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11 September 2015 1268 comments
Mathematically Safe Mathematically Safe
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In what has been a largely unpredictable start to the season for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, we take a look at the defensive statistics of the first four Gameweeks to review how the performance of the teams is impacting on points tallies to this point.

In many ways the importance of team form is more pronounced for the defensive positions than it is in attacking areas.

Whereas a forward can play in a largely uninspiring team but still nick a goal, the best defenders can have clean sheet points taken away by a single slip from another player. FPL managers look for attacking potential to mitigate this, but stoic central defenders can also be valuable if they are part of a solid collective unit. Therefore, it is important to look at the defence in context of the team’s strengths as well as the individual’s.

For this analysis, we will use the team data available in the member’s area. The following chart ranks the teams by Opta’s metric ‘Bad Touches’ (in ascending order), from the ‘Disciplined’ teams who make limited mistakes and have high concentration, to the ‘Own Worst Enemy’ teams who have recorded many bad touches (see data table for reference below). The size of the circles denotes the rank of teams by crosses conceded, chances conceded, and big chances conceded (small is good, large is bad).

  1. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Sakho or Wilson ? Is Sakho worth the extra over Wilson ?
    Thanks.

  2. Mr Sitter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Other keeper/defenders are McCarthy, Kolarov, Monreal, Cook, Nyom

    A) De Gea and Gomez
    B) Courtois and Sagna

  3. Vic Rattlehead
      10 years, 3 months ago

      My two current goalies are Courtois and Mccarthy. Should I ship out Courtois for a -4 hit or stick with Mccarthy and get a new goalie on a FT next week? Decisions.....

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Free.

      2. Iain Dowies Love Child
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Reckon McCarthy will start so stick - Begovic or DDG next week for free

      3. Elijah's Wood
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Would wait until next week when it wont cost you, i imagine MCcarthy will keep his place for a couple weeks

      4. copps
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        play mccarthy

    • Iain Dowies Love Child
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Lost on last post:
      With JEvans now with WBA, who loses out - Jonas or Macca?

      1. Elijah's Wood
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Id imagine Macca but they do play alongside each other in Internationals, plus his age. Olsson would probably be dropped but who knows

        1. Iain Dowies Love Child
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Hmm - tricky one. Need rid of Ward and Olsson at 4.5 suits me better - looks like I'll have to go with Johnny

          1. Elijah's Wood
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Evans is still a risk though, its tricky, ive gone for Dawson but he could be dropped lol

    • PGR
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Repost:

      My keepers are McCarthy and Courtois.

      Is McCarthy likely to start this week or should I take a hit to get rid of Courtois?

      1. Iain Dowies Love Child
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        See above

      2. Jazz!
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Get rid of Courtois. Even if McCarthy starts he'll get 0 points

        1. Iain Dowies Love Child
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Save points?

        2. Miro
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I very much doubt that

      3. Elijah's Wood
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Dont take a hit, start MCC

    • Mr Sitter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Evening all. Other keeper/defenders are McCarthy, Kolarov, Monreal, Cook, Nyom

      A) De Gea and Gomez
      B) Courtois and Sagna

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        The non injured players.

      2. Rödallegabomb á´¿á´®
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Not nailed on v Injured.

        Tough one.

      3. bitm2007
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        A, Courtois out for three months

    • RubeRx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Haven't seen this particular article before, well done!

    • Harvey Specter
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Sahko and Sako or Mahrez and Wilson?

      1. Iain Dowies Love Child
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        M&W

      2. Jazz!
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        A is differential
        B is template

        I have B and prefer it TBH

        1. Elijah's Wood
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          This

        2. Harvey Specter
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I am on WC so I need to think for the long run. I guess I`ll go for the simple option with Mahrez and Wilson

          1. Elijah's Wood
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            M&W have better fixtures, plus its unsure how long Sako's goal spree will last with all the competition at Palace. Sahko has been rather underwelming

    • Pepin - RIP Absinthe
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Lol @ Silva owners who have used their FT.

      1. Jazz!
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Stuck with 2 city (Aguero and Kol) 🙂

      2. Forza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Lol @ Silva owners who are selling.

        1. screamer73
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          this

      3. Iain Dowies Love Child
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Silly

      4. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        People making ridiculously early transfers...

      5. Miro
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Who would you get instead if you haven't used your FT?

      6. Hibbopotamus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Lol @ Lol @ Lol @ Lol *shoots self*

      7. kalmoffit
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Too many injuries. Would have loved to keep.

      8. walkman666
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        The maturity.

        1. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I guess you didn't look at my team 🙂

    • Puzzle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Sanchez or Pedro?

      1. Los Pollos
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Sanchez

      2. copps
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        sanchez

    • Henning
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      HI all.

      Need some help.

      Silva not playing,and guess Romero dont gonna play.
      i have 1 ft and 0.9 m in the bank. Should i get Another goalie in for Romero or Yaya in for silva?

      Romero- McCarthy

      Azpi -Kolarov-Darmian-Gomez-Francis

      Payet-Chadli-Silva-Mahres-Ayew

      Gomis-Diouf-Aguero

      1. Iain Dowies Love Child
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Save FT

      2. GAMBIT
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Get a Keeper

    • Super-Anders
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Who to play in the 3rd defensive slot?
      Bassong, Prödl or Francis?

      1. Bojaninho
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        other 2 starters?

        1. Super-Anders
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Kolarov and Azpi

          1. Bojaninho
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Bassong id say,

            1. Super-Anders
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Go for the home games yeah. But I fear another 1-pointer from Bassong.

      2. GAMBIT
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Prodl, Watford seem resilient

        1. Super-Anders
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          They do - but Swansea comes knocking. Will probably choose him still.

    • Bojaninho
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Play 2 of,

      Francis, Gomez, Richards, Targett

      Kolarov the starter

      1. Jazz!
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        That is a hard one. Francis and Targett

      2. the axolotl
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        not sure utd will do much damage vs liverpool. i know it's a big fixture but utd just don't really seem up for it, even liverpool. i've to play 2 of those 3 (dont have richards) and on targett and gomez for now

        1. Somalion
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Maaaaaaaaaaaaataaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

          1. Bojaninho
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            lol

          2. the axolotl
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            ooh, i must find a tiny sofa to hide behind when mata turns out*

            *mata haul incoming 🙂

            1. Somalion
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4hGQ7OIOf9w

              Maaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaatatatatatatatatatataaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

    • istanbul05
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Courtois, McCarthy
      Kolarov, Darmian, Ward, Richards, Targett
      Sanchez, Silva, Payet, Mahrez, Hoolahan,
      Aguero, Gomis, Wilson,

      £1.9m ITB.

      Only thing to do is bench Silva and swap out Courtois for -4 right?

      Thanks

      1. Declan
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Start McCarthy

        1. istanbul05
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Do you think it's worth the risk for him starting though...

    • Hibbopotamus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Already made my transfer for the week.

      A. Take a hit to replace Silva
      B. Play Targett

      Rest of the lot:
      Kasper
      Azpi, Kol, Jonas (Gomez)
      Haz, Ozil, Mahrez (Surman)
      Kun, Wilson, Gomis

      1. Bojaninho
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Play Targett

      2. Elijah's Wood
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Play Targett

    • the axolotl
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      nice article. what on earth has happened to chelsea?

      1. Jazz!
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        They will be back.

    • Still Unsure
        10 years, 3 months ago

        A) Silva -> Pedro
        B) Silva -> Hazard
        C) Silva -> Stirling
        C) Surman -> Kouyate

        Money no problem.

        1. Jazz!
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          C and bench silva this week and Kouyate next.

          1. Still Unsure
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Presume you mean D like I did?

          2. Hibbo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            A.

            I want the price rise.

        2. DaveVak
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          1. Silva out for whom (have Sanchez, Ayew, Mahrez)?
          2. Captain Sanchez, Aguero or (new guy from 1)?

          1. Epic Fail
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Sanchez.
            Pick one. It's split.

          2. copps
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            who is your 5th mid?

            1. DaveVak
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Sinclair. Can ship him (though I have a good feeling about him) to get 2 mid bracket mids

              1. copps
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                just bench silva and play sinclair

        3. Los Pollos
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Silva , Ward --> Hazard , Olsson ?
          Will bring Silva back in next week

        4. That Was Easy!
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          With Ward and Silva in my squad, I'm facing a tough decision...

          Butland - (McCarthy)
          Kolarov - Azpi - Morgan - Richards - (Ward)
          Sanchez - Pedro - Mahrez - (Silva) - (Westwood)
          Kun (C) - Wilson - Gomis (VC)

          Do I start Westwood or Richards, taking into account I have Mahrez and Morgan as starters as well.

          A tough situation...what are your opinions? Could a hit pay off somewhere?

          Cheers all and best of luck after a long and boring break!

          1. Jazz!
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Leave it. A hit is never guaranteed to be beneficial. At least nothing can go wrong in the Sunday 4pm match

        5. The Train Driver
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          3 Swansea players in scoutpicks against a Watford that conceded 0 goals at home so far, hmmm...

        6. bangers and M*A*S*H
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Play Myhill (Soton home) or Ruddy (bourne home)?

          Or get Begovic for a free transfer?

          1. Jazz!
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Myhill

        7. lfc123
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Liverpool team tmro :

          Mig
          Clyne Skrtel Lovren Gomez
          Lucas Milner Can
          Firmino Benteke Ings

          1. copps
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            ings to start? surprising to see 2 up top.

            1. Dr Dream
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              They've been training together for it...

          2. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Tomato?

          3. Epic Fail
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Source?

            1. lfc123
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              My mate knows a fella that works at melwood and gets a text each week. Usually spot on.

              1. Epic Fail
                • 15 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                The janitor?

                1. lfc123
                  • 13 Years
                  10 years, 3 months ago

                  Along those lines

          4. Declan
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Nicely copied and pasted

            http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/team-news/

          5. Somalion
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Lovely.

          6. Jafooli
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Average looking.....no Ibe?

          7. Dr Dream
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Doesn't look very strong tbh.

            1. lfc123
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              No team with Lovren looks strong!

              1. Dr Dream
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Agreed.

          8. Davido989
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Rodgers is a ****

            1. Davido989
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Mignolet
              Clyne Toure Sakho Gomez
              Lucas Can
              Milner Firmino Moreno
              Benteke

              And I would've been happy. Width. Crosses. Benteke on Blind. Goals.

              1. copps
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                i like this team

                1. copps
                  • 14 Years
                  10 years, 3 months ago

                  oh wait, toure? gotta be havin'g a laugh mate 😀

              2. Somalion
                • 15 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                The CM is probably the one I'd have, and CAM. Don't like Milner out wide so much, or Moreno, but then I suppose options a bit limited. Wouldn't be placing my faith in Kolo given how he hasn't played at all, not a game to throw him in right away.

          9. KingNidge
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            LOL

          10. GAMBIT
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Looks like it will be the diamond with Firmino behind the front two... I'll take it

        8. Jeremiah
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Any update on Diouf?

          Have Silva too so might use my FT on him instead.

        9. CarelessGenius©
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Begovic or Myhill over the next 3 months?

          1. Jazz!
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Myhill if he's nailed. Probably Begovic for that reason though

        10. 50pipsDaily
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Repost, on WC.

          A) Ayew / Sterling / Costa

          B) Gomis / KDB / Pedro

          1. Jeremiah
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            B

        11. ZTF
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I JUST REALISED ABOUT SILVA OH MY GOD

          1. Epic Fail
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Early transfer?

            1. ZTF
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              YES. WAAAAH

        12. Davido989
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          A) Chadli or Kouyate
          B) Best 5.5m defender?
          C) Begovic or Fabianski? Already have Williams.

          🙂

          1. Declan
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Chadli
            Bellerin
            Bego

            1. Davido989
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Thanks

        13. That Was Easy!
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Westwood or Richards?

          Considering I have Mahrez and Morgan as well.

        14. ZTF
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          When is Silva back?

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Whatever FPL site says.