634x258 The Knee Jerk
26 December 2013 6689 comments
Mark Mark
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Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. SuperOsçarBaby
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    damn miss the walcott rise..

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  2. Curly619
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Caught on bottom of page
    Hey guys i think im struggling this week
    Please help
    Have 2.8 in the bank with 1 FT
    Will Vlaar and Ravel play this week ? Any suggestions on possible trades etc ?
    Worth throwing Hooper in against a leaky Man U side ?
    Willing to take a hit if need be

    Krul
    Jagielka,Distin,Chester,Vlaar
    Hazard,Silva,Walcott,Ravel
    Lukaku,Suarez

    Harper,Coutinho,Johnson,Hooper

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    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Id ship Coutinho for YaYa
      Krul
      Jagielka,Distin,Chester
      Hazard,Silva,Walcott,YaYa
      Lukaku,Suarez,Hooper

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  3. Shifty
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    bottomed

    Ramsey Howard Lukaku on the chopping block, with 2 FTs.

    Thinking of holding Howard (no playing keeper) since it's 1 game, benching Ramsey and doing Lukaku > Dzeko for a 1 week punt (bank other FT).

    Then will have another 2 FT to fix Dzeko + Ramsey in GW20. Thoughts?

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    1. Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      just do howard to chesney and ramsey to lallana/cabaye imo.

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      1. Nabs Kebabs
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        if u really want to take a dzeko punt just do a -4, no idea why u wanna keep deadweight

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        1. Shifty
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          how is Howard deadweight? Out for 1 game. Ramsey is crocked but ideally like to keep 2 FT moving into GW20. Could still line up like this in GW19 -

          xx
          Coleman Kosc Chester BTurner
          Silva Walcott Hazard
          Dzeko Rooney Suarez

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    2. BigManBakar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Hey Shifty! Hope you had a good week(but seems as if you didnt!). Dont panic firstly. Howard and Ramsey to Hart and Cabaye/Sterling are good choices

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      1. Shifty
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Decent week, 70 with walcott(c).

        Yea will monitor. But wanna take a punt on Dzeko, have 2 FTs so just wanna see what I can do with my other FT.

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        1. BigManBakar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          No point in going with Dzeko if you will be transferring him out next gw.Get nailed on players at this time of the year

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          1. Shifty
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            The temptation is high and I fear another City rout. Will dwell on it. How did your GW go?

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            1. BigManBakar
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              Went with Lukaku(C),ended up with 48. Not too disappointed though as I beat my main h2h rival who ended up with 38. The poor guy brought in Ade for Remy! Haha

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              1. Shifty
                • 12 Years
                12 years, 1 month ago

                Haha wow got the rub of the green there. Was so tempted to switch from Walcott to Lukaku (c), I think Mark's preamble triggered alot of switches to Lukaku tbh.

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                1. BigManBakar
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 12 Years
                  12 years, 1 month ago

                  I guess you're right. I kind of knee jerked after watching the City-Liv game and bought Sterling in for Ramsey instead of Cabaye or Lallana. I know its madness but hopefully it will pay off!

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                  1. Shifty
                    • 12 Years
                    12 years, 1 month ago

                    Ouch. Could be worse, almost knee jerked Lukaku out for Dzeko...and still considering it! Must be mad. City v Palace could really threaten to be a big rout though...uneasy with just Silva as cover. You reckon Negredo or Dzeko will start. I think Dzeko will start and get 90 tbh.

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  4. Bolt-on
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Guys I need some help.

    A) Ramsay out for cabaye for free;
    B) Ramsay out for sterling and lukaku out for Negredo for palace game (-4)

    Really worried that city will put quite a few past them

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    1. Shifty
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      B if you fear a rout, but are you sure Negredo will start or get many minutes?

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  5. Dots321
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone know if Koscielny will be back?

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    1. Shifty
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Yea see Demi's sticky on team news, Kosc could be back against Newcastle.

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  6. Nabs Kebabs
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    McGregor(FUL)

    Coleman(SOU) Sagna(new) Turner(SUN)

    Hazard(LIV) Walcott(new) Cabaye(ARS) Mirallas(SOU)

    Rooney(nor) Suarez(che) Lukaku(SOU)

    Migs, Ravel, Williams,Ward

    0.3 ITB, thinking of saving FT, thoughts?

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    1. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      McGregor is doubtful

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      1. Nabs Kebabs
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        migs is enough cover, no?

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        1. BeachBadger
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Ah I didn't see you had MIgs sorry

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          1. Nabs Kebabs
            • 14 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            all good 😉 think i should save then?

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            1. BeachBadger
              • 12 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              Yeah save it unless you want to ditch Mirallas but he probably has a better fixture than anyone you'd bring in this week

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              1. Nabs Kebabs
                • 14 Years
                12 years, 1 month ago

                yes i considered ditching him but the key with mirallas is patience imo,he has some nice home fixtures and im sure he'll explode in one of them. e.g HUL, FUL and LIV

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  7. Darsh
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Who's the highest defender on your watch list, that isn't from Arsenal or Everton. (price not being a factor)

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    1. Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Debuchy

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    2. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Kompany

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    3. SuperOsçarBaby
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Vincent

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    4. The Shoonchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Bardsley

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  8. Venom Snake
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    A. Howard to Szczesny
    B. Howard to Mannone
    C. Lewis to Gazzinga
    D. Save, play without a keeper

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    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Same predicament
      Going with D

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      1. Venom Snake
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Think saving may actually be best option. Also considering Ravel out for Sterling though

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    2. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I went with Szcz last week cos I couldnt afford Howard. Thank god! haha

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    3. Shifty
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I'm thinking of playing without a keeper. Help with my conundrum up top?

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  9. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I knew Lukaku would double Suarez point total today

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    1. Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      😀

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    2. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      🙂

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  10. Strificus
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I got Ramsey at 5.6 and already swapped him out.

    Was this bad strategy? Should I have held on to him on my bench?

    I think Cabaye was an attractive option; but if Ramsey didn't get hurt.. I might have never jumped at this (for better or worse).

    Any thoughts?

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    1. Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      good move

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    2. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Good move I think.

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    3. Strificus
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers!

      Having Aguero and Ramsey from the start (well, from GW4 when I started); then having them injured... it's been a severe kick.

      With that said, the game was getting a bit predictable and all the teams looked the same. Now my team is pretty unique in my leagues. That's one positive out of this.

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  11. The Enlightener
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Is Fer going to be one of those guys that plays well for a short stint and then recedes back into the relative darkness. Kind of like Dembele when he came on for Fulham and had two goals, only to practically never score again.

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  12. Tozier
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Will Man Utd beat Norwich?

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    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      No. They will draw!

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    2. Koflok
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      They probably will at this form

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    3. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

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  13. Viper
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Should i give Howard the boot? (i have no 2nd keeper!). It would probably for be for Szczesny!

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    1. Venom Snake
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Same problem. I could play with no keeper this week and save a FT.

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    2. Strificus
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Howard has good fixtures coming up; so only do it if you don't plan on bringing him back in a week.

      If you have a different goalie planned out; it could be worth the gamble.

      -4 for the trade; but you are almost guaranteed 2 points if the replacement is on for the usual 90 minutes. Aside from that, you need to gain 2 points from their placement that day. It's pretty hit or miss.

      The big downside being that goalies tend to be a poor source for points. You may very well end up taking a 2 point hit that isn't recovered. Now ask yourself if you think your replacement is a better option after this GW than Howard and his fixtures. Go with your gut.

      I pulled Howard out in the same situation; but I had 3 Everton players in my defense. I had to get rid of one of them; as I was bleeding points. This became an excuse to do it. I also needed to free some money; as my defense has been horribly thin. Otherwise, I would have probably went without a goalie and stuck with Howard.

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  14. Blue Lion
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Lukaku to Rodriguez,
    Ramsey to Cabaye.
    Done.

    Next transfer plan is Oviedo to Lallana. Or should i take a punt in Navas.

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    1. Zep
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Granted, Lukaku is an extremely frustrating player to own, but regardless of his form, I feel that it's just asking for trouble taking him out before what is, on paper, a favourable home fixture...

      Wasn't for a hit, was it?

      Like the Cabaye move, though...

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    2. Tezmoore
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Good moves! And good option in future providing no injuries elsewhere

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  15. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Bench 1 from

    Terry (LIV), Chester (FUL), Burner (SUN), Baker (SWAN)

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    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      All play at home

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    2. Zweeps
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Baker

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    3. Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Baker easy

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    4. Venom Snake
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Baker

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    5. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Baker

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    6. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers lads

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    7. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Baker

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    8. The Shoonchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Baker

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  16. Bolt-on
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I'm thinking dzeko in place of lukaku

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    1. Venom Snake
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      He played about 14 minutes.

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      1. Bolt-on
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Man city forum thinking hell start

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  17. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsey hasnt scored a goal since I got him at Gw14
    Lukaku hasnt scored a goal since I got him at Gw14
    Everton have not got a CS since I got Distin at Gw16

    Sorry their owners 😀

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    1. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Who are you getting this week?

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      1. OPTA FPL
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Walcott : X

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        1. BeachBadger
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Time to buy a Newcastle defender so 😀

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      2. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        I need to know this too. I got all the players mentioned before.

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    2. Zep
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I forgive you... ...but my Tommygun don't...

      *starts making gun-firing sounds*

      ee-ee-ee-ee-ee-ee-ee-ee-ee-ee

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    3. Koflok
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      His: Migno Zabaleta Januzaj Barkley Gouffran
      vs
      Mine: Manno Coleman Silva Wally Lukakaw

      Will I be able to catch up to my ML leader? 50 points difference

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      1. Koflok
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        damn reply fail.

        But seriously don't get Cabaye and Rooney next week Sakuragi 😉

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      2. OPTA FPL
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        no idea

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  18. liamhennessy
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Who would you play - Barkley or Henderson?

    (Silva, Hazard, Walcott are the other mids, Rooney, Suarez and Negredo the forwards)

    Thanks for any replies

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    1. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Looking at all Chelseas games against the big teams, it'll prob be another 0-0 snoozefest. Bench Henderson I reckon

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  19. Willis.
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    A) Chester (FUL) and Lukaku (SOT)

    or

    B) Walcott (new) and Rodriguez (eve) (-4)?

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    1. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      A

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    2. BigManBakar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      A

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  20. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Took an early wine fuelled 4 point hit last night....

    Ramsey & Mirallas -> Walcott & Barkley

    Good trades?

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    1. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I like it actually. Maybe not for a -4 though

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  21. weetonyharris
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    ramsey and lukaku out

    yaya and rodriguiz in

    u like?

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  22. asyrafdanial
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I can see Ozil will play 90min and get double assist. 11pts come in.

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    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      He is my differential now, lovely

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      1. asyrafdanial
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        yeah.me too.last time Ozil rested at 80min, he get 2 assist after that.look his stat.deja vu

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        1. OPTA FPL
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          I afford SIlva Haza Walcot along with Ozil so he will stay at my midfield 🙂

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          1. asyrafdanial
            • 14 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            wow ! amazing mid imo. im jealous.but i think u have budget def ?

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            1. OPTA FPL
              • 14 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              yes with only Terry is a big hitter, along Burner Chester Ward. Will tinker my team after Jan Wc later

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              1. asyrafdanial
                • 14 Years
                12 years, 1 month ago

                looks like someone planning.haha.goodluck HanaM

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    2. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I'm happy with my transfer out for Walcott. Extra cash got me Silva too

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      1. asyrafdanial
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Ozil - Walcott - Yaya in my mid..im happy too.

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        1. OPTA FPL
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Should do Yaya --> Silva soon

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          1. asyrafdanial
            • 14 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            no no. i will keep yaya

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        2. BeachBadger
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Nice

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  23. SuperOsçarBaby
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Play Sissoko(ARS) or Ravel(WBA) this GW?

    Full team:
    Marshall
    Turner Coleman Tomkins
    Oscar Lampard Walcott xxxx
    SNR

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    1. asyrafdanial
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      the hommie.

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      1. SuperOsçarBaby
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        both hommie

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        1. asyrafdanial
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          owh.sorry.Sissoko for me.

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    2. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Ravel if he plays

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  24. BigManBakar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Good to go? Or does this require a hit? No FT and 2.8 in bank

    Marshall (SUN)
    Chester(FUL) Williamson(ARS) Dawson(STO)
    Sterling(CHE) Hazard(LIV) Barkley(SOU) Silva(CRY)
    Suarez (CHE) Rooney (NOR) Lukaku (SOU)

    Subs: Davis, Ravel, Ward, Collins.

    Thanks in advance folks!

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    1. SuperOsçarBaby
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      you need walcott

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      1. BigManBakar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Thinking of Hazard to Walcott next week for free!

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  25. Zep
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I deeply regret selling Rooney for Lukaku when he got suspended...

    5, 11, 11 since he's been back..

    Another poor decision from me... 🙁

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    1. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I ditched him for Benteke a while back :'(

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      1. Twelve years a slave
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        I feel the same about Terry to Evra two weeks ago

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        1. BeachBadger
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          I benched Mert for the last two tough games City away and playing against Suarez. Then brought him back yesterday against a west ham team that couldn't buy a goal. Just no calling these defenders haha

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  26. BeachBadger
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Captain Silva or Negredo?

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  27. thobe230
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Hi Guys/Mods

    Does anyone know why when Im using my mobile, I can access this site when I am using wireless, but when I am on my data pack I cannot? It says "the server failed to communicate"

    Any IT gurus know how I can fix this?

    Cheers

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  28. NABIL - FPL otai
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I don't anyone where did better than this Dead team in my ML. GW Rank #43.

    http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/980375/event-history/18/

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    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      *think

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    2. Strificus
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      42 teams did better

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      1. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        anyone *here, supposedly

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    3. Koflok
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      and only 10 players.

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    4. Shifty
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      ouch for ya

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  29. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I've not watched Soton much this year, how is JRod playing? LW or in the hole, up front?

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  30. KolLaca
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    My current team for gameweek 19, am having 2FT's plus 0.6M in the bank.
    Seriously unsure whether I should keep Fer, Ramsey, Oviedo and Lukaku in the team. Any help guys?

    Szczesny (Boruc)
    Santon Ivanovic Coleman (Vlaar,Garrido)
    Fer Silva(VC) Ramsey Oviedo (Shelvey)
    Suarez Rooney(C) Lukaku

    An thoughts or recommendations on transfers that i should look at?

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