| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change |  Raya Martin | ARS | C, Vs |
| No Change |  Pickford | EVE | B, Vs |
| Up |  Verbruggen | BHA | C, Vs |
| Up |  Martinez | AVL | C, Vs |
| No Change |  Kelleher | BRE | A |
| No Change |  Dubravka | BUR | B, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up |  Gabriel Magalhães | ARS | A, Vs |
| No Change |  Keane | EVE | B, Vs, Inj |
| Up |  Mukiele | SUN | A, £ |
| Up |  van Hecke | BHA | C, Vs |
| Up |  Cash | AVL | C, Vs |
| Up |  Thiaw | NEW | C, Vs |
| No Change |  Marc Guehi | CRY | C |
| Down |  van Dijk | LIV | B |
| Down |  O’Reilly | MCI | C |
| Down |  Andersen | FUL | B |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change |  Saka | ARS | A, Vs |
| No Change |  Foden | MCI | B |
| No Change |  Matheus Cunha | MUN | B |
| Up |  Rogers | AVL | A, Vs |
| Up |  Bruno Guimarães | NEW | B, Vs |
| Down |  Semenyo | BOU | A |
| Down |  Wirtz | LIV | A |
| No Change |  Grealish | EVE | C, Vs |
| No Change |  Schade | BRE | A |
| No Change |  Minteh | BHA | C, Vs, Inj |
| No Change |  Anderson | NFO | C, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change |  Haaland | MCI | A |
| No Change |  Ekitiké | LIV | A |
| No Change |  Bowen | WHU | B, Vs |
| Up |  Watkins | AVL | A, Vs |
| Up |  Calvert-Lewin | LEE | A |
| Down |  Thiago | BRE | C |
Paul With ten teams set for a pair of fixtures in the upcoming Gameweek, we turn to the members’ section and fire up some custom tables for your perusal.
In the first of a two-part series, we assess those players who have produced a minimum of four attempts on goal over their last four fixtures. In order to qualify for our assessment, the players must also have featured in at least three of their sides’ last seven league fixtures.
Using BB:
Darlow Robles
Simpson Lovren Smalling Bellerin Sakho
Coutinho Sanchez(c) Ozil KDB Lennon
Rashford Lukaku Aguero
But I'm concerned about Rashford and KDB mins, so was thinking of KDB & Rashford -> Nasri & Martial for a -4 hit
Not sure if this is worse? Then again, I have issues with Lovren and Sakho as well
KDB is more nailed than Nasri
Would Coutinho & Rashford -> Martial & 5.2k Mid (such as Lanzini) be a better alternative.
Coutinho could also have playing time issues over the next 2/3 weeks due to EL
I have sakho too - thoughts?
Robles and Lukaku (C) to save my place in LMS!
Bolasie + Coleman.... COME ON GET ME THOSE 10 POINTS
Ha ha
Most interesting midweek game of the season 🙂
Im out of the LMS anyways 🙁 Not a happy camper. Just need Coleman to provide 2 assists to Lukaku. Not much to ask for.
I've all 4. Expecting 8, hoping for 15, will get arrested for 20+
I got all 4 as well. Lukaku is scoring a brace. You will see.
I even went to IT today to borrow stash to be able to watch several games at once
I need 20 pts tonight from these guys to be happy.
I need 17 to break even over my old team pre-wildcard! Have 4 players so highly possible.
1-1 Dann / Lukaku please.
I need about 100. Siggy, Williams, Vardy, Alli, Alderweireled, Ozil...
FREQUENT POSTERS CUP QUARTER FINALS UPDATE (repost)
Current situation in all matches below, taking into account cancelling outs and known autosubs. To look at the full latest points and FPL IDs, please go to the "current scores" tab on http://www.tyroreports.wix.com/ffsfpc
iCon v Spectrum
iCon = Bolasie and Lennon
Spectrum = 4pts + Delaney
Sepp Blattered v Juggos
Sepp = 10pts + Lennon
Juggos = None
Ayew Serious v Jonty
Ayew = Delaney
Jonty = Bolasie
Spineless Weasel v Feed Feo
SW = Lennon
Feo = 10pts + Ward and Bolasie
Lovely tourney! Thanks a lot for organizing it Jarvish!
damn Wordpress!
this http://imgur.com/gallery/3JSbEFa
No worries, I won't try this at home. I don't have a sword
HOLY SHIEEEEEEEEEEEE
Bottomed. Really want to get rid of Clichy now but I need my 2 FTs to field 11 in GW 35. Would you:
A) Hope for the best and keep Clichy
B) Ship and take a hit
Ship and field 10 in GW35
I'm holding / hoping
Hi guys, is Defoe actually a good option from week 35 onwards?
I'm planing on bringing him in
Are you confident with his points with the upcoming fixtures including Arsenal and Chelsea? Granted Chelsea defence is a bit questionable with the rotations.
If they have a chance of survival then yes.
Just not heavy enough for my liking. Vardy/Kun/Kane will be the order of the day by then anyways.
If they're still in with a shout of surviving relegation by then, you can bet Sunderland will be fighting. Could be a great option.
I like him as an option. Played well vs Leicester.
If Sunderland wins over Norwich, they will smell blood in the water. If they'll win he'll be a very good option.
Vs. Arsenal is gonna be tricky tho
Yeah that game vs Arsenal is a bit tricky, esp with Vardy and Kane against easier oppositions.
Yeah Mitrovic to Defoe for me soon enough..
Managers holding Liverpools Sakho or shipping him out?
Holding. Unlikely to get rot again.
Holding. Or at least wait until Thurs.
Crazy to sell IMO. Only sell if you need the third spot spot for an attacker
City going through last night is a problem. Liverpool going through tonight would be an even bigger problem.
Coutinho, Sakho, KDB, Aguero all gonna be wrapped up
Come on Liverpool!
Just need West Ham to pop United tonight and it's approaching WC33 genocide
Payet and Martial to have a fight and get 3 match bans each would be nice 🙂
Cmon BVB
Lukaku out for martial for free??
Yay or no way!
Well, you'll be looking to ship Martial pretty fast anyways.
No from me
If Lukaku doesnt turn up tonight, Im gonna swap him out for Martial
My thinking exactly!!!
Martial, Sturridge or Welbeck for the DGW? (To partner Kane and Lukaku)
Worth a -4 for Gabriel/Sakho to Smalling?
Martial or Sturridge.
Sturridge play gw35 that can also be a factor.
Can you field 11 in 35 if you get in smalling?
Mignolet (Ruddy)
Bellerin Sakho Smalling (Francis, Fuchs)
Coutinho Sanchez Mahrez Payet (Alli)
Kane Martial Lukaku
So GW35 FT could swap Martial for a GW 35 starter and play 11.
Concerned about Cout, Sakho and Sturridge minutes with EL though!
(Would be Gabriel in for Sakho to allow for Sturridge)
Wait for the matches today
help please!
Get rid of
A) Mahrez
B) Barkley
For
A) Coutinho
B) Firmino
Keeping Mahrez allows me 11 in 35 but only 9/11DGW players after Jagz injury.
I would say get rid of Barkley.. However I'm unsure how many minutes Cout/Firm will get even with a DGW because of Europa Thursday. Definitely wait until Friday to see how that game pans out, may have a better insight into who will be the more likely starter!
You know they both got matches tonight? Why not see what happens first...?
Hennessey&Marhez >>> Mignolet&Coutinho(-8)is an option for this week?
Just do Mahrez to Coutinho for a hit
Best Jagielka replacement?
Just get Fuchs or take a punt on Janmaat/Dawson?
Janmaat may be injured
Assuming he'll be fit for the DGW, which one would you go for?
Fuchs
.. and for those who have Fuchs already?
Huth / Simpson 😉
If you can stretch to an Arsenal defender, then that.
If none of the above.. then Reid / Kirchhoff / VVD / R.Martin are all decent options
Don't think it's worth doubling up on Leicester defence with the trickier upcoming fixtures. Reid a decent shout, though
In Sky, sell Mahrez or Vardy for Lukaku(c)??
Tough one!
migs
toby fuchs bell (williams)
ozil alexis alli barkley (siggy)
vardy martial lukaku
barkley > coutinho
lukaku > stud
for a -4? is it worth it?
Nice transfers, -4 looks ok IMO.
Lukaku out could burn you, though.
I think it's worth it.
Just do the first one for free.
I'd do the first for sure then wait and see on Sturridge. Presumably he'll start vs Dormund as it's such a big game, which could mean he'll start on the bench for their first game of the DGW if he's not fit enough to play twice so close together. With the derby coming up straight after, I don't think they'll want to risk him.
so im gonna wait for both.. because a possible extra time will change my plans accordingly.
DGW34 bench-boosters; think this has been asked before a few days ago, but let's get another count.
If the BB chip didn't exist but you still had your current team, how would your bench look this GW?
Darlow (SWA, MCI), Alli (sto), Mahrez (WHU), Azpi (MCI) here.
Darlow - Mahrez - Coleman - Simpson.
I'm currently playing Fuchs over Coleman.
Mornin' IM - at least the initials are the same 🙂
Not expecting much from my bench other than perhaps Alli vs Stoke, but I probably wouldn't have gone for as many DGW players if it wasn't for BB so it should still pay off... hopefully.
Still debating Kane -> Sturridge for free. Looks a decent captain option this GW if he stays fit, plus the added aesthetically pleasing bonus of having a full DGW 11 on the pitch.
Haha exactly! 😀
Kane -> Sturridge could be a genius move, I considered it myself, but ended up going with Martial instead as I needed the funds to upgrade Klose to Koscielny!
Sturridge is risky due to injury / rotation under Klopp but he is consistent as hell, if he plays both games I've no doubt he'll score well.
Disclaimer: I'll be getting Kane back in soon probably.. (as in.. next week)
I think Studge will start vs. Dortmund (has to, surely?), which may mean he'll be on the bench for the first 60 mins or so vs. Bournemouth in preparation for a start in the derby.
If I got him in for Kane, he'd likely be a season-keeper with another DGW coming up. That's the only thing putting me off at the moment - shifting Kane while he's going for Golden Boot is a big call!
Henn, Fuchs, Klose and Mahrez probably
Nobody you can shift Klose for? Seems a shame to play BB with an injured player on the bench.
I'll wait for news of his fitness. If he's injured might take a hit and get Simpson. Should have got Simpson in the first place.
Makes sense! I thought Klose was definitely out as his injury sounded like a bad one, but I've just seen he's got a chance of playing vs Sunderland.
Why do I see so many posts hoping that Lukaku does well tonight. Every man and his dog, casuals included will have Lukaku captain this week, so whatever he does has a nil effect on ranking. Ideally for FFS community as a whole it's probably best that the game is a goal fest both ways with Defenders (Dann, Coleman, Delaney) scoring and mids (Bloasie, Lennon, Barkley) assisting. Though Barkley is also so massively owned outside the FFS community that anything he does will probably affect many of us negatively.
I hope to god Lukaku breaks his big toe 5 minutes into the game.
I hope he does something so there's not a mass sell off and people stick with him because they don't notice his blank next week.
I think someone (TM?) said the other day it was around 65 - 70 % of the top 10k have captained him.. EO of around 150%.
Every point he gets, I'm screwed.
Only one other person in my ML has Lukaku so having captained him I will further my lead in it, I'd rather win £100 from that than nothing and finish with a decent OR, I've only started caring about my OR since I got in the top 20k
I need a goal to justify selling Kane for him. Need to make up 17 points tonight! Don't care where they come from but a Palace 2-0 win with a Dann brace would do me too lol
Incorrect. I'm in 5 mini leagues, including a cash one. Only 2 of my main rivals has Lukaku(C)
Exactly this, it's not all about OR! If I didn't have a ML I definitely wouldn't have kept up with it all season
It has a huge effect on rankings. top10k has his captained and owned by 66% or so. For some its a huge upside. Who the hell wants his captain to blank?
140% effective ownership - so still worth rooting for if you've captained him. Of course, if you don't have him then you'll want him to blank. If you have him but not captained him then you're a very rare breed and, to be honest, a little strange.
In your opinion..
How much of FPL is just gambling? How much of it comes down to skill?
There's surely an aspect of gambling in it, are some just consistently lucky? Do those that regularly finish in the top 10k have better instincts? or attention? or better at reading stats/patterns?
a lot of it. A lot of "good players" are doing poor this year. All you can do with the skill is try to maximise your luck by picking the best players/rotations/combinations etc but its always gonna come down to luck at the end of the day.
If it was mostly skill the top 50,100 would be very similar year in year out.
Ville Ronka is on for his 5th consecutive 5k finish or something like that I think though.. There are exceptions to the rule that do well every year and adapt to the different styles required to do well.
They're rare but they exist! 😀
Thats very impressive and clearly very skilled. But chances are his skill will never take him to top 100 or better. He needs a LOT of luck to manage that
I'd like to know the difference in OR between winners and their rank the following year after winning
2008/09 2078 4266
2009/10 2466 569
2010/11 2225 362
2011/12 2243 1631
2012/13 2248 4668
2013/14 2534 90
2014/15 2332 277
Those are his stats. So yea. Skill.
Very impressive.
*sickening.
To say the least. Lowest finish is inside top 5k. Christina also has a great track record to be fair.
OTOH triggerlips has 5 seasons inside 2k and now looks like he won't break 100k this season
Wish i had a few seasons behind me rather than just this one.
Think he was in the top 100 and top 1k
Christina is also a phenomenal FPL Manager who consistently gets top 5k as well.
Always a luck factor, but it comes down to picking the right players.
70% skill, 30% luck
I think to win it though, you need a massive amount of luck with almost all of your 50/50 decision over the course of the season paying off.
I think closer to 60/40
I think skills is the wrong word. It should be doing homework like in school, you revise your schoolwork, do homework diligently, answer questions with logic to pass an exam - the same you analyze players and team strategies - so it's 'hard work' more than 'skills' involved here.
That said, I think you can get to top 10k with 'hard work' but to be high up at the top, you need lots of luck.
I think I agree with this.
It is very akin to gambling. You try and put yourself in the best position of winning but have no control over what actually happens. I never agree with people referring to it as a 'skill' - it's not skilful at all. Dedication and planning are what gives each individual player and advantage - and luck tops it off.
Yes, exactly my point above.
Being able to play a guitar is skill. What Ronaldo can do with a football is skill. Choosing a player who scored last week with a good fixture this week is not. It's just planning and diligence.
Dedication and planning are what gives each individual player an advantage... until that one lucky casual that triple captained Tadic for 70 points zooms past you to 1st in the ranks GW38.
This is true - an advantage does not guarantee success at any time - it just makes it more probable.
Tbh I'm amazed America allows pay to play fantasy sports but not sports betting. Fantasy football is just a certain derivative of sports betting. Do you not count the patience and the planning as the skill?
See John Oliver's segment on that?
I love that guy.
For anyone that hasn't seen:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mq785nJ0FXQ
Not available in my country 🙁
I do love his stuff though so I'll try and hunt it out elsewhere.
" Last Week Tonight with John Oliver: Daily Fantasy Sports (HBO) "
🙂
😆 love it!
For other Brits, this is the link I used: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vRctVcrDIhk
I wouldn't say patience is a skill. Reading a fixture list and plotting a profitable course through it? Maybe. But there are so many tools (e.g. this site) that help you do that without too much effort that it's not (imo) correct to call this 'skilful'. I think it was Dod (a poster here but more regular on Triggerlips' site) who summed it up best for me when he said FPL was 80% luck and 20% luck management.
I'd flip the 80 and 20 but I get the sentiment. But in my eyes 'luck management' is synonymous with skill. It may not be a difficult skill to acquire with the right motivation (cash leagues etc) but its still there and shows up in the end results.
This topic comes up every year.
There has to be some luck involved of course but there's still a reason some players can finish consistently well.
Ville Ronka - never finished outside top 5k
Jonty has several finishes inside top 10k in a row now I think - will be harder this season now
Someone I follow on Twitter who used to post here also mostly finishes inside top 5k/10k
I think some of it is skill/attention to detail - not getting caught up in the bandwagons that are more for fun than anything else. Consistency is key I guess.
Zophar another who is high up in HoF was saying on Twitter a while back that he'll almost always choose a captain from the top 4 teams (obviously this year has been different in many ways) - doesn't matter how good other teams are being, the top 4 teams are such for a reason that they're consistent.
Whether that continues next season we'll see - if we get another season like this it'll be tough again for sure!
How quick/slow was Zophar to realise Leicester and Spurs were top 4 teams this year?
Looks like he captained Vardy in GW13, before that it was a lot of Man City players - KDB and even Bony.
After GW13 there was a mix of Lukaku/Kane too.
He's back in the top 10k again this year.
Interesting, cheers Andy!
I've had three 8k finishes in the last three yrs & I barely play it, I spend maybe 30mins on it every wk deciding on transfers/captain & I occasionally check price rises/drops for TV, that's about it. I think there's skill in it but I'm not sure how much.
It's obviously not luck, otherwise you wouldn't get so many people who consistently finish top 10k.
There is probably a direct correlation between a players history and the % they put it down to luck.
This game isn't really that hard. It's just about playing the risk: reward %s in relation to the other people.
As others have said, the more planning and statistical analysis you do the better foundation those decisions will have.
We get this 'consistently Top 10k' argument a lot. How could you explain those (like Mark, for instance) who have a 200k rank one year, then are placed 42nd the following year, and then down in the 100ks again this time round? These type of player histories are out there too.
Mine is a similarly lumpy history. There are a number of factors. E.g. sometimes you do not have the time to focus on fpl for an entire season as life gets in the way. Or, if you have seen success in a good final rank already then you might become less bothered about taking the low risk options and go for more risky options in pursuit of an even higher rank or more fun.
My point was that there is a level, be it 10k or whatever, that you can probably hit through sensible low risk play. AI will probably be able to do this soon, if not already. To get higher requires a few higher risk choices or ones that fewer people have made.
Couthino and Sakho owners - keeping or selling for more nailed on players?
Keeping
I'd be keeping.
Wildcard team surgery?
De Gea (Darlow)
Bellerin Cresswell Lovren (Simpson, Fonte)
Sanchez Coutinho Iwobi Payet (Mahrez)
Kun Martial Sturridge
Pre-GW35 transfers for a hit........
A) Lukaku + Coleman -> Kane + 5.1m defender (Reid)
B) Martial + Coleman -> Kane + 3.8m defender (Targett)
C) Martial + Coleman -> Sturridge + 4.2m defender (Klose? Sudnerland?)
B for me - thinking (Lukaku - Martial) > (Reid - Targett)
Get Sturridge for Aguero (suppose you have him) in GW36 or GW37
Sturridge for Aguero in 36 is not a bad shout at all Pompel.. Hadn't even considered ditching Kun but (sou, ARS, swa) doesn't look too primed for 13m worth of points..
that's my plan at the moment - if not tempted to get him in for this GW, but with a front line of Kun-Kaku-Kane then for who?
Well i will be shipping
Martial + Smalling + Coleman + Bolasie in the next two GW. MAYBE keep Smalling. I want to ship the other three quick. So i can field 11.
C because of Sturridge vs Newcastle
Shame you have to buy Klose back after selling him for a -4, though.
Koscielny should earn me those 4 points back this week 😎
As long as he does so partnering Gabriel, I hope you're right.
Think I'll be doing Lukaku -> Kane and then Smalling to PvA or Reid
Much depend on how Lukaku looks tonight, but tempted by Sturridge instead - good decision, or not. On a WC btw.
I am doing it.
I'm thinking the same, had my doubts before I put Lukaku in
OK, so overall with my Wildcard I am very happy, just a few concerns with my defence.
Bellerin - Clyne - Clichy - Darmian - Dann
Plan was to transfer out Dann and Darmian with 2 FTs in GW35, which would leave me with exactly 11 players with a game that week. However, I will now only have 1 FT (Probably Dann to Azpilicueta). With all the uncertainty over Darmian/Clichy, I am now considering getting a West Brom defender for -4 THIS GW, with the hope that he will score 4 points more than Darmian/Clichy and be playable next week.
So my question is, (A) should I do it, and if so (B) who should I transfer in for Darmian?
A) Yes
B) Gabriel
I have Cech, Bellerin and Iwobi already unfortunately.
Praying Cech will play
A) Martial + Wijnaldum
B) Mitrovic + Coutinho
C) Welbeck + Milner
D) Other
A
Cheers mate, think Wijnaldum has gone under the radar! He's due a haul.
He's been pulled back into CM (from CAM) but he's still a decent punt in home games.
Who's playing CAM now?
C.
For this week? B
Yeah! Cheers.
C would be a huge differential
Is anyone backing Atletico tonight vs Barca?
Prophet was verbally at least!
I think they have as good a chance as anyone v Barca.
Completely agree. But I think if Barca score they'll go through.
It'll be a ridiculously cagey game and I think it'll entirely depend on how solid & disciplined Atletico can be. They usually score 1 vs Barca they just gotta keep them out.
Probably a better chance than most other teams do. When the draw was made Barca were probably a little pissed because it was one of the toughest draws after Bayern IMO
I backed them to win as well with a small bet tho. Put a 20 on it.
Also have them in a acca with
MCI to win
Atletico to win
WHU to Win
Everton to win
Barkley+Bolassie+Gabriel>>Iwobi+KDB/Coutinho+Evans for -8?
I've gone for KDB, just gotta pray for game time!
Just do Bolasie to Iwobi
Got Gabirel, Bellerin and Sanchez already.
Robles /de Gea
Fuchs / Delaney / Gabriel / Sakho / Bellerín
Barkley / Payet / Sánchez / Mahrez / Bolasie
Martial / Lukaku / Agüero
1FT, £2.4m in the bank.
BB GW34 team surgery.
I'm worried about rotation, what would you guys do with this:
Ming/Robles
Sakho/Darmian/Bell/Gab/Simpson
My mid and strikers are ok.
Worried about Darmian the most, then Gab. What would you guys do? I can't afford Smalling without shipping Ming out for Darlow and downgrading Sakho to Moreno so it would be a -8. Is Rojo a better option? or what else?
Blaaaah, im 0.1 short to do:
1. Jagielka and Bolasie
to
2. Evans and Nasri
Are Simson or Olsson good picks up to 4.4 mil
Can you suggest me any other DGW35 defender up to 4.4 mil ?
