[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
23 April 2011 443 comments
Mark Mark
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With Craig Gardner and Robin Van Persie both coming in for us in the last gameweek, we’ve now had three wins over three weeks of fluttering and somehow, we’re still in profit. Giddy by such success, it’s time to clutch another crisp tenner and throw it Paddy Power’s way on a number of Fantasy themed bets…

So far our “bet of the week” has come off for us in consecutive weeks. The £3 bet on Birmingham’s Craig Gardner to score against Sunderland worked out and, before that a similar stake on Bolton’s Daniel Sturridge to score a brace against West Ham. Sturridge is in the mix again with his double gameweek fixtures and Paddy have offered us odds of 6/1 on the Chelsea loanee scoring in both his games – against Arsenal and at Fulham. It’s a big ask for the Trotters’ hitman, but he has the form and didn’t let us down last time – this is our biggest stake then – we will bung down £3 on Sturridge to notch in both his gameweek fixtures.

We’ve discussed plenty of other strikers this week and Fulham’s Bobby Zamora is another name who is fiercely fancied with his two fixtures. Paddy are tempting us with odds of 9/2 on the Fulham striker to notch in both his matches – against Wolves and Stoke – we’ll take that and lay down another £2 there.

Similarly, Stoke’s out of position prospect Jon Walters has been subject our Watchlist article and has found his way alongside Zamora, on our Scout Picks bench. Walters takes outstanding form into the gameweek and again, odds of 13/2 on goals in both his games at Villa and against Wolves look decent enough. Another £2 goes on this one then.

Jamie O’Hara has been omitted from our Scout Picks – some of you have been somewhat surprised by that. The fact is, I don’t fancy Wolves to shake themselves out of their current slump and save themselves, although there’s little doubt in my mind that O’Hara will be the key figure if I’m proved wrong. With Wolves at home to Fulham today, I’ll cover my reluctance to back O’Hara in the picks by throwing down some cash on him to notch a goal. Paddy have offered 11/4 on an anytime goal and I’ll put another £2 on that.

My final quid coin goes on the Clean Sheet Accumulator as always. We narrowly missed out on this last week with West Brom’s goal against Chelsea ruining our three-team selection. The choices this week look slightly more secure perhaps, with Liverpool (vs Birmingham), Chelsea (vs West Ham) and United (vs Everton) all backed at 13/2.

That’s our “Fluttering” over for another week, let’s stay with Paddy a little longer and take in his Clean Sheet and Anytime Scorer odds.

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Chelsea 1.83
  • Man United 1.90
  • Liverpool 2.00
  • Tottenham 2.40
  • Aston Villa 2.40
  • Arsenal 2.62
  • Man City 2.62
  • Sunderland 2.62

Despite conceding in consecutive 3-1 wins, Carlo Ancelotti’s Chelsea are topping Paddy’s clean sheet odds from United in second. In Fantasy terms, both offer an issue in that rotation is a threat. Ancelotti has stated that he will tinker, although we’re not clear whether this will extend to the back four, where Branislav Ivanovic threatens any number of Chelsea starters with his recall to the side. As for United, the right-back situation remains cloudy with Rafael now back in the mix and, with the Schalke tie on Tuesday, it’s unclear whether Rio Ferdinand will return or if Chris Smalling will get another run-out. United are a strong option if you’ve the cash to a lay on Nemanja Vidic or Patrice Evra. For me, I’m just a little worried about an in-form Everton nicking a goal.

Liverpool and Villa look to be sound alternatives. The Anfield defensive record is strong and I’m not convinced by the threat posed by visiting Birmingham. Villa meanwhile will be looking to cheer Gerard Houllier in his hospital bed and are up against a Stoke side who have travelled badly all season.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • D Drogba 1.57
  • F Torres 1.72
  • W Rooney 1.72
  • F Lampard 1.83
  • N Anelka 1.83
  • L Suarez 1.90
  • R Van Persie 1.90
  • D Bent 2.10
  • P Crouch 2.10
  • R Van der Vaart 2.10
  • J Defoe 2.10
  • S Kalou 2.20
  • A Carroll 2.25
  • D Kuyt 2.25
  • R Pavlyuchenko 2.30
  • F Malouda 2.30
  • M Balotelli 2.30

Something that’s clear from the off – Paddy are backing a heavy victory for Chelsea over West Ham. Didier Drogba’s position at the top of their “Anytime Goalscorer” rankings is perhaps not surprising given his current run of form, but, with Ancelotti indicating that he may start with Fernando Torres, in Fantasy terms, Drogba is far from a sure-thing.

Frank Lampard’s odds are particularly interesting – Paddy feel that he is more likely to score against West Ham than Robin Van Persie is to notch at Bolton. That’s pretty surprising given the Dutchman’s consistency right now, but underlines Lampard’s potential against his former club.

No surprise to see Rafael Van der Vaart in the mix at the top – after his stunning showing against the Gunners, he’s got to be well backed to inflict damage against the Baggies.

For me, the darkhorse there is Liverpool’s Luis Suarez. With all the transfer traffic going the way of double gameweek investments, I see Suarez as a big prospect at home to Birmingham and profit seems very likely in a Liverpool win. Paddy appears to feel the same with odds just under evens on a Suarez goal today.

Paddy’s Money Back Special

Paddy calls in at Old Trafford for his refund offering this weekend. If there are more than 4 goals at between United and Everton, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st/Last Goalscorer, Correct Score & Scorecast singles on the match.

Bet £10 Get £20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions. Also, if you’re going to bet, always gamble responsibly.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

443 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Button Phobic
    • 17 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Players i'd love to have in my team right now
    Drogba RVP Zamora
    Malouda Kuyt Ethrington
    I've got none of em and somehow ended up with Arshaven!!!!!

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  2. Giggsy
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Who to bench between Nani, Malouda or Sturridge?

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    1. tristanabc
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Nani

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    2. ollycee
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Tough call but I would go Nani! I have a similar dilema between Adam, Nani & A. Young?!

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    3. Button Phobic
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Sturridge

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  3. tristanabc
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Which one from each group?

    Group A: O'hara or Jarvis
    Group B: A.Young or Dempsey

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    1. Nibbsy
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      O'hara and Dempsey.

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      1. tristanabc
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        cheers

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  4. Nibbsy
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Should I play Terry and luiz or bench one for Kolarov? Which one to bench if so?

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    1. tristanabc
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      play both

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      1. Nibbsy
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        That means benching Kolarov. Him being in the scout picks has thrown me.

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        1. tristanabc
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          no idea why he's in the scout picks

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          1. Nibbsy
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            Attacking potential I guess? Surprised me too.

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        2. Button Phobic
          • 17 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          All three are likely to get clean sheets and possibly goals this weekend. I'd go with bothe the Chelsea players cause they're at home.

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  5. Mak_Gold
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Team:

    Foster/Al-Habsi,
    Coleman/RJ/Simpson/Luiz/Djourou,
    Nani/Nasri/Barton/Lampard/Adam,
    DJ/RVP/Drogba.(0.0 in bank,1 free transfer)

    A) Al-Habsi->Begovic,RJ->ShawX(or Nasri->Dempsey) for a 4 pt. hit.

    B) RJ->Huth,Nasri->Dempsey for -4.

    C) Nasri->Etherington,DJ->Sturridge/Zamora -4.

    D) Nani->Dempsey,DJ->Sturridge -4.

    Which is the best option?Your opinions will be most appreciated.Cheers.

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      C

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      1. Mak_Gold
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers BOOM!

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      2. Mak_Gold
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Or how about Drogs->Sturridge,Nasri->Dempsey,mate?Since Drogba will be benched?

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        1. Boom!!!
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          nah even if drog don't start today i think he will do well against spurs...

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          1. Mak_Gold
            15 years, 4 months ago

            Cool,just feeling uncomfortable going for Ethers over Dempsey,Demps 108865 transfers in this week(!) compared to Ethers' 71160.If Dempsey does well and you don't have him,practically the whole of Fantasydom has left you behind.

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        2. Orion
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          Drogba will start 😉

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          1. Mak_Gold
            15 years, 4 months ago

            Ok.

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  6. ollycee
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Morning everyone, bit of a Saturday morning dilema.. I have bought in Zamora and Walters for the DGW, but now I don't know who to bench out of Nani, Adam & A. Young?! Help please!!

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    1. Mak_Gold
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Tough call,but I'd say Adam unless you think Nani will be benched?

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      1. ollycee
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Nani is my favourite at the moment because I have a funny feeling that he will be benched and it will be a tough game against Everton!

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    2. tristanabc
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Bench Adam or Nani

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      1. Button Phobic
        • 17 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        +1

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    3. ollycee
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Thanks for the replies guys, I'm sticking with my gut and benching Nani.. I will be watching the Utd Vs Everton game from behind the couch if he starts!!

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    4. Starscream
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      I've done exactly the same thing mate....now i don't know who to bench!
      Just can't bench Nani based on his homeform...if i do and he plays it could be a disaster for me!

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  7. Drip Doctor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    RVP, Lamps, Fabs, tough captains choice! It's on RVP at the minute.

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  8. 5678
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Hi guys,

    Is it true that Drogba isn't starting this week? 🙁

    Ty

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    1. Random_Guy
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Drogba may be rested for Torres.

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    2. Button Phobic
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Like to think so but havent seen it written anywhere!

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      1. si
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        It is impossible that Drogba will be rested.

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  9. maltasi
    • 17 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Who to bench out of...

    Nani, Kalou, Adam, Downing and Walcott?

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      theo or kalou!

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    2. Nibbsy
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Kalou or Walcott. Probably kalou.

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      1. maltasi
        • 17 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        thanks guys

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  10. Hman
    • 17 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Whos boltons Pen taker?

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      kevin davies!

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  11. Hegsmouth
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Which one from each position...

    DEF: Huth or Hangeland

    MID: Dempsey or Etherington

    FWD: Sturridge or Zamora

    I can do any combination.

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    1. Mak_Gold
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Huth
      Dempsey
      Toss.

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    2. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      I would say, Huth, Etherington, Zamora. But all are coin flips.

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    3. Button Phobic
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Huth Dempsey Zamora

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  12. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Is Nasri -> Etherington worth a 4 point hit?

    I also have Fabs & RVP from Arsenal.

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      yes....

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  13. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Morning all,

    D-Day has arrived. Most difficult gameweek for decisions all year.

    Who to captain?

    Lampard
    Rvp
    Zampra

    thoughts?

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    1. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      * zamora obviously

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    2. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      I don't have Lamps and but am deciding between the other 2. Edging towards Zamora...

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    3. Kenncam
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Agree, it's tough this week!

      I'm going for Lamps (c).

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  14. bobn
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    rioferdy5 Rio Ferdinand
    Pre match fuel at 9am, pasta + chicken,honey in a yoghurt + a banana.....oooof!!
    1 hour ago Favorite Retweet Reply

    » rioferdy5 Rio Ferdinand
    Early kick off so short + sweet tweeps! 3points is what we are going for come on the boys + let's av iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiit!!!!
    1 hour ago Favorite Retweet Reply

    based on those last two tweets, its not looking good for Smalling-owners is it?

    also bear in mind Smalling fell awkwardly on his ankle against NEW but did continue to be fair.

    also fergie may well start rio cos its such a big game then bring him off after 60-70 to "rest" him.

    I think im gonna bench Smalling now

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    1. jamsiep
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Good work. Sounds very ominous for Smalling owners indeed.

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      1. Boom!!!
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        😆

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        1. si
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 17 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          God I hate Rio on so many fronts.

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      2. Just One More Thing
        • 17 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        And suggestive that Fergie may put out a very strong side and not rest players with Schalke in mind. I think I'm going to hold onto Nani and transfer out Little Pea instead.

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        1. jamsiep
          • 17 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          I'm not sure what people on here were expecting, that Ferdinand wouldn't play another league game this season?! Ridiculous if they were thinking that, they still have a league title to win...

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          1. Just One More Thing
            • 17 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            I think it was fair to assume that Smalling and Rio could be rotated when they had games close together...but it is crunch time now.

            Fergie senses Chelsea breathing down United's neck, so it looks like a very strong team today....which makes me think he might now pair Rooney and Hernandez together, and leave Berbs on the bench.

            I have Nani and Hernandez with Downing on the bench - could now be shelving the O'Hara in plan.

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            1. si
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 17 Years
              15 years, 4 months ago

              Not impossible that Vidic will get a rest today. He has played every minute recently. You heard it here first "tweeps".

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    2. Bolt-on
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Got rid of for Huth so happy if Ferdinand plays

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    3. Button Phobic
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Cheers for that mate

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  15. T_phipps
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Which 2 to play from Djourou, Smalling & Walker?

    And Dempsey trasnferred in for Adam, Nasri or Nani?

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      smalling and walker...
      nasri!

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      1. timski8000
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Smalling and Walker and save the transfer.

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  16. SoccerDb
    • 17 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Would appreciate a RMT please:

    Foster
    Luiz Hangeland Walker
    Lampard (c) Adam VDV Walters
    RVP Carroll Rooney

    Subs: Stockdale, Baines, Ferguson, Simpson

    Worth 4 points for anymore changes? Was thinking of Stockdale > DGW keeper and bench Foster. Cheers

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    1. Just One More Thing
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Looks about right to me. Captain's choice extremely difficult this week; a lot of people downplaying the dgw...we shall see.

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      1. The Wizard of Ozil
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        thinking about the same move, not sure if it's worth the hit tho, team looks good tho

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      2. timski8000
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        It's more getting stuck with a bunch of Fulham, Wolves, Stoke and Bolton players for the run in that is scaring people off DGW players imo.

        Not enough time to get rid without taking hits to get them in and out.

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  17. Fudge
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Quickly because i'm off in a sec lads, play Walker or Welbeck?

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    1. Just One More Thing
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Walker

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    2. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      mmmm let me think...

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      1. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        walker

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  18. The Wizard of Ozil
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Foster (Stockdale)
    Luis-Dawson-Hughes (Simpson,Carr)
    Lampard-Adam-Fabergas-Young (Ferguson)
    RVP-Torres-Sturridge

    A) is Stockdale out Begovic in worth a hit?
    B) who to give the armband to? thinking Rvp

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  19. cruyff81
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Hey guys,havent been on here in a while,need a bit of help with a transfer Nasri out Malouda in for a 4 point hit,what do ye think??

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  20. matiakez
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Who to get rid of Kalou or Nasri or both??

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  21. asahani
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    help lads!
    bench Nasri or Adam?

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    1. Just One More Thing
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Adam

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    2. Binman_UK
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      nasri. i am.

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  22. sportingblogs
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Judging by Rio Ferdy's tweets this morning, would I be right to assume he will start today (at Chris Smalling's expense)??

    "Early kick off so short + sweet tweeps! 3points is what we are going for come on the boys + let's av iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiit!!!"
    &
    "Pre match fuel at 9am, pasta + chicken,honey in a yoghurt + a banana.....oooof!!"
    http://twitter.com/#!/rioferdy5

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    1. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      see above, already discussed

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      1. sportingblogs
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks. Was unaware it had already been discussed...

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    2. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Can everyone please stop quoting this ghastly man on here. It really makes me feel unwell.

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  23. RMT's Professor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Just to let you know, http://www.ratemyteam.co.uk has just been updated to take into account all the latest team news and market opinions. For example, the betting markets tend to like teams that have things to play for, so we have shifted our numbers accordingly. A good example, is that it boosts Wolves players and brings down slightly Fulham, Stoke and Bolton players. However, we still make Etherington best captain pick, closely followed by the likes of Huth, Zamora and Dempsey.

    If you haven't seen the website yet, see what you think. Finally, good luck this week! I'm off to do/work out my transfers! 🙂

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    1. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      great website ZLF, helps re-assure me before the gameweek!!
      I know its only numbers, but sure isnt this whole crazy addictive mentalist game about numbers at the end of the day?

      Good work.

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      1. RMT's Professor
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers burly! 🙂

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    2. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      For a bit of a laugh - I am going to use it for the first time.

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      1. Perthite
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        btw - if I put someone else's number in, does it account for transfers they have done?

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        1. Perthite
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          edit: never mind - I see it hasn't done it for my team!

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  24. Twisted Saltergater
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Play Walcott or A Young? Darn those DGW players!

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      YOUNG!

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      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        CHEERS BOOM!! A Young has been handed my number 11 shirt at the moment. Having RVP to cover Arsenal's returns has probably tipped the balance.

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    2. sportingblogs
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Both! [Apologies]

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      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        That would mean dropping one of Lampard, Malouda, Etherington, RVP, Rooney or Sturridge though!

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    3. Kenncam
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Young, playing great at the moment

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      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        He is, but I'd fancy Walcott on the counter against Bolton any other week. I'm going to need a bit of luck with my choice.

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  25. Evasivo
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Which defender to play out of:
    1) Dawson
    2) Carr
    3) Simpson?

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      dawson!

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    2. Evasivo
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Is Dawson (Carr, Simpson) atm

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    3. The Wizard of Ozil
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      im playing Dawson and benchin the other 2

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    4. Waldaz
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Dawson

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      1. Evasivo
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks for the clarification lads!

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  26. tristanabc
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    O'hara, Walters or Etherington?

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    1. cucumber
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Etherington

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    2. Kenncam
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      O'hara, better bet rest of season and Wolves have to raise their game to stay up. Unless it's v.short term plan.

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      1. tristanabc
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        thank you v. much

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  27. cucumber
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Who will score more out of this lot

    Etherington/Zamora/Suarez/VDV/Lampard ?

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  28. Bow Locks
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    35 point lead. VP or Drogba (C)?

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    1. timski8000
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Defensive move is VP surely? Guaranteed starter (and better chance of making it to 90)

      If drogs does play he has a better chance of scoring big though.

      How much do you like gambling???

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  29. 5678
    15 years, 4 months ago

    What's everyone doing with Drogba? Should I ship out for Rooney?

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    1. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      No comment.

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      1. AP
        • 17 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        He means yes.

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      2. Lieutenant
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Banking your transfer, si?

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  30. Waldaz
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Fairly sure my rival did Carroll to Zamora, and I'm 2 points behind.

    http://fantasy.premierleague.com/M/eventhist.mc?id=14783

    Should I copy?

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