Scout Betting
7 May 2016 1478 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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As we furiously attempt to de-code the double Gameweek puzzle, it’s now time to consider yet another set of variables as we trouble Paddy Power for their weekend odds.

Before we analyse their reckoning for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’ve yet to grab yourself an account with our bookmaker partners, this weekend is another opportunity to cash in on a raft of enhanced odds offers.

It all starts with Saturday’s Premier League treble which dangles big odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham (vs Swansea), Chelsea (at Sunderland) and Leicester (vs Everton). The Foxes are also covered by their own enhanced bet with Paddy offering 6/1 on a crowning victory for Claudio Ranieri’s boys against suffering Everton.

On Sunday and you can choose to back Southampton’s flourishing form against a deflated Spurs with odds of 14/1 on a Saints win at White Hart Lane.

Paddy have also got another treble covering Sunday’s matches, with 20/1 on wins for Spurs (vs Southampton), Liverpool (vs Watford) and Man City (vs Arsenal).

Finally, if you fancy a individual flutter on that Etihad clash, you can get either 7/1 on a Man City win or 10/1 on an away win for Arsenal.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

PlayerTeamOdds
SturridgeLIV1.72
BentekeLIV1.72
CarrollWHU1.90
VardyLEI1.90
AgueroMCI1.90
KaneTOT2.00
FirminoLIV2.25
CisseNEW2.25
MitrovicNEW2.25
LukakuEVE2.25
SakhoWHM2.29
AfobeBOU2.29
CostaCHE2.37
CoutinhoLIV2.40
PayetWHM2.40
MahrezLEI2.40
DefoeSUN2.40
AyozeNEW2.40
WilsonBOU2.40
RashfordMUN2.50
MartialMUN2.50

While Fantasy managers contemplate Jurgen Klopp’s latest shuffled teamsheet, Paddy are very clear in their thinking when it comes to Liverpool’s goal-getting power against Watford at Anfield.

Both Christian Benteke and Daniel Sturridge (1.72) top their current odds reckoning for a Gameweek goal, while Roberto Firmino (2.10) is the highest rank midfielder on show, swiftly followed by team-mate Philippe Coutinho (2.40). In short, if these guys get minutes, Paddy is strongly backing them for goal returns.

Paddy have also been quick to recognise the form of Andy Carroll; the Hammers target man heads up a pack of strikers ranked at 1.90 as he rumbles into a home encounter with Swansea City. Should he get the opportunity, Carroll looks well positioned to terrorise the Swans rearguard once again: the Welshman always struggle to cope with Carroll’s aerial threat, have surrendered seven goals in their last two away clashes and will likely be without skipper Ashley Williams.

Dimitri Payet leads our Captain Poll and is also handed short odds of 2.40 by Paddy – only Firmino ranks higher amongst FPL midfielders.

Jamie Vardy and Sergio Aguero are both also pitched at the 1.90 mark. The former netted three goals in two starts before serving out his suspension and could be set to fill his boots in a celebratory King Power fixture against Everton.

Meanwhile, Aguero’s form (seven goals in five) underlines his continued potential as City head into Sunday’s clash with Arsenal at the Etihad. Manuel Pellegrini’s men could be leg weary following Wednesday’s flat performance in Madrid, although the City boss has stressed that his side now have to prioritise a top four place with United and West Ham still threatening.

Having drawn two blanks in his last four appearances, Harry Kane (2.00) charts in an unfamiliar rank this weekend ahead of a White Hart Lane meeting with in-form Southampton. Kane is looking to keep a grip on the Golden Boot but is part of a Spurs side who could be somewhat demoralised by Monday’s result at Chelsea. Mauricio Pochettino’s outfit could also be knocked out of their stride by the absence of Mousa Dembele who starts a mammoth 6-match suspension following his FA charge for violent conduct. Kane has scored just once in the nine matches that Dembele has missed this season.

Further down the ranks, Newcastle strike duo Papiss Cisse and Aleksandar Mitrovic (both 2.25) will look to profit from Aston Villa’s obliging defence. The Villains have conceded four goals in three of their last eight match-ups, providing the perfect platform for Rafa Bentiez’s side to continue their current form: the Mapgies have scored in each of their last seven matches.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

TeamOdds
West Ham2.10
Newcastle2.29
Manchester United2.29
Liverpool2.40
Bournemouth2.60
Crystal Palace2.70
Tottenham2.87
Leicester3.10

Given that Swansea have posted blanks in their previous pair of road ties, it’s no surprise to see that West Ham (2.10) have been pinpointed by Paddy as the team with the most favourable clean-sheet prospects in the Gameweek. Just behind them, Newcastle (2.29) have recorded two shut-outs in four and are pitted against a Villa unit that failed to score in five of their last eight fixtures.

Manchester United are also currently ranked at 2.29 to keep Norwich City out at Carrow Road. While Louis van Gaal’s side have kept just five of their 17 shut-outs away from home, they’re up against a desperate Canaries who are without a goal in their last three league fixtures.

Liverpool come next with odds of 2.40 as they seek to repel the advances of Watford. The Hornets have scored just twice in their previous quartet of road matches, which suggests that Liverpool’s odds have suffered from the threat of Klopp rotation.

Bournemouth (2.60) have conceded the joint-most goals (16) across their last six match-ups, illustrating their poor value for a home tie against West Bromwich Albion. Crystal Palace’s (2.70) home encounter with Stoke City looks more promising, considering that the Potters have notched a solitary goal in their previous trio of fixtures.

Further down the table, Paddy feel that Spurs (2.87) have their work cut out stifling a Southampton attack that has amassed more goals (12) than any team in their last four fixtures. While our bookmaker suggests that Ranieri will relax his approach to the home meeting with Everton – the Foxes are given relatively long odds of 3.10 for a shut-out in today’s late kick-off.

  1. twoplustwo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    On a -8 already and tied for first place.

    Sturridge to Carroll worth another hit? Have Payet C.

    1. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Yes

      1. twoplustwo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 day ago

        Thanks Roy

    2. Paganoi
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Not for a hit.

      1. twoplustwo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 day ago

        Cheers 🙂

  2. Malkmus
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    Morning all. Please help! Choose 2 to play from these 3:

    A - Lanzini
    B - Firmino
    C - Hazard

    Cheers !!!

    1. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      AC

    2. twoplustwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      A and C for me

    3. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      AC

    4. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      BC

      1. Malkmus
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 day ago

        Cheers all much appreciated!

    5. Mr. Blonde
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      B & C if you have West Ham attacking coverage in Carroll/Payet

      1. Malkmus
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 day ago

        Ta. Yes have both Carrol and Payet

  3. PMz
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    Any changes or anything worth a -4? 3.6 ITB. Worried about the lack of Liverpool.

    Robles (Darlow)

    Smalling Bellerin PVA

    Haz Lanzini Payet (tc) Sanchez

    Carroll Defoe. Aguero

    Subs: Townsens Gabriel Sakho.

    1. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      You should be glad, not worried, about lack of Liverpool.

  4. Flying Assassins
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    Defoe or Carroll? (have Lanzini & Payet)

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Get Defoe

    2. gunner267
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Defoe

  5. gunner267
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    Hi guys,

    Please give me advice on my team selection

    Schmeichel
    Daniels, Simpson Moreno
    Payet (C), King, Sanchez, Firmino, Willian
    Kane, Defoe
    Subs Hennessey, Aguero, Bellerin, Rose

    Cheers

  6. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    Play Milner or Sanchez?

    1. Del Griffiths
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Tricky, might just plump for Sanchez against a kompany-less city.

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 1 day ago

        That has been my thought all week, but erring towards Boring James Milner now.

    2. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      My question too, what's your thoughts?

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 1 day ago

        Keep on flip flopping mate. It al comes down to whether Milner starts both.

    3. Lionel Ronaldo
        10 years, 1 day ago

        I am in the same boat. Currently on Milner, but unsure of his game time.

        Although I have enough for Milner -> Hazard, but at the cost of 4 points. What do you reckon?

        1. Art Vandelay
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Take the hit and live a little. I would take another hit but there is nobody else I want.

          1. Lionel Ronaldo
              10 years, 1 day ago

              I also considered Firmino. Yes, either may not play both, but odds surely favour Firmino, aye?

              1. Del Griffiths
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 1 day ago

                I've got him and I'm relatively confident he'll get a game and a bit. If I didn't though I'm not sure I'd bring him in, if that makes sense.

                1. Lionel Ronaldo
                    10 years, 1 day ago

                    Cheers 🙂

        2. Revival
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Start Kane or Sanchez?

          1. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Kane

          2. Art Vandelay
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Kane, easily IMO.

          3. Flying Assassins
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Kane

        3. FPL Mentor
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          RMT

          De Gea
          Cresswell PVA Smalling
          Hazard(vc) Fabregas Payet(TC) Lanzini
          Deeney Sturridge Lukaku

          (Mignolet, Sanchez, Bellerin, Sakho)

          A.Good to go.

          B. Sturridge 》 Defoe /Martial/Costa (-4)

        4. For Fuchs Sake
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Start TFM or Simpson? TFM may get at least one of the games

          1. KISSES
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Simo

        5. The Red Devil
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Pick a Pair-

          A- Lanzini + PVA

          B- Coutinho + Cresswell

          C- Townsend + Otamendi/Bellerin

          D- Townsend + Cresswell (-12)

          A,B,C are -8

          1. Johnny 8
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            A

        6. Ha.
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Payet or Carroll for TC?

          1. Malkmus
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Carrol for me

        7. karvs155
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Ward, Kane -> Smalling, Payet for -4, yes/no?

          1. karvs155
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Ward, Kane -> Smalling, Carroll obviously 😀

            1. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 1 day ago

              Yes

          2. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            That doesn't work

          3. Zizoulicious
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Yahh

          4. Les Bleus
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Yes

        8. Wings Fan
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Someone reassure me Sturridge will get one start, at least?

          Logic being GW38 is 3 days before the final so that will be a second XI. Surely all of the big names have to get some significant minutes (most likely vs Chelsea) else they'll have gone 2 weeks without a game? I'd argue that will make them rusty, rather than well rested.

          1. big_cliff
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            yep, most defintely 1.

        9. robthurr
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Hi Guys,

          I would really really appreciate some input. Already used my transfers this week.

          Robles (Darlow)

          Clyne, Belerin, Van AAnholt (Fusch, Targett)

          Sanchez, Fabregas, Mahrez, Lanzini (Iwobi)

          Martial, Sturridge, Kun

          Who would you Tripple Captain?

          Should I take a hit and change Kun or Sturridge for defoe or Carroll?

          Thanks for you help!

          1. Del Griffiths
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            How close are your MLs? If you're chasing I'd have a little gamble on Carroll for Sturridge. Think Klopp might manage his time.

            1. robthurr
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 1 day ago

              Thanks for your input. I am ahead by 30 points. Yes, that is what I am worried about aswell.

        10. ekul the lokonga enthusiast
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          what was your pick for the top 4 defenders poll???

          mine was bellerin, smalling, alderweirld, huth

          bellerin and koscielny in the top 3 defenders points overall. its a shame we didn't win the league this year. our defence is finally good and i think koscielny is in his prime 🙁

        11. Garfield1001
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Alderweireld to Smalling worth a 4 point hit?

          1. For Fuchs Sake
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Yes

        12. ppp
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Either of these worth a hit? Already on -4..

          1. Fuchs to Ivanovic
          2. Mahrez/Firmino to Hazard

          1. ppp
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Could do gabriel out in 1 too, which would open up a third arsenal spot for next week.. Best option?

        13. pax888
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Bellerin for Smalling for a hit?

          1. Wings Fan
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Not for me. You'll want Bellerin back for GW38

            1. Malkmus
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 1 day ago

              This

        14. Jam0sh
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Cmon guys no idea what do with this lot:

          DDG
          Simpson, Smalling, Bellerin
          Payet, Coutinho, Sanchez, Lanzini
          Aguero, Carroll, Kane

          Subs: Darlow, Gabriel, Delaney, Alli --- 1FT, 1.6 itb

        15. The Red Devil
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Start Bellerin or otamendi?

          1. Zizoulicious
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Bellerin

        16. Zizoulicious
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          I've got this little voice in my head saying that Firmino could start tomorrow and I should bring him in for KdB...

          Should I listen to this voice?

        17. Garfield1001
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          I'm already on a -12 and want to do more transfers..

          1. ekul the lokonga enthusiast
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            i know, i feel sick

        18. LaLaLand
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          anyone else think TFM will play atleast 1 given LVGs comments

          1. 8ball
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            what did LVG say? missed the presser update

        19. seamus
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          is mitrovic, fosu mensah,rose to carroll,smalling, van aanholt for -8 worth it?

          1. RoysCallerAnne
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            Deffo

          2. ekul the lokonga enthusiast
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            do it!

        20. Shrimpy
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          TC Payet or Hazard??

        21. Lizard Lips
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Delaney:
          (a) Keep
          (b) Smalling/Valencia -4
          (c) PVA -4

        22. sk018
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Start Clyne or Simpson?

        23. Gassemannen
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Kane -> Costa (or someone else?) worth a -4 hit?

        24. Sess!
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Lovren in the scout picks but is he really going to play two games?

        25. il Brutto
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Captain?
          a) Hazard
          b) Payet

          Play?
          a) Rashford
          b) Lanzini

          1. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 1 day ago

            BA