[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
28 December 2015 2709 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With just hours remaining until Gameweek 19 is upon us, we turn to a trio of overlooked options for your Monday morning perusal. Chelsea and Southampton’s midfields supply us with a player apiece, whilst Liverpool’s weekend match-winner gets the nod as the Merseysiders roll up to Sunderland.

Christian Benteke

Christian Benteke (8.2) – who replaced the injured Divock Origi at the 38-minute mark against Leicester City – made the most of his opportunity, prodding home from inside the area to claim his fifth goal of the season. As the only fully fit member of the Reds’ attacking contingent, the Belgium frontman looks set to be tasked with leading the line as they embark on a pair of promising road trips (sun, whu).

Despite clocking just 240 minutes over the previous four Gameweeks, Benteke ranks joint-sixth – alongside Harry Kane – for attempts (11) and sixth for penalty-box touches (30), while only a trio of strikers mustered more shots inside the box (10). Liverpool as a whole chalked up eight more key passes (22) than any team last Gameweek, which gives us confidence in Benteke’s supply lines at the Stadium of Light.

In the wake of their 4-1 drubbing at the hands of Manchester City, Sunderland are four clear of the field in terms of goals conceded (37), having recorded just three clean sheets throughout the season. In addition, the Black Cats place top for goals conceded (11), second for shots inside the box conceded (42) and top for big chances allowed (14) during the previous four Gameweeks, highlighting their pitiable defensive form.

Sadio Mane

Prior to last Gameweek, Sadio Mane (7.7) was slipping into the shadows, having accrued just one assist across his previous seven outings. Southampton’s 4-0 mauling of Arsenal on Saturday marked a return to form for both team and player, with the Senegal international bagging his seventh assist of the campaign. Indeed, if Saints can sustain the attacking momentum they generated against the Gunners, you’d fancy Mane to be among the prime beneficiaries.

Although Mane’s shot accuracy (8.3%) has clearly curtailed his attacking output over the last four Gameweeks, the wealth of chances he’s able to fashion bodes well for future fixtures. During that time frame, only three midfielders notched more attempts (12), while Marouane Fellaini (11) was the only counterpart to surpass Mane’s haul of shots inside the box (10). Moreover, the former Red Bull Salzburg wide man ranked third for penalty-box touches (24) among his peers.

Southampton’s favourable quartet of upcoming match-ups (whu, nor, WAT, WBA) provides the greatest incentive to invest in the jet-heeled winger. West Ham United have conceded just four goals in as many league ties, yet no side surrendered more shots inside the box (43) over the stretch – playing right into Mane’s strengths. Beyond that head-to-head, the south-coast outfit collide with a Norwich City side that’s mustered just a single clean sheet.

Willian

Despite being Chelsea’s best player throughout their wretched run of form under Jose Mourinho, Willian (7.0) still went into their home tie against Sunderland off the back of seven successive blanks. The tireless Brazilian has since racked up three assists in two starts, furnishing us with a viable route into the Blues’ midfield. Certainly, with Eden Hazard struggling for rhythm and fitness, and Pedro coming in at a prohibitive 8.9, Willian currently boasts the most upside.

In the two Gameweeks since Mourinho signed off, Willian places joint-fourth among midfielders for attempts (six), which represents a significant increase on his shot frequency (one every 31.5 minutes from 54.9) when compared to the rest of the campaign. The ex-Corinthians recruit also charted joint-sixth for key passes (four), illustrating a capacity for Fantasy returns beyond his set-piece proficiency.

Next on the agenda for Chelsea is a road encounter against Louis van Gaal’s floundering Manchester United outfit. Aside from the fact that the Red Devils are in the midst of a three-match losing streak, the Blues will be emboldened in the knowledge that they rank joint-second for shots inside the box (21) and joint-top for big chances (five) over the last two Gameweeks, underlining their rejuvenation in the final third.

  1. Sz21
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Aguero starting 100% we reckon?
    (Here we go again)

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      He will start

      1. Whats the Huth
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        You hope

        1. La Roja
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          I am not owning him. Would prefer he won't start 🙂

    2. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      I would say yes

      1. Sz21
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        cheers

      2. Francescoli
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        music to my ears. definitely on kun (c)

  2. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    I get the captaincy choice wrong every week..

    My choice this week is...Kun, Ozil Ramsey...

    Currently on kun...slightly worried about Ozil gametime...

    It's my birthday today....same as Ramsey.. so I keep it on kun or switch to Rambo?. Thanks

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Happy belated birthday sir

      Go with your gut feeling today. What the heck

    2. ☆Khaz
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      I think that from a scientific perspective, your birthday should have no influence on your captain pick.

      1. ☆Khaz
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        And happy birthday btw 🙂

        1. Flynny
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          Cheers mate

    3. Hakuna Juan Mata
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      I've been getting it wrong every past week too. It's between Kane and Ramsey for me :/

    4. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Birthday buddies go for Rambo!

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers fella.....no one in my mini leagues has either kun or Ramsey..

        Might just move it back to Ramsey....

    5. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      The majority of us gets it wrong every week

      You do need a bit of luck when picking you captain

      1. La Roja
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        I agree with you

        I'm actually really good at FPL, I just don't have luck

        Hihi

  3. That Was Easy!
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Start: VVD, Bellerin, Dann
    Bench: Moreno, Evans

    Is this correct in your mind?

    What about benching Alli for Moreno...does sound crazy but I like Pool's chances of a CS as well

    1. Jayss
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Play Moreno over VVD imo

    2. ktk_interista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Play Moreno over Alli. Westham do not score goals. Set to be a 0-0 or 1-0 Soton imo. I wouldn't bench VVD. I can see a CS and 1 or 2 baps

  4. Rider on the Storm
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    so who to bench?
    A barkley
    B firmino

    1. That Was Easy!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Barkley.

    2. Sjaugen
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Stoke are pretty solid. Lukaku should be enough coverage.
      I'd play Firminio

  5. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Okay last post then I'm going back to study

    1FT
    1.1ITB

    Myhill
    Dann, Bellerin, Toby
    Mahrez, KDB, Ozil, Walcott (c), Barkley
    Lukaku (vc), Kane

    Butland - Vardy, Bennett, Richards

    A) Safe FT
    B) Barkley -> Fimino ( got some good fixtures coming )
    C) Barkley -> Someone els
    D) Play Vardy over Barkley ( H2H opponunt hasn't got Vardy could be a differential )
    E) Richads -> Moreno

    1. Jayss
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. Sjaugen
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Can you do Barkley to Ramsey? That or save

      1. Tshelby
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Can't got Walcott, Ozil and Bellerin

        1. Sjaugen
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          Looks like a save then

    3. Collins
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      A

      1. Here's Tom with the We…
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        A and D

  6. Fernando Torres 9
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Aguero (C)........ Lets destroy Leicester

  7. Collins
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Alli or vardy? Concerned with vardy game time

    1. That Was Easy!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Going with Alli here. Debating sitting both for Moreno...Watford are great at home.

      1. Collins
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Tough choice this week. Spurs look good and Alli playing in the hole looks very good. The vardy illness thing is throwing my decision as he is normally nailed!

      2. ktk_interista
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Not against the big sides. Conceded against Chelsea,Arsenal,Utd,City and Soton (many of them at home)

  8. Shori1311
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Butland
    Dann Monreal Vertonghen
    Ramsey Coutinho Barkley Mahrez
    Lukaku Kane Ighalo

    Cech Smalling Lanzini and Sagna are bench

    I have 2 FT so tell me what to change and please help me decide who to captain please

    1. Jayss
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Smalling > Wollschied/Williams imo
      or
      Lanzini > Alli

      1. Here's Tom with the We…
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Lanzini to Alli and bench Barkley

  9. _werre_
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Any recommendations on the below fantasy experts?

    Cech

    Moreno, Dann, Alderweireld

    Willian, Arnautovic, Mahrez, Ali, Ozil (C)

    Aguero, Lukaku

    Subs: DDG, Vardy, Zouma, Kolarov

    1. That Was Easy!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Captain Aguero.

  10. shawry
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Guys, would you save this FT?

    Considering Coleman - ?? (Moreno, Dann, anyone else?).

    Butland

    Toby, Bellerin, Coleman

    Ozil, KDB, Willian, Ramsey (c), Mahrez

    Kane, Lukaku

    Bench: Henn, Ake, Vardy, Francis

    Also, how do you link to your FPL team??

    Cheers

    1. Trae44
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Definitely save, looks good

      1. shawry
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers!

        Any idea how to link your team?

    2. That Was Easy!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Would probably start Henn, I think your transfer seems like a very good one and an improvement going forward.

      1. shawry
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks Neighmar. Would you go Dann or Moreno?

  11. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Hennessy (Butland)
    Zouma Dawson Kosc (Toby, O'Shea)
    Mahrez KDB Ramsey Ozil Barkley
    Kane Ighalo (Vardy)

    G2G or should I do
    A)Vardy to Lukaku and bench Barkley
    B)Save FT

    1. Jayss
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. Sjaugen
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      B. You really want Vardy for the next fixture. Let's hope he gets rested this GW

  12. fjb07
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Who to captain for gw 19?
    Ozil, vardy, mahrez, lukaku, giroud?
    Any suggestions people ;)?

    1. Collins
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Giroud for the differential and assuming Arsenal bounce back

  13. drughi
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Any chance of ramsey being rested ? Thinking of slapping the armband on him

    1. Trae44
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Not a chance imo

  14. Angin out the Begović
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Deulofeu --> Alli -4?

    1. That Was Easy!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Not worth the hit. Deu should start.

    2. Collins
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      No

  15. That Was Easy!
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    VVD or Moreno? Tough call here...

    1. Collins
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Moreno

      1. That Was Easy!
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        I guess I just see more goal threat in VVD this week with WHU conceding 16 set piece attempts the last 2 weeks.

        Obviously tough to trust Liverpool's backline after one good game.

    2. Slash
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      I'd go VVD

  16. Big Bad Barry
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Blind drunk I put Hazard in! With Costa out you never know

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Oh dear

  17. kbaptiste
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Cech
    Dann,Dier,Moreno
    Barkley, KDB,Mahrez,Ozil
    Kane,Lukaku,Vardy

    A.Ayew,Pieters,Francis.

    Would you bench Barkley? If yes, who will you start from the bench?

  18. Rider on the Storm
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    any news on cresswell?

  19. ElDaddy
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Why is Ozil not a good captain choice?

    1. Camp No No
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Because he hardly ever blanks and will play at home against one of the weakest defences in the league.

    2. Fitzy.
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      I give up - why?

      1. Sjaugen
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Demi said that there were some qoutes about him needing some rest

  20. oghash
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Sheep

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Kinky

  21. Shori1311
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Butland
    Dann Monreal Vertonghen
    Ramsey Coutinho Barkley Mahrez
    Lukaku Kane Ighalo

    Cech Smalling Lanzini and Sagna are bench

    I have 2 FT so tell me what to change and please help me decide who to captain please

    HELP

  22. ameenkw
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Double up on cpl def by playing souare or play Dier instead?

    1. UnitednationsXI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      am in a similar dilemma

      Play either:
      A: Lloris souare
      B: Henessey Janmaat
      C: Henessey Souare

      1. ameenkw
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        I think I'll go with A ..

        1. UnitednationsXI
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          so more likely that spurs get a cleanie vs new?

  23. ☆Khaz
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Özil with a huge lead in the captaincy poll, yet it seems almost no one on the forum plans to captain him.

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      We will all switch him just before deadline.

  24. 1569Tippins
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Kolarov to Moreno?

    1. white lightning
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      I have the same question but it's between VVD or Moreno. There's a good comment above which favours VVD.

      1. 1569Tippins
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Wow, that's an impressive stat! Fonte just scored from a header in the last game as well... interesting, thanks

  25. D0GS B0110XS FC
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    morning. ozil or aguero as capr?

  26. D0GS B0110XS FC
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    *capt

  27. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    About to pull the trigger on Yaya >> Ramsey, doubt many would agree but:

    Reasons against the move:
    - Having held Yaya for ages, he is finally starting to show form with returns in last 3
    - Nailed on
    - On pens during last few mins when kun is off the field..have missed two potentials pens last gw and few gw's ago when pen awarded 2 mins after subbed off (kolorav and bony both missed 🙁 )

    Reasons for the move:
    - two tough away fixtures following by Evertong at home..
    - city's poor away goal scoring record
    - already have Kun
    - Has very average stats..been relying on long rangers
    - Ramsey has the stats, 2 plum home fixtures, nailed on
    - Potential captain this gw...might captain ramsey over kun this week..tough one

    thoughts?

    1. ☆Khaz
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Think you should rely on City over Arsenal for the time being. After the two plum fixtures, it turns for Arsenal.

      1. UnitednationsXI
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        true but i just dont think yaya's returns are sustainable

  28. jernej93
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Willian or Ramsey?

  29. Jape
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Thanks for the replies on the previous page

  30. bebe_ftw
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    play Arnautovic(eve) or Alli(wat) ?

    1. Jape
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      If you have other Spurs cover i'd play Arnautovic

      1. bebe_ftw
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        that's what on my mind atm; play Arnautovic as I already have Kane as my spurs cover.

        but I was not sure with Arnautovic, in last 6 games, he scores big against 'big' teams only (MCI & MUN).