Scout Betting
7 May 2016 1478 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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As we furiously attempt to de-code the double Gameweek puzzle, it’s now time to consider yet another set of variables as we trouble Paddy Power for their weekend odds.

Before we analyse their reckoning for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’ve yet to grab yourself an account with our bookmaker partners, this weekend is another opportunity to cash in on a raft of enhanced odds offers.

It all starts with Saturday’s Premier League treble which dangles big odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham (vs Swansea), Chelsea (at Sunderland) and Leicester (vs Everton). The Foxes are also covered by their own enhanced bet with Paddy offering 6/1 on a crowning victory for Claudio Ranieri’s boys against suffering Everton.

On Sunday and you can choose to back Southampton’s flourishing form against a deflated Spurs with odds of 14/1 on a Saints win at White Hart Lane.

Paddy have also got another treble covering Sunday’s matches, with 20/1 on wins for Spurs (vs Southampton), Liverpool (vs Watford) and Man City (vs Arsenal).

Finally, if you fancy a individual flutter on that Etihad clash, you can get either 7/1 on a Man City win or 10/1 on an away win for Arsenal.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

PlayerTeamOdds
SturridgeLIV1.72
BentekeLIV1.72
CarrollWHU1.90
VardyLEI1.90
AgueroMCI1.90
KaneTOT2.00
FirminoLIV2.25
CisseNEW2.25
MitrovicNEW2.25
LukakuEVE2.25
SakhoWHM2.29
AfobeBOU2.29
CostaCHE2.37
CoutinhoLIV2.40
PayetWHM2.40
MahrezLEI2.40
DefoeSUN2.40
AyozeNEW2.40
WilsonBOU2.40
RashfordMUN2.50
MartialMUN2.50

While Fantasy managers contemplate Jurgen Klopp’s latest shuffled teamsheet, Paddy are very clear in their thinking when it comes to Liverpool’s goal-getting power against Watford at Anfield.

Both Christian Benteke and Daniel Sturridge (1.72) top their current odds reckoning for a Gameweek goal, while Roberto Firmino (2.10) is the highest rank midfielder on show, swiftly followed by team-mate Philippe Coutinho (2.40). In short, if these guys get minutes, Paddy is strongly backing them for goal returns.

Paddy have also been quick to recognise the form of Andy Carroll; the Hammers target man heads up a pack of strikers ranked at 1.90 as he rumbles into a home encounter with Swansea City. Should he get the opportunity, Carroll looks well positioned to terrorise the Swans rearguard once again: the Welshman always struggle to cope with Carroll’s aerial threat, have surrendered seven goals in their last two away clashes and will likely be without skipper Ashley Williams.

Dimitri Payet leads our Captain Poll and is also handed short odds of 2.40 by Paddy – only Firmino ranks higher amongst FPL midfielders.

Jamie Vardy and Sergio Aguero are both also pitched at the 1.90 mark. The former netted three goals in two starts before serving out his suspension and could be set to fill his boots in a celebratory King Power fixture against Everton.

Meanwhile, Aguero’s form (seven goals in five) underlines his continued potential as City head into Sunday’s clash with Arsenal at the Etihad. Manuel Pellegrini’s men could be leg weary following Wednesday’s flat performance in Madrid, although the City boss has stressed that his side now have to prioritise a top four place with United and West Ham still threatening.

Having drawn two blanks in his last four appearances, Harry Kane (2.00) charts in an unfamiliar rank this weekend ahead of a White Hart Lane meeting with in-form Southampton. Kane is looking to keep a grip on the Golden Boot but is part of a Spurs side who could be somewhat demoralised by Monday’s result at Chelsea. Mauricio Pochettino’s outfit could also be knocked out of their stride by the absence of Mousa Dembele who starts a mammoth 6-match suspension following his FA charge for violent conduct. Kane has scored just once in the nine matches that Dembele has missed this season.

Further down the ranks, Newcastle strike duo Papiss Cisse and Aleksandar Mitrovic (both 2.25) will look to profit from Aston Villa’s obliging defence. The Villains have conceded four goals in three of their last eight match-ups, providing the perfect platform for Rafa Bentiez’s side to continue their current form: the Mapgies have scored in each of their last seven matches.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

TeamOdds
West Ham2.10
Newcastle2.29
Manchester United2.29
Liverpool2.40
Bournemouth2.60
Crystal Palace2.70
Tottenham2.87
Leicester3.10

Given that Swansea have posted blanks in their previous pair of road ties, it’s no surprise to see that West Ham (2.10) have been pinpointed by Paddy as the team with the most favourable clean-sheet prospects in the Gameweek. Just behind them, Newcastle (2.29) have recorded two shut-outs in four and are pitted against a Villa unit that failed to score in five of their last eight fixtures.

Manchester United are also currently ranked at 2.29 to keep Norwich City out at Carrow Road. While Louis van Gaal’s side have kept just five of their 17 shut-outs away from home, they’re up against a desperate Canaries who are without a goal in their last three league fixtures.

Liverpool come next with odds of 2.40 as they seek to repel the advances of Watford. The Hornets have scored just twice in their previous quartet of road matches, which suggests that Liverpool’s odds have suffered from the threat of Klopp rotation.

Bournemouth (2.60) have conceded the joint-most goals (16) across their last six match-ups, illustrating their poor value for a home tie against West Bromwich Albion. Crystal Palace’s (2.70) home encounter with Stoke City looks more promising, considering that the Potters have notched a solitary goal in their previous trio of fixtures.

Further down the table, Paddy feel that Spurs (2.87) have their work cut out stifling a Southampton attack that has amassed more goals (12) than any team in their last four fixtures. While our bookmaker suggests that Ranieri will relax his approach to the home meeting with Everton – the Foxes are given relatively long odds of 3.10 for a shut-out in today’s late kick-off.

  1. 1NVINCIBLES
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Mignolet owners are we playing him?

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Tricky, think Ward could start vs Watford so he only gets 1 game then

    2. The Tinkerman
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Nope. I'm going Robles since he is certain to start both games. Both teams equally unlikely to keep a clean sheet IMO. Mignolet likely to be rested once.

    3. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I really dont know... probably

    4. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Cheers guys. Might as well stick with Hennessey.

    5. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

  2. Bezzer
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Who to bench guys?

    Sanchez, Fab, Payet, Townsend, Mahrez, Kun, Defoe, Carroll

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Sanchez or Mahrez. I actually transferred out Mahrez to avoid this. 😛

      1. Bezzer
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        For who?

        1. 1NVINCIBLES
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Hazard.

    2. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Sanchez

  3. SweeSwee
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    This is the week Lukaku goes crazy guys.

    1. @FPLMason
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Trollkaku...

  4. @FPLMason
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Currently trailing ML Leader by 1 pt and leading the 3rd in my ML by 8 points
    The 3rd made 3 transfers which includes 1 hit and the 1st still has not made any transfers.
    It's pretty tight, so I'd appreciate any replies.

    Already did KDB to Hazard for free.
    1) Would you do Kane to Carrol for -4?
    2) Bench one of Mahrez,Sanchez,Lingard

    Thank you for your replies.

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yes. Lingard.

    2. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yes
      Lingard

  5. TheSteel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Any Deeney love? Thinking of him over Defoe and Carroll

    1. @FPLMason
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'd take Defoe over him because Sunderland actually have something to fight for. Carroll & west ham as well.

  6. Park the bus
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Many tripling up on West Ham and triple captaining a West Ham player? Seems excessive!!

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Swansea at home looks very obliging

    2. @FPLMason
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Swansea are depleted. No Williams/Siggy...
      Their attack has to step up for what's about to come if they want to try and clinch CL

  7. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Play

    A) Simpson (Eve home)
    B) Delaney (Stoke home)
    C) Bellerin (Man city away)

    1. @FPLMason
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      C

    2. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      B A C in that order.

  8. Kroos Kontrol
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Is choosing to TC Hazard over Payet if you are looking to hold rank a wise move or too risky?

    1. Kroos Kontrol
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I just don't like Payet TC, just don't like that idea. Which is why I am asking this

    2. @FPLMason
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Risky!

    3. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Payet if you're holding, I think.

    4. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Risky

    5. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'd pick Hazard

    6. Fi_fpl addict
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      payet will prob get 10-15 points min in 2 games with poss more and is as close to nailed on as anyone could be. safe option is Payet, Hazard could get 20 easy but will he play both games

  9. superpav
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Morning gents. Any more hits for this team (currently on -8)?

    Robles
    Cresswell - PVA - Simpson
    Fabregas - Payet (TC) - Townsend - Firmino
    Sturridge - Kun - Carrol

    (Darlow - Bellerin - Gabriel - Sanchez)

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      No way, looks a great team

      1. Jereme Halliday
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Simpson>Smalling

      2. superpav
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks. Wasn't sure whether another DGW defender (e.g. Russell) was worth it.

    2. @FPLMason
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Very good.

    3. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Great team good luck.

    4. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      No

    5. Fi_fpl addict
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Lov players rotation risks but not worth hits, stick

  10. Porkchops Johnson
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Clyne->Cresswell -4? Reckon Clyne will start one game, and Cress both.

    1. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

  11. wrfly10
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Trailing ML by 24. I'm on BB, leader already used his.
    DDG Gomes
    Azpi Cresswell Moreno Stones PVA
    Payer (C) Lanzini Sanchez Fabergas Firmino
    Sturridge Kane Defoe

    Pool rotation has me nervous.
    A) sturridge and Firmino > Martial and Hazard
    B) Kane > Martial
    C) other idea

    Let's win my league!

    1. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A

  12. digitalmind
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    DDG
    Valencia/Cresswell/Bellerin
    Sanchez/Coutinho/Payet/Lingard
    Kun/Defoe/Carroll

    subs: Darlow, Delaney, Huth, Iwobi

    £4 in the bank and taken -4 hit

    Any changes worth another -4 hit (-8 total)

    1. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Looks good
      Wonder about Valencia and Lingard game time but think all you can do is play and hope

  13. mr messi
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    KDB to Hazard for a second hit? I am trailing my ml by 40 points.

    1. Jereme Halliday
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

    2. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

  14. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Just my own reckoning now but am thinking Klopp starts with this:

    Ward
    Clyne Lovren Skrtel Moreno
    Lucas Allen Ojo Firmino Ibe
    Benteke

  15. 8ball
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    bottomed -

    Play Lukaku or Kane for the remaining 2 gameweeks?

  16. DD DUBAI
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Is kane to Costa for a hit a step backwards ?

  17. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    For those that are still wondering who to triple captain
    the main choices are
    -Hazard
    -Payet
    -Carroll
    However, Carroll being a striker has a disadvantage by getting less points per goal and no CS points, ive been playing Fantasy football for 5 years now and my top tip would be always captain an offensive midfielder rather than a striker-
    a hat trick for a striker (12 pts) is equivalent to a goal, 2 assists and a CS as a midfielder.
    Now we are left with Payet Vs Hazard

    This is really tough as there are many factors that go into this
    Easier fixtures: Hazard (sunderland and a Liverpool team which will be full of reserve players as they prepare for Europa final)
    Home advantage: Payet
    Motivation to win: Payet
    Recent Form: Hazard
    Longer rest between 2 fixtures: Hazard
    Teams defence (More likely to get a CS point or not): Hazard
    Higher ownership: Payet

    but most importantly

    Rotation risk: Hazard

    Its a really tough choice, but I would say Hazard is a better option... until you come across the last point, rotation risk, Chelsea have an abundance of players and recently Hiddink has said to try and limit Hazards game time since returning from injury so I would say

    If your playing it safe, go for Payet
    If your Chasing, go for Hazard (unless the leaders in your leagues are also going for hazard)

  18. Neb500
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    howard

    bellerin- TFM - francis (morgan - koscielny)

    lanzini - payet (tc) - coutinho - hazard

    lukaku - sturridge - aguero

    start a diff defender?

    take a -4 to get rid of coutinho, lukaku, someone else?

    gtg?

  19. OLEgend
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Francis > Moreno for a hit? Please please please reply

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      No, I'd fancy a Bou clean sheet vs WBA

  20. jg7u
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    If money is not the issue would you prefer:

    A) Fabregas
    B) Hazard

    I feel like Hazard has more explosive potential but Fabregas with the more secure minutes?

    1. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Haz

    2. superpav
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Hazard for sure.

      That said, went Cesc as money was an issue.

  21. Babbals
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Urgent help required

    Should I transfer out Kane and Aguero for Carroll and Defoe for the DGW? I can't decide if the should take that risk or only bring in one.

    Pls advise

    1. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      risk everything.

    2. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Kane to Carroll only

  22. TheSteel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Defoe has only scored 3 at home this season (2 vs Villa) and has not scored at home in his last 6 (13 if you dont count Villa).

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'm still captaining him, he has had 27 shots since GW31 and is on penalties. Sunderland badly need to win too so extra motivation there.

  23. TSILIKAFENEIAKOS
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    A. Ward to PVA for -4
    B. Ward to Kirchoff for -4
    C. Play Ward
    D. Play Bellerin

    Rival ahead has PVA

    1. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      B, at this late stage avoid copying a rival

    2. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      C

    3. wrfly10
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      If rival ahead has PVA, don't take a hit for him, hope for no CS and get another DGW defender. Smalling? Cresswell?

  24. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    My ML opponent is chasing my 16 point lead. I have a feeling he will captain hazard rather than payet. Should I triple captain hazard or payet? (He's already used his TC)

  25. Granville
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Just did

    Kane, Williams, Huth -> Carroll, Cresswell, PvA for (-4)

    I have 7 DGW players but I do fear rotation

    1. Halftime
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Good transfers

  26. King Kohli
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Which of these for a -4?

    A) Darmian to Cresswell
    B) Delaney to Reid
    C) KDB to any DGW mid except Hazard & Payet

    1. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      b

    2. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      B

  27. Kasparov
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Leading ML by 38 points. Got BB vs opponent who has TC left. Not pulled trigger yet on anything but planning to do:

    Mignolet (Hennessey)
    Smalling Simpson Bellerin Gabriel Lovren
    Mahrez Sanchez Lanzini Payet Firmino
    Defoe Carroll Aguero

    This costs -8. Sanchez-> Hazard for another -4 worth it or G2G?

    1. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      g2g, sanchez has a AVL fixture in GW 38

      1. Kasparov
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        I was going to FT him back next week :P. Does that change things?

        1. Alisson WondHaaland
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          maybe, but -12 is big

  28. DROP IT LIKE IT'S HART
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Who'll start at LB for Liverpool if Moreno is benched? Do they have another fit Left Back?

    1. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      flanagan?

  29. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Pros and Cons of Payet or Carroll for Captain?

    1. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Mids get more points per goal and CS points and tend to get bonus for less work. Carroll meanwhile has a great scoring record vs swansea

    2. Kasparov
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      CS points for Mids. Goals are worth more for a mid.

      Carroll on better form.

  30. 50pipsDaily
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Im chasing, so TC Payet Or Carrol?