It’s time for the first members article of the international break now, as we delve into the data from Gameweek 7.
Alexis Sanchez, Sergio Aguero and Zlatan Ibrahimovic come under analysis after their Gameweek 7 armband failures.
Paul Pogba’s improved displays without Wayne Rooney in the Man United XI and Nacer Chadli’s start to life at the Hawthorns are also assessed.
your not TM
be gone imposter
🙂
FFS The Big Numbers! How Big Are They? Whose Number Is Getting Bigger?? Let's Find Out! (FFSTBN!HBAT?WNIGB?LFO!).
Dear all,
everyone here seems to be fear-mongering about Ibra drops - let me explain a bit how the price rises/drops work
It's very easy for a player to rise above his base price as thresholds are lower, these are irrespective of percentage ownership
but once a player drops to his starting value, then the further drops are a function of percentage ownership.
This is evidenced by how fast Ibra dropped from 11.9 to 11.5 - he only lost his rises. same with hazard dropping only 0.1 below his base price.
As of now Ibra is -43.4% towards a drop and requires over 110k transfers to drop to 11.4. That's because now the no. of ntis required to drop are a function of ownership percentage, which is very very high with ibra given his ownership in the dead teams.
There is no way he will drop more than 0.1 before deadline.
This is actually very useful. Thanks.
my pleasure, I see posts stating ibra will drop 0.3 etc - clearly people don't know the changes to the price system this year. I'm not advocating getting rid/not getting rid , but to do it purely cause of price drop fears seems irrational
Yeah. I don't own him anymore anyway but it's good information to know. I wondered why when I had Hazard he dropped like a stone and then suddenly at 10.0m he slowed down.
EXactly. I made a similar point earlier as people are also forgetting that international break transfers really tail off after the first weekend and just a head of the next deadline. I can't see much movement before the end of next week and even then 0.1 seems the more realistic drop.
He certainly won't go down 0.3. However, the case of his price fall issue isn't about a single week either. Its about the trajectory.
Zlatan will fall 0.1 for Liverpool. If he fails to get points there, I think it's reasonable to assume that he will fall another 0.1 for Chelsea away. If he does get points vs Liverpool, all it will do is halt the descent (unless he gets a very big score). If he then follows up and doesn't get points vs Chelsea, the descent will resume.
I see no other option but selling him here. Even if he gets points, he's competing with multiple cheaper strikers that are doing the business anyway. He also isn't a potential captain in his next couple of games.
Did you see how easily Swansea opened Liverpool up?
If Sanchez and Aguero are late back to their clubs they may see limited mins.
Costa up against Morgan and Huth in the early kick off after playing twice for Spain.
Lukaku at the Ethiad
Ibra against a leaky Liverpool side in a 'derby' were form means very little.
I'd review your opinion that he's not a captain option, it's the magical GW8 where strong underlying stats have a habit of exploding!
Interesting points:
In terms of whether Zlatan can score against Liverpool, of course he can. However, this is still a game where there is a very feasible possibility that Liverpool could win and therefore the points that Zlatan could get may be severely limited. You are also paying value for the privilege which is not close to worth it in my opinion.
As for the captaincy option, I acknowledge that there are fears over the big hitters this week but so perhaps my capataincy point was too heavy handed. However, I still don't feel he is close to the best option in the next 2 gameweeks? Whilst he may well get points the potential of a big score is unlikely enough for me to sleep easy. There are still players you have mentioned that I would definitely captain over him and I certainly don't feel like I could potentially massively miss out like I did in gw7.
Costa is the clearest example. His last game for Spain is this Sunday. There is no issue there. Leicester have conceded 10 goals away from home so far and play CL midweek. Obviously in FPL, you never know. But this is as close to a 'strictly better' choice as you are going to find.
In terms of Sanchez and Aguero. I can't deny that there is a risk with them after the internationals. It's about how each player judges the situation.
In my opinion, Sanchez will play. I personally feel confident enough to risk the armband (news dependent) and probably will do so. Sanchez has mostly been played after these breaks in recent seasons and the fact that he already didn't start in gw4 strengthens my resolve this time around.
Aguero, I probably would not risk with Barcelona coming I admit. Lukaku also probably not.
In terms of gameweek 9. Aguero and Sanchez are both easily better choices based on the information we have currently.
Very good logic - a point well made, however, imagine if he goes on to score 10+ points in the Liverpool match? With such a high ownership, this will be very damaging for those without him in.
Points over pounds for me on this one.
If he scores 10pts+, that would be annoying. Is he going to do it again against Chelsea though? The combination of both games is just awful. Also, people's resolve will be tested should he blank at Liverpool. Zlatan owners need to ask themselves that question. If he blanks against Liverpool, will you still keep him for Chelsea? I suspect that for many the answer will be no and if that is the case, you should get rid now.
Ibra and his price are now dead to me since Ibra(c) gave me 2pts. Chererio Ibrahimishitz.
You'll regret saying this. Mark my words if you do get a notification 😉 😀
agreed. Great point, well made
ntis?
net transfers in which is transfers in minus transfers out 🙂
If this is true. Then why did Zaza drop below his starting value at speed. He dropped 0.4 in two weeks
this in fact explains a lot about why zaza dropped so quickly - his low ownership
the drops below base price don't have specific thresholds like rises do, for example for a rise a player requires approx 75k ntis , the threshold depends on ownership and percentage of the owners who get rid
because his ownership was so low, it required very few transfers for him to drop.
It is explained in that post, at the end. Zaza's ownership was very low, but the teams who had him were 100% active which means that when owners started to get rid of him his ownership percentage dropped like a stone and caused the drops.
Pls vote for my def.
Foster Pickford
Kosc Williams Kone Evans Amat
A. Need 1 transfer
B. Need 2 transfer
C. Overhaul
A.
Williams to?
A. Smith
B. Holebas
C. Others
Who are you looking to bring in?
Spurs def essential? Or just get attacking 4.5 def? Still thinking tbh.
7 games & 3 goals conceded by Spurs, you do the maths 🙂
Lot of big numbers but not a lot of FPL points for a lot of these players... Very interesting.
Aye. Doosra wouldn't like it!
Sterling - wally - antonio - firmino
Lukaku - aguero - benteke
Who to sell for Son? 🙂
Antonio seems the most logical going on form and fixtures get worse in a couple of weeks.
Still on top for shots in the box but yes probably the logic move right?
Ya I'm having trouble parting ways too and am looking at Snoddy Wally & Son for potential replacements but just not sure yet.
Knowing the international breaks though, I'm sure we'll have about 8 injuries by next Friday 🙁
I am waiting too but can't afford Son rising or Antonio falling
Antonio going to troll everyone who dumps him I reckon. I'd hold for one more week and keep your eye on Stoke mids too
Morning lads, what do you reckon is the best use of my 2 FT with this bunch. 0.0m ITB.
Pick Jaku
Vertonghen Baines Holebas Smith Amat
Sanchez Sterling Antonio Firmino Capoue
Aguero Lukaku Rasford
Thinking maybe 2 of Rashford Jaku Baines or Antonio out. Thoughts?
Pretty good team, I would sell Rashford and Jakupovic ... don't see any other transfers, keep Baines
Why sell Rashford? He's scored 2 goals in 3 games
Tough fixtures coming up and with Martial back and EL, potential rotation risk too IMO
Fair enough, I'm waiting to see if he's dropped first though.
Me too, I think he'll keep his place.
Ya fairly happy with my start but going Vert/Baines over Kosc/Williams on my GW 6 WC is haunting me 🙁
I feel I need Arsenal DF/GK so do you think I should get in Cech for Jaku by downgrading Rash to Stuani/Diomande? Would meaning playing 352 with Capoue
Arsenal defender is almost a must have with their upcoming fixtures .. I think Rashford will be rotated soon
I would be comfortable with Capoue and 352 as Watford have good fixtures
Exactly what I'm thinking of doing too. Jaku & Rashford > Cech & Diomande and play 352. Also have funds to upgrade capoue to snodgrass for a hit
I was in a similar position. Did rash+ Capoue > diomande+ wally, had money ITB
I would probs do Baines > 4.5, Capoue > snoddy, AOA, then sort your def week later
Switch out Ibra + Bolasie for:
A) Costa + Lallana
B) Lukaku + Son/Walcott
C) Defoe + Sterling
D) Deeney + KDB
?
Assume I don't have the funds to upgrade pairings e.g. can't do Costa + Son or Lukaku + KDB.
B
Definitely B for me with Son if you have Sanchez already
Yep, I have Sanchez - not convinced by doubling up?
They do have great fixtures over next 3 so a dbl up could be gold alright. Son for me though as Spurs look good too and I like to spread the love 🙂
B Walcott
B
Thanks everyone. I'm going Lukaku + Son.
2 FT's, and no Arsenal players which appears to be my priority at the moment. Happy to hold Ibra too as I feel a change in fortune is imminent... But I think Haz needs to go I paid 10.2 so on a 0.3 loss already.
Foster
SHAW Stones Williams
HAZARD Firmino ANTONIO Capoue
Aguero Ibra Benteke
Heaton Evans Fletcher Amat
Either of these moves appeal? Was all on set on B but I think A makes sense..;
A. Shaw & Haz > Kos & Theo saving 1.5m ITB for Antonio out soonish
B. Haz & Antonio > Theo & Sterling/Coutinho
A 🙂
A
Thanks guys! Do it now or wait..
Wait as long as you can
Or even a -4 on top for Antonio>Sterling before price changes assuming not injured...?
No, just A
Cheers.
1ft, 0 cash
Pickford, Heaton
Valenica, Williams, Evans, Holebas, Amat
Mane, Sterling, Walcott, Snodgrass, Capoue
Aguero, Ibra, Lukaku
A. Save
B. Evans to Pieters/Cameron (Evans currently starting for me v Spurs)
C. Ibra + Evans to Benteke + Bellerin (-4). Leaves 1.9m in the bank, what to do with this?!
Main problem with dropping Ibra is that I don't know where to spend the rest of the cash.
That's why I'm leaning towards saving at the moment
I think you're right regarding Ibra. I wouldn't be Xing him out unless I had a strong plan of what to do with the cash.
A for me.
Thanks
Valencia > Bellerin
Ibra > Costa
I have money for both but considering going for the slightly cheaper differential...
A, Koscielny
B, Mustafi
Rose? Vvd?
B
B for defensive BAPS, Kos for attacking thretat
Mustafi has had more spg than koscielny so far over the CL and EPL this season. he was a huge goal threat past couple seasons and he seems to be bossing the baps system this year. mustafi for me
Why mustafi over monreal?
Baps and attacking threat
Best 4.5 def?
Holebas
Worth ft?
Williams --> Hole
Yes but wait if you can for internationals
Holebas, Francis, Cameron, Pieters. Depends which teams fixtures fit nicely with the rest of your defence for the upcoming weeks
Worth -4 hits?
Williams + Evans --> Holebas + Francis/Smith/Pieters/Cameron
Thoughts on me doing Antonio -> Arnautovic? Could be a good differential
Stokes next fixtures:
SUN
HUL
SWA
WHU
BOU
WAT
BUR
Im giving Antonio another 1 week. Monitor his price for now.
No, Arnautovic & Stoke look absolutely dreadful
You don't think they've turned the corner with that draw against Man United?
😆
Hi guys,
Anyone care to pick an option for me please?
Want an Arsenal defender, but is Bellerin worth the premium?
A. Bellerin and Arnautovic
B. Mustafi and Son
Thanks.
B for me. Not sure how Kane getting back will affter (if at all) Son's output, but I still prefer it
Bellerin almost like a 5th mid for me. Other option than Arnie?
7.5 to spend on a mid
B
B
Brilliant. Thanks guys.
Thinking of playing my AOA this week (especially as I am playing 2nd place in my head head league).
What would you guys recommend:
Heaton
Walker XXX
Sanchez Son Firmino Walcott Capoue
Deeney Kun Lukaku
A. Williams (city away)
B. Lovren (utd home)
C. Evans (spurs home)
D. Bench Capoue and play 2 of the above
Guys, worth -4hits?
Williams + Evans --> Holebas + Francis/Smith/Pieters/Cameron
No
So, Williams to Holebas for 1ft then?
Erm not sure...I own both. Williams & Everton defence has been disappointing..
Midfield mess? I have 5m itb but no FT.
Payet/Cazorla/Snodgrass/Puncheon/Capoue
So many mid options to bring in: 4 Liv mids, Walcott, Son, Sterling being the obvious ones.
I think with the fixtures it's worth leaving until after GW8 (rather than taking a hit)!
Which is my biggest concern (getting rid of Santi & upgrading Puncheon I'm guessing)?
Thoughts appreciated!
Jesus, how do you even get yourself in that position.
Have you got a WC? Yeah upgrading Cazorla and Punch is your priority. Sanchez & Firmino/Cout/Mane
I was suprised. Think it's the cheapest midfield I've seen on here.
Although with a couple of transfers it could be rectified.
The joys of wanting to keep Kun/Ibra/Lukaku/Payet/Bellerin....
Cheers, yes 2 transfers will have it looking much better
I hear ya mate, still around the 5K mark though somehow so they have served me well allowing me 3 big hitters up top. But now it's looking shockingly weak!
Think I will wait until after GW8 and make a double mid transfer. Cheers & GL
fair play! who am I to criticise you haha
If I keep that midfield for too much longer I deserve to be criticised to be fair haha!
I'd say Cazorla to Walcott would be the best move. Not worth taking a hit.
I think I will do that GW9 and probably upgrade Puncheon to Liv mid or Son also. Thanks
Contemplating getting in bench fodder forward with Kun and Lukaku and powerhouse midfield of Sanchez, De Bruyne (after EVE) Son, Firmino and Mane, too risky?
great info thanks !
Starting to warm to the idea of bringing Clyne in for Valencia. Pool's fixtures are lovely, and he is pretty attacking. Thoughts?
everytime i put Clyne in my WC team i think.. meh, i can get Vertonghen for the same price and i take him out again. if you want cheap, attacking and good fixtures go with Robertson. think he'll match clyne for points over the next 8
Was going to get Vert but he rose to 5.6 🙁
Fixtures are lovely for sure i got on Lovren on the hope they can sort it out at the back over those games but no way on earth would i stretch to 5.5 personally
He's top for chances created by a defender though by some margin
Nowhere near enough to make me think about investing 5.5 for a part ofwhat is right now a gash defence
I have used a trade on Zlatan -> Deeney. What should my second trade be? I could always hold.
5.7 in the bank
Schmeichel
Valencia / Pieters / Stones
Bolasie / Firmino / Redmond / Antonio
Aguero / Deeney / Lukaku
Jaku / Capoue / Evans / Friend
I also did Zlatan to Deeney keeping money itb to upgrade my midfield after GW8.
Def keep your second FT for now, could be injuries over the break etc. GL
Think I may end up keeping Ibrahimovic. As the article shows, his stats are great, and could easily have had a huge haul last week. I can only really try to justify shifting him if using the cash to upgrade elsewhere so that means hits, always risky
He's been dead unlucky to not get points. I don't own but wouldn't lose him if I did.
Yeah, if I had him, I'd be keeping.
He's bound to start scoring soon.
some good reassurance their peeps, thanks!
I made my bed to go for him as part of a big 3 in attack, so I may as well see how it plays out, as i'm still happy with the distribution of funds, if not the immediate results.
I'd like to keep him, he will surely come good soon but keeping him for me would mean not getting Sanchez 🙁
that's pretty tough, and does make it more complicated.
Does Sterling have any rotation risk at all? If a winger was dropped is it most likely to Nolito as shown by the Stoke game?
a little bit, yes. should start most games though
Doesn't seem likely with the way he's playing. Should stay in the side as long as he keeps his form up.
If you were on a WildCard.. would you keep Lukaku(bought at 9.0)?
I would only swap him for Costa/Ibra
Why would you get rid of someone who is consistently getting points?
Yup. was just wondering. as of now he's been in all my drafts 🙂
8.9m to spend on a mid, with Sanchez, Aguero and no Liverpool/Spurs cover who should I get?
a) Son
b) Sterling
c) Coutinho
d) Firmino
e) Wally
f) other
Firmino for me.
Wally
A or D for me
Son, Firm, Wally. In that order for me
-------------------Foster----------------------
----Williams--McAuley--Vertonghen----
--Sterling--Firmino--Walcott--Antonio--
-------------Ibra--Kun--Benteke------------
Bench: Jaku Capoue Amat Souare
Considering going Ibra+Antonio -> Deeney+Sanchez for -4pts, good move?
Not for a hit
Alli
Or
Son
Son
Seeing a lot of suggestions for people to bring in Snodgrass/Robertson.. do you really expect much from them? I know Hull's fixtures have turned now, but they look increasingly poor, the 2nd half against Chelsea could have easily ended up worse than 2-0
Very interested myself but also wary of bringing either in and not seeing results
Basically I have a midfield downgrade as an option but finding myself increasingly looking at Allen instead of Snodgrass.. if Hernandez remains dropped he is on pens but I'm not sure if that's enough for me
I absolutely wouldn't touch Robertson as I don't trust that defence. I've been considering Snodgras but i'm just not sold on them as an attacking force either! I get the feeling that the 'honeymoon is over' for them in the PL now
Snodgrass has only 3 points less than Firmino. He has more than Hazard, Mane, Ozil, Tadic, Alli, etc.
What to do with this lot chaps?
Pickford, Jaku;
Walker, Williams, Holebas, Evans, Amat;
Sanchez, Sterling, Firmino, Antonio, Capoue;
Aguero, Lukaku, Deeney;
2FT 0.1ITB
You need to switch Antonio to Son
0.2 short. Need to squeeze that cash from other FT. What do you reckon? Maybe
Maybe you could downgrade Williams to BOU defender (Smith who's very attacking)? Solid team imo and 4 of their next 5 fixtures look great!
WC Active!
Can I get a rating for the below team?? out of 10
Grant
Vertonghen Matip Nyom
Sanchez Firmino Son Milner
Aguero (C) Benteke Costa
Heaton Fletcher Amat Smith
Thanks
Not strong enough IMO.
@fplgains
If I move Tekkers to Austin I can improve on my def? or replace Milner with Lallana??
Need to lose Costa to deeney maybe to upgrade other areas
Or tinker with 3-5-2, keeping Costa or tekkers and having Sanchez, son, firm/Cout, snoddy, other
Which Spurs def is the best in terms of overall aspects? Walker and Rose bit injury prone? Vert for cost effectiveness? Toby if you have loads of cash?
P/s: Dilemma. Already have Kosc.
Walker injury prone? Absolutely not. Rose has been out for a few weeks but not injury prone either. Can't go wrong with either of those imo
How about rotation risk?
7 years, 7 months agoLook at the size of those numbers!