[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
12 March 2016 1134 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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While the FA Cup has taken a bite out of our Gameweek programme, we’re still clinging to the five remaining fixtures in hope that they can fuel a respectable points tally. Once again, with just a couple of hours to go before deadline, it is time to turn to Paddy Power for some last minute inspiration.

Before we asses their odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, those without a Paddy Power account should be aware of another round of tempting offers on show from our bookmaker friends.

Paddy’s European Acca rolls out big odds of 25/1 on wins for Southampton (at Stoke), Everton (vs Chelsea in the FA Cup) and Atletico Madrid (vs Deportivo). If you fancy that Everton win, you can also get enhanced odds of 10/1 on the Toffees prevailing over Chelsea – the regular odds are 19/10 on that result.

Moving to Sunday’s matches and Paddy have another acca lined up – again it presents odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham (vs Man United), Spurs (at Aston Villa) and Real Madrid (at Las Palmas).

Finally, in Monday night’s televised King Power clash, you can get a healthy 5/1 on a Leicester win over Rafa Benitez’ Newcastle – the regular odds on that bet were 8/13.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 30

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCY1.61
VardyLEI1.83
KaneTOT1.90
MahrezLEI2.20
BonyMCY2.40
IheanachoMCY2.40
UlloaLEI2.40
OkazakiLEI2.40
SterlingMCY2.60
PelleSOT2.70
AfobeBOU2.87
AlliTOT2.87
Heung-Min SonTOT2.87
EriksenTOT2.87
ChadliTOT2.87
GrabbanBOU3.10
LongSOT3.20
SilvaMCY3.20
DioufSTO3.20
BojanSTO3.20
WaltersSTO3.20

Fresh from scoring his third brace in seven outings, City’s Sergio Aguero (1.61) once again sits at the summit of Paddy’s anytime scorer reckoning.

Considering that Manchester City travel to face a Norwich City outfit that’s failed to record a clean sheet in nine outings, it is hardly surprising that 57% of FFScout’s readership have elected to hand the Argentine hitman the captain’s armband this Gameweek. Paddy are clearly backing that decision and are tipping a ready supply of goals for Aguero and co, with Wilfried Bony (2.40), Kelechi Iheanacho (2.40), Raheem Sterling (2.60) and even David Silva (3.20) all featuring amongst the lowest odds on show.

Despite drawing blanks in four of his previous five starts, Jamie Vardy (1.83) is fancied to find the target when Newcastle United pay a visit on Monday evening. In the wake of Steve McClaren’s dismissal and Rafael Benitez’s appointment at St James’ Park, the Magpies could play with a renewed purpose, lending this match-up a new perspective. Nonetheless, the likes of Riyad Mahrez (2.20), Leonardo Ulloa (2.40) and Shinji Okazaki (2.40) have also been afforded short odds by Paddy with the bookmaker still favouring a convincing win for Claudio Ranieri’s league leaders.

Tipped at 1.90, Tottenham’s Harry Kane offers good value when you consider that he played fewer than 20 minutes in midweek and is pitted against an Aston Villa defence that has surrendered 15 goals in their previous quartet of league clashes. Moreover, Kane is known to flourish on the road, having scored in three of his last four away trips, notching four goals in the process. Spurs’s midfield talent also figures highly in Paddy’s odds, with Dele Alli (2.87), Heung-Min Son (2.87) and Christian Eriksen (2.87) all given identical odds to find the net at Villa Park.

Southampton and Graziano Pelle (2.70) figure next in our table, with the Italian striker rated as the most likely to break the deadlock at the Britannia as Stoke host Ronald Koeman’s stuttering side. Cited as a battle for European places, Paddy appear to have this billed this as a tight affair, with Southampton’s strikers slightly favoured. Shane Long (3.20) joins a cast of would-be Stoke scorers in the table, with Marko Arnautovic just out of our reckoning on 3.40.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 30

TeamOdds
Tottenham1.90
Manchester City2.10
Bournemouth2.25
Leicester City2.37
Stoke City2.80
Southampton2.80
Swansea4.00
Newcastle6.00
Aston Villa6.00
Norwich6.50

Given that Aston Villa have registered four blanks in the last seven Gameweeks, Paddy have understandably pinpointed Tottenham (1.90) as the big favourites to claim a Gameweek shut-out. Man City’s defence (2.10) are also heavily backed, which has more to do with their opponents Norwich City having failed to find the net in four of their last six league outings.

By virtue of the fact they conceded a solitary goal in their last trio of fixtures, Bournemouth (2.25) occupy the bronze-medal berth in our leaderboard before their home tie against Swansea City. Leicester (2.37) are ranked next as their defence prepares to face a Benitez-inspired Newcastle attack that has tallied just three goals in five matches and has notched just seven away from home all season.

Further down the clean-sheet analysis, Stoke (2.80) and Southampton (2.80) are neck and neck prior to their Potteries duel – odds that underline Paddy’s view that this clash will likely feature few goals. Stoke’s odds are perhaps a little surprising given the potential return of Ryan Shawcross and the fact that the Saints have scored just 11 goals on their travels this season, registering just four goals in their last six BPL matches.

  1. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    106 points behind in my ML do i play it safe an captain Kun or risk it with Kane?

    1. Snapes on a Plane
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Kane

    2. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Kane

    3. TeamSteam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Why would you want to play safe at this point. If the only thing you care about is trying to catch up (not playing for OR), then go for Kane.

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Yes and it's for a lot of money too Kane it is 🙂

    4. Shiner
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      I'm not really sure that Kane is that much of a risk tbh. If you have that many points to make up then you want to start making a move....

    5. @FPLMason
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Kane

    6. Ejaaz11
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      I would still go with aguero
      Kane has a tendency to score just one goal sometimes...

      Hopefully ur other 10 players should help Catch up with ur ML leader...

    7. Hulk Smash
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      If you're that far behind I'd say you should start taking educated punts on end-of-season differentials.

      In seasons past random players like Wickham and Borini have scored loads of points when their teams pull off the great escape from relegation.

  2. Shiner
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Do I triple Captain Aguero this week?

    I'm planning on WC before the double in gw34 where I will us my Bench boost chip. That said, is there a better time to use the triple chip?

    1. Dušan Citizen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      U aren't spending a lot of time here it seems...

      GW 37

      1. Shiner
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        What are the likely teams for the double in 37?

        1. Dušan Citizen
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          I don't know.

          Maybe United, West Ham, Liverpool...

    2. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Dgw 37

    3. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Last week was better. But save it for one of the DGWs

    4. BIG TONES
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Should have done it vs Villa if you were going to TC him in a single match

  3. Zero
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    A) Eriksen
    B) Silva
    C) Siggy

    Considering a few gameweeks:

    A has the best stats and good fixture.
    B has decent assist potential especially vs Norwich. Safe bet.
    C has the best fixtures and is in good form.

    Whom would you pick of the three?

    1. Dušan Citizen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      a

    2. @FPLMason
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      C

    3. Clump
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      A probably. Think he may haul today.

    4. Hulk Smash
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      C

      Eriksen has no form whatsoever.

  4. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    any team news yet? no late injuries?

    1. Funkyav
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      try the tweets or the team news section

  5. Backup Dancer
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Ozil to Alli (-4)? Just fancy goals to come in from all angles against villa and I can only field 10.

    1. Doctor X
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      If Arsenal have a DGW in 34 and you don't plan to WC in 33. Wouldn't you rather save a transfer and keep Ozil?

      That's the other side of the coin. On the other hand, I think Eriksen/Alli are great picks this week.

      1. Backup Dancer
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        I'm going to wc33, will need to shake my team up then anyway. Just going to miss eve and WAT from ozil but I'm sure I'll manage

    2. Meinhoff
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Yes, but why not Eriksen

      1. Backup Dancer
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Yeah good point, amazing stats atm

  6. DGWjegy
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    going 5-2-3 this week

    looks ok for green?

    Fabianski

    Kompany , Williams , Fuchs , Van Dijk , Francis

    Mahrez , Alli

    Aguero(C) , Kane , Vardy

    1. Clump
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      11 = green this week.

    2. Clump
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Might have gone 6 at the back though

  7. NATSTER
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Everton fans.

    Any risk that Robles will not be picked to start.

    1. Konig Luther
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      no (not everton fan)

      1. NATSTER
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Thanks. 🙂

  8. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Shaqiri worth a punt instead of siggy /yaya? Or play safe

  9. Waynoo
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    thinking of Barkley to michu , worth a hit?

  10. Forza Papac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    If Bony starts for City is there a chance Aguero might have to share the spoils today? Makes me think Kane might be the better shout for captaincy as he's the lone front man.

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Bony is rubbish

  11. saihtam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Vardy as C is too risky?

    1. Danno - Emre Canada
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      He's got my armband

      1. saihtam
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        but mahrez?

    2. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      With kane and aguero fixtures I think so

      1. saihtam
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Dont have Kane.
        Thinking between Kun, Vardy or Mahrez

        1. Backup Dancer
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          I'd go Kun out of them. Just don't like the potential Benitez effect.

    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Just did Sanchez -> Silva for a -4. I will lose 2 points in the worst case scenario, could do a worse move possibly...

    1. fitzy
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Worst case scenario is silva doesn't play or gets less than 0 points.

  12. matiakez
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Siggy or Eriksen?

    Have no Kane if that influences anything..

    1. @FPLMason
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Sigg

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Erik for sure then.

    3. Worzel Gummidge
        10 years, 2 days ago

        I have Alli so went for Siggy. Depends on your team.

      • Absinthe Minded
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Siggy if you have Ali

    4. Siggy Azalea
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Morning guys,

      Should I play Imbula (Sou) instead of one of my back 4...

      1) Wollscheid (Sou)
      2) Simpson (New)
      3) Smith (Swa)
      4) Sagna (Norwich)

      If so, which player should I swap with?

      Thanks!

    5. conor2me
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      anyone else having toruble logging into FPL?

    6. Goonther
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      is Dyer going to play???

    7. Sickboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Are we keeping Arsenal defenders?

      1. Funkyav
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Bellerin is about to be transferred out for me...

      2. BIG TONES
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Going to hold Bellerin

      3. Hulk Smash
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Got rid of my Arsenal defender for a Tottenham defender this week.

        Arsenal got injuries galore and look like bottling it as per.

    8. Worzel Gummidge
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Yaya was my differential. Annoyed. Already done my FT for Ozil to Siggy who is another differential (unless the guys at the top bring him in).

        Yaya to Sterling/Silva worth a -4? I already have 11 but playing a 4-3-3 now. If I did it I would be benching Rangel/VVD but probably Rangel as have Fab in goals.

        1. LeicesterA
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Same. YYT means I have to go 4-3-3 and play Smith.

          Airing on the side of no hits though, purely to get an advantage before we start.

        2. saihtam
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Not worht it.

        3. QPR expects... glory!
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Yes

        4. HVT
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          No

      • HVT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Repo,

        4-3-3 here right now.
        Payer > Silva for free?
        Would mean 3-4-3 with Vvd benched.
        A - yes
        B - no

        Thanks

      • LeicesterA
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        What is the point of Sky Sports doing an analysis on Benitez's initial games as Chelsea manager and relate it to Newcastle? Newcastle are no Chelsea, so it seems redundant.

      • The Gambler.
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        If City didnt play midweek i'd be so confident of Kun (c), but ........

        1. Trigg ⭐️
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Basically already through, though.

        2. Funkyav
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          it is one of the most 50/50 decisions of the season.

          Kane is fresh and against an appalling Villa

          But Aguero is Aguero, but Norwich are much better at the back then Villa

      • Giovanni Giorgio
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Morning lads.

        Ozil----> Silva?

        1. The Gambler.
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Ouch could u afford him back?

        2. Absinthe Minded
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Good move..
          I've gone Sanchez to Siggy for what it's worth

          1. Giovanni Giorgio
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 2 days ago

            Did Payet-->Siggy instead.

            1. Absinthe Minded
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 2 days ago

              Better move on funds i'd say..
              Will have 2 FT next week so might get Ozil in instead of Sanchez.

        3. Hulk Smash
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          I did it

      • rozzo
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        So if I go against the grain and captain Kane and he blanks, any decent score by Agueo will effectively wipe out my 2-3 man advantage. Hmmmm

        On the other hand, call me crazy, but I can actually see Norwich doing okay against City. Villa? Not so much. I think it's got to the point where you captain anybody who faces Villa, Kane being an obvious pick.

        1. LeicesterA
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          My logic. Villa really are dire and have lost all hope. Norwich still trying.

        2. Backup Dancer
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Can't see kane blanking in that fixture

      • The Mandalorian
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Is it worth taking a hit for a defender or play with 10 men?

        1. Tony Yeboah
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          for spurs defender I would say yes....the rest no

      • mikess
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Williams or VVD to start?

        1. Messiah Hazard
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Vvd

          1. mikess
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 2 days ago

            Thank you

      • Dušan Citizen
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        2 of 4 my ML rivals going with only 8 players this week. 😆

        Time to get in top 2 and win some cash.

        1. Hulk Smash
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          My rival can only field 7 before transfers LOL

          Let's hoping planning in advance pays off.

      • Red Devil Swede
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Trying to find info on Danny Rose. Is he injured or not?

        1. Gaffa914
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          50/50

          1. Red Devil Swede
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 2 days ago

            Thx!

      • Arteta
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Would you do Ighalo to Afobe for a hit to have 11 players?

        1. Red Devil Swede
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          If you think Afobe scores, yes 🙂

        2. Pochecinno
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Yes

        3. Gazpilicueta
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          hmm, for a hit is tricky. if you want him for the next 4+weeks then sure, if its just for this week i wouldnt

          1. Arteta
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 2 days ago

            The problem is Ighalo has quite good fixtures after GW32 and I'll probably want him back. Bournemouth's schedule is a little bit harder but I have a feeling Afobe could do well anyway. I really can't decide at the moment what's the best for my team...

            1. Hulk Smash
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 2 days ago

              I'm finally getting rid of Ighalo next week. He's not going to rediscover form before the end of this season.

      • Gazpilicueta
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        G2G?

        Hart
        Fuchs, Wollschied, Daniels, Kompany
        Alli, Arnie, Mahrez,
        Kane(vc), Vardy, Aguero(c)

        Forster, Ozil, Payet, Ward

        1 FT and £1.1 in the bank.

      • Tony Yeboah
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Who is more likely to score or assit this weekend? Alderwerield or Walker?

        1. Gazpilicueta
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Alde