[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
28 November 2015 1795 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
Share:

We turn to Liverpool’s midfield this weekend as the Reds prepare for a plum home encounter with Swansea. Bournemouth’s recent change in tactics sees us plundering their options in the centre of the park, whilst Watford’s skipper also makes the cut due to a recent upturn in form.

Adam Lallana

Liverpool’s 4-1 mauling of Manchester City rendered Philippe Coutinho (four goals and one assist in three) and Roberto Firmino (one goal and three assists in three) their prime candidates for midfield coverage, but we shouldn’t discount the possibility of Adam Lallana (7.3) being added to the melting pot. The Southampton academy product has been a regular during Jurgen Klopp’s budding reign – carding an assist in five starts – and could emerge as an option in a price bracket that’s devoid of depth.

In the last four Gameweeks, Lallana recorded eight attempts, five shots inside the box and three on target, placing him slightly ahead of Manuel Lanzini (one fewer shot in the box) in respect to goal threat. Moreover, only seven midfielders mustered more penalty-box touches (19) over that stretch – proving that he’s operating in dangerous areas. On the distribution front, Lallana (seven) ranked second behind Coutinho (nine) for key passes, underlining his dual threat from a Fantasy perspective.

The Reds’ agreeable schedule through to the New Year (SWA, new, WBA, wat, LEI, sun) furnishes their squad with a great opportunity to build some momentum off the back of the Etihad showdown. Daniel Sturridge’s fresh injury concerns places greater emphasis on Liverpool’s midfield assets to maraud forward and trouble the scoresheet, ensuring that Lallana remains on our radar as we head into the festive period..

Dan Gosling

Since being comprehensively beaten by Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 10, Bournemouth have tackled their subsequent match-ups with a renewed purpose. Although they’ve only notched two goals since that 5-1 defeat, only Spurs tallied more attempts (53 compared to 52) in the last three Gameweeks, while Liverpool just edged out the Cherries with regards to key passes (42 to 40) – illustrating their new-found attacking menace.

Joshua King – by virtue of his out-of-position potential – has inevitably surfaced as an enticing source of Bournemouth coverage, yet the underlying statistics support the notion that Dan Gosling (4.4) also fits the bill as a promising fifth midfielder. Since Gameweek 11, no midfielder has chalked up as many shots inside the box (nine) as the former Newcastle United recruit, who went stride for stride with Philippe Coutinho in terms of total attempts (12). Bestowed the license to push into advanced positions with the security of Andrew Surman at the pivot, Gosling also amassed more penalty-box touches (23) than any midfielder in the last three rounds of fixtures.

Next on the agenda for Eddie Howe’s men is a home clash against Everton. The Toffees have conceded just five goals on their travels but – despite playing one fewer road fixture than half the field – they still rank sixth for shots inside the box conceded (58) in away matches. Furthermore, for all their offensive flamboyance, Everton shipped 11 goals in their previous seven outings, earning just one clean sheet along the way.

Troy Deeney

Adapting to the unique milieu of the Premier League wasn’t an instantaneous process for Troy Deeney (5.1) – as evidenced by his nine blanks at the start of the campaign – but he’s found his comfort zone of late, netting in three of his last four starts. The Watford captain has understandably been overshadowed by his strike partner, Odion Ighalo (seven goals and three assists), but the former could yet triumph in this internal contest.

Deeney and Ighalo posted remarkably similar stats over the last four Gameweeks, with both men managing 13 strikes at goal. The Nigerian frontman registered three more shots inside the box (13 compared to 10) than Deeney, who in turn edged out his counterpart for shots on target (six to five). In appreciation of their similar production the final third, Deeney’s spot-kick duty and cheaper valuation (5.1 compared 5.7) provide us with food for thought.

Watford’s fixture list turns nasty from Gameweek 17, so the Hornets will be desperate to deliver the goods across their upcoming trio of favourable fixtures (avl, NOR, sun). The presence of two road clashes shouldn’t serve as a deterrent, either, given that Quique Sanchez Flores’ troops have drawn just one blank on the road.

1,795 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Diva
    10 years, 11 months ago

    FIFFSA 5-a-side World Cup team news is now out. More details here:
    http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2015/11/27/fiffsa-5-a-side-world-cup-qualifying-week-2/

    1. oghash
      10 years, 11 months ago

      You still here Diva?

      1. Diva
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Yes.

  2. Scab
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Read a great post about Sanchez goals with and without Giroud

    seems as though Sanchez scores much much more with giroud off the pitch

    As giroud is playing, I will captain Lukaku

    1. NATSTER
      10 years, 11 months ago

      It's between Ozil and Lukaku for me.

      With Ozil now, but likely to switch to Lukaku.

  3. BIG TONES
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Bow to Lukaku

  4. Eden Hazardous
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Nice differentials 🙂

  5. NATSTER
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Dan. Good one.

  6. ​
    10 years, 11 months ago

    I'll give you 2/3 James, I'm not convinced by the Banana

    1. Jax
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Scored two in this fixture last season. Players rarely repeat it the following season

  7. Hazardous Liege '76
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Morning all - here's to a point full weekend. My daughter is up early so deliberating captaincy choices - who you all going for?

    1. Boyd to Sven
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Lukaku for me. Form and fixture.

      1. Jax
        10 years, 11 months ago

        I got him in and has crashed and burned when I've had him in the past. Be warned.

  8. Jax
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Agbonlahort trick

  9. some witty pun
    10 years, 11 months ago

    silva or countinho for the longterm?

    1. Pope Rogers Son
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Silva is either injured or about to be injured. Full of points when he is fit, so depends on your appetite for risk. I've been bitten in the past so I'd go Phil

  10. Scotty B
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Butland
    Clyne Reid Richards
    Mahrez Ozil KDB Sanchez(c)
    Lukaku(v) Vardy Kane
    Subs McCarthy Westwood VVD Gomez

    1.1m in the bank & all chips still available

    What do you think guys? Stick with what I've got & save FT or make a change?

  11. NATSTER
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Is it worth -4 for Moreno ?

    Dawson ->> Moreno

    Now : Bellerin - Richards - Dawson (Simpson, VVD)

    1. Alittude
      10 years, 11 months ago

      no way

      1. Alittude
        10 years, 11 months ago

        and im usually all for hits for defenders, but not in this case. Dawson could get a CS, and has awesom fixtures coming up in Dec

        1. NATSTER
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Thanks. I have seen that set of fixtures coming to.

          So, it's VVD who should have to go. But on the next two weeks then.

    2. Jafalad
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Nooo. You know better than that. 😡

      1. NATSTER
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Yep, I know.

        I just need someone to stop me doing bad move.

    3. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I guess you can avoid a hit this week . WBA play West Ham away and have a good chance of keeping a cleanie given their away defensive record and a Payet-less West Ham

      1. NATSTER
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks. Payet-less sounds hopeful.

  12. Boyd to Sven
    10 years, 11 months ago

    I've got to choose three of Bellerin (nor), Rojo (lei), Souare (NEW), Richards (WAT) and Evans (whu). Currently on the first three but I know I'm going to get bitten whatever I choose. Any ideas what the best option would be?

    1. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 11 months ago

      That's a tough one but as I said above WBA's defensive record away has been good and West Ham without Payet might not be as good in attack

  13. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone else going San(c)hez?

    1. HammersFan
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Yep, got a feeling Everton will not be as good away to Bournemouth. Although Lukaku does seem like the obvious choice. Tough call tbh

    2. NATSTER
      10 years, 11 months ago

      His condition is in doubt, so I do avoid.

    3. Acquafresca
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Now that you Ruffled my Lukaku feathers, I might just swap back to Alexis.

      Was originally on him before the flag..

    4. Joga Bonito®
      10 years, 11 months ago

      If it was a guarantee that he'd be playing and is actually fit I would but, too risky at the moment. I've gone Lukaku on form.

    5. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I am , its a risky moves but I hope it pays off

    6. I Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I am. Feels like a risk with the yellow flag but if he does play I can easily see him exploding against Norwich. Looked awesome in midweek.

  14. lalua
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Chances of Cameron playing >60 mins ?

  15. t4thomas
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    I can only bench one of these:

    a) Cathcart
    b) Mané
    c) Willian
    d) King

    Any ideas?

    1. stilicho
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Cathcart

    2. Jax
      10 years, 11 months ago

      A

    3. FFFrog
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Mane no form and a tough fixture

    4. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 11 months ago

      A) As a thumb-rule , I avoid benching my attackers and King/Willian have a good chance of attacking returns

      1. oghash
        10 years, 11 months ago

        I don't have him in my team but I have had a gut feeling all week Willian will do well against spurs.

  16. KeepCalm
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Guys, should i play

    A. Simpson (MUN)
    B. Cedric (mci)

    1. Jax
      10 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Simpson

    3. KeepCalm
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Thought Simpson. Cheers

    4. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 11 months ago

      IMO , Cedric as he has shown that he likes to drift forward and may get attacking returns . You could make a case for Simpson but I feel MUN will score and Leicester are not exactly good in defense 😉

  17. Alittude
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Bench all of them

  18. Scotty B
    10 years, 11 months ago

    1st sun VVD or Westwood incase Sanchez doesn't play?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 11 months ago

      W

    2. Boyd to Sven
      10 years, 11 months ago

      VVD he carries more goal threat than Westwood imo.

    3. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 11 months ago

      VVD - I don't think Westwood is nailed on for Villa anymore , also without Kompany and Hart , City will be susceptible to set peices

  19. HNI
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Aguero or Lukaku to captain? Was set on Lukaku but then checked last 2 FPL winners both captaining Aguero!

    Kindly help!

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Too much pressure not to captain Aguero.

    2. Boyd to Sven
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I only have Lukaku but if I had both I'd still captain him personally.

      1. Jolly Good
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Bookie odds strongly in favour of aguero, if that makes any difference

    3. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I think you should captain Lukaku. You were on him the whole week based on your thoughts and instinct , why let others change your views?

  20. Game...Blouses
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Those with Myhill and Butland, who are you playing?

    1. Joga Bonito®
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Stoke haven't conceded for ages away. Go Butland.

      1. Game...Blouses
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

      2. Jax
        10 years, 11 months ago

        So by that fact he will today

        1. Game...Blouses
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Crap

          1. Jax
            10 years, 11 months ago

            Plus he's in scout picks. Not good.

  21. Joga Bonito®
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Morning TM who's your captain this week?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I'm bad with captains. K,L or S.

      1. Joga Bonito®
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Ahh. We're facing each other in LAWR. You should captain Vardy 😉

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          10 years, 11 months ago

          I never look at those. Vardy for the record works.

          1. Joga Bonito®
            10 years, 11 months ago

            I usually don't myself. I'm 9th with the 2nd highest score, it's just luck.

  22. Four Four Boyz
    10 years, 11 months ago

    So I went Kane. Feel a bit dirty.

  23. Scotty B
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Butland 
    Clyne Reid Richards 
    Mahrez Ozil KDB Sanchez(c)
    Lukaku(v) Vardy Kane 
    Subs McCarthy Westwood VVD Gomez 

    1.1m in the bank & all chips still available 
    What do you think guys? Stick with what I've got & save FT or make a change??
    Thanks

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Defence is crap but you can save.

    2. Jonny Sutt
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I'd save and work a way to bring serg and Barkley in for Lukaku and kdb, just how my team looks but it's personal choice really.

  24. Jonny Sutt
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Who to bench?
    A) countinho
    B) mane
    C) mahrez

    I'm swaying towards c) as I already have Vardy starting. Plus a) and b) are better differentials. Do people agree?

    1. Jax
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Doubt Coutinho will play

      1. Jonny Sutt
        10 years, 11 months ago

        So have mahrez first sub?

        1. Jax
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Wouldn't bench Mahrez

          1. Jonny Sutt
            10 years, 11 months ago

            So If mane and countinho were playing, who would you drop him for?

            1. Jax
              10 years, 11 months ago

              Mane

  25. Jax
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Amazed so many are taking Sanchez out
    He has norwich, Sunderland and villa next...

    1. Joga Bonito®
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Yea. He's also got good numbers. He's due a big haul again soon.

      1. HellasLEAF
        10 years, 11 months ago

        I think it's rise of Ozil. Sanchez firm in my team.

    2. King Kav. QC at law
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Come back Theo, I'll get you instead.

  26. HellasLEAF
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Two forwards playing at home (Vardy and Kane) and I've gone Lukaku C.

    I would say I never make these types of choices. Feels like a mistake??

    1. Jax
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Yeah

    2. Four Four Boyz
      10 years, 11 months ago

      They are playing chelsea and United. Of course Lukaku makes sense.

  27. Up the tics
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Aguero (c) if you have him in your team right?

    1. Pasqualinho
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Normally. But not necessarily always. Very tough decision this week.

    2. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 11 months ago

      60 minutes + not easy fixture + Lukaka in my team. In the other hand Silva is back, Aguero is doing very good with him

      1. King Kav. QC at law
        10 years, 11 months ago

        A Pellegrini weakness is playing players that aren't up to speed. It becomes evident against teams that make them work for every ball. Spurs, Liverpool, and now I see the same against Southampton. Add the defensive injuries and I don't see a dominant display, that would mean less attacking chances for Silva and Aguero. Both not up to speed yet anyway.

    3. Crash
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Lukaku (c) this week

      1. Up the tics
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Unfortunately no Lukaku for me. Aguero Kane Vardy as my front 3.

  28. nkurylo12
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Is Francis -> Moreno/Bellerin worth a hit this week? My defence is in shambles

  29. KOLASINA(C)
    10 years, 11 months ago

    My fifth midfielder is in this article. 😀 Hopefully he will do some damage if Coutinho won't start.

  30. Crash
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Which three to start - Darmian, Ward, Jaanmaat, VVD, Richards

    1. Eden Hazardous
      10 years, 11 months ago

      IMO , Darmian - Ward - Janmaat

      City would be looking to bounce back after their home defeat to Liverpool against Southampton and Villa have been woeful in defence over the last 2-3 weeks

      Richards 1st sub in case Darmian does not start

      1. Jax
        10 years, 11 months ago

        They drew 0-0 in their last home game v city...

        1. Eden Hazardous
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Yes but looked shaky nevertheless and Amvi's injury is a big blow to them

    2. Jax
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Darm ward richie

      1. oghash
        10 years, 11 months ago

        +1

    3. Crash
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks guys...will go with Darmian-Ward and Jaanmaat with Ritchie as the 1st sub

      1. Jax
        10 years, 11 months ago

        No play richards over janmaat

        1. oghash
          10 years, 11 months ago

          +1 🙂