[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
19 September 2015 1602 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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On paper, this looks to be a Gameweek that deals in fine margins. While Sergio Aguero should be heavily backed for the captaincy, doubts over his pitch time against West Ham and them emergence of reliable mid-price returns has dented his dominance in the race for the armband. Elsewhere, a slew of strong home fixtures suggests that clean sheet returns could be plentiful.

Where do we put our faith? Let’s get Paddy Power’s odds in the mix as another variable.

Before we examine their assessment via the Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet markets, those of you hankering for a flutter this weekend should know about the special offers laid on by our bookmaker friends.

For the tasty early kick-off, new Paddy Power accounts can get Chelsea to win at 9/1 or 8/1 on an Arsenal victory at Stamford Bridge, with your cash back as a free bet if you lose out.

Paddy also have a special for Sunday’s tea-time clash at St Mary’s, with odds of 8/1 on offer for a Man United win over Southampton – plus £10 of free bets for the rest of the season.

Finally, this weekend’s accumulator special finds Paddy dangling 30/1 on wins for Man City, Leicester, Atletico Madrid and PSG with your money back as a bet if you miss out.

Be sure to check the teams and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 6

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.40
Bony MCI 1.66
Iheanacho MCI 1.83
Benteke LIV 1.90
Wilson BOU 2.10
Sterling MCI 2.10
Kane TOT 2.10
Sturridge LIV 2.10
Costa CHE 2.20
Toure MCI 2.29
De Bruyne MCI 2.29
Murray BOU 2.40
King BOU 2.40
Gomis SWA 2.50

With Manuel Pellegrini confirming that his Argentine hitman is 100% fit, it’s no surprise to see Sergio Aguero (1.40) rated as Paddy’s most fancied to score. Despite clocking just 312 minutes this campaign, the former Atletico Madrid man ranks joint-third among forwards for shots inside the box (12) and joint-fourth for shots on target (seven), statistics that help him maintain his seemingly permanent tenancy at the top of the Anytime Goalscorer odds.

With City joint-top for goals scored this campaign (11) and second for shots on target (36), back-up strikers Wilfried Bony (1.66) and Kelechi Iheanacho (1.83) round off the top three slots in Paddy’s odds. Further down, Rahem Sterling (2.10), Yaya Toure and Kevin De Bruyne (both 2.29) also occupy the top 15, illustrating the Sky Blues’ unmatched attacking depth and Paddy’s confidence that they will dish out a beating to visiting West Ham at the Etihad.

Pitched at 1.90, Christian Benteke (1.90) is fancied to build upon his Goal of the Season nominee at Old Trafford with another strike at home to Norwich City. Although the Reds have recorded just three goals so far this term, their recent record against the Canaries (21 goals in five meetings) bodes well for a high-scoring encounter. Daniel Sturridge (2.10) only just returned to full training last week but is handed short odds in case of a surprise cameo.

A quartet of Bournemouth players are handed skinny odds ahead of their home clash against Sunderland, with Callum Wilson (2.10) pinpointed as the main threat. Glenn Murray and Joshua King (both 2.40) also feature in the top 15, perhaps no surprise given that the Black Cats rank second for goals conceded (11) and shots inside the box conceded (57).

Harry Kane (2.10), Diego Costa (2.20) and Bafetimbi Gomis (2.50) round off the list of likely scorers, despite all three drawing a blank last time out. Kane is yet to record this campaign but faces an Eagles’ rearguard that’s conceded the most shots inside the box (58), while Costa netted a confidence-boosting strike in Chelsea’s Champions League opener. Gomis, meanwhile, has scored in every home match so far ahead of Everton’s trip to the Liberty Stadium.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 6

Team Odds
Manchester City 2.10
Liverpool 2.10
Aston Villa 2.20
Bournemouth 2.29
Tottenham 2.62
Manchester United 2.70
Newcastle 2.87
Swansea 2.87

The Clean Sheet rankings are keenly contested, with Paddy’s odds suggesting that there could be ample defensive returns on offer.

Man City and Liverpool are neck-and-neck at the summit of the clean-sheet table, with Paddy offering odds of 2.10 for both sides to shut out their opposition in their respective home encounters.

The Sky Blues boast five straight clean sheets and are yet to concede a big chance at home, while the Reds have conceded just one big chance at Anfield having started the season with three straight shut-outs.

Aston Villa (2.20) come next, despite claiming just one clean sheet to their name this term. They are no doubt favoured by Paddy by virtue of the fact that opponents West Brom rank bottom for shots on target (five) in away matches. Elsewhere, Eddie Howe’s Bournemouth (2.29) play host to a Sunderland outfit that’s crafted only two big chances on their travels.

Tottenham (2.62) have not conceded in their previous two league outings and restricted Everton to just three shots on target last time out at White Hart Lane, although given Palace’s away form under Alan Pardew, these odds seem generous.

Only Leicester City (zero) have conceded fewer big chances in their away match-ups than Man United (one), who are priced at 2.70 to earn clean sheet from their trip to Southampton.

Further down, both Newcastle United and Swansea City come in at 2.87 for their respective home ties. The Swans have conceded just one big chance at home ahead of their showdown with Everton, while the Magpies square up to a Watford outfit that’s tested the opposing keeper on just five occasions in two away ties.

1,602 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. nibby
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Chances of Sakho scoring vs Mancity ?

    1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Slim

      1. Jafooli
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Payet?

        1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
          11 years, 1 month ago

          Again, I'd say fairly slim. Newcastle made him look good.

          He has only had 3 SoT, all of which he scored from. Call him clinical, but I think he's been a little lucky. Great player, I'll probably bring him in over their kind run, but he won't keep up that scoring record IMO.

          1. Jafooli
            11 years, 1 month ago

            Cheers Da bomb....

  2. Jolly Good
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Chickened out of Wilson (c)

    Go kun!!!

    1. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Keep the faith Wilson is a good choice this week

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Same here, worried City willl get a early Penalty so changing to Kun

  3. FPL Daniel
    11 years, 1 month ago

    @Professor. Finally time to up those Mahrez projections and predictions

  4. GrumblyBlowfish
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Right I've mentioned this a few times but am I being mental?

    Skrtel (C)

    He's got goal threat and he's got the BPS potential but it's Liverpool...

    And Aguero keeps looking at me.

    1. Epic Fail
      11 years, 1 month ago

      lol

      1. GrumblyBlowfish
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Exactly. I think I've lost it.

    2. Redbull Sucks
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, you are

    3. FrancescoLazio
      11 years, 1 month ago

      You won't do it stop lying

      1. GrumblyBlowfish
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Why? I'm sick of captaining Aguero only other choices are Wilson or Kolarov. Can't see Norwich scoring at Anfield.

    4. lilmessipran
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Jesus ..no..You would be lucky to get a clean sheet ..Norwich have been really decent in an attacking sense

    5. Egg noodle
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Theres silly, and then theres that.

      1. GrumblyBlowfish
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Is this not the season for silliness?

        1. FPL Daniel
          11 years, 1 month ago

          liv will concede

  5. KickIt
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Bolasie, Shaqiri or Ayew?

    1. GrumblyBlowfish
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Ayew

    2. lilmessipran
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Shaq

    3. The_Colonel
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Shaq

    4. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Sako.

  6. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Play 2 of the following:

    Darmian (sot)
    Huth (sto)
    Gomez (NOR)
    Targets (MUN)

    Opinions appreciated! Thanks!

    1. Turbodog
      11 years, 1 month ago

      The home boys Gomes and Target

    2. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Gomez and Darmian, simples.

    3. DaddyPig
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Huth goal this week
      Darmian clean sheet

  7. istanbul05
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Who to play:

    A) Payet

    B) Hoolahan

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      11 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. The_Colonel
      11 years, 1 month ago

      B

  8. FrancescoLazio
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Come on De brute, Silva and Sterling set up Sergio as much as you can...

    1. Jolly Good
      11 years, 1 month ago

      This week is the one bro...

      1. FrancescoLazio
        11 years, 1 month ago

        I pray, not many in my mini league even have him.

        1. Jolly Good
          11 years, 1 month ago

          Same here ... But there will come a week when aguero will score 4 and the the casuals captaining cech will be separated from the cream

  9. jfxm
    11 years, 1 month ago

    G2G?

    Schmeichel

    Kolarov, Gomez, Richards.

    Sanchez, Ozil, Payet, Mahrez

    Aguero (C), Gomis, Wilson (V)

    Bench:

    McCarthy, Darmian, Westwood, Muniesa.

    1. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Yep, good luck 🙂

  10. Jebiga
    11 years, 1 month ago

    who is the best replacement for pedro ?
    or shoud i keep him ?
    no swansea cover at all...

    1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Keep

    2. Make United Great Again
      11 years, 1 month ago

      AYEWWWWWW

    3. The_Colonel
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Keep

    4. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Pedro is the new Pedro.

  11. cricketmad787
    11 years, 1 month ago

    McCarthy
    Kolarov - Gomez - Francis
    Sanchez (vc) - Sterling - Mahrez - Sinclair
    Aguero (c) - Gomis - Wilson

    Begovic - Richards - Naughton - Pedro

    G2G?

  12. lilmessipran
    11 years, 1 month ago

    I have a feeling,Shaqiri will get a double digit points haul this gw

    1. FrancescoLazio
      11 years, 1 month ago

      More chance of a 2 pointer

      1. lilmessipran
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Says the gravless guy who hasn't even linked his team...I trust your expertise

        1. DaddyPig
          11 years, 1 month ago

          So if you're Gravless and no team link your opinion isn't valid clearly.

    2. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 1 month ago

      He may very well do, they won't keep Leicester out so they have to score and without Diouf, Shaqiri will have to step up.

  13. FPL Daniel
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Who to start Francis or Gomez?

    1. The_Colonel
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Francis. I'm not sure Gomez will start

    2. Make United Great Again
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Francis

      1. FPL Daniel
        11 years, 1 month ago

        thanks both

  14. Belli2007
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Last minute dilemmas as usual!

    A - Pedro > Sanchez
    B - sterling > silva
    C - stick and 2ft next week.

    1. FPL Daniel
      11 years, 1 month ago

      a

    2. The_Colonel
      11 years, 1 month ago

      C imo

    3. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 1 month ago

      C, if you bought Sterling, you did it for a reason, nothing has changed so stick.

  15. The_Colonel
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Would you

    A) Gomez -> WBA def
    B) Ward -> WBA def
    C) Save transfer

    Other defenders are Kolarov, Damian and Francis. I have Damian on bench if Gomez doesn't start.

    1. FPL Daniel
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Why do you want to sell GomeZ?

      1. The_Colonel
        11 years, 1 month ago

        as I am worried he will be dropped. Am I right to worry?

        1. FPL Daniel
          11 years, 1 month ago

          Don't know personally. But why to be dropped?

    2. Make United Great Again
      11 years, 1 month ago

      C.

      N

      1. Make United Great Again
        11 years, 1 month ago

        C*

      2. The_Colonel
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Ty Daley

    3. Lyonnais
      11 years, 1 month ago

      C

      1. The_Colonel
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Ty Olympique

    4. lilmessipran
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Save ,more than 3 decent defenders to play this gw

  16. GoonerByron
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Play Ozil or Sinclair?? Having Begovic in goal is tempting me towards Sinclair?

    1. FPL Daniel
      11 years, 1 month ago

      O

  17. The butts
    11 years, 1 month ago

    What's everyone doing with Pedro

    A) Keep him
    B) Transfer to Oscar
    C) transfer to Walcott (already have oil)
    D)

    1. Egg noodle
      11 years, 1 month ago

      I've got oil too

    2. Make United Great Again
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Sold to Ayew

    3. The_Colonel
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Keep

    4. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 1 month ago

      A.

  18. FPL Daniel
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone to be so kind to answer me on the last page

    1. Epic Fail
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah.

    2. Jafooli
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Someone will, I'm sure......

      1. Jafooli
        11 years, 1 month ago

        GB & Parm have answered....

        1. FPL Daniel
          11 years, 1 month ago

          thanks all

  19. banskt
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Bench Richards (wba h) or Darmian (sou a)?

    Currently benching Darmian, along with Williams (eve h)

    1. Turbodog
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Bench Darmian

  20. OptimusBlack
    11 years, 1 month ago

    I have Pedro & am Keeping Him so which is best option ??

    A- Westwood > Coutinho and Bench Pedro

    B- Play Pedro and save FT

    1. Cristi@no R7
      11 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Lazarus Star
      11 years, 1 month ago

      A if you have the funds. If Pedro doesn't play you'll only get 2pts from Westwood

  21. reeceon
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Play Azpi or Cedric?

    1. Epic Fail
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Cedric

    2. Sponge-worthy
      11 years, 1 month ago

      zed

    3. Cristi@no R7
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Cedric

  22. The Man Pastore
    11 years, 1 month ago

    bottomed

    Diouf --> Tekkers for -4pts, Yay or Nay?

    1. Barry Woj
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Unless there is absolutely nothing on your bench it's too risky for a hit.

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, especially if you're going to captain him.

  23. ZULU23
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Prodl, Nyom or Cathcart?

    1. Piggs Boson
      11 years, 1 month ago

      It's a coin flip. With 3 sides...

      Nyom's cards would annoy me, so I went Cathcart. I think he'll get more baps than Prodl.

    2. Make United Great Again
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Prodl

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Cathcart.

    4. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Check the hot topic. Prödl for me though.

  24. cricketmad787
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Richards or Gomez on-field?

  25. Piggs Boson
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Which two would you play?

    Darmian (sot)
    Gomez (NOR)
    Williams (EVE)
    Cathcart (new)

    1. Jafooli
      11 years, 1 month ago

      G & W

      1. Jafooli
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Although Horsecart is tempting.....

        1. Jaffalicious! #SomosCubanos
          11 years, 1 month ago

          Horsecart! 😆

    2. Epic Fail
      11 years, 1 month ago

      BC

    3. Huddersfield
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Cathcart Gomez
      Williams then Darmian

    4. Jaffalicious! #SomosCubanos
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Gomez and Williams

    5. reeceon
      11 years, 1 month ago

      The two home fixtures

    6. lilmessipran
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Darmian and Williams

    7. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Gomez And Carhcart

    8. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Gomez and Williams

    9. Make United Great Again
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Darmain & Gomez

    10. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      11 years, 1 month ago

      gomez n cath

    11. Piggs Boson
      11 years, 1 month ago

      No consensus then 🙂

      Except Gomez.

    12. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Gomez and Williams

  26. foreverton
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Redmond or Cresswell as my first sub?

    1. GoonerByron
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Redmond

  27. FrancescoLazio
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Does Pedro start? I hope not

  28. Lazarus Star
    11 years, 1 month ago

    So I knee jerked Bolasie in for a hit only to have him sat on my bench. *shakes head #willneverlearn

  29. Godot - Fashanu Zealand
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Dawson or Ricahrds?

    1. Foreside
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Richards

  30. FPL Daniel
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Southampton FC ‏@SouthamptonFC 34s34 seconds ago
    #SaintsFCU18s team against @SwansOfficial: Hallett, Bakary, Cook, Jones, Cull, Lea, Rowthorn, Wilkin, Willard, Kayembe, Olomola (c).