Scout Betting
7 May 2016 1478 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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As we furiously attempt to de-code the double Gameweek puzzle, it’s now time to consider yet another set of variables as we trouble Paddy Power for their weekend odds.

Before we analyse their reckoning for Anytime Goalscorers and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’ve yet to grab yourself an account with our bookmaker partners, this weekend is another opportunity to cash in on a raft of enhanced odds offers.

It all starts with Saturday’s Premier League treble which dangles big odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham (vs Swansea), Chelsea (at Sunderland) and Leicester (vs Everton). The Foxes are also covered by their own enhanced bet with Paddy offering 6/1 on a crowning victory for Claudio Ranieri’s boys against suffering Everton.

On Sunday and you can choose to back Southampton’s flourishing form against a deflated Spurs with odds of 14/1 on a Saints win at White Hart Lane.

Paddy have also got another treble covering Sunday’s matches, with 20/1 on wins for Spurs (vs Southampton), Liverpool (vs Watford) and Man City (vs Arsenal).

Finally, if you fancy a individual flutter on that Etihad clash, you can get either 7/1 on a Man City win or 10/1 on an away win for Arsenal.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

PlayerTeamOdds
SturridgeLIV1.72
BentekeLIV1.72
CarrollWHU1.90
VardyLEI1.90
AgueroMCI1.90
KaneTOT2.00
FirminoLIV2.25
CisseNEW2.25
MitrovicNEW2.25
LukakuEVE2.25
SakhoWHM2.29
AfobeBOU2.29
CostaCHE2.37
CoutinhoLIV2.40
PayetWHM2.40
MahrezLEI2.40
DefoeSUN2.40
AyozeNEW2.40
WilsonBOU2.40
RashfordMUN2.50
MartialMUN2.50

While Fantasy managers contemplate Jurgen Klopp’s latest shuffled teamsheet, Paddy are very clear in their thinking when it comes to Liverpool’s goal-getting power against Watford at Anfield.

Both Christian Benteke and Daniel Sturridge (1.72) top their current odds reckoning for a Gameweek goal, while Roberto Firmino (2.10) is the highest rank midfielder on show, swiftly followed by team-mate Philippe Coutinho (2.40). In short, if these guys get minutes, Paddy is strongly backing them for goal returns.

Paddy have also been quick to recognise the form of Andy Carroll; the Hammers target man heads up a pack of strikers ranked at 1.90 as he rumbles into a home encounter with Swansea City. Should he get the opportunity, Carroll looks well positioned to terrorise the Swans rearguard once again: the Welshman always struggle to cope with Carroll’s aerial threat, have surrendered seven goals in their last two away clashes and will likely be without skipper Ashley Williams.

Dimitri Payet leads our Captain Poll and is also handed short odds of 2.40 by Paddy – only Firmino ranks higher amongst FPL midfielders.

Jamie Vardy and Sergio Aguero are both also pitched at the 1.90 mark. The former netted three goals in two starts before serving out his suspension and could be set to fill his boots in a celebratory King Power fixture against Everton.

Meanwhile, Aguero’s form (seven goals in five) underlines his continued potential as City head into Sunday’s clash with Arsenal at the Etihad. Manuel Pellegrini’s men could be leg weary following Wednesday’s flat performance in Madrid, although the City boss has stressed that his side now have to prioritise a top four place with United and West Ham still threatening.

Having drawn two blanks in his last four appearances, Harry Kane (2.00) charts in an unfamiliar rank this weekend ahead of a White Hart Lane meeting with in-form Southampton. Kane is looking to keep a grip on the Golden Boot but is part of a Spurs side who could be somewhat demoralised by Monday’s result at Chelsea. Mauricio Pochettino’s outfit could also be knocked out of their stride by the absence of Mousa Dembele who starts a mammoth 6-match suspension following his FA charge for violent conduct. Kane has scored just once in the nine matches that Dembele has missed this season.

Further down the ranks, Newcastle strike duo Papiss Cisse and Aleksandar Mitrovic (both 2.25) will look to profit from Aston Villa’s obliging defence. The Villains have conceded four goals in three of their last eight match-ups, providing the perfect platform for Rafa Bentiez’s side to continue their current form: the Mapgies have scored in each of their last seven matches.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 37

TeamOdds
West Ham2.10
Newcastle2.29
Manchester United2.29
Liverpool2.40
Bournemouth2.60
Crystal Palace2.70
Tottenham2.87
Leicester3.10

Given that Swansea have posted blanks in their previous pair of road ties, it’s no surprise to see that West Ham (2.10) have been pinpointed by Paddy as the team with the most favourable clean-sheet prospects in the Gameweek. Just behind them, Newcastle (2.29) have recorded two shut-outs in four and are pitted against a Villa unit that failed to score in five of their last eight fixtures.

Manchester United are also currently ranked at 2.29 to keep Norwich City out at Carrow Road. While Louis van Gaal’s side have kept just five of their 17 shut-outs away from home, they’re up against a desperate Canaries who are without a goal in their last three league fixtures.

Liverpool come next with odds of 2.40 as they seek to repel the advances of Watford. The Hornets have scored just twice in their previous quartet of road matches, which suggests that Liverpool’s odds have suffered from the threat of Klopp rotation.

Bournemouth (2.60) have conceded the joint-most goals (16) across their last six match-ups, illustrating their poor value for a home tie against West Bromwich Albion. Crystal Palace’s (2.70) home encounter with Stoke City looks more promising, considering that the Potters have notched a solitary goal in their previous trio of fixtures.

Further down the table, Paddy feel that Spurs (2.87) have their work cut out stifling a Southampton attack that has amassed more goals (12) than any team in their last four fixtures. While our bookmaker suggests that Ranieri will relax his approach to the home meeting with Everton – the Foxes are given relatively long odds of 3.10 for a shut-out in today’s late kick-off.

  1. 8ball
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Start Lanzini or Sanchez?

    1. Zizoulicious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Lanzini

    2. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Lanz

    3. 8ball
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      forgot to mention, I have Payet and Carroll as well.

  2. FPLVegard
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Hi everyone! What to do with this lot? Playing TC.

    Robles
    Smalling PVA ___
    Payet (Lanzini) (Coutinho) Sanchez
    Sturridge (Aguero) (Kane)
    Subs: Darlow Rose Bellerin Simpson Iwobi

    1FT 1.9 ITB

    Should I do:
    A) Rose -> Cresswell
    B) Rose, Coutinho -> Cresswell, Fabregas (-4)
    C) Rose, Lanzini, Aguero -> Cresswell, Hazard, Carroll (-8)
    D) Rose, Coutinho, Kane -> Ivan/Azpi/Moreno, Hazard, Carroll (-8)
    E) or something else....??

    Thanks in advance 🙂

  3. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Ok so if you had a 102 point lead and your rival has Payet but not Carroll and I have both who would you captain if you were me?

    1. DanwiseTheBrave
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      If you have 102 point lead the game is up. Captain Fosu-Mensah if you want.

    2. COW
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      If I was trying to catch you I would go Carroll.

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Payet, play safe

      1. Chenku╰☆╮
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        No point playing safe.2 gw left.

    4. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Caroll of course.

    5. Iceball
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      I would start to celebrate, Payet

    6. Sylas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Payet

    7. 8ball
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      go for overall ranking. Your rival is not catching you.

    8. Paganoi
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Payet

  4. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    A: martin + willian + coutinho + carroll....bench sanchez
    B: reid/valencia + fab + sanchez + carroll...bench alli
    C: reid/valenciz + hazard + sanchez + defoe...bench alli

    1. COW
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      C

  5. FPL Mentor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    RMT

    De Gea
    Cresswell PVA Smalling
    Hazard(vc) Fabregas Payet(TC) Lanzini
    Deeney Sturridge Lukaku

    (Mignolet, Sanchez, Bellerin, Sakho)

    A.Good to go.

    B. Sturridge 》 Defoe/Costa/Martial (-4)

    1. Dot Polka Dot
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      A

  6. nedfoo
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    I am on my Wildcard.

    De Gea
    Smalling Cresweel Ivanovic
    Mahrez Townsend Hazard Payet Firmino
    Defoe Carroll

    Bench: Mannone Rashford Koscielny Bellerin 2.8 in the bank

    Anything there that needs attention?

  7. COW
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Simpson > PVA
    Countino > Haz -4
    Kun/Kane > Carroll -8

    Kun or Kane? Hmmm...

    Help please!

  8. TSILIKAFENEIAKOS
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Play Ward or get Kirchoff / PVA? For -4.

    Opponent who is ahead has PVA

  9. King Kohli
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Anything worth a hit lads?

    Robles Darlow
    Bellerin Gabriel Kaboul Darmian Delaney
    Sanchez KDB Hazard Payet Townsend
    Kun Carroll Defoe

    0.6 left

    Suggestions appreciated

  10. BigManBakar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Pages flying! 😀

    1. Zizoulicious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      DGW fever epidemic

  11. LaLaLand
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    hovering just outside top 1000

    did Simpson KDB Kane > PVA Hazard Defoe for -8

    DDG (Robles)
    PVA Cresswell TFM (Kos Gabriel)
    Hazard Payet (TC) Lanzini Willian (Sanchez)
    Aguero Lukaku Defoe

    worth another hit for TFM > Smalling/Azpi???

    1. COW
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Nah. Stick.

  12. Zizoulicious
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Which one would you prefer:

    A) Firmino
    B) Sanchez +4 points

    1. BigManBakar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      B).

  13. LaLaLand
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    TFM has a chance of a game with LVGs comments ?

    1. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      I'm really hoping so.
      Out of TFM and Bennett for me (oh dear)

  14. Lizard Lips
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Delaney:
    (a) Keep and play
    (b) Smalling/Valencia -4
    (c) PVA -4

    1. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      C

  15. Grounderz
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    If you had a TC and BB, which would you rather use for this DGW?

    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Depends on your squad obs

      1. Grounderz
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Have 11 DGWers.

        1. For Fuchs Sake
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 10 months ago

          Prob BB then, especially if you have a strong bench of SGWs

      2. Grounderz
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Robles*
        Cresswell* - Smalling* - Lovren* - van Aanholt*
        Lingard* - Firmino* - Payet* - Hazard* (v)
        Defoe* - Carroll* (c)

        Darlow - Aguero - Sanchez - Gabriel

        1. For Fuchs Sake
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 10 months ago

          Def BB with Sanchez and Kun on your bench

          1. Grounderz
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 10 months ago

            Thanks.

  16. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Start TFM or Simpson? TFM may get at least one of the games?

  17. Lizard Lips
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Simpson:
    (a) Keep and play
    (b) Smalling/Valencia -4
    (c) PVA -4

  18. Obi-1 Kenobi-0
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Really fancy the away teams today...

    United, Newcastle, WBA, Stoke, Chelsea five-fold is 127/1 😮

  19. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    So tempting to go -12, with a ML lead of 58

    1. Dragon Arcana
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      I've done it; as long as it's for nailed DGW'ers it's a decent shout.

  20. Ian Davis
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Current team (playing BB):

    DDG/Darlow
    Bellerin/Simpson/PVA/Mensah/Moreno
    Sanchez/Lanzini/Payet/Hazard/Firmino
    Aguero/Defoe/Carroll

    Which one to do?:

    A) Mensah > Smalling (-4)
    B) Mensah > Ivanovic (-4)
    C) Mensah > Baines (-4)
    D) Mansah/Lanzini > Creswell/Fabregas (-8)
    E) Mensah/Lanzini > Cresswell/Willian (-8)
    F) Mensah/Lanzini > Cresswell/??? (-8)

  21. James101
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    A. Simpson (current team)
    B. Valencia -4
    C. Darmian -4
    D. Azpil -4
    E. Baines -4
    F. Someone else?!

    Note. Have 3 WHam already.

    1. James101
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      £6.1m budget

      Also have Smalling PVA Bellerin Kosc

  22. dejarik
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Do you see any reason to take a hit or change the bench here?

    DDG*
    PVA* - Bellerin - Simpson
    Payet* (TC) - Lanzini* - Hazard* - Sanchez
    Carroll* - Aguero - Kane

    Robles - Mahrez - Gabriel - Fosu-Mensah

    Any point in playing Fosu-Mensah over Simpson?

  23. Kent girl
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Massive decision to make or break my season haha.. 50 points behind with all owning Payet..

    A) TC Payet
    B) TC Carroll
    C) TC Defoe

    1. BigManBakar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      B).

    2. James101
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      B

    3. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      B

    4. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      B

    5. Iceball
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      C

  24. Le Blues
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    one last time

    Robles or Darlow?

    Robles(lie,sun) has 2 tough fixtures with a clean sheet unlikely in either
    Whereas Darlow(avl) has an easy fixture and could very easily pick up a cleanie

    1. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Same choice but Newcastle fans don't seem confident of a cleanie

    2. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Double the amount of save points will cancel out darlow's potential CS so Robles

  25. Dirty Harry
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    So I'm contemplating removing the cancer that is Lukaku for -4

    Who should I bring in... 15m in the bank lol.

    Front 8
    Payet Noble Firmino Fabregas (Sanchez)
    Carroll Deeney Lukaku*

    1. jeppee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      No way

    2. Paganoi
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      I'd be tempted to keep if its for a hit. Otherwise, probably Defoe or Martial.

  26. jeppee
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    In before the carrol and hazard bandwagon drifts off the road! Limited minutes inc

  27. twoplustwo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Hit check!

    3 for me

    1. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Still to make transfers but might do same.

  28. Kryten
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Martial to Carroll -4 yay or nai

    1. Iceball
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      No

    2. COW
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Sideways move.

    3. Paganoi
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      No.

  29. ppp
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Already on -4, would you take a hit for either of these?

    1. Fuchs/gabriel to Ivanovic
    2. Mahrez/Firmino to Hazard

  30. jpdyolf
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Simpson or Dier?