When should Fantasy managers trust the stats or go with their gut?

Former FPL winner Simon March takes us through the pros and cons of going with your gut
| Player | Team | Price | Progress | Tonight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gibbs-White | NFO | 7.6m | 102.1% | Very Likely |
| Sarr | CRY | 6.3m | 101.0% | Very Likely |
| Lacroix | CRY | 5.1m | 100.3% | Very Likely |
| Aaronson | LEE | 5.4m | 98.2% | Maybe |
| Isak | LIV | 10.3m | 96.6% | Maybe |
| Cherki | MCI | 6.5m | 89.2% | Unlikely |
| Mitchell | CRY | 5.0m | 91.6% | Unlikely |
| GroĂŸ | BHA | 5.5m | 90.6% | Unlikely |
| Leno | FUL | 4.9m | 77.2% | Unlikely |
| Saliba | ARS | 6.1m | 70.8% | Unlikely |
| Alderete | SUN | 4.1m | 68.3% | Unlikely |
| AĂ¯t-Nouri | MCI | 5.7m | 65.2% | Unlikely |
| Truffert | BOU | 4.7m | 64.4% | Unlikely |
| Gakpo | LIV | 7.3m | 64.7% | Unlikely |
| Verbruggen | BHA | 4.5m | 62.9% | Unlikely |
| Richards | CRY | 4.4m | 62.6% | Unlikely |
| Ngumoha | LIV | 4.3m | 61.5% | Unlikely |
| Ndiaye | EVE | 6.2m | 61.7% | Unlikely |
| Brobbey | SUN | 5.3m | 60.1% | Unlikely |
| Tavernier | BOU | 5.4m | 59.9% | Unlikely |
| F.Kadıoğlu | BHA | 4.4m | 57.9% | Unlikely |
| Wan-Bissaka | WHU | 4.1m | 57.7% | Unlikely |
| Frimpong | LIV | 5.7m | 56.3% | Unlikely |
| Shaw | MUN | 4.5m | 54.5% | Unlikely |
| Bijol | LEE | 3.9m | 50.2% | Unlikely |
| Ă˜degaard | ARS | 7.8m | 49.9% | Unlikely |
| Hermansen | WHU | 4.2m | 49.5% | Unlikely |
| N.Williams | NFO | 4.8m | 49.5% | Unlikely |
| Aina | NFO | 4.7m | 46.9% | Unlikely |
| Haaland | MCI | 14.6m | 40.8% | Unlikely |
| Hincapie | ARS | 5.1m | 43.8% | Unlikely |
| M.Fernandes | WHU | 5.5m | 43.1% | Unlikely |
| Beto | EVE | 5.0m | 42.3% | Unlikely |
| Gabriel | ARS | 7.2m | 41.3% | Unlikely |
| Damsgaard | BRE | 5.6m | 41.8% | Unlikely |
| Roefs | SUN | 4.8m | 42.2% | Unlikely |
| Bassey | FUL | 4.4m | 40.9% | Unlikely |
| Gomez | BHA | 4.9m | 41.2% | Unlikely |
| Osula | NEW | 5.4m | 38.2% | Unlikely |
| O'Reilly | MCI | 5.2m | 35.0% | Unlikely |
| Player | Team | Price | Progress | Tonight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmer | CHE | 10.5m | 101.9% | Very Likely |
| Merino | ARS | 5.4m | 99.8% | Likely |
| Mayenda | SUN | 5.2m | 97.2% | Maybe |
| Andrey Santos | CHE | 4.5m | 95.9% | Maybe |
| Tchaouna | BUR | 4.8m | 96.5% | Maybe |
| Strand Larsen | CRY | 5.9m | 95.2% | Unlikely |
| Piroe | LEE | 4.9m | 93.8% | Unlikely |
| Reijnders | MCI | 5.0m | 93.0% | Unlikely |
| Calafiori | ARS | 5.6m | 90.7% | Unlikely |
| Slonina | CHE | 3.9m | 89.9% | Unlikely |
| Cullen | BUR | 4.9m | 89.7% | Unlikely |
| Grealish | EVE | 6.3m | 89.6% | Unlikely |
| Emenalo | CHE | 4.5m | 88.5% | Unlikely |
| John | NFO | 4.0m | 88.1% | Unlikely |
| Salmon | ARS | 4.0m | 90.3% | Unlikely |
| Estève | BUR | 3.9m | 86.6% | Unlikely |
| Trafford | MCI | 4.5m | 84.3% | Unlikely |
| Johnson | CRY | 6.5m | 82.5% | Unlikely |
| McAidoo | MCI | 4.5m | 79.4% | Unlikely |
| Longstaff | LEE | 4.8m | 79.5% | Unlikely |
| SĂ¡nchez | CHE | 4.8m | 77.4% | Unlikely |
| Kilman | WHU | 4.1m | 76.9% | Unlikely |
| Mee | MUN | 3.9m | 76.4% | Unlikely |
| Cairns | LEE | 3.9m | 76.4% | Unlikely |
| Gusto | CHE | 4.9m | 74.9% | Unlikely |
| Byfield | TOT | 4.0m | 75.4% | Unlikely |
| Steele | BHA | 4.2m | 74.2% | Unlikely |
| Woltemade | NEW | 6.7m | 69.5% | Unlikely |
| Keane | EVE | 4.5m | 68.9% | Unlikely |
| Obi | MUN | 4.2m | 69.3% | Unlikely |
| Ebere | EVE | 4.4m | 68.0% | Unlikely |
| Lucca | NFO | 5.4m | 75.2% | Unlikely |
| Mainoo | MUN | 4.7m | 67.4% | Unlikely |
| Tolu | WOL | 5.2m | 64.9% | Unlikely |
| Senesi | BOU | 5.2m | 65.7% | Unlikely |
| Van de Ven | TOT | 4.4m | 63.7% | Unlikely |
| Amissah | FUL | 3.8m | 62.6% | Unlikely |
| Gonzalez | WOL | 4.3m | 60.0% | Unlikely |
| Caicedo | CHE | 5.7m | 59.3% | Unlikely |
| Chiesa | LIV | 6.3m | 58.6% | Unlikely |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | ARS | B, Vs | |
| No Change | MCI | B | |
| Up | CRY | C | |
| No Change | EVE | C | |
| No Change | BHA | B | |
| No Change | LEE | B, Vs, £ | |
| Down | SUN | B |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | ARS | B, Vs | |
| No Change | MCI | A | |
| Up | CRY | A | |
| No Change | EVE | C | |
| Up | BHA | B | |
| Up | LEE | B, Vs, £ | |
| Up | BOU | C, £ | |
| Down | SUN | C | |
| Down | LIV | A | |
| No Change | NEW | C | |
| No Change | AVL | C |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | MUN | A | |
| Up | MCI | A | |
| Up | ARS | C, Vs | |
| No Change | FUL | B | |
| No Change | CRY | C, Rest | |
| No Change | AVL | B | |
| No Change | NFO | A | |
| No Change | EVE | A, £ | |
| No Change | CHE | C | |
| Down | LIV | C | |
| No Change | BOU | C, £ | |
| No Change | BHA | B, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | MCI | B | |
| No Change | BRE | B | |
| No Change | WHU | A | |
| No Change | AVL | A | |
| No Change | BHA | B | |
| No Change | LEE | C, Vs | |
| No Change | CHE | C | |
| Up | LIV | B |

Former FPL winner Simon March takes us through the pros and cons of going with your gut

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