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18 November 2014 53 comments
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It’s almost that time of year again. The Christmas tree goes up, the credit card bills get longer and we get more Match of the Days than you can shake a parsnip at. Its also a time when Fantasy Football teams are pushed to the limit with rotation set to loom large amid the turkey and presents.

You don’t believe in the magic of rotation at Christmas? You scrooge. If Yaya Toure can be rested, anyone can. The squads of the bigger teams are particularly geared up for rotation during congested fixtures. Here I will examine 10 of the Premier League’s most likely places for rotation, looking at how their line-ups fared over Christmas last year and who has the fixtures to prosper this season.

A change of manager is another important factor. For those teams that have changed manager since last Christmas I have given less detail about specific weekly changes, but have highlighted players that started all matches in the 2013/14 season.

*It is worth noting that a high number of Gameweek-to-Gameweek changes is often followed by another high number, as managers take their rotated players out, before returning them in the following Gameweek.

CHELSEA

13/14 team changes between festive Gameweeks: 17-18 (5) – 18-19 (5) – 19-20 (6) – Total (16)

Started all: Petr Cech, John Terry, Eden Hazard (Branislav Ivanovic started three games but was injured for the fourth)

This year: sto/WHM/sot/tot

I’d take last season’s numbers with a pinch of salt. A couple of tricky fixtures caused rotation as manager Jose Mourinho switched between functional and flair players. Plus, it was a very different squad,Β with the likes of David Luiz, Juan Mata and Fernando Torres all moving on. All things considered, Ivanovic, Terry, Gary Cahill and Hazard should be safe picks this Christmas but I’d have real doubts over Diego Costa, Cesar Azpilicuata and Oscar’s chances of starting all four.Β  It’s hard to say what will happen with Cesc Fabregas. Ultimately, it will come down to how much faith you are willing to put in Mourinho and his men, as they march to the title.

MAN CITY

13/14 team changes between festive Gameweeks: 17-18 (3) – 18-19 (6) – 19-20 (5) – Total (14)

Started 4: Joe Hart, Vincent Kompany, Fernandinho (David Silva started three games but was injured for the fourth)

This year: CPL/wba/BUR/SUN

I will be all over City in December. However, last year does worry me slightly. I remember 28th December 2013 well; it was the fateful day Yaya Toure was rested. A much-changed side turned up against Crystal Palace that day. I can see similar rotation against Burnley at home this year. Sergio Aguero should start most if not all matches, but is a player that should be a must-have even if he does find himself on the bench. Many will be tempted by a triple-up such is the strength of their fixtures.

NEWCASTLE

13/14 team changes between festive Gameweeks: 17-18 (1) – 18-19 (1) – 19-20 (1) – Total (3)

Started 4: Tim Krul, Mathieu Debuchy, Fabricio Coloccini, Mike Williamson, Davide Santon, Yohan Cabaye,Β  Moussa Sissoko, Yoan Gouffran, Loic Remy

This year: SUN/mun/EVE/BUR

With three home games over Christmas and Pardew’s faith in his best XI last year, Newcastle look very tempting. If we can establish which players offer the chance Fantasy interest on Tyneside, we are unlikely to be disappointed by rotation. This may be of particular interest when looking at building a strong bench if the likes of Paul Dummett or Steven Taylor can nail down a place over the coming weeks.

LIVERPOOL

13/14 team changes between festive Gameweeks: 17-18 (1) – 18-19 (1) – 19-20 (2) – Total (4)

Started all: Simon Mignolet, Martin Skrtel, Glenn Johnson, Lucas, Jordan Henderson, Philippe Coutinho, Raheem Sterling, Luis Suarez

This year: ARS/bur/SWA/LEI

Brendan Rodgers was incredibly consistent in his team selection over Christmas last season, in the absence of the injured Steven Gerrard and Daniel Sturridge. With three very strong fixtures this year, the likes of Gerrard, Sturridge and Raheem Sterling will be very much in our thoughts. There is a note of caution however – Liverpool now have a squad built for the Champions League, in terms of quantity if not quality. With a few more stars to keep happy, it is unlikely the line-ups will be as remarkably consistent as in Christmas past.

EVERTON

13/14 team changes between festive Gameweeks: 17-18 (1) – 18-19 (5) – 19-20 (5) – Total (11)

Started all: Seamus Coleman, James McCarthy, Romelu Lukaku

This year: sot/STO/new/hul

Everton’s numbers from last season are a bit skewed, as Seamus Coleman saw the rest of his defensive team-mates hit hard by injury and suspension. This year, you would expect a stable back five, if they can stay fit. Further forward, it is likely a fair few managers will bemoan Martinez’s typical rotation. The likes of Ross Barkley and Kevin Mirallas have the ability to use Everton’s strong fixtures, but will inevitably be rotated. Romelu Lukaku will have to fight Samuel Eto’o if he wants to repeat his 100% record of starts from last season’s festive period.

WEST HAM

13/14 team changes between festive Gameweeks: 17-18 (4) – 18-19 (2) – 19-20 (5) – Total (11)

Started all: George McCartney, Mark Noble, Mohamed Diame

This year: LEI/che/ARS/WBA

It is likely many of us will still be holding West Ham assets by this stage, with their strong home fixtures. I wouldn’t read too much into last season’s rotation. Sam Allardyce was faced with a defensive injury crisis and has a much stronger first XI this season. Big Sam has spoken about rotating those new to the Premier League – Enner Valencia and Diafra Sakho – but I would expect the star strikers, along with Aaron Cresswell and Stewart Downing, to keep their places with four fixtures of great importance, for one reason or another.

ARSENAL

13/14 team changes between festive Gameweeks: 17-18 (1) – 18-19 (4) – 19-20 (3) – Total (8)

Started all: Wojciech Szczesny, Per Mertesacker, Bacary Sagna, Theo Walcott

This year: liv/QPR/whm/sot

Last season, partially due to injury, only four players started every fixture. We’ve already seen Arsenal’s squad struggle with injuries this season, so it would be no surprise to see manager Arsene Wenger being forced to rotate again. The QPR Boxing Day game looks prime for such rotation, but I’d still expect Alexis Sanchez to play all four games. Arsenal are relying on him, whileΒ fellow big-money signing Mesut Ozil is unlikely to return before 2015. Outside of that, I’d stay clear of Arsenal options with those fixtures and the constant fear of a bench role.

TOTTENHAM

13/14 team changes between Festive gameweeks: Change in manager

Started all: Hugo Lloris, Vlad Chiriches, Michael Dawson, Christian Eriksen, Emmanuel Adebayor, Roberto Soldado

This year: BUR/lei/MUN/CHE

Tottenham manager Mauricio Pochettino was fairly consistent with his key men when he was manager of Southampton last Christmas. This season is likely to be a different story. The Argentine clearly does not know his best team and has a much bigger squad to handle. In fact, it remains to be seen if he will still be on the touchline to face the three home games in four festive fixtures. My advice would be don’t buy – and don’t sell the likes of Chadli and Lloris,Β at least until those two tricky home games arrive.

MAN UNITED

13/14 team changes between festive Gameweeks: Change in manager

Started all: David de Gea, Chris Smalling, Johnny Evans, Patrice Evra, Tom Cleverley (Wayne Rooney started all three of the four games he was fit)

This year: avl/NEW/tot/sto

United are a bit of a grey area, unfortunately. The manager is new to the festive fun on these shores, as is star man Angel Di Maria. Elsewhere, there are constant fitness doubts over Louis van Gaal’s defensive options, as well as front two Robin van Persie and Radamel Falcao. United do not seem worth the risk at either end. Wayne Rooney missed Norwich away last season through injury, but the United captain is fairly trustworthy. However, with his Fantasy potential waning, it is likely to be left to Angel Di Maria to keep us interested in the red side of Manchester.

SWANSEA

13/14 team changes between festive Gameweeks: Change in manager

Started all: Gerhard Tremmel, Ashley Williams, Jose Canas, Jonjo Shelvey

This year: hul/AVL/liv/qpr

With Garry Monk only taking the managerial hot seat in February 2014, it remains to be seen how he tackles the fixture congestion that comes at this time of the season. Swansea, and their main asset Gylfi Sigurdsson, typically fare best at home. During the busy festive period, they line up at the Liberty Stadium only once. However, they do have three favourable fixtures across this busy period, so the temptation to have at least one Swan in your team should remain strong.

Posted by -5

53 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Impressive research. Thanks for posting.

  2. GreenWindmill
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Beautiful - definitely better in an article than a post πŸ™‚

    On a related note here's a shameless reposting of my research on the subject last season (waaaay less impressive but potentially useful for those who wish to trend spot) This data refers to Christmas 2012. http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/6030907

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Agreed! πŸ˜›

      I'm still in awe of the formatting. πŸ˜‰

  3. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Great article, thank you!

    Sterling started all the matches but Baines didn't 😯

    1. JK - Cønt ⭐
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Wasn't Baines injured for a bit around then?

      1. J0E
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 23 days ago

        I think he was.

          • 12 Years
          11 years, 23 days ago

          He was indeed.

      2. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Ah yes, I have it in my mind that Baines never gets injured! Not anymore πŸ™‚

    2. DelboyFPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      baines had toe injury

    3. BeachBadger
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 22 days ago

      Walcott played all of them too 😯

  4. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusβ…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Wowzers! Gold! Thank you ... πŸ™‚

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Pleasure. πŸ™‚

  5. BigManBakar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Really helpful article - thanks! πŸ˜€

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      πŸ˜€

  6. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    I had JT at start of season and now wondering if he may be due another run...

    1. J0E
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I've not been a fan of JT this season...but his goal threat has improved of late. I still wouldn't put goal threat that high for a CB as goals are rare, but wouldn't surprise me to see a goal or two from him between now and the new year.

      1. GENERATION X
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Certainly disappointed in comparison to last year - but the nailed on value and price drop are tempting. Cahill just 0.1 more but England duties may have afforded him a break at some point.

          • 12 Years
          11 years, 23 days ago

          I'd expect Cahill and Terry to start them all. Zouma is a promising youngster, given his chance in the less risky fixtures. It's put me off Azpi though.

  7. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Sanchez and Costa look likely to be rested at some point.

    If we could predict when it will happen, would you sell?

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Not me - I think only for injury. Just a case of getting a decent bench in and riding the blows..

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Costa definitely will. Not sure about Alexis, though. I'm not sure I'd sell either to be honest.. value should be up by then.

      All about the bench at Christmas. (p.s. great xmas grav-ing! πŸ˜€ )

    2. A.T
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      No chance you just have to take it on the chin. Both at the same time would be terrible. Depends how much you have invested I suppose.

  8. Reggae Shark
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Who should I bench? Obvious one would probably be Wanyama but i fancy him to get some points against a weak Villa side.

    A) Siggy (mci)

    B) Wanyama (avl)

    C) Chadders (hul)

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Wrong article. πŸ˜‰

  9. Concrete
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    What are your plans for your bench over Christmas?
    Looking at the fixtures I'm looking at Cheap Newcastle and West Ham

    1. money face bandwagon
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      no particular plan for christmas yet. if there are good budget options by then maybe then i will upgrade my bench

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Sort it, mine's awful! πŸ˜›

  10. Albertini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Top stuff, thanks!

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      πŸ™‚

  11. Wiz
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Amazing article solved a lot of questions. Thanks

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      πŸ™‚

  12. EmreCan Hustle
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Brilliant work!! Very helpful.
    Just a couple of questions,

    A. Is it possible to know whether Baines was injured or rested during Christmas last season?

    B. For Man Utd, is their threat of rotation without European commitments? I'm aware this rotation is due to the hectic schedule, but teams that are used to playing twice in a week shouldn't need much rotation right?

    Cheers.

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      A) Injured
      B) European football has pretty much finished by this stage, I think, so I don't think it would make much difference. And yes, but this is worse than that... often 26th Dec, 28th Dec, 1st Jan or similar.

  13. Evans
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Nice work .... I've been hoping someone would do this.

    I would've liked to have seen last year's fixtures to put the rotation during that period into context. Like you say Chelsea had tough fixtures

    I didn't realise that liverpool didn't rotate that much

    Cheers

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Yeah, easy to look them up, if you like. πŸ™‚ GW18 is the Boxing Day game.

  14. tm245
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Great work, thanks for the research.

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      πŸ™‚

  15. Timtastic03
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Great article, thanks for the effort!

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      πŸ™‚

  16. The Fat Cat
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Good article

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      πŸ™‚

  17. Robben Mee Blind
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Cheers DatGuy- great article. I'll be looking back at this again over the coming weeks I'm sure

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 23 days ago

      πŸ™‚

  18. A.T
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Great article with some fantastic research, thanks Dat Guy.

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 22 days ago

      πŸ™‚

  19. Saint Steve-O (@EliteFPL)
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 22 days ago

    Agreed with Jonty above... Excellent research

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 22 days ago

      πŸ™‚

  20. BeachBadger
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 22 days ago

    Great stuff. You really are Dat Guy!

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 22 days ago

      πŸ™‚

  21. Get up ya bum
    • 16 Years
    11 years, 22 days ago

    dat guy. What a machine!

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 22 days ago

      πŸ™‚

  22. Beavis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 22 days ago

    Awesome article, thanks mate!

      • 12 Years
      11 years, 22 days ago

      πŸ™‚