[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
12 March 2016 1382 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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We call upon Stoke and Norwich’s wide men in our search for some overlooked Fantasy gold this Saturday morning. City’s Ivorian frontman also gets the nod as Manuel Pellegrini’s men look for a vital victory at Carrow Road.

Nathan Redmond

In the event that Norwich harvest enough points to stave off relegation this season, one would imagine that Nathan Redmond (5.0) will have played a key role in that narrative. The ex-Birmingham City winger – who’s still top of the scoring charts (five) at Carrow Road – followed up his composed finish against Chelsea with a lively performance in a 1-0 defeat at Swansea, alerting us to his blossoming confidence.

In terms of his influence over the last two Gameweeks, no midfielder amassed as many shots inside the box (six) as Redmond. Even when extending that range to encompass the previous four Gameweeks, only Alexis Sanchez managed more efforts in the penalty area (11) than the England U21 international (eight), demonstrating his current propensity for drifting into dangerous areas.

Notwithstanding the fact that Norwich drew blanks in four of their last six outings, it’s worth keeping in mind that they’ve only failed to score at Carrow Road on one occasion since Gameweek 10 – incidentally, that fruitless afternoon came against the league’s tightest defence (Spurs). Furthermore, only five sides have accrued more big chances in home matches than Norwich (26), so it would be remiss to assume that Man City’s rearguard will enjoy a relaxing encounter.

Beyond this weekend, though, the schedule smiles kindly on the Canaries. With proverbial six-pointers at home to relegation rivals Sunderland and Newcastle and a trip to struggling Palace in the subsequent four, the Norwich winger has the platform to help fire his side to safety.

Wilfried Bony

Following a trio of defeats, Manuel Pellegrini switched to a 4-4-2 system for Manchester City’s home tie against Aston Villa last Gameweek, affording Wilfried Bony his first start of the calendar year. Bearing in mind that City had failed to score more than once in each of the previous four, Saturday’s 4-0 win may well persuade the Chilean to retain a two-man frontline for the trip to Carrow Road.

Furthermore, with a Champions League clash against Dynamo Kiev in midweek, Pellegrini may also look to utilise the depth of his squad, starting Bony this weekend before switching to a lone-striker system against the Ukrainian outfit in order to protect a 3-1 first-leg away lead.

Delving into the data, although Bony failed to grace the scoresheet at Villa Park, he supplied an assist and was heavily involved during his 62-minute stint: among all forwards that clocked at least 20 minutes last Gameweek, the Ivorian ranked third with regards to shot frequency (one every 12.4 minutes). Moreover, only Aguero chalked up more shots inside the box (seven) than his strike partner (five) in the previous round of fixtures.

This weekend’s hosts Norwich rank joint-third for goals conceded (22) and joint-top for big chances conceded (28) in home match-ups. In addition, no side has tallied fewer clean sheets (three) than the Canaries this term, illustrating their inability to batten down the hatches. Couple that with David Silva’s recent resurgence (two assists against Villa), and Bony emerges as an enticing differential for seeking out a short-term gamble.

Xherdan Shaqiri

Despite turning out the occasional virtuoso performance in his debut top-flight campaign, Xherdan Shaqiri (6.4) has lacked the consistency to establish himself as a key player on the Fantasy market. Having delivered attacking returns (one goal, two assists) in three of his last four outings, though, the Switzerland international is certainly addressing that shortcoming, elevating our confidence in his attacking potential prior to Southampton’s visit.

Looking at the underlying statistics, four of Shaqiri’s total tally of shots on target this term (10) arrived in the last four Gameweeks, with only three midfielders mustering more during that time frame. As for his creative output, the former Bayern Munich recruit also charted joint-fourth for key passes (12) in his last four, underlining his capacity for assists.

In an abridged Gameweek where most Fantasy managers will be focused on securing their Tottenham Hotspur, Leicester City and Man City coverage, exploring the Potters’ attacking potential could separate many from the pack. Saints are far from pushovers, but they’re winless in three matches and have to contend with the absence of the suspended Jose Fonte, reducing their chances of stifling the hosts.

  1. @persecuted_by_mods
      10 years, 11 days ago

      Ighalo to Afobe to put 11 out a decent move? Or are the Swans too good defensively of late?

      1. TheTinman
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 11 days ago

        I think it's a decent move, one is out of form in a team struggling to score, and Bournemouth look confident right now

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
            10 years, 11 days ago

            I think so too, at least for this week and then maybe Ighalo back. Read a stat somewhere that even though Watford have been in poor form recently they only took 1 less point now than in the corresponding fixtures earlier in the season so now they have ''easier'' fixtures Ighalo should start firing again

            1. @persecuted_by_mods
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Granted them getting only 1 less point doesn't mean anything for Ighalo's points, he scored plenty in the corresponding fixtures early on. Just have a feeling he'll turn it around

        2. Jet5605
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 11 days ago

          Hey guys, have 9 starters, 1 FT and 1.3 ITB

          Forster
          Toby - Huth - Wolly
          Mahrez - Siggie
          Vardy - Kane - Kun

          McCarthy - Nyom - Azpi - Payet - Antonio - Ozil

          Which option:

          A - Nyom > Daniels
          B - Antonio > Arnie
          C - Antonio > Ali
          D - Other?

          1. Tangerine
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            c

          2. Sylas
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            C

        3. ZeBestee
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 11 days ago

          Is Bellerin > Kompany worth a transfer for a hit?

        4. Piggs Boson
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 11 days ago

          Penalty City!

          ...

          AGGUEEEEEERROOOOOO

          OMG 5 goals!!

          1. Hakuna Juan Mata
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            Music to my ears

          2. Gr3g
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            Not going to happen! Aguero with one goal and Silva one goal and assist, City to win 2-0 🙂

        5. Tangerine
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 11 days ago

          Kane it is. Please don't punish me sergio

          1. KISSES
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            This

        6. FPLEL
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 11 days ago

          Any justification for Dier over Toby, other than price?

          1. Piggs Boson
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            No, he's on 9 YCs. Ban imminent.

            1. FPLEL
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Oh. Well that settles it. No Daniels then, I guess 🙁

        7. Takedog1
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 11 days ago

          hi gents! in a bit of a pickle.

          need yaya out but have made my ft already. is any player out there worth a minus 4 this week or should i just take it on the chin and play with only 10 players??

          1. Trigg ⭐️
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            See below, Silva not a bad long term move.

            Effectively only a -2 as well, even if he doesn't do anything.

            1. Takedog1
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              hey trig, i don't have enough money for him. only .1 itb yaya has completely fecked me! team was looking nice aswell. already have siggy ali mahrez. anybody else out there?

              1. Trigg ⭐️
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Eriksen perhaps?

                1. Takedog1
                  • 12 Years
                  10 years, 11 days ago

                  hes 8.7 mill. i will just go with 10 players. thanks trigg

        8. melvinmbabazi
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 11 days ago

          Yaya to Sterling or King

          1. Trigg ⭐️
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            For a hit?

            I'd be tempted by Silva. Long term move, too.

            1. melvinmbabazi
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              for free and cant afford silva

            2. Evans
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Why long term trigg ?

              1. Trigg ⭐️
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                I'd keep Silva from now until the end, injury free.

        9. Trigg ⭐️
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 11 days ago

          Am I totally out of the loop, or are people being presumptuous by saying how many DGW players they are going to have in GW34?

          1. Piggs Boson
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            Yes.

            No DGWs have been scheduled.

            1. Takedog1
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              do we know what teams are going to have them and when roughly Giggs?

              1. Piggs Boson
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                There are guesses: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1zcb5jGdVitByKQ8R1X4gcEBpiNY9qbLylr72btlTubc/edit#gid=93438515

                We should get confirmation soon though.

                1. Takedog1
                  • 12 Years
                  10 years, 11 days ago

                  thanks

          2. Mind över Mata
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            Certainly are, but still wise to prepare.

            Any thoughts on my predicament below?

        10. Mind över Mata
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 11 days ago

          Entirely focused on my h2h.

          This week it comes down to:

          Me) Forster / VVD / Siggy
          Him) Williams / Jaanmat / Ayew

          He has no playing keeper. Do I bring in:

          A) Kompany (for Moreno)
          B) Arnie / King (for Stanislas)

          1. Trigg ⭐️
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            Is it for free? Do you have 11 playing already?

            1. Mind över Mata
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              For free, only have 10 playing

              1. Trigg ⭐️
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Then I'd do it. Kompany in. Free points, you would imagine.

                1. Mind över Mata
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 14 Years
                  10 years, 11 days ago

                  Many thanks

        11. C0YS
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 11 days ago

          Can anyone explain why there seem to be so few people captaining Mahrez?

          1. NATSTER
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            There are more interesting candidates.

          2. Takedog1
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            kane against the worst villa team in history and aguero against norwich. simple as that

          3. TheTinman
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            Rafa

            1. @persecuted_by_mods
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Will he actually have taken a training session by then, is he officially in charge managing or will be just be in the stands for this game

          4. NATSTER
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            Most people have Silva and Siggy.

            Is it too risky to go without both Silva and Siggy ? 4-3-3 this GW.

            Butland (Henn.)
            Fuchs - Kompany - VVD - Toby (Bellerin)
            Mahrez - Alli - Arnie (Ozil, Payet)
            Vardy - Kane - Kun

            1. ZeBestee
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              You have Alli and Arnie so not a big risk for me. Excellent defense as well for this GW

              1. NATSTER
                • 15 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Thanks. Reassure me for spending the extra FT to prepare GK for DGW rather than getting this GW points.

          5. Romford Pele - Don't w…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            Any Mahrez/Vardy captainers worried about a reaction from Newcastle under Rafa?

            1. ZeBestee
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              i think it would come to soon for this GW. i expect Vardy chipping in with a couple.

            2. 1zverGGademN
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              That is the reason I actually swaped Mahrez with Kun for the armbrand :/

            3. C0YS
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              I'm on Mahrez (c). I expect a goal out of him, at the very least an assist...so 15-20 points as captain. Not quite so sure I'd get that many points with Kun or Kane...one of the two could very well blank - no idea who.

              As Mombasa said, probably too soon for Rafa to really have an impact against the runaway league toppers (and top scorers)

          6. pundit of punts
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            No scout picks challenge?

            1. Konig Luther
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              i hope is everything ok with OCProdigy

              1. pundit of punts
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Hoping for the same . I'm sure he'll make an appearance soon.

          7. Defcons are for Kinnear
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            I quite like the chips. One chip I'd like to see is super sub. You have 5 of these for the season and you can basically sub in a player AFTER he has played

            1. The Bandit
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Crap idea

              1. Defcons are for Kinnear
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Why?

                1. The Bandit
                  • 15 Years
                  10 years, 11 days ago

                  Because you are just getting free points that you don't deserve

            2. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Pin the tail on the donkey without the blindfold. Hide and seek without the "hide"

          8. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            If you have 11 playing this week, captain Kane. You are already ahead of the pack.

            1. TheTinman
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              I was thinking about captaining a differential because of this...

              1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                That's what I an getting at. Kun the obvious pick. Kane riskier but could pay off

            2. NATSTER
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              I understand that they will be ahead, but I don't get the logic for Kane.

              1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                If Kane blanks and Aguero scores the books will balance but if the opposite happens you are on the pigs back.

          9. The 12th Man
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            Bottomed out on last page
            Forster/McCarthy > Hart

            Or

            Cedric > Kompany

            Otherwise I have to play double Southampton defence, Forster,VVD against Stoke.

            Benching Yaya this week has caused this dilemma.
            Thanks.

            1. Konig Luther
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              cedric kompany

          10. Clumsy Sakho
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            So given Agueros tough DGW 34 should I be triple captaining GW37?

          11. HurriKane
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            Pellegrini promised a strong lineup. Could this be their front 6 ?

            Aguero Bony
            Sterling Fernando Fernandinho Silva

          12. asif316uk
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 11 days ago

            does the early kick off curse apply to Aguero ?

            1. Trigg ⭐️
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              It was a 12:45 when he scored 4 v Spurs.

            2. The 12th Man
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Remember him scoring 4 against Spurs in an early kick off last season.

            3. DVassell
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              That's curse was broken a long time ago so no

            4. @persecuted_by_mods
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Word on the street is that he scored 4 past Spurs in an early kick off

              • @FPLMason
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Super hatty vs Spurs

                1. asif316uk
                  • 15 Years
                  10 years, 11 days ago

                  Fondly remember actually cos i captained him.. forgot it was an early kick off!

            5. Kolarov Fpl Legend
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Help, who to bench?

              A) Kompany
              B) Fuchs
              C) Rose
              D) Daniels

              1. 1zverGGademN
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Neither of those

              2. ZeBestee
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Rose looks doubtful

              3. Konig Luther
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                rose if someone, daniels as second

            6. Fergiesarmy
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              What's the best move Coleman to kompany Or Sanchez to silva ?

              1. @FPLMason
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Sanch to Silva

            7. @FPLMason
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Decided to get rid of Payet.
              Who to get in instead?
              A) Silva
              B) Alli
              C) Eriksen
              Have Aguero and Kane as well.
              Cheers for the input in advance.

              1. 1zverGGademN
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Eriksen imo.

              2. ZeBestee
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Silva for this gw in particular

            8. No Name to Display
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Aguero... Kane.. Vardy.. Mahrez...

              What a conundrum?!

              1. DVassell
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Kane vs kun for most on here

              2. KISSES
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                I went Kane

            9. JaydenLFC87
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Who sud i bench this week??

              A) bertrand

              B) smith

              Other def are Kompany and Simpson

              1. DVassell
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Smith

            10. The Bandit
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Some people are getting a bit carried away by the 'massive advantage' going to be gained over casuals this week. Sure, you may have a player or two more but that still may equate to a measly haul of points 😉

              1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Measly hauls equate to huge OR gains this season

            11. Lecky Legs FC
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Only have 9/11 starting this week G2G?

              Huth Williams Daniels
              Alli Sigurdsson Mahrez Eriksen
              Agüero Kane(C)

              1. DVassell
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Who are you not starting? Do share

                1. Lecky Legs FC
                  • 10 Years
                  10 years, 11 days ago

                  Gomes,Lukaku,Van Aanholt,Lingard,Bellerin and Hennessy as they all blank this GW.

                  1. DVassell
                    • 14 Years
                    10 years, 11 days ago

                    Any fts left? If not maybe consider a -4 Lukaku to Vardy?

                    1. Lecky Legs FC
                      • 10 Years
                      10 years, 11 days ago

                      No FT's good option but could be risky too with the Benitez appointment they might frustrate Leicester on Monday and be defensively solid for a change.

            12. RichRover
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Is Lamela too punty, or a good differential this week?

              1. DVassell
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                A bit punty- Eriksen is the much better mid option

            13. TheTinman
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              Sterling captain?

              1. DVassell
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                After your 7 goal maths for kun why would you even consider that? Lol

                1. TheTinman
                  • 10 Years
                  10 years, 11 days ago

                  You're right, you're right... Thanks.

            14. Porkchops Johnson
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 11 days ago

              A) Payet->Arnautovic
              B) Azpi/Bellerin out for another defender
              C) Use B to free up funds for Payet->Silva and do both

              2FTs, 0.2 in bank

              1. DVassell
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                Need to see the rest of your team

              2. Chippo, Hadji, Aloisi.
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                10 years, 11 days ago

                B