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11 March 2016 1466 comments
Paul Paul
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Friday afternoon continues with our usual pre-Gameweek members article, as we cast an eye over the captaincy conundrum ahead of the weekend’s five fixtures. As always, we analyse the Opta data for the main contenders and assess the team statistics and Rate My Team’s reckoning, before rounding off with our opinion on the current poll standings in light of the data analysis, including our view on differential captains.

The Captain Poll

Once again, Sergio Aguero is the clear leader in our poll. After bagging a brace in City’s 4-0 thrashing of Villa, the Argentine has collected over 56% of the votes cast ahead of a trip to a Norwich side that’s shipped 12 goals in their last four at Carrow Road.

Somewhat surprisingly, Harry Kane has been earmarked by just 20% for a trip to Villa. The Tottenham frontman has netted four times in his last quartet of road trips and is now up against a dire defence that’s conceded 15 times in four and have one foot in the Championship.

Below that duo, Riyad Mahrez (7%) and Jamie Vardy (5%) are shaping us as major armband differentials for Leicester’s home encounter with a Newcastle outfit that’s lost six on the bounce away from home. Whilst Vardy has struggled for returns of late, with a goal and assist in five, Mahrez has stepped up his consistency and produced points in five of the last seven Gameweeks, including an 11-point haul at Watford last time out.

Beyond them, the likes of Josh King, Gylfi Sigurdsson, Christian Eriksen, David Silva and Dele Alli are have the potential to spring a surprise, with 2% or less backing so far.

Are these current standings backed by the underlying statistics?

Let’s start breaking down the player and team data for their respective last four matches and shed a little more light on the situation.

Paul Is certain he won't make the same mistakes next season. Follow them on Twitter

1,466 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Vic Rattlehead
    10 years, 4 months ago

    My transfer this week will be DDG --> Butland or Hart. Who should I go for? Butland or Hart?

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I own Hart but Butland more likely to get save and bonus points

      1. Ayew Serious
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        All I can see is "but But"

        1. JoeJitzu +42
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          I do likes buts I cannot lie......

  2. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    A. Payet to Silva
    B. Payet to Siggy
    C. Sanchez to Silva
    D. Sanchez to Siggy
    E. Save

    Hart
    Alderweireld Fuchs Smith Williams
    Mahrez Alli Arnautovic
    Aguero Vardy Kane

    1. BenjaniMwaruwari
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Torn between A) & E). A) just if it means benching Williams.

      1. trinzoo
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        I think in terms of A, bench Smith is better.

      2. JoeJitzu +42
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks!

    2. trinzoo
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Got Siggy for Arnie and the same team, I'm saving

      1. JoeJitzu +42
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        I'm just scared the people making 3-4 transfers are getting the pick of the litter ....

        Silva, Siggy, Daniels, etc and I lose the advantage I had over them?!

      2. JoeJitzu +42
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Thank you btw

  3. BenjaniMwaruwari
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Lukaku > Kane a must? Was hoping to keep Lukaku and WC GW 35.

    If you are not captaining Kane, how risky is it to go without and buy any defender to play this GW instead.

    Kane vs. Kompany/Alderweireld?

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Think Kane might do well......

    2. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Very risky. He's playing Villa and is on penalties, a big score is not unlikely.

      1. BenjaniMwaruwari
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers for the input. Back to the drawing board

  4. Lizard Lips
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    I can field 11 but should I use my FT (Yaya to Arnie or Ozil to Silva) just in case of another injury or should I save it?

  5. Beavis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Anybody know how City and Kun do without Yaya?

    1. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Badly. Like Dembeless Spurs

      1. Sterling Chap
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        For real?

        1. S.Kuqi
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Have no idea. but not convinced that Nando and Dinho could play that deep playing playmaker job.

          1. Sterling Chap
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            I think City should just field 1... Aguero. Beast mode.

          2. Gooner Kebab
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            Fer real

  6. MoSalah Dosa
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    #RafaOut..or is it too early 😉

    1. Sterling Chap
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Lol!

    2. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Best post of the day

      1. MoSalah Dosa
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers !!

  7. Sterling Chap
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Play Francis or Williams?

    1. Sterling Chap
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I'm on Williams for goal threat but would appreciate another voice from beyond yonder

  8. King Carlos
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    just did

    targett -> kompany
    yaya -> arnie

    -4 pts... or -2 pts. Now I have 11 players for this GWK,

    well, kompany has a DGW coming in the future so that's 0 pt...

    Have I calculated this correctly? 🙂

  9. Pochecinno
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    I have 11 players this week. Is Arnie to Alli a waste or should I do it?

    a) Yes, make the transfer
    b) Save

    1. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      B

    3. Sterling Chap
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      B

    4. cheeky moses
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      B

    5. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      B

    6. Odikostar
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      B

  10. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Anyone going triple Spurs for the next two? Got Kane and Alli but thinking of getting Eriksen too.

    1. Defcons are for Kinnear
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      o/

    2. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Could be a nice differential, though most will have a Spurs defender who will likely get points too.

    3. King Carlos
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      thought about it, didn't do it...

  11. cheeky moses
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    King or redmond on a FT?

  12. Ayew Serious
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    This place used to be drunker

    1. Eden Hazardous
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      IM used to be around when you were around?

      1. Eden Hazardous
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Yep that explains IT!

      2. Ayew Serious
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Do you drink EH

    2. Pochecinno
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Give it a few hours

      1. Ayew Serious
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Give it a few inches

        1. Hooky
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          How many fingers?

          1. Ayew Serious
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            Depends tbh. 2 minimum for a tight package and that's usually what I'm looking at

            1. Hooky
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 4 months ago

              Nice

  13. Margarido
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Only 9 with fixture
    If i want to bring in Kun, as to be for Costa…and need to fund 2.3m elsewhere
    Just these to options:

    A) Costa and Payet -> Aguero and 5.7m Mid?
    B) Costa and Sanchez -> Aguero and 8.6m Mid?

    Wich road?

    Thanks folks

  14. ezaku
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Butland

    Kompany (nor) / Alderweireld (avl) / Simpson (NEW) / VVD (stk)

    Alli (avl) / Siggy (bou) / Mahrez (NEW)

    Kane (avl) / Aguero (nor) / Vardy (NEW)

    (Richards (TOT), Payet, Ozil, Ruddy (MCI))

    2 FT, 2.3 ITB...

    I could be greedy and transfer Payet or Ozil out so I can play 3-4-3, but it might be a good idea to hang onto them. Ozil > Silva is what is standing out to me at the moment, particularly as Barcelona / Everton (A) isn't a very exciting prospect... Payet's fixtures aren't great either, but I'm less inclined to transfer him out.

    The other option of course is to transfer Richards for a good bench option.

    Any thoughts?

  15. Papaoutai
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Which defender play tomorrow and also have a DGW ?

    I need to replace Targett.

    1 FT, 7,3 ITB, WC/AOA/BB/TC available

    Elliot

    (Targett), Huth, Dier

    Arnautovic, Mahrez, Alli, Sigurdsson

    Vardy, Kane, Agüero

    Subs : Hennessey, Payet, Cresswell, Dawson

    1. ezaku
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Kompany, particularly if you want someone with a DGW.

      1. Papaoutai
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        So there only is MCI ?

        I'm not sure i want to have a MCI defender for the DGW especially at this price.

        Do i take a risk with Targett ?

  16. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Who many transfers have you made this season?

    30 here

    1. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Same I think maybe. I dunno no actually 29, no 28 lemme check.

      Yep 28

    2. Margarido
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      34
      plus 2 this GW

    3. Chris_H
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      26!

  17. Back on the horse
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    I was thinking mahrez captain. Will the benitez effect be that big?

    1. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      His waiter skills might improve the hospitality suite.

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        😀 this

    2. Meinhoff
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Not that big, but i expect Newcastle to be more inspired now

    3. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Given how tight the captain call is this week it'd be enough to put me off.

    4. Malkmus
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Its amazing how much more players try with a new manager. Could be wrong but I wouldn't cap a fox

  18. Jazz!
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    @Poch, do you think Rose will start this weekend? He's fine according to his brother.

    1. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Incest

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        😀

  19. Saint Channon
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    According to the FPL website YYT is out until the 15th. Do you think Aguero is still a good captaincy option.

    1. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Some might argue this makes him a better one, I think.

    2. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      You for real? Just transfered him in.

      1. ARKANOIIDE
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Just in? I looked at him like 30mins ago and he was red flagged.

    3. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yes but not capping him

      1. Saint Channon
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        I think I'll play safe and go with Kane

  20. Hurricane Gilbert
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Anybody playing 4-3-3 and feeling: meh...?

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yep 🙁

    2. ARKANOIIDE
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      o/

    3. Chris_H
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      So few options this week, getting 11 out is an achievement. All likelihood we all have Mahrez and 2/3 from Alli, Silva, Siggy, Arnie, Eriksen so no huge loss

  21. No Pirlo No Party
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Lost how to sort this lost out with only 9 for this GW (excluding Targett) while trying to keep one eye on the DGW.

    DDG - McCarthy
    VvD - Simpson - Dier - Targett - Cresswell

    Looking at DDG ---> Hart or Butland
    Cresswell ---> Clichy (gametime?)

    Some advice/direction/help much appreciated lads!

    1. Bøss ⭐
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      DDG to Hart is sensible, Clichy is risky as there's very little chance he plays both games in the DGW as Pelle likes to rotate at the best of times let alone in a short space of time.

      Maybe look at taking a midfielder out for Siggy or Silva?

  22. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    So pretty much everyone has three fwds from 1st, 2nd & 4th placed teams vs 18th, 19th & 20th placed teams.

    Fixtures do not get much better than that.

    1. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Replace 4th with 3rd

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        City are 4th no?

        1. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          2 points behind 3rd with a game in hand v Newc. Might as well make that 3rd 🙂

          1. Jafooli
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            Yeah true that

        2. Ayew Serious
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          ytiC era ht4 on?

          1. Jafooli
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            U wht m8

            1. Jafooli
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 4 months ago

              Just got it

              Siht

    2. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Some will have 9 players in that respect too...

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Very true, seven here...

        1. GENERATION X
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Me to now thanks to Yaya who I think will become Siggy...

          1. GENERATION X
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            too - typo

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        YouTube blocked here 🙁

  23. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Bench

    A. Smith
    B. Williams

    Bournemouth Vs Swansea

  24. Borran
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Which team is more likely to have a DGW in GW34..Leicester or Man city? 🙂

  25. MoSalah Dosa
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Which DGW will happen earlier, Arsenal or City ?

  26. Malkmus
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    A'noon all. Fonte and yoyo have done me in, so which is best:

    A - Fonte to Williams
    B - Yaya to Arnie
    C - Other

    Have 3 x city, 3 x spurs and can't afford silva

    ta

    1. Hooky
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      B

      1. Malkmus
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers Hooky

  27. Teddy Brewski
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    A. Azpi - Toby and play 433
    or
    B. Payet - Silva and play 343

    For free to get 11 players

    1. Margarido
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      B more upside

      1. Teddy Brewski
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Or Eriksen for triple spurs attack? Have Kompany and Kun

  28. Weasel51
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Yaya has thrown a spanner in the works here.

    Have 1 FT.

    Should I transfer Moreno/Bellerin out for Otamendi and play 4/3/3 with Yaya leaving the team next week for Firmino

    Or

    Should I straight transfer Yaya to Silva?

  29. Ayew Serious
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Jane Thomson, an avocado maniac from Stevenage, said: “Who are these researchers? Where do they live? Are they physically strong or could they be overpowered and thrown into the back of a van?”

    Thanks GW, enjoyable read

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Top fruit, that Jane Thomson 🙂

  30. LewanGOALski
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    YYT - Siggy - Mahrez - Arnie (Payet)

    with news on Yaya out, should I:

    A. get rid of him for aby mid for -4
    B. just play VVD (sto)
    C. just play Francis (SWA)

    ??