[sbu_large_image] The Knee Jerk
26 December 2013 6689 comments
Mark Mark
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Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. Nabs Kebabs
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Lukaku, Mirallas->Silva, Dzeko (-4)? One of them will be my captain.

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    1. cruzex
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      i am thinking on Dzeko to... Will he start 100%?

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    2. El Muñeco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Not keen on Dzeko, short term at best. Can you downgrade elsewhere?

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      1. cruzex
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        i am thinking Lukaku + ramsey---> Walcott + Dzeko

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  2. Kane Toads
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    If a cup match is drawn, then the following tie-breaks will be applied until a winner is found:

    *Most goals scored in the Gameweek
    * Fewest goals conceded in the Gameweek
    *Virtual coin toss

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  3. Thomass
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Monty can you bat?

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      England*

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    2. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Only a middlin golfer too!!!

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    3. DÏLKS
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Have you actually watched him before this series? Watch some cricket.

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      1. Thomass
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I do and I watched the Cardiff 2009 game I know about cricket mate

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        1. DÏLKS
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          So why are you even questioning whether Monty can bat? What a stupid question.

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        2. DÏLKS
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          So I thought you were questioning whether Monty could bat Thomas? What a stupid question, like I said. He looks a nervous wreck everytime he plays a shot. Please don't ever question me again.

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  4. Tomopinder77
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Ozil>>hazard
    Ramsey>>walcott
    Lukaku>>jrod

    -8 hit??
    Terrible week 🙁 30 points...

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    1. DÏLKS
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Sounds decent.

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    2. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I got 29 🙁

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    3. GK
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Bad moves, the worst thing you can do after getting 30 is throw another 8 points out the window. Keep Ozil and Lukaku, get rid of Ramsey and plan for January WC.

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      1. Tomopinder77
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Good point GK

        Straight swap ramsey>>cabaye?

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  5. FPL Notebook (John)
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Might sound a bit crazy, but:

    Ramsey, Walker, McAuley -> Walcott, Bardsley, Collins (-8)

    What do you reckon? It would let me last longer before playing WC

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    1. The Shadow
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Collins went off injured.

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      1. FPL Notebook (John)
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        What if it was Ward instead?

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  6. pundit of punts
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Some help needed with my team lads.

    Team atm-

    Howard
    Terry,Jagielka,Evans
    Hazard,Ramsey,Silva,Walcott
    Lukaku,Suarez,Negredo

    4m,Ravel,Burner,Faye

    Thinking of removing deadwood and doing a 8 pointer

    Lukaku+Ramsey+Howard>Rooney+Sterling+Foster/Mannone

    or should I play safe and do Ramsey>Cabaye/Lallana/Sterling and roll with no keeper for the weekend.

    Ta. 🙂

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    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      No GK for a week is fine. Not worth a hit at all!

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      1. pundit of punts
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Sensing a big score for Rooney at the weekend.

        All the injuries and suspensions lets me get Rooney without worrying much. GK change is to only generate the cash.

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    2. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      for me only ramsey >sterling

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  7. conorm101
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    I'd a good week (52 points) but have 2 suspensions and ramsey to airlift out. Wildcard coming a week late for me!!

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  8. Zod
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Liverpool to beat Chelsea on Sunday.

    Suarez captain?

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    1. The Shadow
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Chelsea to play for another 1-0 win.

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      1. aehii
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Yep. Walcott captain after last time.

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  9. sinik
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    tidied this up..

    let's say Rooney is set to rise today (likely) and my hand is forced and so I can't wait for tomorrow's pressers (already missed 0.4m on rises, don't really want to miss another 0.1m)

    A) Lukaku > Rooney for -4 (leaves me with 2.2m left over)
    B) Negredo > Rooney for -4 (leaves me with 3.4m left over)

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    1. El Muñeco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I would wait til tomorrow if possible, but if tonight would prefer A.

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    2. FF Dirtbag
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Lukaku out all day long. Just do it now. Lukaku is a bit lost at the moment I think

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      1. sinik
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        yeah but what if Negredo is rested on Saturday? just take in stride? would have Ravel or a defender coming off the bench..

        which in hindsight isn't THAT bad as I have defender facing Mertesacker v Newcastle (a), Clyne v Everton (a), Coleman v Southampton (h), Burner v Sunderland (h), and Chester v Fulham (h)

        hadn't considered that!

        not so bad for Negredo not to start and price going nowhere..hmmm

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        1. aehii
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          What if lukaku is rested...or Jelavic starts over him?

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          1. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 2 months ago

            already done, shipped Lukaku. my defense has good fixtures this week so it's not the end of the world if Negredo is rested and puts up 0 min

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    3. Messiah Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Most people on totalfpl telling me to do B as Negredo seems to be either totally knackered or injured and unlikely to start on Saturday...

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      1. sinik
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        yeah but what if Negredo is rested on Saturday? just take in stride? would have Ravel or a defender coming off the bench..

        which in hindsight isn't THAT bad as I have defender facing Mertesacker v Newcastle (a), Clyne v Everton (a), Coleman v Southampton (h), Burner v Sunderland (h), and Chester v Fulham (h)

        not so bad for Negredo not to start and price going nowhere..hmmm

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  10. SpinyNorman [*_*]
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Byebye Ramsey... Hello...

    Eriksen.

    Punt Central.

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    1. Bambi
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      did that move earlier. not sure how i feel about it now ;P

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    2. sinik
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Bambi and I mentioned this, cooled off..very clever and punty but Paulinho back and Eriksen plays deep.. good luck!

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      1. Bambi
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        i think paulinho and eriksen will play together in the midfield 4 (at least whislt dembele and sandro are injured)

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        1. sinik
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          I really like the idea, hope it works for you..I thought it was a clever one myself but I would prefer to have the money freed up so that I can shift Kun back in easily at WC time..

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  11. Messiah Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    What's the situation with Negredo? I can just upgrade him to Rooney tonight as Rooney is rising but he has got CPL next and could be a lot of goals...

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    1. sinik
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      the only problem I'm having right now. have already settled on my other two transfers. 😐

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    2. FF Dirtbag
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Keep him for sure. He was taken off to play in the next game.

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  12. El Muñeco
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Which one is best (1FT):

    A) Ozil and Nasri to Walcott and Silva (leaving no playing GK)
    B) Ozil and Howard to Walcott and Mannone
    C) Nasri and Howard to Silva and Mannone
    D) All three for -8

    Thanks in advance

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    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      A. Just leave the GK. Not worth a hit.

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      1. Kavali
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I have same dilemma, GK Howard Boruc
        A) Ozil to Walcott and play without a GK
        B) Mannone to Boruc
        or C) Both subs for -4

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    2. FF Dirtbag
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      A. Even though I would only do Ozil -> Walcott.

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      1. El Muñeco
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I am thinking about that actually. Nasri was pretty threatening against 'pool. The -4 on silva is definitely a gamble

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  13. Dago
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Repost sorry bottom of last page.
    Just need to find 0.4 million to do Ramsey to Walcott? Have two free transfers, who should I downgrade? Mignolet to Mannone and keep 0.8 million? Can anyone see a better transfer? Gonna pull the trigger now if not. Thanks all.

    Mignolet 
    Terry Coleman Burner Ward Rosenoir
    Hazard Silva Ramsey Morrison Barkley 
    Rooney Suarez Lukaku 

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    1. FPL Touches
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Definitely Migs to Mannone

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    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Sounds good.

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  14. FPL Touches
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Januzaj or Sterling?

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling for me as he will start.

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      1. copps
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        it seems a lot of their attack is through balls for him as he has the pace. good value.

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    2. FF Dirtbag
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling. Looks more dangerous, possible goals and assists from him.

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  15. GK
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Lallana looks a better option to me that Cabaye - plays further forward, better fixtures, Cabaye no longer on set pieces it seems. Any reason not to bring him in for Ramsey tonight? Only reservation is my selling value on Rambo which is 6.9m so he'll be a pain to bring back in.

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    1. Goaldigger
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Only reason I see is sterling is a better bet, and frees up money. Other than that I agree lallana over cabaye.

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      1. GK
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I don't like Sterlings Chelsea fixture otherwise I see his appeal. My team value is alright at the moment so happy to spend more for the right player!

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        1. Goaldigger
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Fair enough. I think ramsey will fall fast. Few weeks from now we'll be able to pick him up for close to what we sold him for.

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        2. Studgie G
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          he just scored at city and got a assist they're better then chelsea

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          1. aehii
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 2 months ago

            better but also more open...chelsea are horrible to play.

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    2. SpinyNorman [*_*]
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I have a strong feeling the Ramsey who'll return will not be the same as the Ramsey we've seen so far.

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      1. GK
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        He has seemed a bit jaded over the past couple of weeks but maybe that'd just him returning from outstanding form to normality. Theo is enough Arsenal attack for me for now, the Jan WC is timed great for us to reassess a couple of weeks down the line.

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    3. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Thought about Lallana as well, but Cabaye enabled me to spend a bit more on defence.

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  16. Thomass
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    England 250/9 Jimmy piling on the runs

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Calm down Thomass. Ashes is over.

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      1. Thomass
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I know we are playing for pride and night

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          250 isn't pride.
          Time for a clean out.

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      2. Woy of the Wovers
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        It's never over. Surely the whole concept of the Ashes signifies an end yet we still play every two years.

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  17. Sz21
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    2ft's,
    2.7m in account so some options available..
    What would u be looking at with this lot...
    Any must- haves before the next WC?

    Marshall (Mignolet)
    Burner, Evra, Coleman, (McCauley, Wilson)
    Walcott, Toure, Mutch, Morrison (Bannan)
    Lukaku, Rooney, Suarez..

    Cheers

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  18. Amateur Pundit Zan
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Knee jerk at the ready
    A) Ivan + Ramsey > Walcott + baardsley (-4)
    B) Ramsey > cabaye
    C) other?

    Marshall, Harper
    Terry, Ivan, Coleman, shaw, ward
    Silva, hazard, Ramsey (6.6m), Barkley, shelvey
    Suarez, Rooney, lukaku
    1ft 1.3m

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    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      for diff.
      ramsey >sterling or B

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  19. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    2 FT

    Ramsey > Walcott

    GJ > Chester

    Yay

    Nay

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    1. FF Dirtbag
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Sounds like a plan

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    2. conorm101
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      do it

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  20. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Walcott differential gone.

    Go away and keep Mesut you wan*ers!!!!!

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    1. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Walcott and mesut on wc

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  21. Perthite
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    I wonder if most of England still thinks Mitchell Johnson is rubbish.

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    1. Get up ya bum
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Not if they've been watching

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    2. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      And have to respect Panesar's guts when batting v fast bowling. Some of the other bowlers could learn from him.

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  22. isacki: full casual
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    So, the return of Carrick should mean Rooney is back to being a full-time striker I'd think.

    Pretty important to get him back now isn't it - I could get him for Negredo for a hit. Would you?

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    1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      For a hit, definitely not. What's all this chat stemmed from anyway, was Negredo subbed off injured?

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      1. isacki: full casual
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Been talked about for weeks before the game - City play Palace in less than 2 days, then play Swansea 4 days later.

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  23. Buck The Trent
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    No playing GK this weekend (Howard, Davis)

    Should I
    A ditch Howard
    B keep Howard and transfer in A cheapo (Harper or Gaz)

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    1. El Muñeco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      B, probably harper but mcgregors injury won't keep him out for long

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  24. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Lukaku ---> Dzeko (c) ;). Punnnnnt

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    1. cruzex
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Dzeko will start?

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      1. cruzex
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        1''% garanteed??

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        1. cruzex
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          100%*

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  25. Zeeco
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Who would you captian next week Walcott or Rooney next GW?

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    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Rooney

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    2. Torreslove
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      silva

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    3. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      suarez

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      1. Zeeco
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        What Chelsea at home?

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  26. Arctic monkeys
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    any idea howa long is Mcgregor out ?

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  27. Thomass
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Night folks 😀

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  28. Nice to Finally Michu
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    2.7 in the bank with 2 FTs
    Krul (Davis)
    Clyne Burner Distin (Chester Baker)
    Walcott Ramsey Hazard Silva (Pozuelo)
    Negredo Rooney Suarez
    Which of these transfers would you do?
    A) Ramsey > Eriksen
    B) Baker and Ramsey > Kompany and Eriksen
    C) Ramsey and Pozuelo > Cabaye and Eriksen (would have to bench one each week though)
    D) Ramsey, Pozeulo and Baker > Sterling, Eriksen and Kolarov for a hit

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    1. Nice to Finally Michu
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      C could be either Cabaye or Lallana

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    2. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      c
      or ramsey and poz> sterling and cabaye

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  29. Matt
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Evs went out the cup 😯 unlucky mate

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  30. DÏLKS
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    WC going into GW23? No big teams play Each other; that week could be massive.

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