[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
23 April 2011 443 comments
Mark Mark
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With Craig Gardner and Robin Van Persie both coming in for us in the last gameweek, we’ve now had three wins over three weeks of fluttering and somehow, we’re still in profit. Giddy by such success, it’s time to clutch another crisp tenner and throw it Paddy Power’s way on a number of Fantasy themed bets…

So far our “bet of the week” has come off for us in consecutive weeks. The £3 bet on Birmingham’s Craig Gardner to score against Sunderland worked out and, before that a similar stake on Bolton’s Daniel Sturridge to score a brace against West Ham. Sturridge is in the mix again with his double gameweek fixtures and Paddy have offered us odds of 6/1 on the Chelsea loanee scoring in both his games – against Arsenal and at Fulham. It’s a big ask for the Trotters’ hitman, but he has the form and didn’t let us down last time – this is our biggest stake then – we will bung down £3 on Sturridge to notch in both his gameweek fixtures.

We’ve discussed plenty of other strikers this week and Fulham’s Bobby Zamora is another name who is fiercely fancied with his two fixtures. Paddy are tempting us with odds of 9/2 on the Fulham striker to notch in both his matches – against Wolves and Stoke – we’ll take that and lay down another £2 there.

Similarly, Stoke’s out of position prospect Jon Walters has been subject our Watchlist article and has found his way alongside Zamora, on our Scout Picks bench. Walters takes outstanding form into the gameweek and again, odds of 13/2 on goals in both his games at Villa and against Wolves look decent enough. Another £2 goes on this one then.

Jamie O’Hara has been omitted from our Scout Picks – some of you have been somewhat surprised by that. The fact is, I don’t fancy Wolves to shake themselves out of their current slump and save themselves, although there’s little doubt in my mind that O’Hara will be the key figure if I’m proved wrong. With Wolves at home to Fulham today, I’ll cover my reluctance to back O’Hara in the picks by throwing down some cash on him to notch a goal. Paddy have offered 11/4 on an anytime goal and I’ll put another £2 on that.

My final quid coin goes on the Clean Sheet Accumulator as always. We narrowly missed out on this last week with West Brom’s goal against Chelsea ruining our three-team selection. The choices this week look slightly more secure perhaps, with Liverpool (vs Birmingham), Chelsea (vs West Ham) and United (vs Everton) all backed at 13/2.

That’s our “Fluttering” over for another week, let’s stay with Paddy a little longer and take in his Clean Sheet and Anytime Scorer odds.

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Chelsea 1.83
  • Man United 1.90
  • Liverpool 2.00
  • Tottenham 2.40
  • Aston Villa 2.40
  • Arsenal 2.62
  • Man City 2.62
  • Sunderland 2.62

Despite conceding in consecutive 3-1 wins, Carlo Ancelotti’s Chelsea are topping Paddy’s clean sheet odds from United in second. In Fantasy terms, both offer an issue in that rotation is a threat. Ancelotti has stated that he will tinker, although we’re not clear whether this will extend to the back four, where Branislav Ivanovic threatens any number of Chelsea starters with his recall to the side. As for United, the right-back situation remains cloudy with Rafael now back in the mix and, with the Schalke tie on Tuesday, it’s unclear whether Rio Ferdinand will return or if Chris Smalling will get another run-out. United are a strong option if you’ve the cash to a lay on Nemanja Vidic or Patrice Evra. For me, I’m just a little worried about an in-form Everton nicking a goal.

Liverpool and Villa look to be sound alternatives. The Anfield defensive record is strong and I’m not convinced by the threat posed by visiting Birmingham. Villa meanwhile will be looking to cheer Gerard Houllier in his hospital bed and are up against a Stoke side who have travelled badly all season.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • D Drogba 1.57
  • F Torres 1.72
  • W Rooney 1.72
  • F Lampard 1.83
  • N Anelka 1.83
  • L Suarez 1.90
  • R Van Persie 1.90
  • D Bent 2.10
  • P Crouch 2.10
  • R Van der Vaart 2.10
  • J Defoe 2.10
  • S Kalou 2.20
  • A Carroll 2.25
  • D Kuyt 2.25
  • R Pavlyuchenko 2.30
  • F Malouda 2.30
  • M Balotelli 2.30

Something that’s clear from the off – Paddy are backing a heavy victory for Chelsea over West Ham. Didier Drogba’s position at the top of their “Anytime Goalscorer” rankings is perhaps not surprising given his current run of form, but, with Ancelotti indicating that he may start with Fernando Torres, in Fantasy terms, Drogba is far from a sure-thing.

Frank Lampard’s odds are particularly interesting – Paddy feel that he is more likely to score against West Ham than Robin Van Persie is to notch at Bolton. That’s pretty surprising given the Dutchman’s consistency right now, but underlines Lampard’s potential against his former club.

No surprise to see Rafael Van der Vaart in the mix at the top – after his stunning showing against the Gunners, he’s got to be well backed to inflict damage against the Baggies.

For me, the darkhorse there is Liverpool’s Luis Suarez. With all the transfer traffic going the way of double gameweek investments, I see Suarez as a big prospect at home to Birmingham and profit seems very likely in a Liverpool win. Paddy appears to feel the same with odds just under evens on a Suarez goal today.

Paddy’s Money Back Special

Paddy calls in at Old Trafford for his refund offering this weekend. If there are more than 4 goals at between United and Everton, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st/Last Goalscorer, Correct Score & Scorecast singles on the match.

Bet £10 Get £20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions. Also, if you’re going to bet, always gamble responsibly.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

443 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Does the fact that carew being able to play mean Walters could play less now. Could be deciding factor over him or ethrington?

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    1. Seal
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      my thoughts too?

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      1. timski8000
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Stoke fan here - Walters will play alongside EITHER Carew or Jones.

        Pulis does not seem to fancy two of the big men together - too similar.

        Biggest threat to Walters is that Etherington will be wrapped in cotton wool for Wembley - I see him getting subbed regularly on 70 mins - Walters will most probably be asked to fill in wide left.

        BTW - Carew is on loan and cannot play against parent club Villa.

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  2. Nibbsy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Should I get Begovic in for a hit, or just play foster?

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    1. Nibbsy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Oh yeah I've already got Huth, so would mean doubling on Stoke.

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      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Who is your other keeper?

        I'd probably just play Foster.

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        1. Nibbsy
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Gordon. Can't see foster getting anything at Liverpool though.

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          1. Epic Fail
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            It's all about save points. He gets them nearly every week. He's a season keeper if you haven't got a decent 2nd goalie.

            I think the points hit may work out for this week, but not in the long run.

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            1. Epic Fail
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 11 months ago

              Oh I think I misread. Thought you meant getting rid of Foster. Obv dont get rid.

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      2. Twisted Saltergater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        I had that choice and went with Schwarzer. Foster's fixtures are nicer after the DGW.

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        1. Nibbsy
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          That's a good shout actually. I'm gonna be playing foster every week except gw36, will look at schwarzers fixture that week. Cheers.

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          1. The Wizard of Ozil
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            think im just gona play foster

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  3. Ye
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Need some advise on my team:

    Al-Habsi (Foster)
    Luiz Vidic Walker (Coleman) (Kelly)
    Barton Nani Fabregas Adam Lampard(C)
    RVP Carroll (Odemwingie)

    I have 1.4M in the bank.

    Where do you guys think I should make changes? Bring in Begovic and Hangeland for Al-Habsi and Coleman or does anyone think I should make changes in the midfield?

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    1. Ye
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      p.s. only have one free transfer and now i'm hearing Carroll might be a doubt?!

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    2. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      I see someone else who has chosen to bench Odemwingie over Adam. Hope it works out nicely!

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      1. Ye
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        yeah, he may play if Carroll doesn't though, I dont know whether to get rid of Barton or Odemwingie for a double gameweek player

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  4. arfa
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    anyone knoew if O'Hara is on penalties?

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      he is not on pens...seb is the first choice and then milijas if he starts...

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    2. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Not sure; it was Milijas (missed vs Stoke in FA Cup) and Doyle (injured). I reckon Fletcher or Ebanks-Blake..

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      1. arfa
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        sounds a mystery then...im getting him in for the baps

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  5. ManTree(v2!) or just JAY!
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Hey all need some urgent help pls!

    Current team including this weeks free transfer:

    VDS (mignolet)
    Walker, hangeland, luiz (Carr, Coleman)
    Nani, young, Adam, nasri (wilshere)
    Drogba (c), RVP, Zamora

    Worth Etherington in for wilshere for -4??

    Then who to bench?!

    Also drogba or Zamora captain?

    Reply pls!

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    1. Nibbsy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Don't do the transfer.

      Captain drogba.

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    2. Kenncam
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      I'd leave it, just because you wouldn't know who to bench. Don't believe he will be dropped but Ancelotti hinted he will be, so Drog (c) is a risk. RVP in great form, so would be another choice.

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  6. 4-4-who?
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Ebanks-Blake (c) anyone?

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  7. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Huth captain anyone?

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  8. Granville
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Kuyt is one I'd like today really but I'm holding off, last time I got him he returned me nothing.

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    1. Dirty_Harry
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      I know what you mean. I was looking at meirelis (sp?) but then thought no kuyt is the one on fire and penalties. But still can't do it. I've been stung by him a couple of times in past seasons plus I've got Carroll which should be enough cover.

      It's the Dempsey transfer I'm stuck on. It's his fixtures after that are stopping me especially as we only got 5 transfers left

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  9. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Think of just Zigic -> Zamora this week. No hits but means I only have 1 DGWer. Any hits needed?

    Foster
    Luiz, Terry, Kolarov
    Fabregas, Nasri, Adam A Young, VDV
    RVP(c), Zamora

    Subs: Stockdale, Welbeck, Baines, Kelly
    Bank: 0.0m

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  10. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    Going Lampard today as (C) with Scott Parker missing West Ham will be like a bunch of sitting ducks..

    Got a strong feeling that Torres will start today and score..

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    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      I'm sooo close to giving Frank the armband too. Etherington has it at the moment.

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  11. Be
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 months ago

    oh oh, did a few very drunk transfers last night

    tezez to zamora (capt)
    nasri to dempsy
    Elikobi to hangaland

    honestly dont remember doing it,ok? good? bad?...

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    1. milanista
        14 years, 11 months ago

        very good for this week id say but fulham's fixtures are not great after that !

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        1. Be
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          mmm, think i may live to regret it, then again if it comes off!! bit of a balls or bust week we aint got many games left...

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    2. Back on the horse
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      got ohara in last night. not feeling confident about it. 😕

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      1. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        I would not feel confident about any Wolves player

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        1. 4-4-who?
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Syd, Man C got found out at Molineux earlier this season...we have been awesome at home (except Liverpool and Everton..)

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      2. 4-4-who?
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Keep the faith. I'm looking forward to seeing a fantastic Wolves win today.

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    3. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      April 23 at 10 :06 am

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      1. Boom!!!
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        ?

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      2. FPL Daniel
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Reply
        daniel.mf says :
        April 23 at 10 :06 am
        bye bye Nani welcome Clint the armband .
        even if he plays Eve r in form and love to
        play against the big side. He is against Phill
        cause Valencia surely gonna start . While
        Nani is having ars, CHE i will have my city
        and tot mids playing doubles . Yeah he is
        good but he has twice less games and twice
        more difficult . And he is not CR 7 fantasy
        wise imo

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        1. Boom!!!
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          if nani starts he will play against hibbert btw 😉

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      3. Retro
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Nice.

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    4. longside1
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 11 months ago

      Hi guys,

      Need a bit of help. Here's my cr@p team:

      Foster
      Luiz Carr Elmohamady Shawcross
      Lampard Nasri Etherington Adam
      RVP Berbatov

      I'm thinking of Berbs out for Sturridge and Adam out for Dempsey

      What do you think?

      cheers!!

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      1. milanista
          14 years, 11 months ago

          who is your 5th mid and 3rd striker?

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          1. longside1
            • 14 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            Captain is RVP, nzogbia and Zigic (i know!)

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        • Nibbsy
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Do the first one but Zamora rather than sturridge.

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      2. TOP 20K
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        who to capt?

        1. Lamps
        2. Rooney
        3. RVP
        4. Sturridge

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        1. FPL Daniel
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          1

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          1. TOP 20K
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            cheers

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      3. Fancy Feet
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        VDV or Etherington??

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      4. Gunn Burn Mee Hause
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Which 2 to bench?

        Smalling, Nani, Nasri, Walker?

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        1. TOP 20K
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          i'd say smalling will miss today - leave walker come in 4 him... Put smalling in first eleven so walker then comes in

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          1. Gunn Burn Mee Hause
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            I think Rio and Nani will be saved for Tuesday... gonna play Smalling. Don't want a 15 min show from Nani blocking a Smalling 6pter.

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          2. bobn
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            thing is I can see rio starting then smalling coming off the bench to "rest" rio with 20 left to go.

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            1. Gunn Burn Mee Hause
              • 16 Years
              14 years, 11 months ago

              Good point.

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        2. Boom!!!
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          smalling n walker....

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      5. Hect.OR 98th
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Play foster or al-habsi?

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        1. Ye
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          I'm in the same dilemma, I was thinking whether to bring a keeper in, have you brought in many double gameweek players?

          I'm thinking Al-Habsi atm!

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          1. Hect.OR 98th
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            As Jonty pointed out last night, a hit to swap keepers rarely pays off, even in a DGW. Al-habsi has better cleansheet odds but I'm protecting a lead over someone who will play foster

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        2. Be
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Im taking a punt on Alhabsi, but feeling nervy about it..

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      6. For Fuchs Sake
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Stuck between Huth and Lamps as captain :-/

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        1. comeondieyoung
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          now is the time for lamps to get a big score... but he hasn't done that in an age. huth is more of a gamble though

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      7. comeondieyoung
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        stuck on who to bench: baines, barton or dawson?

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        1. Boom!!!
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          baines!

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          1. comeondieyoung
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            thanks. i can just see him getting an assist but the other two stand a lot more of a chance i guess...

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      8. The butts
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        why is transfering to a.young to dempsey mad

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        1. Dirty_Harry
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Young is in form and has fixtures. Dempsey has neither and isn't playing up front now bobby is back. Is that ok?

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      9. G0SS
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 11 months ago

        Hangeland or G.Cahill???

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        1. Boom!!!
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          hangeland!

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        2. milanista
            14 years, 11 months ago

            Hangeland

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          • G0SS
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            Cheers.

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        3. Jinswick
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Hey guys, have I got my subs right here? Any hits needed for more DGWers?

          Foster
          Luiz, Terry, Kolarov
          VDV, Fabregas, Nasri, A Young, Adam
          RVP(c), Zamora

          Subs: Stockdale, Baines, Welbeck, Kelly

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          1. Boom!!!
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            no,good team!

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            1. Jinswick
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 11 months ago

              Cheers. You reckon it's worth punt on Zamora as (c)? He's my only DGWer...

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        4. DickFranDyke
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Stuck between Walters or Zamora (c) 😯

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          1. Boom!!!
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            12 point hit 😯

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            1. DickFranDyke
              • 16 Years
              14 years, 11 months ago

              Welbeck to Balotelli
              Tevez to Zamora
              Nasri to VDV
              Walcott to Walters
              FTW!

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              1. Boom!!!
                • 15 Years
                14 years, 11 months ago

                very good transfer btw apart from biblotelli 😉 and good luck for this week 🙂

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                1. DickFranDyke
                  • 16 Years
                  14 years, 11 months ago

                  Balotelli is the wildcard option for the next few GW with Tevez out.6 goals, 3 yellows and a red in a roller coaster ride.

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        5. Fancy Feet
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          help plz should I buy VDV or Etherington??

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        6. embo76
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Need serious help with my transfer or not to transfer! Thanks guys.

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        7. bring_on _the_fantasy
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Does the fact that carew being able to play mean Walters could play less now. Could be deciding factor over him or ethrington??

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          1. bobn
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            cant see jones + carew. you need a big'un and a little'un

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            1. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 11 months ago

              Stoke don't do little'uns! I reckon Walters will get subbed at some point for Carew today

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              1. timski8000
                • 15 Years
                14 years, 11 months ago

                **Answered this earlier**

                Stoke fan here – Walters will play alongside EITHER Carew or Jones.

                Pulis does not seem to fancy two of the big men together – too similar.

                Biggest threat to Walters is that Etherington will be wrapped in cotton wool for Wembley – I see him getting subbed regularly on 70 mins – Walters will most probably be asked to fill in wide left.

                BTW – Carew is on loan and cannot play against parent club Villa.

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                1. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
                  • 15 Years
                  14 years, 11 months ago

                  He is eligible against Villa according to this http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/sport/football/3542486/Aston-Villa-cancelled-John-Carew-contract.html

                  But your a Stokie so you'll know better than me! Your talk about Etherington perhaps getting subbed scares me!

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        8. bibble
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Why is malouda not attracting attention for the armband. Isn't he playing more forward than lampard?

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          1. si
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            Great shout. Bang in form. Really fancy him today. If I had him he would be my captain.

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          2. timski8000
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            Lamps is on Pens and out of all of the front 4/5 is the only one who seems guaranteed to play.

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            1. si
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              14 years, 11 months ago

              Malouda will start. I'll put my life on it.

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              1. The Stock
                • 15 Years
                14 years, 11 months ago

                (c)

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            2. bibble
              • 16 Years
              14 years, 11 months ago

              But he isn't playing brilliantly. I think he's overrated at the minute to be honest.

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              1. bibble
                • 16 Years
                14 years, 11 months ago

                Feck it. Malouda it is then. Forget about dgw. I'm goin on form, class, oop and my own heart!

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        9. D-Burls
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Lamps, Rooney or Walters as captain?

          Thoughts appreciated. Am i mad for considering Walters?!

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        10. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 11 months ago

          Hey DFD, you still playing Sportal? Up to 45th overall now.

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          1. DickFranDyke
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 11 months ago

            Yeah, still playing, 11th now. Only 4 transfers left though. Good work TM.

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            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              14 years, 11 months ago

              Cracked 300 last week. Captain Lampard wasn't great though. We are now 2nd best league. 🙁
              Will need to get the superstars next season.

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              1. DickFranDyke
                • 16 Years
                14 years, 11 months ago

                I've just overtaken Sven but PDM is still up there so we have a few competitive members, just need a few more.

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