[sbu_large_image] Injuries
12 February 2011 651 comments
Mark Mark
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With the Gameweek and Wildcard deadline approaching at pace, it’s time to chew the fat with Paddy Power to see if his odds can sway our thinking when it comes to last minute tinkering.

Complete with some double Gameweek specials, a United vs City preview and a tempting Money Back Special on the early kick-off at Old Trafford, here’s this week’s Paddy rundown…

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Arsenal 1.83 (WOL) dgw
  • Liverpool 1.83 (WIG)
  • Chelsea 2.25 (ful)
  • Man United 2.37 (MCY)
  • Blackburn 2.75 (NEW)
  • Birmingham 2.80 (STK) dgw
  • West Brom 3.00 (WHM) dgw
  • Stoke 3.10 (bir)

Even off the back of a home win against league leaders Man United, Wolves are fancied to draw blood against Arsenal this weekend. A poor average of 0.75gsa (goals scored away) this campaign agrees with Paddy’s prediction, however Arsenal’s defence at the Emirates has been prone to a lapse and, if Arsene Wenger rests Johan Djourou for the midweek clash with Barcelona, the home cleanie looks less secure. The smart money says that the Gunners will hold their nerve after being on the receiving end of Newcastle’s record-breaking comeback and if Djourou starts, they look well placed for a fifth shut-out in six league matches.

Liverpool are tied at the top of Paddy’s odds and sport an impressive run of form at the back, with a healthy 0.77gch (goals conceded at home) to boot. Opponents Wigan appear to pose little threat with a mere 0.83gsa and, despite their goal glut in the win over Blackburn. Liverpool meanwhile have amassed four cleensheets in a row, the most recent of which came at Stamford Bridge. Paddy’s odds look pretty sound then, with Martin Kelly (if fit) set to continue to as a strong budget option at the back.

Chelsea and league leaders Man United feature next, both a shade over even money, both facing stern competition. On the road, Chelsea have only attained 3 cleansheets, in comparison to their 8 at home, and face a Fulham side seeming increasingly settled under manager Mark Hughes. This one looks shaky to us – Mark even tipped a home win on the ScoutCast this week. While I’m not sure about that, Chelsea’s cleanie does look vulnerable.

Man City travel down the road to Old Trafford for the second Manchester Derby of the season in the early kick-off. The first clash was a drab affair, offering little for the neutrals. Will we get the same again? Rio Ferdinand’s absence at the back for United will provide City with a few more chinks of light and significantly Paddy’s odds lengthened from 2.20 to 2.37 overnight – perhaps a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome here.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • R Van Persie 1.44 (WOL) dgw
  • L Suarez 1.72 (WIG)
  • D Bent 1.83 (blp)
  • M Chamakh 1.90 (WOL) dgw
  • C Fabregas 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • A Arshavin 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • N Bendtner 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • D Kuyt 2.25 (WIG)
  • D N’Gog 2.25 (WIG)
  • P Odemwingie 2.30 (WHM) dgw
  • F Torres 2.30 (ful)
  • D Drogba 2.30 (ful)
  • T Walcott 2.40 (WOL) dgw
  • W Rooney 2.37 (MCY)
  • D Berbatov 2.37 (MCY)
  • C Vela 2.50 (WHM) dgw
  • DJ Campbell 2.50 (AVL) dgw
  • J Defoe 2.50 (sun) dgw

Robin Van Persie has established himself as the most consistent form striker in the league and it’s no surprise to see him topping the Anytime Goalscorer market this week. Netting 7 goals in his last 4 games and featuring twice in this Gameweek (hopefully),Van Persie has been the hot property this week and will be sporting the armband for thousands against Wolves later today. Paddy’s price here – 1.44 is the shortest they’ve gone for any striker in any game this season. The planets seem to be aligning for Van Persie.

Liverpool’s new hitman Luis Suarez is favoured by Paddy’s odds this week, coming in second in the market. The Uruguayan will be eager to make his mark again following his debut goal and Wigan’s away record of 1.5gca (goals conceded away) should grant him every opportunity if Dalglish throws him in from the start at Anfield.

Steady scorer Darren Bent has been welcomed by Aston Villa faithful, already helping take the scalp of Man City and finding a consolation at Man United. His FPL price of 8.8m looks a bit much for a striker without the lure of a double fixture but Bent certainly looks a handy differential and Paddy rate him this weekend.

Significantly Arsenal are so strongly backed for goals against Wolves, they offer four attacking players with Cesc Fabregas’ odds looking particularly short considering he has yet to catch fire since his return from injury.

Peter Odemwingie once again sits above big guns like Torres, Drogba and Rooney, a sight that is becoming more and more familiar. With Roy Hodgson newly installed at the Hawthorns helm, the Nigerian shouldn’t struggle to find the motivation here and will be expected to improve on his 9-goal season haul. With the Baggies playing both West Ham and Wolves at home in the Gameweek, Fantasy investors will be hoping and expecting for at least a 2 goal return.

Paddy’s United vs City Preview

This afternoon derby promises to be more competitive than it has been for quite some time but from a neutral’s point of view, the biggest concern is that we’ll be served up another turgid display between two sides who have only really managed only a handful of truly convincing performances between them this season.

The way Roberto Mancini has set his teams out against his title rivals doesn’t bode well and another 0-0 draw at 8/1 is a distinct possibility. City have scored just once in five games against United, Spurs, Chelsea and Arsenal, with three of those five games ending 0-0. It’s clear that when the pressure is on the Italian reverts to type and focuses firmly on avoiding defeat. A fifth shut-out against a title rival in this game is 7/2 if you fancy them to hold firm.

Rio Ferdinand, though perhaps over-rated, does form a reliable partnership with Vidic and when he’s been absent from the team this season, Ferguson has struggled to find a satisfactory replacement from his underwhelming list of options. With the addition of Dzeko and the improvement of David Silva, City have been more potent going forward or late and for all his off-field attitude problems, once he’s on the pitch Carlos Tevez has been excellent this season. He may feel he has a point to prove, especially if the home fans get on his back, and he’s well priced at 6/1 to score first and 15/8 to score anytime. He certainly looks better value than the sporadic Berbatov and the not-quite-back-to-his-best Rooney, both of whom are 9/2 to open the scoring.

For all the previous United bashing their record at home is near perfect, which is more of a testament to the manager’s ability to instil belief in his players than it is to the general standard of their play. That record is the reason why the home side are odds on at 4/5 but with Ferdinand gone and their unbeaten run ended, the draw at 12/5 and City to win at 15/4 both provide better value.

Paddy’s Money Back Special…

The Money Back Special is a “Feast or Famine” offer for the early kick-off at Old Trafford. If this game finishes scoreless or it has more than four goals, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score and scorecast singles on the match.

Click here for this and other Paddy odds…

Paddy’s Scout Specials

We’ve had a host of specials from Paddy running this week, all tying in with our double Gameweek selections.

Peter Odemwingie to score 3 or more goals in the Gameweek 7/1 (8.00)

Charlie Adam to score 2 or more goals in the Gameweek 6/1 (7.00)

Arsenal to keep two clean sheets in the Gameweek 5/2 (3.50)

Cesc Fabregas to score 2 or more goals in total in the Gameweek 6/4 (2.50)

Robin Van Persie to score 3 or more goals in total in the Gameweek 13/8 (2.62)

Robert Huth to score a header against Arsenal 16/1 (17.00)

Bet Β£10 Get Β£20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free Β£20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

651 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Back on the horse
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 2 months ago

    probably been asked a million times but are people playing

    1 nani
    2 tevez?

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    1. Attila the Bum
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      Nani, and congratulations mate πŸ™‚

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    2. Magerost
        15 years, 2 months ago

        2 for me

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      • Gargamel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        Congratulations!

        Nani

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      • Back on the horse
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        cheers, bit of a shock to the system!

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    3. Waldaz
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      And the mighty GW27 is here, I'm scared. Good luck everyone.

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      1. Attila the Bum
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        I am a bit too, especially with two yellow and one red flag.
        Good luck. πŸ™‚

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        1. Waldaz
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          hehe, 2 yellows for me too, got rid of the red. Time will tell if it was the right choice.

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    4. Crakers
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      anyone think RVP will play both games??

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      1. Viper
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        me..

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    5. Duckbill
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      Which defender for 4.8m looks good for next 2 gwks?

      what about walker, just dont feel kelly will get a cs against wigan, thats if he starts.

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      1. Attila the Bum
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        Walker probably Buggu

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    6. Commander Makara
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      2 of 3 to pick - help!
      Nani, Tevez, VDV

      currently have Nani on the bench...!

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    7. Absinthe Minded
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      tevez or mireiles? help!!!!!!!

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      1. Fudge
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        for this week probably meireles, but tevez is mr. must-have.

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      2. Damo.
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        Rauuuuullllll

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      3. Shane Warnes Flipper
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        Tevez all the way!

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      4. Viper
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        meireles..

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    8. percussion
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      Who to bench of Tevez, Nani, T.Cahill?

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      1. boofstein
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        I'm going tevez...

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    9. Ninjaa
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      carew and young or defoe and ethers

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    10. trisonetwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      ive found time and time again this season when i cant decide between 2 people they will both end up on the same points.

      so basically the nani/tevez debate will either end 2-2 or 6-6, mark my words!

      same with 1 DGW player vs something like Cahill/Meireles - bound to end on the same.

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        1. Damo.
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          πŸ˜€ Love it

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    12. Onwards
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      Last minute panic: bench Vidic or Kolo Toure?

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      1. statto
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        toure

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      2. Fudge
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        kolo

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      3. Onwards
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers. Benched Vidic πŸ™‚

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    13. statto
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      kelly,

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    14. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      begovic

      wilkinson, djourou, simpson

      fabs, vdv, adam, barton

      tevez, odem, rvp(c)





      vds, nani, kelly, coleman

      go forth and conquer!

      good luck folks

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    15. Baggio84
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      ha, my fpl transfer page just gave me 8 extra million to spend...shame it wouldn't process! has the most ridiculous modfield.

      settled with
      foster
      dawson/huth/djourou
      young/cahill/nani/walcott
      rvp(c)/tevez/odem

      bench of
      VDV/Simspson/kelly

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    16. DickFranDyke
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      Adam to A. Young. Done πŸ˜•

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      1. Viper
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 2 months ago

        VDV -> A.Young done.. Had initially planned not to do anything until 2 mins before the deadline

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    17. Tommy J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 2 months ago

      Let the games begin!

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    18. Mak_Gold
        15 years, 2 months ago

        BOOM??

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        1. Boom!!!
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          i am still here πŸ˜‰

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          1. Mak_Gold
              15 years, 2 months ago

              πŸ™‚ No,I meant is it time up?

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        2. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          tevez out to avenge the evil door!

          FTW

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        3. trisonetwo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          and we are done πŸ˜€

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        4. Aidy
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          Thats all folks, the dishes are done.

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        5. Raheem's perm
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          Just sold Nani last minute for Young! Don't like Utd's fixtures for the rest of the season. Anyone else not have him? I need to feel better about this!

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          1. Aidy
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 2 months ago

            I kept him, but 3 tough games coming up. I got him at basic price so he can be my super sub πŸ™‚

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          2. Johnny Unitas
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 2 months ago

            Was thinking the same thing myself, but have no other United cover, and if United are going to win the league, they have to score, no matter where they are, and Nani should be involved with that.

            BUT, it really was a tough decision and I did Lennon OUT Young IN at 11.29 because I think Young should do well at Blackpool and in the next few weeks, so Young IN was a good decision anyway!

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        6. Jimbo
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          So it's official. Odemwingie captain!

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          1. Boom!!!
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 2 months ago

            +1.

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        7. Absinthe Minded
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          to late, tevez it is!! want him to score now and united to win!!

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        8. Baggio84
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          expecting big things! which means a sub 60 score i know. good luck chaps!

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        9. andy85wsm
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          Only 6 DGW players for me and one of those is Adam. Lots of transfers in my mini league.

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        10. Akers
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          New Strokes song on Soccer AM, nice!

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          1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 2 months ago

            YOU like the strokes?

            'spect

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            1. Damo.
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 2 months ago

              Nice to see/hear they haven't strayed from their way of doing it

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              1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
                • 15 Years
                15 years, 2 months ago

                still mad it's taken 5 years! thank god for solo projects

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                1. Akers
                  • 16 Years
                  15 years, 2 months ago

                  Way too long, but yeah, the solo stuff has been good. Went to see Albert Hammond Jr. on tour for his 1st album actually.

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            2. Akers
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 2 months ago

              ME?

              http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b00y24dr/Zane_Lowe_James_Blake_in_session/

              Skip to 1m20s. 8mins or so of brilliance...

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              1. DickFranDyke
                • 16 Years
                15 years, 2 months ago

                Good stuff. Thanks Akers.

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                1. Akers
                  • 16 Years
                  15 years, 2 months ago

                  Zane Lowe played the new song twice in a row, and four times in total in his 2hr show. Loved it.

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              2. Damo.
                • 16 Years
                15 years, 2 months ago

                Nice one Akers, sun out, Strokes pumping, if that doesn't get ya juiced up for a Saturday? Turn it up!

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          2. Evil Frost
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 2 months ago

            cool, that rival schools one last week was really good

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        11. rick_7
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 2 months ago

          Well that's that. Good luck everyone. 11 DGWers - can't wait. πŸ˜€

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          1. Mak_Gold
              15 years, 2 months ago

              Only 8 for me,but that's ok.At least next week I'll be fine.;-)

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          2. Sly Fly
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 2 months ago

            To quote a few peoples - "I have a bad feeling about this..."

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            1. rick_7
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 2 months ago

              I am disturbed by your lack of faith.

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          3. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 2 months ago

            loving the new strokes song

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          4. Johnny Unitas
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 2 months ago

            Lennon OUT Young IN at the last minute, had 5 out next week as it stood, with threat of Adam too, so made sense, plus, some DGW fever from me as someone who swore blindly that he would never have Lennon in his team again 2 seasons ago.

            I feel better for that decision!

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