What a difference a year makes.
Just under twelve months ago I was lamenting my worst ever campaign in eight years of playing the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game. Iād limped over the line, recording a rank of 192,837 ā a pretty miserable result for someone who sleeps with the fixture list etched onto the back of his eyelids.
While there was no obvious excuse, itās fascinating to reflect on the lessons I’d identified back then. Itās even more enlightening to see if Iāve really learnt anything from those struggles, and whether that’s helped me turn things around.
React as quickly as possible to form players and donāt be shy to use hits.
The stubbornness which prompted the slow reaction to the form of Aaron Ramsey and Yaya Toure last season was well documented. This term Iāve been fortunate in that there have been no real equivalents.
I got on Harry Kane in Gameweek 15 and he scored 17 goals in the followingĀ 14 weeks. I guess I can take some credit for that. Other than Kane, itās difficult to identify a bandwagon that got close to surprising us by maintaining form over a long spell. Charlie Austin is probably one I missed for a while ā more on him in a moment.
It would have been interesting if, for some reason, Iād resisted Kane, missed the early goals and then allowed my stubborn nature to keep me from acquiring him. That might still be a weakness of mine ā this season didnāt really test that too much, although the Austin situation hints that Iāve still got work to do.
As for hits, Iāve certainly used them sparingly, taking just three all season. Iāve no doubt that they can be effective and, as I wrote last weekend, coupling them with a banked transfer to make three changes will be a tactic I will definitely take into next season.
Apply that rule to bandwagaons and hunches alike ā if thereās form, back it.
I have had more conviction with my hunches. I backed Sadio Mane the moment he arrived and, while it took me some weeks to acquire him, once he was in, he stayed in. We know how that worked out.
Similarly, I adopted his team-mate Dusan Tadic off the back of his impressive early season statistics and held him long enough to ride out that Gameweek 8 haul.
These were both major turning points in the season but behind all that, my conviction that Eden Hazard would eventually surpass Cesc Fabregas and faith in Branisalv Ivanovic, Diego Costa and early investment in Kane, meant that I ticked over.
I still bought Aleks Kolarov for one Gameweek – just as a Christmas treat.
Donāt beat yourself up about chasing points when signing form players youāve missed.
For a few weeks, I thought Iād made the wrong decision on Fabregas but Hazard did, by Christmas, emerge as the better option.
I missed some opportunities but, in the main, I jumped on bandwagons around the right time and never really suffered from missing huge hauls.
Charlie Austin hurt me for a while ā I was slow on that one, mainly because I felt that, eventually, he and QPR would be worked out. I was right to an extent, but I still missed out on some value hauls that would have probably benefited my season.
Iām not convinced Iāve learnt this lesson yet, then.
Donāt take unnecessary gambles with the captaincy in a bid to make ground.
I think this made an impact. The Gargatron tells me that I used just 10 different captains this time around, indicating that Iāve been more cautious.
For weeks I kept the armband with Diego Costa, lured in by his consistency. It hurt me on occasions and benefited me on others. Following his departure, Iāve largely turned to Sergio Aguero and Eden Hazard.
I think Iāve taken risks two or three times with the armband āĀ it’s hard to say if that’s been a factor in the turnaround. Despite lacking the Luis Suarez option, I’ve been surprised that the captaincy has seemed to be a straightforward decision in the main. With Hazard around, it may well be even easier next season.
Sign dominant centre-backs who win headers
Sign full-backs if they have an outstanding statistic in their favour ā normally, crosses or tackles.
These two combine and, in many ways, highlight how a subtle change in rules can change the FPL landscape.
For a good part of last season, Iād backed the attacking full-back over the dominant centre-back and was punished by the bonus system which clearly favoured the latter. I actually doubled on Southampton (Calum Chambers and Luke Shaw), only to eject that tactic when it was clear it was failing miserably.
A year on, the double Southampton full-back has undoubtedly been one of the key strategies when forming our defences. For a good portion of this season, having both Nathaniel Clyne and Ryan Bertrand proved a mini-league game changer.
Overall, the bonus point system was tweaked, raiding full-backs no longer suffered heavily from failed dribbles and, suddenly, there was bonus balance at the back.
I didnāt have to adjust my tactics āĀ the FPL put things right on my behalf.
Thereās the new lesson to consider: if there are rule changes for next season, donāt underestimate how they can influence our strategies ā however subtle they appear to be.
Donāt be shy spending money on defenders if they also offer goal threat.
Defenders scored 104 goals last season, which hasĀ declined to 90 so far this term.
The Chelsea pairing of John Terry and Branislav Ivanovic have benefited most from their attacking menace at set-plays and, by owning the latter all season, I guess I put this one straight.
By prioritising full-backs last season, I turned my back on the points earned from set-piece threat. Given that Seamus Coleman and Leighton Baines have declined in goal output this season, thereās good reason to say that this has been more important than ever.
Arguably I made the right choice. Ivanovic has had that threat at set-plays, whilst also being an attacking full-back providing crosses. With Terry ageing, the Serb will be one of the first names in my 2015/16 squad.
If you think a player is injury prone, heās likely to eventually live up to that tag.
I need to remind myself of this one over the summer: my Diego Costa habit almost de-railed my season at one point. Eventually, the Chelsea man repaid my faith but, at several stages, I questioned whether I was making a fatal error by holding him too long. I got away with it. Just.
Iāll resist Costa next season. I certainly wonāt touch Daniel Sturridge.
Of course, as I also stated this time last year, every season hands us a set of different challenges that will ultimately decide the fate of our campaigns.
Sometimes single transfers like Mane and Tadic can make a major difference, sometimes it’s having conviction in a player like Ivanovic or Hazard that tips the balance. Alongside this, we have to enjoy some fortune āĀ the right injuries at the right time, penalty saves, points from the bench. These can all conspire for and against us and sometimes, they just fall in place.
I’m not sure how much of my season has been down to this luck over my own judgment. I do know that it’s followed on from my worst ever campaign and that, in some ways, that may have helped. Perhaps this will come as some comfort to those who look on this season’s rank and flinch.
While Iāve spent this morning reflecting on the story of my own campaign, much of my focus today will be on the very top of the FPL rankings. Once again, weāre blessed with seeing members of our community competing for the top prize.
Simon March, aka āDufflinksā, looks well placed to seal the title as he seeks to protect a 34-point lead. The likes of Kev Gleave, Jack Wain, Jon Sumner, Stuart Greenacre and AbuBakar Siddiq give chase ā all either members of the FFS Leagues, posters on our pages or both.
It’s this that makes me most proud and convinces me that 2014/15 has been a season to savour.
Iāll be pre-ambling your way again in August.
Good luck to all.
