Spot the Differential
13 August 2011 1329 comments
Big Dunc Big Dunc
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Last season’s bargain bin took a bit of a battering in our regular ‘Spot The Differential’ articles, so we’ve politely told Andy Carroll and Seamus Coleman to do one, and invested in a nice shiny new bucket ready to kick off the new season.

For those of you that are new to the site, our regular Friday night/Saturday morning ramble is all about identifying those players who are on the verge of breaking out for the first time, or those who may have been overlooked in the past, and, due to a shift in tactics or injuries, look set to play a key role going forwards. The only criteria for selection are low ownership in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game, and a price that makes them stand out as a potential bargain.

Getting ahead of the crowd and plumping for unproven players is a risky strategy so if you’re looking for solid, consistent selections then the Scout Picks are the place to start. Nobody won this game without taking a few risks along the way, however, and if you don’t mind taking an early season punt, then read on as we take our first rummage of the season and see who we pull out….

Mauro Formica

Although he signed during the last January window, Formica played no part in Blackburn’s relegation battle and it wasn’t until pre-season that we got a glimpse of a player who could prove to be a very special talent. A fast, agile attacking midfielder with an excellent range of passing in the final third, Steve Kean has even drawn a comparison with Argentina legend, Gabriel Batistuta. While that may be a little far-fetched, Formica still had an impressive goal scoring record at Newell’s Old Boys of around one every four games, and with the potential of assists to boot, his Fantasy potential is obvious.

Whether he can hold down a first-team spot is, of course, the obvious dilemma. He has started the last two games in pre-season, picking up a goal and an assist, but pre-season fixtures are rarely a guarantee of a starting role once the campaign proper kicks off. He has definitely shown enough in those games to warrant inclusion though, and in their last game against Kilmarnock, Formica played the full 90 minutes- bearing that in mind, we’re fairly confident of a place in Steve Kean’s first XI against Wolves.

At 5.5m, Formica is one of the cheapest midfielders in the game and with ownership of just 0.3%, he could be a great differential going into the weekend’s fixtures if you’re looking to shave a few pounds off your budget.

Anderson

Sir Alex Ferguson has made no secret of his desire to sign a creative midfielder this summer, but despite links to several big names, it looks increasingly unlikely that any further new faces will be arriving. From a Fantasy perspective this creates an interesting situation; with Anderson and Tom Cleverley staking a strong claim in pre-season -particularly in last weekend’s Charity Shield- there is the potential for two of Man United’s midfield line-up to be available at a bargain price of 6.0 or under.

Of the two, Anderson looks the more likely to be given a starting role straight away and considering his form at the end of last season, he could prove to be a great pick. Two goals against Schalke in the Champions League semi-final were enough to earn him a place in the Differentials for the last Gameweek of the season (and the armband in my own personal Fantasy team) and the handful of managers that took the punt were duly rewarded with a goal, an assist and maximum Bonus Points.

With an ownership of just 1.5% in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game, Anderson is a clear differential to the most popular mid-priced midfielders but if he can start this season like he finished the last, then you can expect his ownership, and value, to shoot up over the coming weeks and could be worth an early investment.

Edin Dzeko

With Roberto Mancini ruling Carlos Tevez out of the home game with Swansea and admitting Sergio Aguero will be benched at best, Edin Dzeko and Mario Balotelli are expected to lead the attack for Man City in Monday’s game. While the fiery Italian is capable of racking up a big score if he’s in the mood, Dzeko comes into the game with the pre-season form and at 0.5m cheaper in the FPL game looks the better option.

After scoring against Inter Milan and Man United in his last two games, Dzeko will be relishing the prospect of getting his campaign off to a flier against the Premier League newcomers, and apart from David Silva, probably represents the best chance of attacking points from the City lineup. Starting the week with less than 2% ownership, the doubts surrounding Aguero and Tevez have seen him creep up to 5.3% but he still represents a strong differential.

Big Dunc If you're going to get sent off, make sure its for something worthwhile... Follow them on Twitter

  1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    this is a joke i need to change my team and cant log in!!! any one from england having this same issues????

    has this ever happened before? if so was the deadline extended?

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    1. DarPaC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      hmmm, try looking at any of the pages on here for the last 12 hours....you might get your answer

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      1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        hmmmm i can see that! i was just looking for a normal response instead of a stupid comment from you!

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        1. kbiffo
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          Ok normal response is -
          This is a massively popular game that has potentially 2m or more people trying to work on their team.
          I doubt any site can handle that traffic.
          Maybe not a great idea to leave it to the last minute! 😉

          Also they can't extend the deadline as it has to do with the first game.
          I doubt they will let you pick your team for week one after the first game has been played.

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  2. jguti14
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    is rvp a good captain or is he risky cuz of his fitness?

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    1. Yankee
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Of course he's a risk, doesn't mean it's not one worth taking!

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    2. theevilking
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Stop posting the same thing.

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  3. matiakez
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

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  4. Gollum72
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Suarez or Carrol?

    Thinking Carrol as nailed on starter, but would prefer Suarez to free up 0.5m for next week.

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    1. DarPaC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      I've got the same dilema, Suarez & Torres or Carroll & Drogba

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      1. Gollum72
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Have gone with Rooney with Zamora as third striker.

        Would prefer Suarez but he may not start, I reckon sub today but coming on in 2nd half.

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        1. Gollum72
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          I would take B in your situation, think Drogba needed in a physical game like Stoke

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  5. Manumission
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    I cant believe FPL can be so un organised!!!! FML

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  6. Sam (Team Sam)
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    What an absolute joke FPL is. I'm in Bali, so can't get on the internet often, so decided to leave it latish (got time difference wrong, so had only 15mins, instead of an hour and 15), so as to get the most up-to-date team news. Can't believe they'd let this happen

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  7. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    I'm locked out again ... this is not in any way a pleasurable experience ...

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    1. Anorak
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Smartphone Mickey?

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        No - turbocharged Mac ... 🙁

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        1. Anorak
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          Oops - my phone is in, my mac is not.
          No changes to make though - so I'm calm.

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    2. Bubbles
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Was your team all sorted, Michael?

      I'm having second thoughts on my risky 'three week only team', but can't log in to bloody tinker. 😡

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Well ... I think so. My Father-in-Law is not allowed a computer, and he couldn't get in on mine or the library's yesterday, so I sorted his ... and now I'm locked out of my own ... 😥

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        1. Bubbles
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          Ouch. Complete shambles, is this.

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  8. Nawton
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    The only decision i have left to make today is whether to start Ramsey or Holt. Opinions?

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    1. WhatTheDuck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Ramsey

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  9. dan-b
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    having the same problem since last night cant log in . i guess it s over capacity seeing at everybody is trying to log in to do last minute changes

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  10. Ace Ventura
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    4.5mil defender?
    got: gab/lescott/hughes/enrique

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    1. Evasivo
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Simpson?

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  11. DarPaC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Wish FFS would post an article saying that FPL is having server problems.......would save every 3rd post being "i can't log on, anyone else having any problems?" for the last 12 hours!

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    1. Mr Smith
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      don't need an article to realise this though?

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  12. Catastrophe
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Hi!

    Who to start?

    A) K Davies
    B) Sessegnon
    C) Senderos

    thanks!!

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  13. Tim
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Dont even know who my captain is....

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  14. UnitedAdelaide
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Hi

    There's also a great EPL Fantasy Comp here
    http://epldreamteam.sportal.com.au

    Really good site, very reliable

    Lockout isn't until 3pm!!

    League Code 634518

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    1. Sam (Team Sam)
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      It's only reliable because it doesn't have nearly as many users as FPL does. I'm afraid that's the price you pay for having the most popular site going. Still, they should have guessed and improved their servers!

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      1. UnitedAdelaide
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        actually, they do fantasy comps for AFL, NRL, A League, Cricket, Super 15, EPL, so in theory it should be in meltdown right now, but it's never had a problem all year, even at its peak

        so yeah get on board 🙂

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  15. Anorak
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    I'm in on my mobile browser. Seems there is some extra functionality since last night - I see a new bar at the top below the menus.

    Looks nice enough, but nowhere near worth taking the site down for.

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    1. Dan - We want our Trophy ba…
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Yep correct.

      But what were they thinking!

      Oh I know ive just thoght of an idea to add a new menu on the night before the deadline and where thousands are trying to log in.

      Now look its all gone Pete Tong!

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  16. timberto
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    who will start for swamsea Meirea or vorm

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    1. Anorak
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      I'd expect Vorm

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    2. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Vorm

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  17. J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    A mixed blessing of having tiny children is having to get up early. Managed to have a final team tweak onthe site at about 7am today, now nothing...this is going to annoy alot of people.

    There'll be those with Rafeal for a start...or the thousands with a default team that they planned to sort out this morning.

    I don't know much about website development and server management but FPL appeart to have not hired wisely.

    Metro on the other hand works like a dream.

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  18. the-zohan
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    ok very last question: sessegnon (sunderland), Ramsey or Albrighton

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  19. jjesus
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    whats going on with fpl site??

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  20. director
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Quick questions lads...

    bench n'zogbia or holt?

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  21. Saint Tim
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Two quick questions: 1) A Johnson or Zamora and 2) Who are Stoke’s first choice defence? Does Wilkinson start? Thanks!

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    1. Heytch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Both will start with Zamora more likely to play 90mins and AJ more likely to be subbed, but both equally likely to score in the first hour, with maybe an edge to AJ more likely on form. Not sure where that leaves the maths with the 1.5mil saving 🙂

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    2. Heytch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      oh, and Wilkinson unlikely this year imo. They have been playing Huth and fullback.

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      1. UnitedAdelaide
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        pffft Canberra Raiders!!

        lol

        have they got the wooden spoon yet?

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  22. passthebiscuits
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Kuyt or Nani?

    Most people in my league seem to have picked Kuyt, do you think Adam is ahead of Kuyt now in the penalty duties?

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  23. jollybrown
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    I don't even have a team yet! Couldn't log on all of last night and now this morning can't get on. Just got back from hols so had no chance to do it yet. Major fail FPL. Chances of an extended deadline?

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  24. theevilking
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    It's working fine for me. The new toolbar is AMAZING, wait until you guys see it! Also it keeps you logged in now, so you don't have to log in every flipping time.

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    1. BKR
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      I need to few last minute changes, can i give my username and paswrod can you do it for me??? 🙁

      trying for last 4 hours

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      1. theevilking
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Sure dude, what's your email?

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        1. BKR
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          thanks mate...

          my id is bkrmenon@ymail.com

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    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Might be an idea not to brag.

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      1. UnitedAdelaide
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        far out TM, have you even had sleep at all?

        lol

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          Of course I have slept. Probably won't go to sleep until the 1st games are over. Have to sort out for Sportal leagues & teams.

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          1. UnitedAdelaide
            • 14 Years
            14 years, 6 months ago

            oh yep

            hey wish there was some money comps in sportal, you know of any?

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      2. theevilking
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        You say that now but this new toolbar is life changing. I wish you could see it! If only... 🙁

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  25. yousunkmybattleship
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Been logged in for hours works fine...

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  26. phate623
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Hi people, Hope y'all get to login soon.
    Meantime don't mind :p , Moses or N' Zog to start? some last min dilem

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  27. Park the bus
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Ok it may be because I finished my team yesterday lunchtime, but some of the reaction on here is pretty childish and futile. I mean, why on earth would you draft a team you'd never go with and have a ridiculous captain choice?! IMO people have only themselves to blame. Surely a good idea would be to draft a strong team a couple of weeks before and tinker with it until you are happy? this is one of these instances that people secretly enjoy as it gives them an excuse to complain about something.

    Failure to prepare = prepare to fail!

    PS. good luck to all players this weekend (even those with Mamady Sidibe as captain and Shane Ferguson as VC)

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    1. Chris Highwind
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      +1

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    2. doobie doo
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      definitely, not secretly enjoying this

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    3. Jack Frost
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      some of these guys have money at stake and want to make or unmake one change-- so have some consideration. This is a colossal failure, you could expect a 30 minute slowdown, but not a ten hour one.

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      1. Park the bus
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        I also have a decent stake of cash on it. There's seems to be a lot of techy-minded people talking about the problem, even I know that when there is a mass demand for a website (eg. ticketmaster), no matter how well equipped it appears to be there's always a risk that an excess of activity will crash?!

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      2. matiakez
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        You can have the likes of Luiz, Everton players, Spurs playrs and all kinds of guys in your team..you might have selected te base of yor side last week but things change

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        1. Park the bus
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          all fair points but the spurs game was called off thursday morning and luiz has been ruled out for some time.

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  28. Bob.
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Swansea first choice back 4. Anybody?

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    1. Sheep Flavour
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Rangel and Monk and Ashley Williams are certs.

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      1. Bob.
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Hmm Monk is injured though and Rangel and Williams are 4.5. Looked at team-nws TM but the injury to Monk and suspension of Taylor confuses things. Not sure at all

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  29. hamo27
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Hi guys,
    My team is sorted, just need help with my final decision:

    Ramsey and Zamora or Walcott (unsure of his fitness) and DJ Campbell…

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    1. Bob.
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Ramsey Zamora is less risky

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  30. Ceefax Page 302
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    F.A.O: anyone finding out that their team had today been removed from a league or even several leagues:

    I found that I'd been removed from 3 leagues though (like everyone else I've spoken to) the league name was still listed in the list of leagues that I'd entered. Logically speaking this should indicate that the main game/server has some record that you've entered this league otherwise the league name wouldn't appear in the list?

    Also when I entered the pin to try and re- enter the keague it threw up an error message - logically this would indicate that you are recognised as being already part of that league, afterall you can't enter a league twice!

    Fingers crossed they can get it sorted; anyone else in the same situation share my thoughts on the above ideas?

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    1. Mr Smith
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      just a bug, sure it will be sorted soon. since you can still see the league in your list i wouldn't worry.

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    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      I am not in a league table yet posted on the forum. As long as it's in your leagues page then all should be ok.

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      1. Ceefax Page 302
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        I am slightly concerned, I also run a league as admin too and 60 people no longer show up as being part of the league!

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          If you know their history link, you can see if they are in the league.

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    3. MegaSalviO
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Same here. Few teams+my own have dissapered from our classic league...

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