[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
23 April 2011 443 comments
Mark Mark
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With Craig Gardner and Robin Van Persie both coming in for us in the last gameweek, we’ve now had three wins over three weeks of fluttering and somehow, we’re still in profit. Giddy by such success, it’s time to clutch another crisp tenner and throw it Paddy Power’s way on a number of Fantasy themed bets…

So far our “bet of the week” has come off for us in consecutive weeks. The £3 bet on Birmingham’s Craig Gardner to score against Sunderland worked out and, before that a similar stake on Bolton’s Daniel Sturridge to score a brace against West Ham. Sturridge is in the mix again with his double gameweek fixtures and Paddy have offered us odds of 6/1 on the Chelsea loanee scoring in both his games – against Arsenal and at Fulham. It’s a big ask for the Trotters’ hitman, but he has the form and didn’t let us down last time – this is our biggest stake then – we will bung down £3 on Sturridge to notch in both his gameweek fixtures.

We’ve discussed plenty of other strikers this week and Fulham’s Bobby Zamora is another name who is fiercely fancied with his two fixtures. Paddy are tempting us with odds of 9/2 on the Fulham striker to notch in both his matches – against Wolves and Stoke – we’ll take that and lay down another £2 there.

Similarly, Stoke’s out of position prospect Jon Walters has been subject our Watchlist article and has found his way alongside Zamora, on our Scout Picks bench. Walters takes outstanding form into the gameweek and again, odds of 13/2 on goals in both his games at Villa and against Wolves look decent enough. Another £2 goes on this one then.

Jamie O’Hara has been omitted from our Scout Picks – some of you have been somewhat surprised by that. The fact is, I don’t fancy Wolves to shake themselves out of their current slump and save themselves, although there’s little doubt in my mind that O’Hara will be the key figure if I’m proved wrong. With Wolves at home to Fulham today, I’ll cover my reluctance to back O’Hara in the picks by throwing down some cash on him to notch a goal. Paddy have offered 11/4 on an anytime goal and I’ll put another £2 on that.

My final quid coin goes on the Clean Sheet Accumulator as always. We narrowly missed out on this last week with West Brom’s goal against Chelsea ruining our three-team selection. The choices this week look slightly more secure perhaps, with Liverpool (vs Birmingham), Chelsea (vs West Ham) and United (vs Everton) all backed at 13/2.

That’s our “Fluttering” over for another week, let’s stay with Paddy a little longer and take in his Clean Sheet and Anytime Scorer odds.

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Chelsea 1.83
  • Man United 1.90
  • Liverpool 2.00
  • Tottenham 2.40
  • Aston Villa 2.40
  • Arsenal 2.62
  • Man City 2.62
  • Sunderland 2.62

Despite conceding in consecutive 3-1 wins, Carlo Ancelotti’s Chelsea are topping Paddy’s clean sheet odds from United in second. In Fantasy terms, both offer an issue in that rotation is a threat. Ancelotti has stated that he will tinker, although we’re not clear whether this will extend to the back four, where Branislav Ivanovic threatens any number of Chelsea starters with his recall to the side. As for United, the right-back situation remains cloudy with Rafael now back in the mix and, with the Schalke tie on Tuesday, it’s unclear whether Rio Ferdinand will return or if Chris Smalling will get another run-out. United are a strong option if you’ve the cash to a lay on Nemanja Vidic or Patrice Evra. For me, I’m just a little worried about an in-form Everton nicking a goal.

Liverpool and Villa look to be sound alternatives. The Anfield defensive record is strong and I’m not convinced by the threat posed by visiting Birmingham. Villa meanwhile will be looking to cheer Gerard Houllier in his hospital bed and are up against a Stoke side who have travelled badly all season.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • D Drogba 1.57
  • F Torres 1.72
  • W Rooney 1.72
  • F Lampard 1.83
  • N Anelka 1.83
  • L Suarez 1.90
  • R Van Persie 1.90
  • D Bent 2.10
  • P Crouch 2.10
  • R Van der Vaart 2.10
  • J Defoe 2.10
  • S Kalou 2.20
  • A Carroll 2.25
  • D Kuyt 2.25
  • R Pavlyuchenko 2.30
  • F Malouda 2.30
  • M Balotelli 2.30

Something that’s clear from the off – Paddy are backing a heavy victory for Chelsea over West Ham. Didier Drogba’s position at the top of their “Anytime Goalscorer” rankings is perhaps not surprising given his current run of form, but, with Ancelotti indicating that he may start with Fernando Torres, in Fantasy terms, Drogba is far from a sure-thing.

Frank Lampard’s odds are particularly interesting – Paddy feel that he is more likely to score against West Ham than Robin Van Persie is to notch at Bolton. That’s pretty surprising given the Dutchman’s consistency right now, but underlines Lampard’s potential against his former club.

No surprise to see Rafael Van der Vaart in the mix at the top – after his stunning showing against the Gunners, he’s got to be well backed to inflict damage against the Baggies.

For me, the darkhorse there is Liverpool’s Luis Suarez. With all the transfer traffic going the way of double gameweek investments, I see Suarez as a big prospect at home to Birmingham and profit seems very likely in a Liverpool win. Paddy appears to feel the same with odds just under evens on a Suarez goal today.

Paddy’s Money Back Special

Paddy calls in at Old Trafford for his refund offering this weekend. If there are more than 4 goals at between United and Everton, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st/Last Goalscorer, Correct Score & Scorecast singles on the match.

Bet £10 Get £20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions. Also, if you’re going to bet, always gamble responsibly.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

443 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Tommy J
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Can't believe prices rises

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    1. Tommy J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      *A bit late on my transfers this week!

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      1. Perthite
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        I wonder if there will be plenty jumping straight off at the first opportunity to avoid the daily price drops.

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  2. Hegsmouth
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Ok, here's what I'm thinking for this week.

    Djourou > Huth
    Nani > Dempsey
    Zigic > Strurridge

    Would leave my team looking like this...

    Foster (Harper)
    Vidic/Kolorov/Luiz/Huth (Djourou)
    Lampard/Barton/Dempsey/Nasri (Adam)
    Sturridge/RVP

    Thoughts?

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    1. Hegsmouth
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Sorry, Coleman sub not Djourou!

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      1. Verbal
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Adam over Nasri. RVP is enough Arsenal cover.

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  3. villian-ty
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Keep switching captains between Zamora and VDV. What to go for?

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      I'm a Wolves fan and I recommend VDV; Wolves will be extra tight today.

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    2. Nastradamus
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Think granville predicted a WBA upset.

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      1. Granville
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Spurs have found it difficult to break down teams unless they play open. WBA could frustrate. Feel free to Buggumark and tell me how wrong I was.

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        1. Lieutenant
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          @Granville: Thinking of doing both Nani and Nasri to Van der Vaart and O'Hara. Might as well do only Nasri to O'Hara, then?

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          1. Granville
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            VDV could also have a field day, no one knows. Although Mark think he knows.

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  4. 4-4-who?
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Valencia or Nani?

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  5. uʍopǝpısdn
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Should I do Carroll out and Zamora in for 4 point hit?

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      No. Wolves 2 pts; Bolton 5 pts...

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  6. Button Phobic
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone else worried they havent got enough Chelsea cover at the moment. I've only got Luis and think they may be finishing the season how they started. prticularly worried about Malouda and Drog!

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      I'd take Malouda if you can afford it

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  7. Random_Guy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Walcott or Downing out for Dempsey?

    Who to captain: Lampard, RVP or Dempsey?

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  8. BSH
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Team is horrendous right now and need some assistance,trailing mii leage and need to start taking some gambles.

    Foster (Harper)

    Luiz Walker Coleman (Jones Kelly)

    Lampard Nasri Nani Adam AYoung

    RVP Torres (Odemwingie)

    Have 2 free transfers and £0 in bank. was condsidering Zamora and O'hara or Zamora and Balotelli but unsure who to sub. Suggestions appreciated.

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      I've gone O'Hara (c); definite BPs if Wolves get a result, plus a goal threat.

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  9. Gaz_b
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Who to bench?

    A young
    B Adam
    C nani

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Young

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    2. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Valenica or Nani?

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      1. Button Phobic
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Valencia just

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    3. dierstraights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      adam

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  10. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    C'mon Everton 😉

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Another away win against the run of play on the cards? Dial up three shots, three goals including two miracle strikes...

      ..or how about 2-0 Manu Utd?

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  11. Gaz_b
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Nani

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  12. Dave Bauer
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Who should I bring in for Berba, Drogba or Sturridge?

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    1. gooner dave
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      what about bobby Z? think i'd get him in out of all dgw forwards myself.

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  13. gooner dave
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Really thinking seriously about getting rid of nani. However fully aware it could bite me in the a***.

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    1. Declan
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      me too, for who though? VDV, Ethers, Dempsey

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      1. gooner dave
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        right now im thinking nasri out for vdv and nani out for dempsey. Still not sure though.

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        1. Declan
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          I did Nasri to Kuyt!

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          1. gooner dave
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            nice one. and good luck with that. I know when i bring the likes of kuyt into my team.....then i'm guaranteed nothing but a couple of points. Got enough of that with torres atm.

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    2. Retro
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      I've shipped him out for VDV. I think he'll play but could be an unproductive couple of weeks for him.

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  14. bds
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    So Carew seems eligible to play, does that mean Walters will be dropped?

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    1. Mark
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 19 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Pulis has said that Carew will figure at Villa....likely to be on the bench imo but will see action.

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      1. si
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        3 games in a week so I think Carew will start one of them. My concern is that Walters will make way midweek.

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        1. Lieutenant
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Good morning, si!

          What are you thinking about doing with Lennon or Nasri? Currently I am looking at the potential of O'Hara, Kuyt and Van der Vaart. Just can't seem to narrow it down. What do you think?

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          1. si
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            My issue with VDV is Chelsea (a) next week. Kuyt would appeal if Carroll is injured but I wouldn't invest in him at his price. Jarvis would probably be my pick.

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            1. Lieutenant
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 11 months ago

              Yeah, my exact thought. Don't have enough replacements to bench VDV next week. Also thinking about getting rid of Nani, to be honest.

              This is confusing, Jarvis? I was about to do Nasri to Jarvis. Are you just throwing a name out in the air, or do you seriously consider getting him in, Jarvis, that is?

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  15. Gaz_b
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Drogba, bervatovs picked up an injury hasnt he

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  16. Seal
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    ehterington or go all out for a kakuta differential??

    only ones a can afford. well maybe walters too

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    1. Villan14
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      etherington, i think most others will go for FUlham so a good differential

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  17. bensellars12
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    My team at the mo is:

    Foster,
    Luiz, Simpson, Shawcross,
    Nani, Lampard, Adam, Nasri,
    Drogba, Carol, RVP
    Subs(Stockdale, Carr, Johnson, Ferguson)

    Not great for this gamesweek - little DGW cover, too many question marks over whether players will start (Drogba, Carol, Nani?) and no good subs to cover them.

    keep it cool with one of the below? or take a hit for more?

    Carol>Sturridge
    Foster>Schwazer
    Nasri>Dempsey

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    1. Kenncam
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      If any, Carroll to Sturridge as Carroll could be out. Bolton good end of season fixtures. Brum good fixtures soon, and Foster gets save points most week. Don't see why Nasri can't score as much v Bolton as Dempsey in his 2 games.

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      1. si
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        I fancy Nasri to outscore him.

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  18. jamsiep
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    VDV stats this season are quite odd. He's either scored in 100% of the games he's played against a team, or in 0% of them.

    He didn't score at West Brom. 😉

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      so 2-3 points then 😉

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    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      He loves the "A" team.

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        teams*

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    3. Fancy Feet
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      interesting

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  19. Villan14
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    IS begovic always first choice? or sorenson a risk?

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    1. Mark
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 19 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Begovic starts today...confirmed by Pulis...in team news

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      1. Villan14
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        cheers, but will he play both, worried he may be rested 2nd game for the cup

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        1. Kenncam
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          If i was Sorenson and had played all the FA cup games, i'd be a bit pissed if i was dropped for Begovic just for the final!

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          1. Villan14
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            True True,cheers guys

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  20. 4-4-who?
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    C'mon you Wolves; fancy a home win today 2-1...

    West Ham bottom by tea-time 🙂

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  21. G0SS
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    4 point hit to swap Wilshere, Coleman and NANI for VDV, ethers and Hangeland.

    Yes??? No???

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Never take a hit for a Stoke City player....one good performance at Wembley doesn't change a side

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      1. G0SS
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Ive had enough of Wilshere though?

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  22. Alonso14
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Capt HELLLLLLP

    Currently on Lampard but help required:

    1. Lampard
    2. VDV
    3. Zamora
    4. RVP

    Such an important week!!!!?????

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Go Zamora and enjoy crying into your pint tonight 🙂

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    2. Orion
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Same problem.... Lamps for now

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    3. McEwan
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Stick with Lampard

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  23. Hman
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    hi guys, could i get your thoughts on any of these transfers

    nasri and zigic for ethers and zamora

    or

    terry and zigic for hangeland/cahill and zamora

    or

    terry nasri and zigic for hangeland/cahill VDV and zamora ?

    really stuck and am chasing a 30 point lead?

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    1. Hman
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      is there logic in an 8 point hit this gw?

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      1. Orion
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        no

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        1. Hman
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          what about a 4 point then moving in 2 dgw players? 🙂

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    2. Nibbsy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Don't get rid of Terry. I did the first one, so I'd say do that.

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      1. Hman
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        thanks for the advice, yeah getting rid of terry will be silly vs west ham

        Do you think theres a better midfield option than ethers?

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  24. catch22
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    who to leave on bench
    1 nasri
    2 adam
    3 caroll

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      nasri!

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    2. TOP 20K
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      carroll

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  25. catch22
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    or 4 walcott

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  26. gooner dave
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    After having 8 dgw players last week (well 7 really as torres doesn'T really count) i go into this gw with 2 (huth and begovic).

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      i also have only 2 :zamora and ethers 🙂

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      1. gooner dave
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        prefer to have 2 attacking players than defenders though boom.

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  27. planty81
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    WILDCARD to play today.

    2nd in my mini league... 47 pts off the top.

    Main rivals squad last week was...

    Begovic/Foster
    Huth/R.Johnson/Luiz/Koscielny/Jagielka
    Nani/Lampard/Walters/Adam/Essien
    Odemwingie/RVP/Hernandez

    He's made 2 transfers this week.

    What would you do?????????????????

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      hernandez out and essien out for dempsey and sturridge/zamora imo...

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    2. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      what is ur wc team?

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      1. planty81
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        I currently have...

        Foster/Begovic
        A.Cole/Luiz/Carr/Samba/Coleman
        Adam/Nani/Nasri/Lampard/Walcott
        Zigic/RVP/Hernandez

        WILDCARD to play today.... What do I do???

        HELP

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  28. Damp
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Question?!?
    Is Lampard the only player to score 10 or more goals in seven straight seasons ever?? He might grab it for the eight straight this year...

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    1. Random_Guy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      It's gonna be tight. 3 goals from 5 matches.

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    2. Dick_Whitman
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      No, Henry scored 10 or more in 8 seasons running at Arsenal

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  29. Random_Guy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Who to captain? Dempsey, Lampard or RVP????

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  30. Fancy Feet
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    VDV or Etherington?

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    1. gooner dave
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      vdv without a doubt. barring injury you can keep him for the duration

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