[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
12 March 2016 1382 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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We call upon Stoke and Norwich’s wide men in our search for some overlooked Fantasy gold this Saturday morning. City’s Ivorian frontman also gets the nod as Manuel Pellegrini’s men look for a vital victory at Carrow Road.

Nathan Redmond

In the event that Norwich harvest enough points to stave off relegation this season, one would imagine that Nathan Redmond (5.0) will have played a key role in that narrative. The ex-Birmingham City winger – who’s still top of the scoring charts (five) at Carrow Road – followed up his composed finish against Chelsea with a lively performance in a 1-0 defeat at Swansea, alerting us to his blossoming confidence.

In terms of his influence over the last two Gameweeks, no midfielder amassed as many shots inside the box (six) as Redmond. Even when extending that range to encompass the previous four Gameweeks, only Alexis Sanchez managed more efforts in the penalty area (11) than the England U21 international (eight), demonstrating his current propensity for drifting into dangerous areas.

Notwithstanding the fact that Norwich drew blanks in four of their last six outings, it’s worth keeping in mind that they’ve only failed to score at Carrow Road on one occasion since Gameweek 10 – incidentally, that fruitless afternoon came against the league’s tightest defence (Spurs). Furthermore, only five sides have accrued more big chances in home matches than Norwich (26), so it would be remiss to assume that Man City’s rearguard will enjoy a relaxing encounter.

Beyond this weekend, though, the schedule smiles kindly on the Canaries. With proverbial six-pointers at home to relegation rivals Sunderland and Newcastle and a trip to struggling Palace in the subsequent four, the Norwich winger has the platform to help fire his side to safety.

Wilfried Bony

Following a trio of defeats, Manuel Pellegrini switched to a 4-4-2 system for Manchester City’s home tie against Aston Villa last Gameweek, affording Wilfried Bony his first start of the calendar year. Bearing in mind that City had failed to score more than once in each of the previous four, Saturday’s 4-0 win may well persuade the Chilean to retain a two-man frontline for the trip to Carrow Road.

Furthermore, with a Champions League clash against Dynamo Kiev in midweek, Pellegrini may also look to utilise the depth of his squad, starting Bony this weekend before switching to a lone-striker system against the Ukrainian outfit in order to protect a 3-1 first-leg away lead.

Delving into the data, although Bony failed to grace the scoresheet at Villa Park, he supplied an assist and was heavily involved during his 62-minute stint: among all forwards that clocked at least 20 minutes last Gameweek, the Ivorian ranked third with regards to shot frequency (one every 12.4 minutes). Moreover, only Aguero chalked up more shots inside the box (seven) than his strike partner (five) in the previous round of fixtures.

This weekend’s hosts Norwich rank joint-third for goals conceded (22) and joint-top for big chances conceded (28) in home match-ups. In addition, no side has tallied fewer clean sheets (three) than the Canaries this term, illustrating their inability to batten down the hatches. Couple that with David Silva’s recent resurgence (two assists against Villa), and Bony emerges as an enticing differential for seeking out a short-term gamble.

Xherdan Shaqiri

Despite turning out the occasional virtuoso performance in his debut top-flight campaign, Xherdan Shaqiri (6.4) has lacked the consistency to establish himself as a key player on the Fantasy market. Having delivered attacking returns (one goal, two assists) in three of his last four outings, though, the Switzerland international is certainly addressing that shortcoming, elevating our confidence in his attacking potential prior to Southampton’s visit.

Looking at the underlying statistics, four of Shaqiri’s total tally of shots on target this term (10) arrived in the last four Gameweeks, with only three midfielders mustering more during that time frame. As for his creative output, the former Bayern Munich recruit also charted joint-fourth for key passes (12) in his last four, underlining his capacity for assists.

In an abridged Gameweek where most Fantasy managers will be focused on securing their Tottenham Hotspur, Leicester City and Man City coverage, exploring the Potters’ attacking potential could separate many from the pack. Saints are far from pushovers, but they’re winless in three matches and have to contend with the absence of the suspended Jose Fonte, reducing their chances of stifling the hosts.

1,382 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. @persecuted_by_mods
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Ighalo to Afobe to put 11 out a decent move? Or are the Swans too good defensively of late?

    1. TheTinman
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I think it's a decent move, one is out of form in a team struggling to score, and Bournemouth look confident right now

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
        10 years, 5 months ago

        I think so too, at least for this week and then maybe Ighalo back. Read a stat somewhere that even though Watford have been in poor form recently they only took 1 less point now than in the corresponding fixtures earlier in the season so now they have ''easier'' fixtures Ighalo should start firing again

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Granted them getting only 1 less point doesn't mean anything for Ighalo's points, he scored plenty in the corresponding fixtures early on. Just have a feeling he'll turn it around

  2. Jet5605
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Hey guys, have 9 starters, 1 FT and 1.3 ITB

    Forster
    Toby - Huth - Wolly
    Mahrez - Siggie
    Vardy - Kane - Kun

    McCarthy - Nyom - Azpi - Payet - Antonio - Ozil

    Which option:

    A - Nyom > Daniels
    B - Antonio > Arnie
    C - Antonio > Ali
    D - Other?

    1. Tangerine
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      c

    2. Sylas
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      C

  3. ZeBestee
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Is Bellerin > Kompany worth a transfer for a hit?

  4. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Penalty City!

    ...

    AGGUEEEEEERROOOOOO

    OMG 5 goals!!

    1. Hakuna Juan Mata
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Music to my ears

    2. Gr3g
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Not going to happen! Aguero with one goal and Silva one goal and assist, City to win 2-0 🙂

  5. Tangerine
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Kane it is. Please don't punish me sergio

    1. KISSES
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      This

  6. FPLEL
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Any justification for Dier over Toby, other than price?

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      No, he's on 9 YCs. Ban imminent.

      1. FPLEL
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Oh. Well that settles it. No Daniels then, I guess 🙁

  7. Takedog1
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    hi gents! in a bit of a pickle.

    need yaya out but have made my ft already. is any player out there worth a minus 4 this week or should i just take it on the chin and play with only 10 players??

    1. Trigg ⭐️
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      See below, Silva not a bad long term move.

      Effectively only a -2 as well, even if he doesn't do anything.

      1. Takedog1
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        hey trig, i don't have enough money for him. only .1 itb yaya has completely fecked me! team was looking nice aswell. already have siggy ali mahrez. anybody else out there?

        1. Trigg ⭐️
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Eriksen perhaps?

          1. Takedog1
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 5 months ago

            hes 8.7 mill. i will just go with 10 players. thanks trigg

  8. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Yaya to Sterling or King

    1. Trigg ⭐️
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      For a hit?

      I'd be tempted by Silva. Long term move, too.

      1. melvinmbabazi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        for free and cant afford silva

      2. Evans
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Why long term trigg ?

        1. Trigg ⭐️
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          I'd keep Silva from now until the end, injury free.

  9. Trigg ⭐️
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Am I totally out of the loop, or are people being presumptuous by saying how many DGW players they are going to have in GW34?

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Yes.

      No DGWs have been scheduled.

      1. Takedog1
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        do we know what teams are going to have them and when roughly Giggs?

        1. Piggs Boson
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          There are guesses: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1zcb5jGdVitByKQ8R1X4gcEBpiNY9qbLylr72btlTubc/edit#gid=93438515

          We should get confirmation soon though.

          1. Takedog1
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 5 months ago

            thanks

    2. Mind över Mata
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Certainly are, but still wise to prepare.

      Any thoughts on my predicament below?

  10. Mind över Mata
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Entirely focused on my h2h.

    This week it comes down to:

    Me) Forster / VVD / Siggy
    Him) Williams / Jaanmat / Ayew

    He has no playing keeper. Do I bring in:

    A) Kompany (for Moreno)
    B) Arnie / King (for Stanislas)

    1. Trigg ⭐️
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Is it for free? Do you have 11 playing already?

      1. Mind över Mata
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        For free, only have 10 playing

        1. Trigg ⭐️
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Then I'd do it. Kompany in. Free points, you would imagine.

          1. Mind över Mata
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 5 months ago

            Many thanks

  11. C0YS
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Can anyone explain why there seem to be so few people captaining Mahrez?

    1. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      There are more interesting candidates.

    2. Takedog1
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      kane against the worst villa team in history and aguero against norwich. simple as that

    3. TheTinman
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Rafa

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Will he actually have taken a training session by then, is he officially in charge managing or will be just be in the stands for this game

  12. NATSTER
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Most people have Silva and Siggy.

    Is it too risky to go without both Silva and Siggy ? 4-3-3 this GW.

    Butland (Henn.)
    Fuchs - Kompany - VVD - Toby (Bellerin)
    Mahrez - Alli - Arnie (Ozil, Payet)
    Vardy - Kane - Kun

    1. ZeBestee
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      You have Alli and Arnie so not a big risk for me. Excellent defense as well for this GW

      1. NATSTER
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks. Reassure me for spending the extra FT to prepare GK for DGW rather than getting this GW points.

  13. Romford Pele - Don't w…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Any Mahrez/Vardy captainers worried about a reaction from Newcastle under Rafa?

    1. ZeBestee
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      i think it would come to soon for this GW. i expect Vardy chipping in with a couple.

    2. 1zverGGademN
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      That is the reason I actually swaped Mahrez with Kun for the armbrand :/

    3. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I'm on Mahrez (c). I expect a goal out of him, at the very least an assist...so 15-20 points as captain. Not quite so sure I'd get that many points with Kun or Kane...one of the two could very well blank - no idea who.

      As Mombasa said, probably too soon for Rafa to really have an impact against the runaway league toppers (and top scorers)

  14. pundit of punts
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    No scout picks challenge?

    1. Konig Luther
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      i hope is everything ok with OCProdigy

      1. pundit of punts
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Hoping for the same . I'm sure he'll make an appearance soon.

  15. Defcons are for Kinnear
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    I quite like the chips. One chip I'd like to see is super sub. You have 5 of these for the season and you can basically sub in a player AFTER he has played

    1. THE Wild Rover
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Crap idea

      1. Defcons are for Kinnear
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Why?

        1. THE Wild Rover
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Because you are just getting free points that you don't deserve

    2. The Farke Side Gallery
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Pin the tail on the donkey without the blindfold. Hide and seek without the "hide"

  16. The Farke Side Gallery
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    If you have 11 playing this week, captain Kane. You are already ahead of the pack.

    1. TheTinman
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I was thinking about captaining a differential because of this...

      1. The Farke Side Gallery
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        That's what I an getting at. Kun the obvious pick. Kane riskier but could pay off

    2. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I understand that they will be ahead, but I don't get the logic for Kane.

      1. The Farke Side Gallery
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        If Kane blanks and Aguero scores the books will balance but if the opposite happens you are on the pigs back.

  17. The 12th Man
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Bottomed out on last page
    Forster/McCarthy > Hart

    Or

    Cedric > Kompany

    Otherwise I have to play double Southampton defence, Forster,VVD against Stoke.

    Benching Yaya this week has caused this dilemma.
    Thanks.

    1. Konig Luther
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      cedric kompany

  18. Clumsy Sakho
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    So given Agueros tough DGW 34 should I be triple captaining GW37?

  19. HurriKane
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Pellegrini promised a strong lineup. Could this be their front 6 ?

    Aguero Bony
    Sterling Fernando Fernandinho Silva

  20. asif316uk
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    does the early kick off curse apply to Aguero ?

    1. Trigg ⭐️
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      It was a 12:45 when he scored 4 v Spurs.

    2. The 12th Man
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Remember him scoring 4 against Spurs in an early kick off last season.

    3. DVassell
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      That's curse was broken a long time ago so no

    4. @persecuted_by_mods
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Word on the street is that he scored 4 past Spurs in an early kick off

    5. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Super hatty vs Spurs

      1. asif316uk
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Fondly remember actually cos i captained him.. forgot it was an early kick off!

  21. Kolarov Fpl Legend
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Help, who to bench?

    A) Kompany
    B) Fuchs
    C) Rose
    D) Daniels

    1. 1zverGGademN
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Neither of those

    2. ZeBestee
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Rose looks doubtful

    3. Konig Luther
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      rose if someone, daniels as second

  22. Fergiesarmy
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    What's the best move Coleman to kompany Or Sanchez to silva ?

    1. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Sanch to Silva

  23. @FPLMason
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Decided to get rid of Payet.
    Who to get in instead?
    A) Silva
    B) Alli
    C) Eriksen
    Have Aguero and Kane as well.
    Cheers for the input in advance.

    1. 1zverGGademN
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Eriksen imo.

    2. ZeBestee
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Silva for this gw in particular

  24. No Name to Display
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Aguero... Kane.. Vardy.. Mahrez...

    What a conundrum?!

    1. DVassell
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Kane vs kun for most on here

    2. KISSES
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I went Kane

  25. JaydenLFC87
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Who sud i bench this week??

    A) bertrand

    B) smith

    Other def are Kompany and Simpson

    1. DVassell
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Smith

  26. THE Wild Rover
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Some people are getting a bit carried away by the 'massive advantage' going to be gained over casuals this week. Sure, you may have a player or two more but that still may equate to a measly haul of points 😉

    1. The Farke Side Gallery
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Measly hauls equate to huge OR gains this season

  27. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Only have 9/11 starting this week G2G?

    Huth Williams Daniels
    Alli Sigurdsson Mahrez Eriksen
    Agüero Kane(C)

    1. DVassell
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Who are you not starting? Do share

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Gomes,Lukaku,Van Aanholt,Lingard,Bellerin and Hennessy as they all blank this GW.

        1. DVassell
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Any fts left? If not maybe consider a -4 Lukaku to Vardy?

          1. Lecky Legs FC
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 5 months ago

            No FT's good option but could be risky too with the Benitez appointment they might frustrate Leicester on Monday and be defensively solid for a change.

  28. RichRover
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Is Lamela too punty, or a good differential this week?

    1. DVassell
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      A bit punty- Eriksen is the much better mid option

  29. TheTinman
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Sterling captain?

    1. DVassell
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      After your 7 goal maths for kun why would you even consider that? Lol

      1. TheTinman
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        You're right, you're right... Thanks.

  30. Porkchops Johnson
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    A) Payet->Arnautovic
    B) Azpi/Bellerin out for another defender
    C) Use B to free up funds for Payet->Silva and do both

    2FTs, 0.2 in bank

    1. DVassell
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Need to see the rest of your team

    2. Chippo, Hadji, Aloisi.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      B