[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
1 September 2012 1632 comments
Money Mike Money Mike
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We got quite a lot of buck for our bang last week as Michu’s deft touch beyond the grasp of Hammers’ keeper Jussi Jaaskelainen helped secure our 15/2 wager with Paddy. A cool £34 better off , we’ll have a few weeks of free stakes before we have to dip back into the Flutter fund at least… but we’re here to earn, not to fritter…

The first of this week’s money makers is Hatem Ben Arfa. Rested for Newcastle’s midweek Europa league fixture, Ben Arfa delivered the goods in the opening game of the season against Spurs and will be looking to take advantage of Aston Villa’s miserable run of results this weekend. Stepping up and calmly slotting a pen passed Brad Friedel on the opening day, Alan Pardew might well have him take more of the dead ball opportunities, further increasing his probability to make the score-sheet. Paddy are offering 5/1 for a Ben Arfa goal and a Toon clean-sheet, which we’ll be confidently taking a fiver on.

Carlos Tevez has moved firmly into the focus for many Fantasy managers with fellow Argentinian striker Sergio Aguero laid up. A slimline tonic for City so far this season, Tevez’ trickery is slicing through defences, and he looks equally impressive in black and white of the stats. His near guaranteed pitch time and we’re struggling to see QPR to keeping him out, making 9/2 for him making a brace and City to get a cleanie a worthy punt. Mark Hughes’ outfit seem to be bringing in players from all over Europe, their intent for a top half of the table finish is clear. It may well be too early for them to gel, but the risk caps our bet to only £2 on Tevez.

Last but not least we take a look at former Bolton and Newcastle favourite, Kevin Nolan. Although his goal in the opening fixture was not one for the scrapbook, his solid contribution going forward from midfield certainly justifies his bargain Fantasy price. With Fulham’s star player Moussa Dembele now a resident at White Hart Lane, the could be short on stern tackling and midfield control, giving Nolan a chance to harass in the box. Paddy suspect Fulham will make a respectable showing – pricing a Nolan goal and a Hammers clean-sheet at 12/1 – we’re more than willing to risk our remaining £3 on that.

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  1. Ole Gunnar Kush
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Best 4.5 defender?? On Figueroa at the moment

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    1. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Hughes/Cuellar

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      1. ViperStripes
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        Jenkinson, short term

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        1. myboycharlie
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 7 months ago

          Jenkinson is 4.6

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  2. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Any thoughts on my Wildcard team... I am still not too sure about a few of them...

    Begovic Foster

    Jenkinson Zabaleta Rangel Assou-Ekotto Demel

    Kagawa Yaya Toure Michu Hazard Pienaar

    Adebayor Tevez Petric

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    1. Darth
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Upgrade Zab to Baines if you can... that is what I will be doing

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      1. Joga Bonito®
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        +1

        Jenkinson is good for now but only as a short term option.

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      2. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        That would mean downgrading a MF as I have only got 0.1 in the bank...

        I could swap Kagawa out for Cleverly

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        1. Darth
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 7 months ago

          Cleverly is pants in fantasy football. Yaya to Johnson (sunderland)

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          1. Syd.
            • 16 Years
            13 years, 7 months ago

            He is on my watchlist... Maybe when his fixtures pick up...

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    2. Just Ruud
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      who from your midfield and attack will you bench next week?

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      1. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        I don't know but I have a couple of weeks to think about that one...

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  3. Dr. Rog
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Kac or Demel today?

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    1. GARTHATRON
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      This was my only selection dilemma this week, I went Demel

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  4. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    For those with both.... are you captaining Tevez or RVP?

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    1. Balotellitubbies
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      RVP. No worries!

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    2. bdwhite91
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Tevez.

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    3. Darth
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Tevez.....go with your gut

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    4. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      When in doubt...

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      1. Dr. Rog
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        this is a real no brainer. City are at home against a side conceding 3 goals a game.

        whatsmore, 43% of the players have Tevez, therefore he will be the most captained.

        Just work out the scenarios:

        Teves 10+, RVP 2. You gain/lose nothing to your rivals if you captain tevez but lose 10 if you captian rvp.
        Tevez 2, RVP 10+. You make 10 more if you captained TEvex (because they do not have RVP and we are assuming their striker makes nothing), and you are 20 better off if you captain RVP.

        So in these scenarios, your payoff for captaining Tevez is (0,10) and RVP (-10,20)

        Play safe at this stage of the season

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        1. Piggs Boson
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 7 months ago

          Ah, i see you study game theory. I did a module of this in my degree 😉

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          1. Piggs Boson
            • 14 Years
            13 years, 7 months ago

            The payoff for captaining RVP is potentially higher, and as i have nothing riding on the game, i'm gambling!

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          2. Dr. Rog
            • 16 Years
            13 years, 7 months ago

            hmm never studied it, but comes naturally.

            also a mathematics major and professional trader, guess thats where the application of risk/reward comes from.

            everything is a trade.

            in fact, FPL is fantastic, because it shows the most common mistake people make - allowing emotions (fear/greed) and recent events (bandwagons) cloud their judgment

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            1. Dr. Rog
              • 16 Years
              13 years, 7 months ago

              indeed, but if you ask me objectively would i rather risk 0 to make 10, or risk 10 to make 20, both have an expected payoff of 5, but the higher variance in RVP means id go with the former.

              as SAF knows, as long as you are there or abouts come March you are in with a shout, you cant win the league in Septemeber, but you can lose it!

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              1. Piggs Boson
                • 14 Years
                13 years, 7 months ago

                Fair points 🙂

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              2. Balotellitubbies
                • 14 Years
                13 years, 7 months ago

                Nothing to go 4 but the glory of RVP (c). No Gme theory required they are equally likely to smash it, bets are hedged by having Tevez neway.

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              3. PlayUpPompey
                • 14 Years
                13 years, 7 months ago

                Very interesting way to look at it. What if most rivals in ML have RVP and you think will also C him. Would you then pick RVP?

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                1. Dr. Rog
                  • 16 Years
                  13 years, 7 months ago

                  YES

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        2. Love that!
          "this is a no brainer....."
          ...followed by...
          Scientific voodoo magic speak

          I'm a bit lost.
          😉

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          1. Dr. Rog
            • 16 Years
            13 years, 7 months ago

            If you can't dazzle them brilliance, baffle them with bullsh*t

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    5. ManofKent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Tevez on the ground I've got both Persie and Kagawa if united go mad

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  5. Squerly4568
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    what ever happened to the enhanced first goal scorer odds they were the best from paddy

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  6. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Help guys, one last time, which option would u suggest. It’s basically, ade vs Petric, mcclean & vorm.

    A.
    Vorm, beg,
    Baines, s. Taylor, Cuellar, demel, clyne
    hazard, HBA, mcclean, Michu, Peinaar,
    Rvp, tevez, Petric

    B.
    Jaask, beg,
    Baines, s. taylor, Cuellar, demel, clyne
    Hazard, HBA, 4.5m, Michu, Peinaar
    Rvp, tevez, ade.
    if b which 4.5m midfielder would u suggest, as he needs to play this gw.

    Thanks in advance!

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  7. PanTanti
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    FOSTER OR BEGOVIC!!!!

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    1. bdwhite91
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Begovic

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    2. Darth
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Bego

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    3. ManofKent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Already answered. Both will probably concede. Foster for the save points/home fixture

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      1. Bad Pen
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        Have both and I've gone Foster for this reason.

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  8. Mad Doggy
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Should I go for Ba or risk Carroll and hope he does well today??

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    1. Darth
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      go for Ba...wait for Carrol to show some form

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    2. Cheeseoid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Probably Ba, but I also fancy Carroll WHM probably have marginally better fixtures in the following few weeks.

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  9. Willis.
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone think Clyne will be able to score positive points this week?

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    1. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Or Clark 😡 ?

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    2. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Negative.

      Bench, if you own.

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  10. Joga Bonito®
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Isn't Garcia an attacking midfielder?

    Do you think this will further increase the risk of Yaya being kept as a deep lying midfielder?

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    1. Darth
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      I thought he was more defensive myself but a definite upgrade from de jong

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    2. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      I see Garcia as a 'box-to-box' kind of player. But yeah i imagine Yaya will have to stand his ground more.

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      1. Joga Bonito®
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        Ah cool. I just remember the old football manager game where he was classified as AM.
        Thanks.

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    4. SW6
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      if y

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      1. SW6
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        sorry pressed too early, he's defensive that can also play CB i think

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        1. Team Hayemaker
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 7 months ago

          Good news for yaya owners. Direct replacement de long

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  11. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJBhdKrwTOc

    😀 😀 😀

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    1. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Did you watch last night Doosra? BBC2

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        Nope. 🙠Documentary?

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        1. In Like Flynn.
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          13 years, 7 months ago

          Oh yes. The South Africa gig.

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          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            13 years, 7 months ago

            Bugger. ðŸ™

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            1. In Like Flynn.
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 15 Years
              13 years, 7 months ago

              I player 😀

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              1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                13 years, 7 months ago

                Ahhh! Ta! 😀

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    2. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Well that was just lovely 😀

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        There's a message in there somewhere ... 😉

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    3. Jönny
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Saw him in Hyde Park recently. Awesome show. Got the BBC2 shows from last night recorded, might pop em on now actually!

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        🙂

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  12. Crouch Potato!
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Very good morning all, now the the curtains have been drawn on the transfer window, time to feast on another weekend of the beautiful game. Have gone for Tevez over RVP as captain, a strange one, want the returns, but not against the Hoops, 3,3 Tevez hatrick would do, one is free to dream. Good luck to you all in your pursuit of points 😉

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    1. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Good morning CP.

      I'm glad there is a two week break now so I can find out who the hell half these players are, and who is at risk of their place.

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      1. Crouch Potato!
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        Same here, also pleased to have my WC, reckon some nuggets could surface.

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        1. In Like Flynn.
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          13 years, 7 months ago

          I'm still clinging to the hope I won't need it. Just not sure I can justify a 12pt hit.

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        2. Jönny
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 7 months ago

          Are you thinking of using it over the break, or hanging on to see who these "nuggets" are?

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  13. Dundalkspud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    How am i looking for this week?

    DDG
    Zabaleta, Rangel, Demel
    Bale, Ya Ya, Maloney, Nobel
    RVP, Tevez, Graham

    Fed, Clyne, Fabio, Hazard
     

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    1. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Good to go.

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  14. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Petric to Berbatov.... done. How I will laugh at everyone who said he wasn't eligible..... 😎

    I will be available from 5pm for on-line abuse if Petric does the biz... 🙂

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    1. QPR expects... glory!
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Get your tin hat WR.

      After last week's VDV for C disaster you might well need it!

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      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        He got more than Bale 😉

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    2. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Will he start though? Seems a bit soon. I can see a 30 min cameo at the end.

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      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        Should be enough 😉

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    3. Team Hayemaker
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      He said yesterday he would be in the squad but unlikely to play. This was on SSN

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    4. The Finnisher
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      VDV all over again 😉

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      1. Optimus.
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        ^this

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    5. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Berbs will be on the bench at best....

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      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        You are probably right, but I was on WC and Petric is a doubt anyway. It saves me a transfer next week as well

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        1. Syd.
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 7 months ago

          I don't get all this Berbatov love... To me he is lazy and bone idle with his best years behind him...

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    6. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Nice move. I will commiserate, if necessary. I have Ruiz ...

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    7. ManofKent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      When did he sign?

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        1. blue cheese
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 7 months ago

          Sorry. Read that as where. 😳

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      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        In time

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    8. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Good luck WR!

      Hope he'll do the business, when he gets on at 68 min 😉

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  15. Top Heavy
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Best midfielder up to 9.2m

    already have kagawa, Yaya, Michu, BenArfa

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    1. @BigChrisso
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      1. Cazorla
      2. Valencia
      3. Charlie Adam

      *one of these is a joke

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      1. blue cheese
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        😀

        I know. Valencia is a club!

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        1. @BigChrisso
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 7 months ago

          haha Nitin nothing gets past you....

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      2. Top Heavy
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        surely all 3 are some sort of joke on currrent form

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    2. Kanus hat trick
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Pienaar or Adam Johnson but you will bench the wrong player quite often with such a strong mid

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  16. DiMatteoBandwagon
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    S Taylor or Ridgewell?

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    1. @BigChrisso
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      I just picked Ridgewell after being faced with the same dilemma.

      *Therefore pick Saylor as I suck!

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      1. DiMatteoBandwagon
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        For anyone else reding this - dont pick either 🙂

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        1. @BigChrisso
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 7 months ago

          pretty much. Who you captaining just so I dont?

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          1. DiMatteoBandwagon
            • 13 Years
            13 years, 7 months ago

            VdV

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            1. @BigChrisso
              • 14 Years
              13 years, 7 months ago

              SOLID

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      2. sminkypinky
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        😀 I'd pick Saylor

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    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Saylor - plays for a better team. Likely to get more clean sheets.

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    3. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Ridgewell. I wouldn't want you and everyone else getting all Saylor's points in the next six weeks.

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  17. exammy
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Soccer am is awful

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    1. Team Hayemaker
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Didn't used to be

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    2. Hughes Your Daddy
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Not as good as it used to be. At least the Crystals are on it 😉

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  18. @BigChrisso
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Right who captained Bale last week?

    If yes are you going again with him Captain?

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    1. Lovzat
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      I did.

      No, Tevez.

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      1. @BigChrisso
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        right, did you even consider Bale this GW?

        What has changed for Bale since last week in term of armband suitability in your eyes?

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    2. Darth
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      No way until he shows some form, he is in my team tho

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    3. Efan Ekoku Pops
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      I did. Now I'm getting a twitchy finger and want to change it to RVP from Tevez.

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    4. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Did.

      Nope. RVP.

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  19. Paul Psychic Octopus
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Is it worth taking a second -4pt hit to get one shot defender in for another? Can only field 10 players so wondering whether to to Gorkss---> Demel. Or could use up my last 1.5m and upgrade to Rafael

    Do it? Or just run with 10 and save Gorkss for Reading's next DGW?

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    1. IamIronMike
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      I've done it... You'd expect 2 points anyway... then there's cleanie chances, bonus chances and even attacking return chances so all in all I reckon It's worth the risk when you have a player that'll otherwise score nil.

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  20. alberto_gunners
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    any thoughts on WC team? the thing that scares me the most is not having and Spurs player. Would like BAE or Ade. RVP is expensive, but I would like to have him because of the flexibility it gives me. Shoult I fit in Nolan somewhere?

    Jaaskelainen Ruddy
    McCartney Rangel Baines Gunter Hangeland
    Fellaini Michu Yaya Hazard B.Arfa
    Pogrebnyak Tevez RVP

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    1. Team Hayemaker
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      I would downgrade yaya or Ben afra and upgrade prog

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  21. JVL
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Hart (fed)
    zab cuella demel clyne
    bale carzola noble (guthrie hazard)
    Tevez pod graham
    do i need to take a 4 point hit anywhere with 1.3 in da bank?

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  22. JayBomb
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Sorry Vorm In goal

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  23. ironmike31
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Can somebody please justify why over the course of the season RVP will be worth an extra 3m over Torres, who is essentially Chelsea's only central striker???

    I would love RVP, but the compromise to my midfield just isn't worth it. I'll take Torres, Tevez & Ade thank you very much!

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  24. Top Heavy
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    any good bets for this weekend?

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  25. Infinite Sheldon
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts on talksport?

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  26. Infinite Sheldon
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    I'm getting Berbatov in my team of punts.

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    1. Kanus hat trick
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      A.Johnson is very tempting

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      1. Jax
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        v swansea no

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    2. Optimus.
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      joa to lose to me

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      1. Optimus.
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        reply fail to top heavy

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  27. JayBomb
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Rmt

    Rafael, Baines, Rangel
    Michu, Kags, Yaya, Pienaar,
    Ade, Petric, Tevez

    What u think?

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  28. Mílanista
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    Emmerson Boyce captain.

    Discuss

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    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Idiotic.

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    2. QPR expects... glory!
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      You either have elephants cajones or are missing both RVP & Tevez up front 🙂

      That said, as 'off the wall' as it sounds it might just work out this weekend.

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      1. Mílanista
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        I have both Robin and Carlitos 😀

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    3. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      Fairly brave. Wouldn't myself. Trust the big hitters.

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    4. bdwhite91
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      irrational.

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  29. Gommy
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    May I get an opinion on my potential free transfers for this week only...

    A Cole & Torres > Rafael & Adebayor

    However, I'm constantly drawn to one of Newcastle's defence instead of Rafael?

    Cheers

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  30. neoclubber
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 7 months ago

    berbatov or kone?

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    1. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 7 months ago

      It's a week early but Berbatov.

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      1. neoclubber
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 7 months ago

        ohh..thanks mate 🙂

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