Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. FPL ElasticO
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Will I get rid of Payet for Tadic / Mane

    1. Sonnybillarfa
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Tadic

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I don't know. Will you?

      1. FPL ElasticO
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Due to the news of him not playing

    2. Foreside
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Just did Payet -> Tadic

      And now I'm second guessing myself

  2. Sonnybillarfa
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I'm starting to get a bit worried now. I've got:

    Sturridge, Firmino, Moreno, Payet, Defoe, PVA, Kaboul.

    I'm thinking Surridge, Firmino, Moreno to Giroud, Tadic, Bellerin for -4 and just sweat on the rest.

    Thoughts please?

  3. TheFootballHub
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    whats the united back 4 going to be

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Valencia Smalling Blind CBJ

      1. TheFootballHub
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        what about fm

          • 12 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Not in the squad.

        1. Mytteristen
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Not in the squad

    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet's kids:
    http://media.gettyimages.com/photos/dimitri-payet-of-west-ham-united-with-two-of-his-sons-following-the-picture-id530542920

    My brother's neighbour is a doctor. I just text him and apparently the one on the right is clearly running a fever, and that was Tuesday night. That lad at the garage saw him buying lemsip too.

    1. Straitpizza187
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      🙂

  4. Sergeant Garcia
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) play Payet, Noble as 1st sub

    B) Payet > KdB for a -8 (took a hit for Sturridge > Martial & Mahrez > Alexis)

    1. Sonnybillarfa
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A. Good luck!

    3. Sergeant Garcia
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cheers guys!

  5. 1NVINCIBLES
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Some help please..

    Mignolet
    Bellerin Smalling vanAanholt
    Sanchez Payet Tadic Hazard
    Martial Carroll Vardy
    Bench: Hennessey Iwobi Azpilicueta Simpson

    What do you say?
    A. G2G
    B. Carroll > Aguero (-4)
    C. Mignolet + Carroll > Forster + Aguero (-8)

    Cheers and good luck to you!

    1. Gfunk07
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B

    2. Sergeant Garcia
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B

  6. Jazz!
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    So here's the situation:

    DDG
    Smalling Kosc Cresswell
    Payet Walcott Ozil Mane
    Aguero Defoe Carroll

    (Forster Townsend PvA Clyne)

    Defoe, PvA and Clyne won't play. So I'm either gambling on Payet to start or take a hit? Thoughts?

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Walcott won't start either. 😛

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Oh yes he will 😀

          • 12 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          😉

    1. Sonnybillarfa
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'd gamble on Payet with Townsend as 1st sub.

      Defoe and PVA had any updates this morning?

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah, guy on Sunderland forum who's posted the lineup every week has PvA and Defoe not starting. Big Sam on goals on Sunday also confirmed Robson (LB) and Watmore will start.

        1. Sonnybillarfa
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Not good. I've got Sturridge, Firmino, Moreno, Payet, Defoe, PVA, Kaboul.

          1. Jazz!
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Ouch. I don't think any of them will start personally 🙁

    2. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Don't see anything wrong Jazz, so probably no hits.

    3. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Who's on your mind (to bring in for a hit)?

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks mate. Shane Long I reckon. Maybe Deeney.

        1. 1NVINCIBLES
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Both good options. Good luck whoever you choose.

          1. Jazz!
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Thanks, you too.

  7. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    DON'T SELL PAYET, DIMITRI PAYET!!

  8. DanLFC1
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    So do we start Payet on the off chance he plays as he won't be a sub?

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      that's what i'm doing

  9. goodday there mate
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    DDG (Mannone)
    PVA Bell Toby (Cress Moreno)
    Sanchez* Haz Payet Cout (iwobi)
    Kun Rash Carroll

    Bottomed - only 6pts lead in my ML .. 1FT 1.4 cash. Any obvious moves? _________ TC sanchez or kun? _________ GTG?

    1. UncleWoy
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      There's a decent chance PVA, Payet and Coutinho won't play. Maybe start Iwobi and switch Coutinho (who has Europa league final on Weds) for Tadic or Mane.

  10. Gfunk07
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I have both Payet and Defoe, with Mahrez on the bench
    Would you take a 4 point hit on Defoe who may not start

    A) Long
    B) Deeney
    C) Save

    Thanks

    1. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      It;s GW38 and you still haven't learned. Do not bench Mahrez 🙂

      1. Gfunk07
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        He will most likely come in for Payet, which just leaves the dilemma of replacing Defoe for a hit

  11. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Is there much of a chance of Fosu Mensah starting?

    1. goodday there mate
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      LOL good joke

    2. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      He's injured

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Oh!

  12. Pirlø's Pen
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Fosu Mensah in the squad? Worth risking him playing?

    1. goodday there mate
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      as likely as the queen dropping dead

    2. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      MEN says he's not in the squad, not sure how reliable that is though.

  13. jimbobmij
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Norwich defense is terrible at the best of times, and now they've been relegated and Martinez has been sacked that match feels like an absolute goalfest. Even with Lukaku form I think I have to bring him in.

    1. Bingo
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Ive just read 5 pages looking for this thought, I totally agree this could be a goal fest

  14. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    play Cresswell or King for Defoe?

  15. Moss
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who to start from this lot?

    A) Cresswell (sto)
    B) PVA (wat)
    C) Fuchs (che)

    I'm also starting Bellerin and Gabriel fwiw.

    1. goodday there mate
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      toss A or B for me

  16. EL TANO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    If one of your mids is a no show while playing AOA, will one of your three def subs come on?

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      yep, basically you waste the AOA chip if one of your mids or forwards doesn't play

    2. England's Number 1
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes, heard of people playing their AOA and not needing it.

      1. Paul Psychic Octopus
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I'm one of them. Regretting not playing it in first couple of months, when often Mahrez or Ighalo points were left on the bench.

  17. Grand Maester Juan
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Long + KDB
    B) Kane + any 5.5 Mid

    Which is better guys ?

    1. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

      1. Grand Maester Juan
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Leading my ML by 50 points ...rival has kane n vardy... i have Kun n carrol !

        1. scootadee
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          kun should outscore them.

          1. Grand Maester Juan
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Cheers mate !!

  18. Rhys85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I'd really like to double up on Utd defence and it sounds like Borthwick-Jackson will play. How trust worthy is the MEN website?

  19. Adds04
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I'm 60 points ahead in my mini league so it's basically done and dusted, I'm looking for a differential which looks crazy but might work. What do you think guys?

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Ighalo if Sunderland are playing a load of U21's

      1. Adds04
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I like this one!

    2. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Payet?

  20. jimbobmij
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Opinions on this one please?

    Looking to replace Carroll with Long, Vardy or Lukaku. I know FOR A FACT that my rival who I'm 32 points ahead of has brought in and captained either Giroud or Lukaku. So I guess I should just bring in Lukaku to play it safe right? (If I wanted to bring in Giroud I'd have to take a -4 as well as weaken my bench for if Payet doesn't play, so not really an option)

    1. Ruth_NZ
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Lukaku(c) I reckon.

    2. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      no confidence in everton and if he has gone giroud you might be in trouble there, long a good option

  21. scootadee
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    will mignolet play? i have him and robles, would have to take a hit and get forster.

    1. andymck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Probably not, in the same boat here but with an FT at least...

  22. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    How does big SAMs comments compare with the team that's been doing the rounds on the Sunderland forums :

    Pickford
    Yedlin, Kone, O'Shea, Robson,
    Larsson, Rodwell
    Watmore Lens Greenwood
    N'Doye

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yeah, he said Greenwood, Robson, Watmore and Pickford will start.

  23. nonprophet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    hey guys, im leading by 24 points. i have to take a - 12 hit to start 11 players. do i get in the players 2nd place has as to block.. also im in australia, 12am kickoff here, where oh where oh where can i get team news/predictions before cut off time.. i have defoe, milner , iwobi, costa, pva.. please help a stranded dumb aussie

    1. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      also in aus.

      even if you get 3 players he has, a -12 only leaves you 12 points in front with i assume still a fair few different players?
      no idea on late news ive struggled with that all year.

      milner likely wont play - mane or tadic?

  24. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Swansea backline is looking dodgy this GW

    Nordfeldt
    Naughton Fernández Amat Kingsley

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Kun has 8 goals in his last 6 premierleague starts, he could bag a hattie today then

    2. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No Siggy could be Ki too. Not looking good for United 🙁

  25. Fergietime
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Trailing leader by 9 points, 1ft £0.5 any tips appreciated

    de Gea
    Bellerin Gabriel Smalling
    Sanchez Payet Mahrez Hazard
    Caroll Kane Lukaku
    Bench Darlow Fabregas, Simpson Ogbonna

  26. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    What should I do?

    A) Play Simpson (just because rival will play Morgan)

    B) Play Townsend

    1. Your Mum's Athletic
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B - always the attacker

  27. callanderlg
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Bench Lanzini or Carroll ? Cheers

  28. Your Mum's Athletic
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    74 points ahead in ML

    Darlow

    Bellerin Gabriel Cresswell

    Sanchez KDB Tadic Hazard

    Aguero (c) Martial Carroll

    Subs: Henners Townsend Rojo Simpson

    Good luck all, hope you all win your MLs. Giggity

  29. Up the tics
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Robles
    Bellerin, Gabriel, Smalling
    Sanchez, Payet, Mahrez, Mane
    Defoe, Kane, Martial

    Darlow, Fabregas, Cresswell, fosu-mensah

    Hows it looking for final push for top50k just 14pts to catch! Which is essential all down to my captain pick.
    a) Bellerin for last gameweek fun and a punt
    b) Sanchez or Martial for one last push
    c) anyone else

    1. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      dont think robles is playing, howard's last game.

      sanchez captain

    2. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Consider Kane, golden boot