🙁
Open ControlsSo, you beat Spain 1-0..only to find out Spain was "smart" enough to use a 7th sub, thereby breaking the FIFA rules...resulting in the result being wiped from the history books....with no effect on rankings.
Noice.
Africa.
😎Open ControlsThat's bizarre. Was that the keeper sub? I read somewhere that SA had agreed that sub was ok.
Open ControlsHmm, having read a further report, it seems SA did not agree at all. Even so, a friendly. Couldn't FIFA be a bit more lenient?
Open Controlshttp://mg.co.za/article/2013-11-20-bafana-could-lose-fifa-ranking-points-after-spain-win
Even more confusing is how the hell are we (SA) 61st in the world. We should be 661 in the world.
:lolOpen Controls
Is there an Arsenal presser today? Please say yes.
Also you prefer Olsson from West Brom or Williams from Swansea?Open ControlsYes.. (Though i dunno to be honest)
Olsson.. No Europa and good fixtures after MCIOpen Controlstbh..
Santon Olsson Williams Evans Pieters Rat all look meh to me.. i'd rather go cheap with Olsson(Nor)/Burner/Chester which is what i'll be doin next week.. December equates fixture congestion and goals from what i remember(though i have not checked statistics tbh) and would rather go cheapOpen ControlsHull is a good option. Already have burner. But Williams and olsson. Both decent teams with decent fixtures.
Open Controls
Anyone here played Assassin's Creed 4? Worth buyin it full price or wait for a price drop? (HATED AC3 but liked AC 2)
Open ControlsWondering the same. And yes I dont like Connor as an Assassin in AC3 but love the gameplay. I'll wait for the price drop.
Open ControlsI hated the stealth and fighting mechanics.. the whole game was flawed tbh.. i could not get past the first 4 hours without wantin to break my controller
Open ControlsI dislike stealth but didnt hate it. I like the fighting tbh. Though there still have those glitches where the game suddenly got stuck or you can walk through a wall. Those are not resolved yet.
Open Controlsi love stealth games.. Splinter cell/metro/dishonored/thief were among my favorite games of all time. The stealth in AC3 was so archaic..aaargh.. hated it.. think i'll skip AC 4 for now and wait for it to come free on PSN in a year 🙂
Open Controls
Captain pick
1.rooney
2.aguero
3.OscarOpen ControlsTorn between Remy and Benteke for Lukaku. Thoughts?
Open ControlsRemy's the man on form.
Open ControlsDepends on Agbon and Weimann's fitness. If they are fit, go Tekkers.
Open ControlsRemy isn't quite "heavy" enough for me. Wait for Benteks to hit some form. Keep Lukaku.
Open ControlsHmm.. keeping is worth considering I see. Thanks.
Open Controls
Suarez and Aguero owners - who are you captaining this week? I was all set on Aguero but now I'm starting to have my doubts...
Open ControlsSpurs defence - conceded 1 in the last 4.
Open ControlsNow look who they were against.
Open ControlsFair enough but, regardless, they've still been incredibly tight this season (bar west ham).
Open Controls
Man City are 100% and averaging 4 goals per game at home.
Open Controls100% what?
Open Controls
Spurs conceded 3 at home vs WHAM.
All depends if Friedel plays.Open Controls
If you put it on Suaz, you'll still have doubts (long flight home/what state will he be in/Ag at home. etc, etc).
Stick with your beer gut.Open ControlsMy gut is telling me they're both poor picks this week. I suppose Aguero is a tad safer and potentially more upside is there - I'll stick with him then. Cheers.
Open Controls
*RVP owner watching this from the sidelines*
Open ControlsNot bad at the top is it? XD
Open ControlsShush. I don't want that curse son!
Open Controls
Ha, I definitely envy you this week. He'd 100% be my armband pick this week if owned him.
Open Controls
Ok ok! I'll keep it on Aguero, then!
Cheers, folks. 🙂Open Controls
RMT
Mignolet. Boruc
Distin. Coloccini. Clyne. Wilson. Reither
Hazard. Yaya. Lallana. Morrison. Ramsey
Suarez. Lukaku. Aguero
0.4 m in the bank
Any suggestions for transfers?
Captain? Suarez?Open Controls1 FT I presume?
Morrison is Ravel or James?Open ControlsYup. 1 FT. That would be Ravel
Open Controls
Save your transfer and do 2 next week
Open ControlsThanks!
Open ControlsNot on that.
You have to play Clyne vs Arsenal.
So you could swap Wilson out for someone like Williams.
Depends if you have grander plans for next week with 2FTOpen ControlsNot sure of that I meant.
Open ControlsAbsinthe, thanks for replying. Don't have grander plans as of now. But I am closely monitoring Lukaku's performance. If I plan to get Benteke in then I will need to make 2 changes in order to have the funds. Lukaku to Remy is an easy transfer. But as of now my concern is my defense. Reither is banned. Wilson hardly plays 90 mins.
Open Controls
I'm the only one having a "bad" feeling about Ars/South.
My predicted upset for the weekend.
DrawOpen ControlsJip
Open Controls
1-1
2-1
1-2
0-2Open Controls1-0
1-1
1-1
1-3Open Controls1-1
2-1
2-2
0-2Open Controls2-0
2-1
1-1
0-1
These make me feel sad. I hope they aren't this boring in real life hahaOpen Controls
Evening all.
Things you shouldn't share, but just can't help yourself.
I just finished a very successful first date with girl. As the deed came towards a completion all I could bloody think about was Stephane Sessegnon & whether he was going to deliver on Monday night. Lo & behold he was right there front & centre at the moment of maximum pleasure.
He had better get a f*****g hat-trick for me now.Open ControlsBreathe
Open ControlsSo you just had a threesome with a girl and Sessegnon?
Eeeuuughhh!Open ControlsFootballers eh. They just can't help themselves.
Open Controls
😆
Open ControlsAt least it wasn't Loic Remy, that would have been uncomfortable - allegedly.
Open ControlsYou should not have Sess on your first date.
Bad form.Open ControlsSex on a first date?
Eager.Open ControlsHer or me?
I'm not getting any younger, opportunities inside the box need to be taken. That's what my member's data told me.Open Controls
Sex on the first date and hallucinations..i'm betting your gravatar was involved
Open ControlsI've long since given up that evil stuff. But when it was banned in the UK and you could go to Prague to have some, one did indulge a little too much.
Open Controls
Another hulk worthy post if ever I saw one
Open Controls
I have a different perspective on the idea of picking a captain from the early kickoff game.
For me this game starts around midnight NZ time and would probably be worth staying up for if my captain is playing. Not a bad reason to pick Suarez then and sleep through all the other games?Open ControlsWould you rather transfer in Sess first or Feo?
Open ControlsSess gives you orgasms apparently, so him.
Open Controlswally
Open Controls*willy
Open Controls
Sess this week, Feo next.
Open ControlsI've been having the same dilemma, and chosen Sess - as you probably know by now,
Guaranteed starter, weaker opposition, and basically playing as a forward.Open ControlsSess.
Open Controls
RMT /10
http://oi43.tinypic.com/24y1b9j.jpg
Any improvements to be made or sit tight?Open ControlsI'd want to get rid of Boruc.
Open ControlsHes staying for the long term. Soton are great defensivly.
Open Controls
Wow you have the team I have been pondering whether to put together over the next two weeks.
What's your rank currently?Open Controls500k 🙁
Open ControlsBut that can change in a week. its only 40 points between me and inside the stop 90k
Open ControlsWas that front 3 a recent creation or have you had it for some time?
I've got Boruc & intend to ride it out. Southampton have shown they can cope with these tough games, so I'm not going to spend a transfer on a GK right now.
You didn't say if there was any cash in the bank.Open ControlsIve had RVP since the begging and i Got suarez when he was only 10.9 the first week he was available. Got aguero at around 11.2 which was still great value.
Im keeping boruc, even if he doesnt get a cleanie hell get save points.
Boruc>Mignolet and is far cheaper.Open ControlsGetting them early has allowed me to build up a solid midfield and defence as i did not have to spend too much
Open Controls
I've been on a heavy front 3 myself for a while now. Greens all the way.
Open ControlsYeah, i got them early as i could. Saving that value before aguero and Suarez shot up has helped me shape a decent midfield and defence too :). Especially a team with RVP.
Open Controls
ive only got 0.1 in the bank. Stretch my budget to its absolute limit.
Open ControlsSit tight I would say.
Open Controls
I'm going to throw this to the crowd. Vote away.
Mignolet
GJ Terry Dawson Clyne Burner
Michu Ravel Ramsey Brady Barkley
RVP Suarez Aguero
1FT 0.2M
a) Michu + Ramsey -> Theo + Sess
b) Michu + Barkley -> Theo + Amalfitano
c) Michu + Dawson -> Theo + Olsson(Wbrom)/Williams
d) Michu + Dawson -> Sess + Olsson
basically i need a plan for Theo and Sess but its tough to have one.Open ControlsDawson out
Open ControlsRead your conversation with ENR previous page. Tott fixtures don't look great.
Open Controlsagree
Open Controls
Wow you are really tempting fate with 3 budget midfielders. You should first concentrate on getting rid of Brady and barkley
Open ControlsB or C
Open ControlsImpossible to consider Ridgewell instead of Olsson?
Open ControlsThanks all.
Open ControlsB.
Open Controls
No doubt Reid will be sold at the end of the season 🙄
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/24922010Open ControlsOh that's right, he already has been. He's now on loan!
Open ControlsDidn't think you were a Yeovil fan 😉
Open ControlsI still see him as an Argyle player apparently 🙂
Along with Gosling and Puncheon 🙂Open ControlsYou two and Tina. Upstairs.
Open ControlsMichu to Sess.
Open Controls
Predos:
Christina/Lateriser
Christina/GazOpen ControlsPedos*
Open ControlsSussh Pedro.
Open Controls
3-1 Youth no match for wily old fox
2-2 Clash of the mavericks. Can only end in a draw.Open Controls😉
Open ControlsCmon i'm not youth particularly now if you are talking about FFS experience Jaf.
Open Controls
I did Vertonghen and Whittaker for Mertasacker and Sessengon for a -4 point hit. Wise?
Open ControlsThis season it actually pays to take hits.
Open ControlsCan you please tell Mark.
Open Controls
Morning dz
Terry or Merte in this week?
Atm thinking Terry, so I can have one ars spot left for Walcott - just in case I want to test my madnesslevel and go for Ozil, Walcott, Ramsey for couple of weeks,Open Controls+1
Open Controls
Wilson to:
A merte
B terry
C mcauley
Try not to think about money and otherr factors.
ThxOpen ControlsThis Brady injury is doing my head in!
if he's injured I bring in Sess
if he's fit I bring in Terry for walker
I may also do lukaku to remy/benteke/giroud
Banging head for nearly 2 weeks!!Open ControlsHelp me fix my midfield:
Mirallas - Brady - Januzaj - RavMo - HBA
HBA -> Sess a wise move? Then Walcott in next week.
I'm in need of a differentials as well. Thanks.Open ControlsYeah, sounds good.
Open Controls
Hello. 🙂
Barkley to Brady? Or be happy with his inevitable single point this week and keep the transfer?Open ControlsIf you were on wc who would you have alongside aguero and Suarez? Bearing in mind what could be done with the extra cash. Basically I'm trying to decide between Rooney, Remy and benteke.....
Open Controls

