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11 September 2015 1268 comments
Mathematically Safe Mathematically Safe
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In what has been a largely unpredictable start to the season for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, we take a look at the defensive statistics of the first four Gameweeks to review how the performance of the teams is impacting on points tallies to this point.

In many ways the importance of team form is more pronounced for the defensive positions than it is in attacking areas.

Whereas a forward can play in a largely uninspiring team but still nick a goal, the best defenders can have clean sheet points taken away by a single slip from another player. FPL managers look for attacking potential to mitigate this, but stoic central defenders can also be valuable if they are part of a solid collective unit. Therefore, it is important to look at the defence in context of the team’s strengths as well as the individual’s.

For this analysis, we will use the team data available in the member’s area. The following chart ranks the teams by Opta’s metric ‘Bad Touches’ (in ascending order), from the ‘Disciplined’ teams who make limited mistakes and have high concentration, to the ‘Own Worst Enemy’ teams who have recorded many bad touches (see data table for reference below). The size of the circles denotes the rank of teams by crosses conceded, chances conceded, and big chances conceded (small is good, large is bad).

  1. Hank Moody
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    gomis or vardy?

  2. Iain Dowies Love Child
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    A) Keep Diouf & play Richards (lei)
    B) Sell Diouf for a hit

    A right?

    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      A

      1. Iain Dowies Love Child
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks man

  3. Gideons Rolling Another One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    If you didn't own Gomis or Wilson but owned Ayew which one would you rather have? Gomis or Wilson?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Gomis.

      1. Gideons Rolling Another One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers.

      2. Gideons Rolling Another One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        What about Son? Fancy a punt on some of that?

    2. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Ayew is irrelevant, it's purely about who will score more, Gomis or Wilson. Gomis in my opinion.

      *disclaimer, I have Ayew and Wilson 😉

      1. Gideons Rolling Another One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Nice one Rover

      2. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        This is very underrated on here.

    3. screamer73
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Wilson, if you have Ayew

  4. Miro
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    McCarthy (Butland)

    Kolarov Darmian Martin Prodl (Richards)

    Sanchez(c) Ramsey Payet Silva (Surman)

    Aguero Vardy (Diouf)

    With Silva out and Diouf doubtful should I just play 5-3-2 with Richards or Sell Silva for Pedro/Sterling/KDB ? Still got my FT. TA

  5. RubeRx
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Two quick ones please

    1. Start one for FPL:

    (A) Coloccini @whu
    (B) Francis @nor
    (C) Nyom SWA

    2. Bench one for draft league:

    (A) Azpilicueta @eve
    (B) Darmian vs LIV
    (C) Montero @wat
    (D) Wijnaldum @whu

    1. 4vets
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Nyom

      Darmian 😯

      1. RubeRx
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        thx for the reply

  6. ZTF
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Play one :

    Muniesa
    Wanyama

    Due to Silva injury. Have Sanchez too.

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Play Silva anyway just incase.

  7. Brian (Not the Messiah)
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I have Diouf and Silva.

    Should I:

    A) Play Francis and Westwood or
    B) Use my FT?

    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Id be tempted to do Silva ➡ KDB

      1. Judas
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        I did silva to ayew and kept diouf

  8. Primprong
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Hazard to Pedro or save transfer?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Save. I always save when it's a move like that. Either of them could be the one to produce in a 1 off game.

    2. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Save, Haz has scored twice for Belgium

    3. 4vets
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Save until you have 2 ft and can upgrade elsewhere.

    4. Yome
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

  9. Dušan Citizen
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Still not sure who to captain. Your thoughts?

    Aguero - popular pick, but arrived in Manhester at Thursday and now he is off to London. And with rank of 560k perhaps I should go with some differential?

    Sterling - Have gut feeling about him. Ward is also out, City like to attack from the left side, maybe he will get more chances with Silva's absence.

    Mahrez - in form, Midland's derby, should be a lot of goals there.

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I'm captaining Kun.

      1. Dušan Citizen
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Even with 560k rank?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          People at 2m+ will captain him.

          1. The Bandit
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            o/

        2. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          What's rank got to do with it? Who do you think will score most points?

          1. Dušan Citizen
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Well, with differential captain, if he score well, I could improve my rank.
            Not sure. Close between Kun and Mahrez.

        3. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I'm ranked about 2m.

    2. Declan
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Kun

    3. Bojaninho
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Mahrez is soooo tempting but i fear the risk is too great.

      Yaya seems to do well away from home in these types of games too he's an option too

      1. Dušan Citizen
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        I don't own Yaya.

    4. lfc123
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I'm going Mahrez, played it safe up to now and been awful.

      1. Dušan Citizen
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Same here. Blanked 3 times with captain. Only Benteke paid off.

        1. lfc123
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Watch Kun bag a hatty

          1. Dušan Citizen
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Can see that happen, but I would like to go differential this GW.

  10. Je suis le chat
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Wonder is Silva just being rested. Will hold onto him and reappraise for next weekend. Will be worrying if KDB takes his spot behind Aguero.

  11. Harvey Specter
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I am on a WC and so far I have this team:

    Myhill - McCarthy

    Sagna - Gomez - Ward* - Oxford - Targett

    Pedro - Sanchez - Silva* - Sinclair - Ayew

    Wilson - Aguero - Gomis

    should I keep Silva or change him? I am also thinking about Ward to Haidara.
    I could also do Silva to YYT, Ward to Haidara and Sinclair to Mahrez.

  12. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    captain Aguero or Sanchez?

    1. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Sanchez

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Up to you.

    3. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      1st time this has been posted. Get a coin.

  13. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Content-ish with my wildcard team. One or two question marks but it is what it is. Sorry Kouyate 🙁

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      You are never going to be content 🙂 .

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        That's true. I'm a fussy one. 😀

  14. The Gambler.
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    FT used

    Is it worth

    A) 4 pt hit for Silva > KDB
    or
    B) play Redmond instead

    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      B

  15. Mr Sitter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Trying again! Other keeper/defenders are McCarthy, Kolarov, Monreal, Cook, Nyom

    A) De Gea and Gomez
    B) Begovic and Sagna

    1. Harvey Specter
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I would go for B

  16. Royal5
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Is Silva actually ruled out by Pelegrino? Thought he was a big doubt but not sure why he's red flagged.

    1. RubeRx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      see tweets

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Tweets

  17. Judas
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    So I really want ro Captain Ayew but not sure I have the balls!?

    Palace rarely get walked over so cant see City getting more than 2 goals max. Gargh its a tough one

    1. Judas
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Or Sanchez?

      1. Jazz!
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Mahrez

        1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Have you made up your mind ? 🙂 .

    2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Watford have been good at the back and I can't see Swansea thrashing them

  18. That Was Easy!
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I hate to keep asking but I don't have any confidence in this decision.

    Westwood or Richards? I also have Morgan and Mahrez...I am leaning towards Richards.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Westwood

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Has nobody answered previously?

      1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Probably not knowing this place . Westwood

  19. JK - Cønt ⭐
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I get to see Firmino up close tomorrow

    Promises to be an amusing experience

    1. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      ?

    2. Declan
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Oh Matron

  20. Ryanroberts
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    So before the Silva injury I had a selection headache and was going to play AOA

    Can now play

    Butland (McCarthy)
    Kolarov naughton darmian (Richards, Oxford)
    Mahrez sanchez Ayew payet (Silva)
    Wilson Gomis Aguero

    Should I still use my FT and play AOA

    silva > pedro?

    Or just stick?

    1. Willos Wanderers
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I fancy your defence to score, so would personally stick.

  21. RSe
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Every wc draft I end up with 3 swansea. I like Naughton and so hard to choose between Ayew or Gomis. ..

    1. Brian (Not the Messiah)
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      nothing wrong with 3 players from an in form team.

    2. Ryanroberts
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I ended up with exactly those three. Playing three this week too.

    3. Je suis le chat
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Stick with Ayew and replace Gomis with say Sakko; nice fixtures.

    4. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Yeah I plYed wildcard after first GW to get 3 Swansea 3 Man City and 3 Leicester.Still have them.

  22. Willos Wanderers
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Which one of the following four to play:

    Diouf (ars) - injury doubt
    Hoolahan (BOU)
    Gomez (mun)
    Richards (lei)

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Diouf.

      1. Willos Wanderers
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        I was leaning towards Hoolahan.... but maybe you are right

        1. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I am.

    2. Elijah's Wood
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Hoolz

  23. Somalion
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    It was just after watching that Mata goal against Pool that I realise how badly I want him CAM. F**king 'ell.

    1. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Absolute beast there.

      But he played on the right in that game ?

      1. Somalion
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Aye, but it reminded me how talented a player he is and how, barring the occasional performance out wide, he is being wasted.

  24. The 12th Man
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Bench 1. Payet, Ayew, Wilson, Mahrez

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Payet.

      1. The 12th Man
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Torn between Payet and Wilson

    2. Ryanroberts
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Wilson for me

    3. Bertzeiner-m
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Payet. Hes the only one not in good form

    4. Jazz!
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      AOA. I would say Payet but you'll be sitting behind the couch when the MNF game is on

      1. The 12th Man
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Already used it.

    5. Je suis le chat
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I'd use thr AOA chip.

      1. The 12th Man
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Gone

    6. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Wilson

  25. Red Star Toro
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Hazard to Sanchez, no other Chelsea and Arsenal cover.

    Yes or no?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Forget cover. Sanchez is potentially the better option this week.

  26. WUSS
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Benteke to Gomis for FT? Or hold?
    Liverpool have decent fixtures upcoming, benteke burst on the way?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Might not even be in the team much longer if he doesn't produce.

      1. WUSS
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        So I should get in Gomis?

        1. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I have.

  27. RubeRx
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    RMT says Sterling over KDB and Yaya 😉

    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Cos they haven't seen KDB in the BPL yet 😉

    2. Jazz!
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Could be gold but is bold

    3. Somalion
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Enjoy the 3 points.

  28. Farcelona
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Is it worth doing Diouf to Wilson?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Quite possibly.

  29. The Train Driver
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    A. Benteke > Son
    B. Benteke > Kane
    C. Save and have 2 FT next week + Benteke good fixture

    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      B

    2. wedgec
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      C

    3. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      C from those options.

    4. Jazz!
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      C

  30. waitinginthelonggrass
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Ok I completely missed the silva injury, how long are we looking at?

    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Back vs Juve midweek

    2. Brian (Not the Messiah)
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      probably 1 week

    3. waitinginthelonggrass
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Cool, thanks