When should Fantasy managers trust the stats or go with their gut?

Former FPL winner Simon March takes us through the pros and cons of going with your gut
| Player | Team | Price | Progress | Tonight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly | MCI | 5.2m | 111.9% | Very Likely |
| Gordon | NEW | 7.2m | 98.6% | Likely |
| Roefs | SUN | 4.7m | 93.7% | Unlikely |
| Guéhi | CRY | 5.2m | 66.8% | Unlikely |
| Cherki | MCI | 6.4m | 77.5% | Unlikely |
| Lacroix | CRY | 5.1m | 75.4% | Unlikely |
| Matheus N. | MCI | 5.3m | 78.2% | Unlikely |
| Watkins | AVL | 8.5m | 77.4% | Unlikely |
| Casemiro | MUN | 5.5m | 77.9% | Unlikely |
| Truffert | BOU | 4.5m | 76.1% | Unlikely |
| Verbruggen | BHA | 4.4m | 70.6% | Unlikely |
| Mitchell | CRY | 5.0m | 68.3% | Unlikely |
| Livramento | NEW | 4.9m | 68.2% | Unlikely |
| DĂºbravka | BUR | 4.0m | 64.6% | Unlikely |
| Dewsbury-Hall | EVE | 5.1m | 52.1% | Unlikely |
| Cullen | BUR | 5.0m | 62.0% | Unlikely |
| Petrović | BOU | 4.5m | 59.5% | Unlikely |
| Bowen | WHU | 7.5m | 56.9% | Unlikely |
| Tavernier | BOU | 5.5m | 57.4% | Unlikely |
| Ballard | SUN | 4.6m | 55.1% | Unlikely |
| RĂºben | MCI | 5.6m | 52.2% | Unlikely |
| Romero | TOT | 5.0m | 53.7% | Unlikely |
| Raya | ARS | 6.0m | 48.4% | Unlikely |
| Foden | MCI | 8.7m | 23.3% | Unlikely |
| B.Fernandes | MUN | 9.2m | 19.0% | Unlikely |
| Tete | FUL | 4.5m | 48.9% | Unlikely |
| Gusto | CHE | 4.9m | 48.1% | Unlikely |
| Saka | ARS | 10.2m | 44.4% | Unlikely |
| Van Hecke | BHA | 4.5m | 46.1% | Unlikely |
| Dalot | MUN | 4.4m | 43.9% | Unlikely |
| Wilson | WHU | 5.8m | 42.6% | Unlikely |
| Flemming | BUR | 5.3m | 42.3% | Unlikely |
| Keane | EVE | 4.6m | 40.8% | Unlikely |
| Chukwueze | FUL | 5.3m | 44.0% | Unlikely |
| Igor Jesus | NFO | 5.8m | 42.1% | Unlikely |
| J.Palhinha | TOT | 5.5m | 41.3% | Unlikely |
| Andersen | FUL | 4.6m | 37.4% | Unlikely |
| Palmer | CHE | 10.3m | 37.6% | Unlikely |
| Haaland | MCI | 15.0m | 37.3% | Unlikely |
| Thiago | BRE | 7.1m | 26.1% | Unlikely |
| Player | Team | Price | Progress | Tonight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnes | NEW | 6.4m | 123.8% | Very Likely |
| Saliba | ARS | 6.0m | 122.1% | Very Likely |
| Nallo | LIV | 3.8m | 120.1% | Very Likely |
| Senesi | BOU | 5.0m | 117.4% | Very Likely |
| Grealish | EVE | 6.6m | 113.0% | Very Likely |
| J.Arias | WOL | 5.0m | 106.1% | Very Likely |
| Hato | CHE | 4.7m | 104.8% | Very Likely |
| Patterson | SUN | 4.3m | 104.8% | Very Likely |
| Ayari | BHA | 4.9m | 102.6% | Very Likely |
| Steele | BHA | 4.3m | 103.2% | Very Likely |
| J.Murphy | NEW | 6.1m | 101.3% | Very Likely |
| Morgan | BRE | 4.4m | 102.4% | Very Likely |
| Walker-Peters | WHU | 4.3m | 102.1% | Very Likely |
| Walker | BUR | 4.4m | 99.2% | Likely |
| Aznou | EVE | 4.3m | 101.6% | Very Likely |
| Jordan | BUR | 4.0m | 99.3% | Maybe |
| Bates | EVE | 4.4m | 98.2% | Maybe |
| Toti | WOL | 4.3m | 97.5% | Maybe |
| Neave | NEW | 4.4m | 97.4% | Maybe |
| Agbadou | WOL | 4.3m | 93.5% | Maybe |
| Muniz | FUL | 5.4m | 95.8% | Maybe |
| Fitzgerald | MUN | 4.4m | 97.2% | Maybe |
| Kulusevski | TOT | 6.4m | 95.3% | Maybe |
| Jair Cunha | NFO | 4.3m | 93.9% | Maybe |
| H.Bueno | WOL | 4.4m | 93.9% | Unlikely |
| Okafor | LEE | 5.5m | 94.4% | Unlikely |
| Longstaff | LEE | 4.9m | 91.0% | Unlikely |
| Zubimendi | ARS | 5.3m | 93.9% | Unlikely |
| Colwill | CHE | 4.8m | 92.5% | Unlikely |
| Tasker | BHA | 3.9m | 91.2% | Unlikely |
| Webster | BHA | 4.4m | 91.6% | Unlikely |
| Elanga | NEW | 6.6m | 90.8% | Unlikely |
| Fer LĂ³pez | WOL | 5.2m | 91.4% | Unlikely |
| Bobb | MCI | 5.2m | 91.4% | Unlikely |
| McAtee | NFO | 5.1m | 88.8% | Unlikely |
| Broggio | AVL | 4.5m | 88.9% | Unlikely |
| Yarmoliuk | BRE | 5.0m | 87.6% | Unlikely |
| L.Guilherme | WHU | 4.9m | 89.3% | Unlikely |
| Gunn | NFO | 4.0m | 88.8% | Unlikely |
| Barnes | BUR | 4.3m | 88.8% | Unlikely |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | ARS | C | |
| No Change | LIV | C | |
| No Change | MCI | C, Sus | |
| Up | BRE | C, Vs | |
| Down | NEW | C | |
| No Change | BUR | C, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | LIV | C | |
| No Change | ARS | C, Inj | |
| No Change | MCI | C | |
| Up | FUL | C | |
| Up | CRY | A | |
| Up | BRE | C, Vs | |
| No Change | NEW | A | |
| No Change | NFO | C | |
| No Change | BHA | A | |
| No Change | SUN | C, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | ARS | B | |
| No Change | MUN | A | |
| No Change | MCI | A | |
| No Change | BOU | C | |
| Up | LIV | C | |
| No Change | BHA | B | |
| No Change | NEW | A | |
| No Change | BRE | C, Vs, Sus | |
| No Change | NFO | B, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | MCI | B | |
| No Change | BRE | A, Vs | |
| No Change | CRY | C | |
| Up | LIV | B | |
| Down | BHA | C, Rest | |
| Down | NEW | B |

Former FPL winner Simon March takes us through the pros and cons of going with your gut

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