[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
12 February 2011 712 comments
Big Dunc Big Dunc
Share:

With eight sides playing twice this Gameweek, it’s impossible to look beyond those teams as sources of possible transfers, and this week’s differential picks predictably focus on those with a double. Looking through this week’s comments however, it seems that almost every wildcard side has the same core of double Gameweek players. Charlie Adam and Peter Odemwingie are the obvious mid priced picks but I can’t understand all the love personally. With Adam’s suspension looming and West Brom’s upcoming fixtures as well as the inevitable bedding in period under their new manager, neither look particularly good investments after this week. If you’re feeling brave then, perhaps we can tempt you away from the obvious with one of the following differential options ….

Wojciech Szczesny

With Lukasz Fabianski ruled out for the season with a shoulder injury, the young Polish keeper looks set to remain first choice for the foreseeable future, and at just 4.5m offers fantastic value for Arsenal’s upcoming double fixture. Arsenal’s two home games makes them the pick of the doubles and with the doubt over Johan Djourou ahead of the Barcelona tie, Szczesny looks the best value option in the Arsenal rearguard for this Gameweek. Arsenal did concede four goals to Newcastle last week, but in Szczesny at least we have a Premier League player that understands the anguish suffered by the millions of Fantasy football players each week, after he hilariously apologised to his fantasy football owners. Perhaps he can have a word with his boss and make sure Van Persie and Fabregas play both games in the double too?

Despite their defensive capitulation last weekend, Arsenal have been strong at the back with four clean sheets in the previous five fixtures, and the only other goal they conceded was the controversial Louis Saha goal that was clearly offside. They would be expected to keep at least one clean sheet of the two, and with the potential for save points on top, Szczesny could prove to be the top goalkeeper of the week. His ownership is currently sat at 1.5%, making him a big differential to the 23% that will be playing Foster.

Jamie O Hara

Despite impressing on loan to Portsmouth last season, the Tottenham midfielder couldn’t make it back into the first eleven and was shipped out on loan to Wolves during January transfer window. He seems to have slotted straight into the side as an attacking midfielder, and looks like becoming influential part of the Wolves attack, making him an excellent fantasy prospect for their upcoming run of fixtures. If you look at his average position in the United game, he was the furthest forward of all Wolves players, and a look at the OPTA stats show he managed three shots in that game as well. When you consider he is on corners and may also take some free-kicks, he should pick up a few assists and goals in the run in. He was subbed on 59 minutes in that game because manager Mick McCarthy was worried that he may get sent off, rather than a lack of fitness and recent comments suggest that he will start the Arsenal game.

Last season O Hara picked up 27 bonus points, an impressive feat considering he was playing in a team that lost 24 of their league 38 games. Looking at similarly priced alternatives, Charlie Adam is one booking away from a suspension, David Bentley will miss Gameweek 28, and Joey Barton is well, Joey Barton. O’Hara looks a strong contender for top budget midfielder over the mid-term then, and if he can catch the bonus judge’s eye in a similar way this season, at 5.1m and an ownership of just 0.2%, he looks an excellent differential prospect.

Leon Best

After the sale of Andy Carroll and yet another injury to Shola Ameobi, Newcastle’s attacking options are starting to look very limited. Thankfully Leon Best appears to have shrugged off the hamstring injury that saw him pull out of the Ireland squad midweek, and will be fit to lead the line against Blackburn. Recent form and the lack of credible alternatives suggest he will be the first choice striker until the end of the season, and barring injury he will surely start both games of Newcastle’s double.

While Carroll will be sorely missed on Tyneside, Newcastle fans will be hoping that Leon Best can go help fill the void he left behind. He went some way to winning them over with a hat-trick in front of the home fans during their 5-0 demolition of West Ham, and he also picked up a goal and an assist in their incredible 4-4 draw with Arsenal last weekend, a game that saw him have six attempts on goal. While all of his goals so far have come at home, trips to Blackburn and Birmingham shouldn’t worry him too much and he will be hoping to further cement his place in the side with another goal or two. Best is available at a bargain basement price of just 4.3m, and is owned by just 0.9% of all FPL managers.

Nikola Zigic

The giant Serbian striker has netted in both of Birmingham’s last two games and is finally starting to look the real deal after an unsettled start to his first season in the Premier League. Before those two matches, he managed just two goals and four assists in 19 games but this can probably be put down to him adjusting to a new league and it would be foolish to write him off based on this early season form. If you look over his entire career, his goals to game ratio before coming to Birmingham, was an incredible 0.64. To put that into context, Didier Drogba’s career ratio is 0.43, Fernando Torres’ is 0.47 and even Cristiano Ronaldo’s is only 0.50. Ok, it is probably wrong to compare these statistics for players in different leagues, but a goal is a goal wherever you play and Zigic certainly knows how to get them.

The loan signing of David Bentley seems to suggest that crosses into the box from wide positions will be a common tactic for Birmingham going forwards, and a look at his OPTA stats clearly backs this up; the on loan midfielder has put in 25 crosses in his last two matches. As the lone front man, this will surely benefit Zigic in terms of goals and assists but It would be unfair to label Zigic as just a β€˜big head on a long stick’ however, he has an unusually good first touch for someone of his height and is just as capable of scoring with his feet as his head. Obafemi Martins is pushing for a starting place, but Zigic will surely keep his place in a 4-4-2 and the two should compliment each other well.

Birmingham’s double consists of home games against Stoke and Newcastle. Both are very winnable and Zigic will fancy his chances of continuing his scoring run. Their blank in Gameweek 28 is a slight issue to potential investors, but as a third striker it would be easy to bench him for that game, assuming you do not already have too many Birmingham, Tottenham or Arsenal players. At 5.3m and an ownership of just 0.9%, Zigic looks the pick of the differentials this week and a short term punt could turn out very well if he continues his fine form.

Best of the Rest

Jermain Defoe is remarkably still looking for his first Premier League goal of the season, but looks to have fully recovered from his injury problems and could see some joy in front of goal in their two away games this week. At 8.4m he is a little pricy, however. Jonas Gutierrez looks like a new player on the wing of Pardew’s new 4-2-3-1 formation and his 6 key passes against Arsenal suggest he could be due an assist or two in their double fixture this week. You can pick up the Newcastle winger for 4.8m, and he is currently owned by just 1.7% of FPL managers. Finally, West Brom’s new manager Roy Hodgson is a big proponent of the 4-4-2, and Carlos Vela may get a chance up front alongside Peter Odemwingie in their double. There is a bit too much uncertainty around the Hawthorns for my liking, but at just 4.4m and an ownership of 0.7%, he is a risky choice that could pay off.

Big Dunc If you're going to get sent off, make sure its for something worthwhile... Follow them on Twitter

712 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. twoofthree
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    so VDV is out. Is it worth keeping him in the team in hopes that he will play the 2nd match?

    I'm playing 5 across the middle:
    VDV, Fabs, Barton, Adam, Nani

    If I dropped VDV, I could bring in Berbatov up front.

    Would you do this?

    Open Controls
    1. joe12
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      not sure about berba. but dropping vdv looks interesting. not too clever if you are losing more than 0.4m though

      Open Controls
      1. Tommy J
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        I'm dropping VDV to the bench

        Open Controls
      2. twoofthree
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        I wasn't going to sell. Just leave him on the bench. I already own Berba too.

        Thing is, if VDV doesn't play then Berba will come in as first sub, anyway.

        The thing that I hate is when the manager brings the player on for 10 minutes or less. Unless he scores in that 10 minutes, he just robs you of a substitution.

        Open Controls
        1. Tommy J
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          I'm always cautious when players miss a hgame through injury-normally means they are eased back in to it. Can't see VDV as vital in a game against Blackpool(no disrespect)and can come on if needed.

          Open Controls
    2. Fudge
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      No, keep VDV in there.

      VDV vs blackpool or Berbasloth vs City and their parked bus.

      If vdv doesn't play at al - Hey presto! Berba gets you 2 points.

      Open Controls
    3. twoofthree
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks guys. I'll leave it. I'm done with fantasy football until this game week is over.

      This thing can consume you.

      Open Controls
  2. Ninjaa
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Lennon or Ashley Young guys??????????

    Open Controls
    1. milo
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Young

      Open Controls
      1. Podgster
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        lennon

        ha - back to square one now aren't ya?

        Open Controls
        1. Cunning Lingerers
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Young, Lennon doesn't play next game week.

          Open Controls
          1. Ninjaa
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            but dgw though

            Open Controls
  3. mouldy_uk
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Current WC team, thoughts please.

    Foster / (Begovic)
    Carr / Huth / Kelly / (Coleman) / (Vidic)
    Nani / Adam / Fabregas / Barton / (Van der Vaart)
    Van Persie (c) / Tevez / Odemwingie
    (8 DGW Players) (0.2 in Bank)

    Open Controls
  4. Qubit
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Stupid question but what circumstances are required for the Arsenal vs Spurs game to be re-scheduled for gwk 28? Or is it just simply up to the FA?

    Open Controls
    1. Tommy J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Clubs have to agree as well(if have a reasoned argument not to)

      Open Controls
      1. Qubit
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        OK, cheers. Looks likely that a points hit is inevitable for me next week. πŸ™‚

        Open Controls
  5. #Swish41
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    would you play tevez, nani or walker? The other two would be on the bench?

    ANd....if you would be so kind...

    lennon, barton, etherington or gardener? All seem much of a muchness though i like barton as he will play GW28 and save me a 4pt hit

    Much appreciated

    Open Controls
    1. ToonTom
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Im def playing Tevez..he can score against anyone and always up for VS Man U...

      Open Controls
    2. Torres76
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      To Joe 12

      I would loose 0.4 on VDV but there is no outstanding candidate to replace him with

      Barton
      Nolan
      Lennon
      Cahill - Tim

      I am tempted by Lennon

      Thoughts Joe? My team is on previous page mate

      Open Controls
  6. ToonTom
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Morning lads

    I have to make a change this week..I have 2 and want to make sure I use one...have 2 for next week

    Only one I can see is Samba to a DGW with better fixtures, but his game this week is pretty good much as it hurts to say so!

    Need to try and make sure got decent team next week..VDV, Fabs,Foster and RVP persie out....Adam potentially too! ANy ideas at all please?!

    Team in link

    Thanks!

    Open Controls
    1. joe12
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      how much u lose on vdv switch?

      Open Controls
      1. ToonTom
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        I bought him for 8.2 so 0.9 diff...0.5 loss, he wont drop that much before he is back...alas!

        Considering just leaving it...doing nothing but that feels wrong!

        But who is a better prospect this GW and next than Samba for the price?

        Open Controls
        1. MrAnderson
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          depends where you are in your privat leagues etc, saving .5 means nothing at the end of the day unless its for future transfers etc. so if its worth losing .5 for 4 points take it i say. Thing is, having a player like van der vart is not really that good as everyone as him but not having him could prove disastrous.Like i said, depends whther you want to play safe or go for a differential.

          Open Controls
  7. Girasoli
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    I have been working on my WC team since last Saturday, based on form and (still) on likely price changes but without checking here on FFS much.

    Now I check back here, I see I've ended up with almost the same team as everybody else. I'm not going to rescue a disastrous season this way.

    Foster (Begovic)
    R Johnson, Vidic, Huth (Kelly & Coleman)
    Fabregas, Barton, Walcott, Adam (Nani)
    Tévez, Capt RVP, Odemwingie

    There's no need to rate it cos you've seen it all before. Big worry is, just one injury and I'm short of players for GW 28.

    Open Controls
    1. Twelve years a slave
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      much rather kelly than vidic this week

      Open Controls
    2. Qubit
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      plus Adam is 1 yellow away from a ban

      Open Controls
  8. milo
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    2 from Nani, VdV & Berbatov...

    Cheers guys.

    Open Controls
    1. joe12
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      nani and berba for me. but i am gonna bin vdv (below)

      Open Controls
  9. joe12
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    repost for ur thoughts ....

    this week
    vdv-> barton

    next week
    carr-> coleman
    morrison->ashley webcam young

    brilliant, eh?

    Open Controls
  10. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Huth Vidic Jara Kelly R Johnson
    Pick 3 please

    Open Controls
    1. milo
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Huth, Kelly & Johnson

      Open Controls
      1. Fudge
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        If you don't play Jara this gameweek when DO you play him?

        Actually, scratch that πŸ˜‰

        Open Controls
        1. For Fuchs Sake
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Yeah not convinced by some of the scout picks!! Might put Walker in my Wildcard team.

          Open Controls
          1. Fudge
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 1 month ago

            Took him out this week for R. Johnson, but I'll bring him back soon, great cheap way into Villa's extremely good fixtures πŸ™‚

            Open Controls
  11. mouldy_uk
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    (A) Walcott & Johnson
    or
    (B) Fabregas & Carr

    Open Controls
  12. bhargi
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Playing
    Foster
    Kelly, Djourou, Carr, Vidic
    Fab, Ferguson, Nani, Adam
    Odemwingie, RVP (c)
    Bench, Begovic, VDV, Tevez, Walker

    Play Vidic or VDV or Tevez ??

    Open Controls
  13. LiamG
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Better options than Mouyokolo & Krul for my subs?

    Open Controls
    1. milo
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Anyone that'll actually play?! Are you on WC?

      Open Controls
      1. LiamG
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah

        Open Controls
  14. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    I don't have any Birmingham players in my team this week... I don't think it's worth getting them as I can't see them keeping any cleansheets and they don't exactly score lot's of goals...

    Open Controls
  15. Fudge
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Was just looking at odds for Hernandez to score today (it's gonna happen)

    1.2 compared to Nani at 2.25.. not great. Bookies know he's gonna score πŸ˜‰

    Open Controls
    1. Fudge
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Hernandez to score and Utd win 3/1.. hmm..

      Open Controls
  16. Chockster23
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Will Berba start today?.. Seriously considering Odem for him..

    Open Controls
    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Do it! DGW against a low scoring Manchester derby in my opinion.

      Open Controls
  17. jollybrown
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Hmm, Adam with 2 games (yellow cards hanging over him) or Ashley Young?

    Open Controls
    1. everyday, i'm shufflin…
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      leaning towards Young now.

      Open Controls
      1. jollybrown
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Me too I think, just feels wrong to take out a double gamer.

        Open Controls
  18. zotter
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Worth taking four pt hit Gordon >>> chesney?

    I already got myhill too

    Open Controls
  19. Da Diggy Diggy Doc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone on wildcard bringing Tim Cahill in this week?

    Have Walcott and can't did anyone to fill my final midfield spot. Seems a bit of a waste not to bring a doubler in!

    Open Controls
    1. Da Diggy Diggy Doc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      *can't find

      Open Controls
    2. GinjaWhinja
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I want to but I'm waiting until next gameweek to do the switch. Just too many midfielders to choose from!

      Open Controls
    3. ronaldinho83
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I wildcarded but left enough in the bank to bring him in next week. It was a coin-toss between him and Ashley Young this GW for me.

      Open Controls
    4. Mole
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      deciding whether to do Nani -> cahill this week or next????

      Open Controls
      1. ronaldinho83
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Mole, I thought of the same thing but kept Nani in the feint hope he'll have a DGW next week.
        But if you're planning on doing it next week anyway I'd go ahead and do it now - Cahill will be playing high up the pitch and the game should be more open than the Old Twafford game.

        Open Controls
  20. alang
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Nolan or brunt? Already have odem

    Open Controls
    1. mouldy_uk
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Nolan

      Open Controls
  21. ToonTom
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Any opinions...

    If Samba is going, who for about 5.5 is same / better fixures this DGW and next GW?

    Open Controls
  22. joe12
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    vdv -> barton
    yay or nay

    will lose 0.3m only

    Open Controls
    1. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      NEVER!

      Open Controls
    2. lightspeed
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      looking at same move

      struggling to pull the trigger as it doesnt seem right πŸ˜‰

      what makes sense is:

      VDV = 2 games MAX between GW27 & GW29

      BARTON = 4 games between GW27 & GW29

      Over that period i think Bartons returns will be similar to that of VDV - no worse, but have the potential to be better

      Open Controls
  23. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Is it worth having either R Johnson over Enrique or Lennon over Young for this week only, bearing in mind either would cost me a 4 point hit in GW28?

    Open Controls
    1. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      affirmative. of course it is man!

      Open Controls
  24. ronaldinho83
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Vidic, Tevez, & Coleman on the BENCH?
    This feels wrong!

    This WC would be a whole lot easier if Arsenal, Birmingham and Spurs were playing next week. How about starting a FaceBook campaign demanding two of them play - to ease the stress and blood-pressure levels of the millions of poor FPL players?

    Open Controls
  25. jayzico
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    same old predictable games day in day out. SOOOOOOOO BORING! gone are the days when u could chuck ron in as your captain (for the SEASON!) and just have fun with the rest πŸ™

    Open Controls
    1. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      LOL *TEAMS NOT GAMES lol

      Open Controls
  26. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Is it worth playing Huth for the DGW, two tricky away fixtures and Stoke awful away from home!

    Open Controls
    1. GinjaWhinja
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      I was just thinking the same myself this morning...

      Open Controls
    2. Safety First
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Yes it's worth it

      Open Controls
  27. js8848
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Who to bench out of Tevez, Nani and VdV...am leaning to VdV at the moment

    Open Controls
  28. Ich bin Klopp
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Cahill or Young, Cahill or Young, Cahill or Young, Cahill or Young, Cahill or Young, Cahill or Young, Cahill or Young, Cahill or Young, Cahill or Young, Cahill or Young, Cahill or Young, Cahill or Young, Cahill or Young???

    Open Controls
    1. mouldy_uk
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      Young for this GW, then bring in Cahill later

      Open Controls
    2. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp,fab or rvp???

      Open Controls
      1. Qubit
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Fabs for me, he has slightly better form at home believe it or not.

        Open Controls
    3. Fudge
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      for this week, Young imo.

      I'm gonna have both from next week on though.

      Open Controls
      1. Ich bin Klopp
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 1 month ago

        Young it is! ... or maybe Lennon???

        Open Controls
        1. Fudge
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 1 month ago

          Young.

          Just look at that glorious gw 28 fixture πŸ˜‰

          Open Controls
  29. LiamG
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    Szczensey

    R.Johnson–Baines–Coleman

    Fabregas–Nolan–Gutiererez–Brunt

    Van Persie–Odemwingie–Bent

    SUBS : Kolarov,Cahill,Mouyokoko,Krul

    Thats using my WC, But i need better options than krul and Mouyokolo

    got 1.5million spare but fancied keeping most of that for future transfers

    Open Controls
  30. Fudge
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 1 month ago

    "Lol big derby today utd v city !! City fans enjoying breakfast in bed were as utd fans are stuck on motorways up and down the country !!"

    Robbie Savage. Teehee.

    Open Controls
    1. etxeberria
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 1 month ago

      haha

      Open Controls