[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
16 March 2012 1198 comments
Big Dunc Big Dunc
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With Wayne Rooney and Robin Van Persie quickly becoming the strike force of choice, the budget-busting duo has had many fantasy managers frantically searching for ways to free up some cash.

Third striker options have been our hot topic this week, but as we’ve already brought you detailed analysis in our member’s articles here and here and discussed at length in the weekly podcast, for this week’s Differential picks we’ve ignored the safe options and opted for three hot prospects right at the beginning of a potential hot streak.

As always, our Differential picks carry a fair amount of risk, but that just increases the satisfaction should they come good; with average ownership of just 0.1% in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game, each has the potential to earn you the ultimate bragging rights should they go on a Sigurdsson-esque run of points. Yep, Andy is still going on about that one…

Andreas Weimann

After featuring the talents of Gary Gardner a couple of weeks ago, we’re turning our attention to another exciting young player to come through the ranks at Aston Villa, in Austrian U21 International Andreas Weimann. After scoring two hat-tricks for the reserves earlier in the season, many Villa fans had been calling for the young star to get a chance in the first team, and his late winner against Fulham last weekend has made the 20-year-old striker a big hit with the home crowd already.

With Darren Bent ruled out for three months after ankle surgery, Weimann now has a great chance to nail down a first team place and although he should still be considered a risky choice, he is widely expected to get his first start against Bolton and could provide a great differential return if you’re willing to jump on the wagon early. His goal against Fulham saw his ownership more than double this week but that isn’t saying much, he only had 86 owners in the first place. Of 2.5 million players in the FPL game, that is not even enough to be rounded up from 0.0%.

Marc-Antoine Fortune

Last week’s blip at Old Trafford aside, West Brom have been the form side of recent weeks and the likes of Peter Odemwingie, Marc-Antoine Fortune and James Morrison have been racking up the points. Although his overall returns in the four weeks previous have been overshadowed by Odemwingie’s goal scoring frenzy, Fortune still ranks well statistically, while West Brom’s away form is also worth mentioning here; 21 of their 35 points and 20 of their 34 goals have come on the road. This weekend’s trip to Wigan should have West Brom’s attacking players licking their lips in anticipation.

After slipping down the pecking order and being farmed out on loan earlier in the season, not many people expected Fortune to even be at the club in February, never mind be playing a key role in the side for the run in. Shane Long returned to fitness a few weeks ago and is an obvious threat to his place in the side but he’s playing so well, that looks pretty unlikely. Hodgson has been full of praise for his rejuvenated striker and with Odemwingie also a major doubt for this weekend’s game, Fortune looks assured of a starting role once again. With an ownership of 0.1% and priced at just 5.2, Fortune looks a decent punt for the next couple, then and provides yet another strong differential option for that third striker spot with 0.1% ownership.

Nikija Jelavic

David Moyes is renowned for introducing his new signings and injury returnees gradually but after Moyes’ grafters failed to make any kind of impact at Anfield, the more creative talents of Osman and Jelavic now look essential if Everton are to make a final push towards the last European spot. Jelavic’s stunning winner against Tottenham may have come against the run of play, but the Croatian striker was good value for his goal and looked a threat throughout the game, so it’s hard to believe that his bench role last time out was for anything other than a lack of full match fitness.

Everton’s biggest weakness has been their scoring record, but that’s more to do with a lack of end product than an ability to create chances – the signing of Jelavic in January was an obvious one then; a tall target man that can hold the ball up as well as finish should slot straight into the side considering the pace and crossing ability of the players around him.

A quick look over the history for Jelavic gives some pretty promising stats; another three goals this season and he will have hit 20 goals in each of his last three campaigns, something that Everton have achieved from a player only once since the days of Peter Beardsley and Tony Cottee. Although much has been made of the difference between the SPL and the Premier League, Jelavic looks more than capable of stepping up and priced at just 5.9 and with an ownership of 0.2%, he could be a cracking choice as a third striker for the run in.

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  1. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    FPL Open Update

    417 entered, last qualifying spot @ 1478 points for GW2+.

    Next high entry lifts that by 1.

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  2. gunner1994
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    Choose three to play: Evans, Enrique, Shawcross, Simpson, McAuley

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      1st 2 then take your pick. Simpson 3rd for me.

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      1. jimski
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 hours ago

        McAuley 3rd for me, but very tight with Simpson.

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    2. Manamongst
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      1st two them McAuley, Simpson is a doubt, not to mention key pieces missing, they will concede.

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  3. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    Given
    evans kelly santon
    bale silva mclean dempsey
    rvp rooney suarez

    bench: kerry mcauly surman caulker

    0 in the bank..

    havnt made any transfer...thinking of saving it for next but also have wild card left...thoughts?
    also is my bench right? not sure who to start between santon or mcauly...

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  4. @FuzzyWarbles
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    here it is, whats wrong with it?

    Al Habsi (Sorensen)

    Evans, Senderos, Carragher

    Silva, Bale, Young, Dempsey

    RVP, Suarez, Ba

    (Verm, Santon, Dyer) 1 FT, no cash

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    1. udit
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      Suarez.

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    2. Pomp and Circumstance
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      nice midfield

      why not play Vermaelen?

      Sorensen is no longer the starter for Stoke's Premier League games

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    3. Manamongst
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      I would have made Ba go bye bye...

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    4. 42 Rules
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 7 hours ago

      I think with a pricey defender baines, verm etc - you have to play them all the time otherwise what is the point. They are priced as such because of perceived goal threat so play emmmm!!!!

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  5. GRIMANDI [formerly boring M…
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    So the big dilemma for me.

    Option 1 Swap Nani to Walcott with the view to do Verm & Drenthe > Shotton & Valencia NGW.
    Option 2 Straight swap Nani > Young. Then deal with next week as it arrives
    Option 3 Leave
    Option 4 Suggestions

    Schwarzer

    Vermaelen Enrique Skrtel Evans J

    Nani Dempsey[vc] Miyaichi

    Rooney[c] Suarez Van Persie

    Bogdan Simpson Drenthe Surman

    Im big on option 2 right now as Walcott is more nailed on than the 3 Utd wingers & would see Valencia as less of a risk as hes a lot cheaper than Nani & Young

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    1. Messi & fabregas
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      3 do not replace nani he will be the player to make the difference either this or next week

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    2. victory_is_mine
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      BTW like your team. My choice would be leave your team as is and you'll have 2 FTs NW then look at what happens against Wolves today to decide. Home fixtures for both Man U and Arsenal and try looking at getting in Val/young and Walcott.

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  6. Pomp and Circumstance
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    how is Taiwo --> Kelly (Fulham) as a transfer?

    current defense (and GK):
    Krul, Ruddy
    Caulker, Simpson, Taiwo, Enrique, Kompany

    should I do Taiwo --> Kelly, or save the transfer to have 2 FT next week?

    thanks!

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    1. Desertbug
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      Do you feel OK with keeping Kelly for the rest of the season? If so, then do it... Fulham solid at home and Swansea don't tend to score a ton on the road.

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      1. Pomp and Circumstance
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 11 hours ago

        still have the wildcard, so could replace him at a later time

        3 of next 4 fixtures are pretty good, then gets tougher for a bit, and last part of Fulham's schedule varies

        pluses are it's a decent defensive team, and he's inexpensive

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        1. Desertbug
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 11 hours ago

          That's why I picked him up a couple weeks ago. If you still have WC, then it's definitely worthwhile, I'd think.

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  7. Gravless wonder
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    I have the following players as out/doubtful this gw:

    1) Sessegnon
    2) Rooney
    3) Simpson
    4) Cahill (rotation)
    5) Henderson (rotation)

    I have already made one transfer this week but tempted to take a hit in case I'm short of players.

    Options are Sessegnon for:
    a) Valencia (would be my first choice but is a doubt himself)
    b) Giggs
    c) Morrisson

    any thoughts?

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  8. GRIMANDI [formerly boring M…
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    Ok just annoying not knowing his condition & length of spell on the sideline

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    1. GRIMANDI [formerly boring M…
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      oops

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  9. jimski
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    Still not sure about Enrique or Siggy for this week.

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  10. XVIVX
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    so i'm going to captain rooney, but in case he doesn't play, i need a good vice captain. my thoughts are bale, dempsey or ba. what do you guys think?

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    1. jimski
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      I'm going with the Dumpster.

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    2. Pomp and Circumstance
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      I have Ba as captain; not very in-form at the moment, but with the fixture favourable maybe he will score a couple; not many people making him C probably either

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      1. 42 Rules
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 7 hours ago

        I agree - got a feeling of a 4 point stinker or a nice 20+ !!!! I'm cap as well.

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    3. DementedFlamingo
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      Bale if he didn't have the FA Cup before his game. Toss a coin between the three.

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    4. XVIVX
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      such a difficult choice

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    5. Manamongst
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      no no and probably not.

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  11. Corrigan
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    The plan is that my next transfer will be Sorensen to Schwarzer, who will then be benched. How unexciting and will I stick to that plan?

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    1. Desertbug
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      Love it when a plan comes together...

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    2. HappyAnkit
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      Why will Schwarzer be benched??

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  12. HappyAnkit
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    My Team-
    Lindy
    R Taylor Skrtel Evans
    Silva Bale Demps McClean
    RVP Ba Suarez
    Krul Surman Kelly Shotton

    Have 5.6m in bank.
    Any suggestions??

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    1. Desertbug
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      Ba to Rooney next week
      Or Surman to Walcott

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      1. HappyAnkit
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 10 hours ago

        Surman is staying.
        I am thinking of doing Ba/Suarez>Rooney this GW.

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        1. Desertbug
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 10 hours ago

          Okey dokey. Good luck!

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  13. Brian C. Lara
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    Who to play between yaya and Ben arfa?? Arfa has fixture but think yaya might be in advanced role as city at home and need the win

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    1. Desertbug
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      Or YaYa might need to hang out at back a bit more to provide cover for changed up backline. Hard to know what Mancini is going to do with him from week to week.

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      1. Brian C. Lara
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 11 hours ago

        So Ben arfa?

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        1. Desertbug
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 10 hours ago

          I took a punt on him. Sold off Silva for him in fundraiser to bring on Rooney next week.

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  14. gunner1994
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    What are the chances of Simpson playing?

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    1. Desertbug
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 11 hours ago

      0-100%. But seriously, haven't seen anything firm yet.

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  15. Perthite
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    Subs look right? (atm not using my transfer)

    Schwarzer (Vorm)
    Enrique Skrtel Evans
    Bale Dempsey Silva Sigurdsson (Surman)
    RvP(vc) Rooney (c) Pogrebnyak
    (Simpson Surman McAuley)
    1.5m in bank

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    1. Manamongst
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      captain Pog...

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  16. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    Looks good.

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    1. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      Thanks. Now have to focus on my Aussie Rules DreamTeam for the afternoon!

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  17. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 11 hours ago

    Given
    evans kelly santon
    bale silva mclean demps
    rvp rooney suarez

    bench: kerry mcauly surman caulker

    0 in the bank..

    havnt made any transfer…thinking of saving it for next but also have wild card left…thoughts?
    also is my bench right? not sure who to start between santon or mcauly…

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  18. jimski
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 hours ago

    Hmm, Liverpool to keep clean sheet 11/8. Siggy anytime scorer 13/5. I know this ignores assists, but doesn't it suggest I should double on Pool defence rather than play Siggy?

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    1. sumatera
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      depends if you want all your eggs in one basket

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      1. jimski
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 hours ago

        What would you do?

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        1. Desertbug
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 10 hours ago

          Double pool. But also started Siggy. So not sure that helps. But if had to choose, would go with double pool.

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          1. jimski
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 10 hours ago

            That's what I am currently on.

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            1. jimski
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 10 hours ago

              Thanks btw

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              1. Desertbug
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                14 years, 10 hours ago

                ur welcome. good luck. hope it works for both of us.

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        2. sumatera
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 10 hours ago

          I think pool will keep a clean sheet

          I know less about Siggy to be honest. I should know more but I have focused on other areas. I was thinking to bring him in but bought walcott instead.

          Are you playing catch up or are you holding where you wanna be?

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          1. jimski
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 10 hours ago

            Pretty even really. 4 points ahead in the mini-league, which is about as close as it gets.

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            1. sumatera
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 10 hours ago

              Fulham are much stronger at home than away. I'd play double pool

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              1. jimski
                • 15 Years
                14 years, 10 hours ago

                Thanks.

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    2. 42 Rules
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 7 hours ago

      carragher in the team? OMG play the sig!

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  19. sumatera
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 hours ago

    morning all,

    This is probably much talked about already but need to confirm Roonpig will play right?

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    1. DementedFlamingo
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      That's right... in that's it's been much talked about. No one is certain. Rooney, Valencia, Nani all doubts...

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      1. sumatera
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 hours ago

        hmmmm, that's the problem with doing early transfers before players price rise...

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  20. Denis Tueart on the wing
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 hours ago

    Siggy or Miyaichi ?

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    1. Pomp and Circumstance
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      Sigurdsson is a talented player

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      1. Desertbug
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 10 hours ago

        Ryo is a bright shiny object.

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        1. Desertbug
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 10 hours ago

          Might be gold. Might be tin foil.

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      2. Denis Tueart on the wing
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 hours ago

        I am getting rid of Raylor and Walters, so looking at Jose Enrique and
        Sig/Miyachi . Good move for a 4 pointer ?

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        1. Denis Tueart on the wing
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 10 hours ago

          Anybody !

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        2. Desertbug
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 10 hours ago

          Not really an urgency to bring in Siggy for a trip to Craven Cottage when he is at home next week. But on the whole, I like the concept.

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          1. Denis Tueart on the wing
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 10 hours ago

            I see you have them in, who have you transferred in/out this week?

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            1. Denis Tueart on the wing
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 10 hours ago

              Kompany & Pienaar?

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              1. Denis Tueart on the wing
                • 15 Years
                14 years, 10 hours ago

                MI6 - Secret Service - Will you have to kill me if you tell me ?

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                1. Desertbug
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 14 Years
                  14 years, 9 hours ago

                  Sorry, was away from computer for a while. Shipped Kompany and Silva. Brought in Evans and Ben Arfa to fund move from Ba to Rooney for next week.

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  21. Pomp and Circumstance
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 10 hours ago

    decent team for the week? are subs right, and in right order?

    Krul
    Simpson, Kelly, Enrique
    Sinclair, Sigurdsson, Bale, Silva
    Ba (c), Aguero, RVP (vc)

    subs: Ruddy; Caulker, Drenthe, Kompany

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    1. sumatera
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      its ok I suppose 🙂

      subs seem right to me also

      i have brought in walcott, and roonpig so your team very different to mine

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  22. gunner1994
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 10 hours ago

    Play McClean or Miyaichi?

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    1. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      play itchy

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      1. Desertbug
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 10 hours ago

        And scratchy. But actually, I think McClean might be more likely to pull something out of match at Blackburn than SuperSquirrel is to score at Villa. Bolton is still more crap than Sunderland, after all.

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  23. Desertbug
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 10 hours ago

    Looks like the dayshift is starting to show up. G'night all and thanks for the company this fine evening. Just getting to be midnight here and time to put an end to the kids' sleepover activities. Good luck to all!

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    1. sumatera
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 hours ago

      😆 night night

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  24. Sarnab
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 10 hours ago

    NEW POST

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  25. OSGOOD WAS GOOD
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 7 hours ago

    Mignolet or Kurl for keeper

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  26. Egg noodle
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 12 months ago

    Pray for Muamba. God help this young man.

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    1. JK - Cønt â­
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 12 months ago

      + infinity

      Was about to log on ask whether anyone did worse than me, but frankly who really cares. What the hell does Fantasy Football matter compared to this?

      Get well soon Fabrice.

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 12 months ago

        +42.

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  27. Yossi
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 12 months ago

    Some reports on twitter saying ambulance crew got Muamba breathing again, nothing concrete though from proper reliable sources so not too sure...

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  28. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 12 months ago

    I am very upset. Been following Fabrice as one of my DM's for a long time now. Don't know quite what to say - but I am praying like mad. ğŸ™

    Hope everyboy's OK.

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    1. Somalion
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 12 months ago

      Hey Doos, was going to say hard luck for Everton today as they deserved the win but this has taken over. Very very upsetting stuff.

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  29. crystalpalaceRus
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 12 months ago

    No news yet on sky news

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  30. Sarnab
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 12 months ago

    This is when football comes united and one big team.. Come on Fabrice Muamba, pull through son.

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    1. Egg noodle
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 12 months ago

      Spot on. +1

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