Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.57
Sanchez ARS 1.61
Giroud ARS 1.61
Lukaku EVE 1.72
Long SOT 1.83
Pelle SOT 1.83
Rooney MUN 1.83
Walcott ARS 1.90
Iwobi ARS 1.90
Kane TOT 1.90
Deeney WAT 2.00
Rashford MUN 2.00
Martial MUN 2.00
Ighalo WAT 2.10
Sturridge LIV 2.10
Benteke LIV 2.10
De Bruyne MCI 2.20
Mane SOT 2.20
Iheanacho MCI 2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

Team Odds
Arsenal 1.61
Southampton 1.90
Manchester United 2.00
Manchester City 2.62
Watford 2.75
Tottenham 2.80
Everton 3.00
Chelsea 3.50
West Ham 3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

1,849 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Who Ate All Depays?
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Guys, what changes would you suggest?

    Migs*
    Bellerin / Gabriel / Cresswell
    Sanchez / Hazard / Coutinho* / Payet*
    Aguero / Kane / Defoe*
    (Robles* / Lanzini/ Simpson / Darmian*)

    A) Mignolet & Coutinho -> Forster/DDG & Tadic (-4)
    B) Payet & Cout -> Mane & /Tadic (-4)
    C) any other suggestion

    1. Koolswan
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      A

  2. Defcons are for Kinnear
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Any further news on Payet?

  3. HNI
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    The number 1 in the world has done no GW transfers inspite of having trio of Payet, Sturridge and Coutinho!!

    http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/1236102/event-history/37/

    This season real symbolized importance of luck as even the number one is ill informed!

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      He can still make transfers though.

    2. Tsssst
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      or hes waiting til near the deadline like most of us

    3. The Gambler.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Presume he's waiting for west ham coach news first

    4. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Well, he's first. He's not going to make any early stupid decisions.

    5. HNI
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Time will tell...Irespective what is your excuse of him not taking out Studge/Coutinho?

      If he is even little bit informed he will know that especially Coutinho wont play the EPL game....Chaotic season lead by random people

      1. HNI
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        The guy who is second hopefully wins it...done top transfers at most part...

        http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/2177680/transfers/history/

    6. Bobby_Baggio
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      he's waiting

    7. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Surely if you were No.1 you'd be leaving the trade until 10 minutes before the deadline just in case.

    8. Lynxy
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      He is waiting for the bus!

  4. Feeling_blue
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Should I start Townsend over Defoe. Have Payet starting atm so probably won't make a difference anyway. ML rival has Defoe

    1. Koolswan
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Townsend over Defoe

  5. The Gambler.
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    DDG
    Bellerin - Gabriel - Smalling
    Sanchez KDB - Payet - Lingard
    Aguero (c) - Kane - Carroll

    Bench : Lloris - Lanzini - PVA - Lovren

    £0.6m in bank

    Carroll > Long Or Payet to Mane?

    1. Koolswan
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Atleast Defoe is starting...but Sunderland have won only 1 match out of 14 on final match day!

  6. UncleWoy
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Who's everyone's best midfield pick from:

    a) Tadic
    b) KDB
    c) Mata?

    1. Ultraman
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      not C

      1. UncleWoy
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Between Tadic and KDB then?

        1. Ultraman
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Yupp! I am in the same situation and can't decide:(

          1. UncleWoy
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Tadic has looked great, but will be gutted if Man City (who have more to play for) smash a few past a weakened Swansea defence. Lemme know what you decide. I'm swaying toward KDB after writing this!!

            1. Ultraman
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              Been a 50/50 all week. Might just let a coin toss decide.

              1. UncleWoy
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 1 month ago

                Good luck pal.

  7. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Any late line up rumors?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      quite a few

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Want to share?

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          payet - a "doubt" according to david gold and reports suggested possibly not injured and one of his kids was unwell so could still make trip to stoke

          defoe/pva not starting according to someone who knows a trusted source on sunderland forum

          Ihenacho to start v swansea

          1. Jazz!
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Is Iheanacho starting v Swansea true?

          2. nonprophet
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            cheers dude, love the name too, killer

        2. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          No Payet, Defoe and PvA is the rumour

        3. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          and rojo out with cbj to start is another one

    2. El-Kloppico
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Rojo, PvA and Payet OUT..
      All 3 from my team.

  8. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    I'm shipping out Payet for a -4 hit which leaves me 52 pts behind 3rd for money which one do I choose to bring in?

    A)Tadic
    B)Hazard

  9. Obi Wan Elokobi
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Will we get team news before the deadline?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      1 hour before the games, every week.

  10. Jazz!
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Pick one you'd rather have this week:

    A) Long
    B) Deeney
    C) Iheanacho

    1. Celt Abroad
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      C

    2. Lynxy
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      A

  11. Ultraman
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    If you could choose who you want for a triple cap punt - who would it be?

    1. TeamSteam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Tadic, Manè, Long, Arnautovic, Deeney

      1. Ultraman
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Not KdB?

        1. TeamSteam
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          KdB doesnt do well away from home, neither does City. So not really.

    2. Funkyav
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldnt punt on a triple captain

      There are 2 overwhelming favourites

      1. Ultraman
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Don't have Aguero, and I'm afraid the upside of tripling on Sanchez is not that high since almost everybody else is captaining him this week.

    3. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Aguero cuz all ppl C Sanchez

  12. TeamSteam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Best goalie this week? Or just prat that Mignolet plays despite the immense rotation threat?

    1. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Who's your other goalie?

      1. TeamSteam
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Mannone, whos reportedly not going to start.

    2. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      I'd keep Migs. Definitely nothing for a hit.

      Free transfer would have to be ddg

    3. Sif
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Same as the defensive picks MUN or ARS. Migs should start as Ward is injured

  13. Ings on the up
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Who to bring in for Payet?

    Ozil
    Mane
    Tadic

    Already have Sanchez

    1. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Ozil. Villa.

  14. SweeSwee
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    I saw the source of the Payet rumours, but where did the Firmino 'news' come from?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      what firmino news?

    2. TeamSteam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      What news?

    3. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Common sense. EL Final on Weds.

  15. Christina.
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Ok, I'm off to light the BBQ and open a craft beer. Please keep things rolling while I'm away.

    Back shortly.

    1. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      What kind of craft beer

      1. Christina.
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        DevilsPeak, The King's Blockhouse IPA

        ...the biggest seller of Craft beer in SA. I know one of the owners who is a GP at my wife's practice.

        http://www.devilspeakbrewing.co.za/

  16. JasonG123
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Currently playing Simpson. Payet to Mane or Ozil worth a -4?

  17. Magic Hamster
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    If I'm playing AOA, and one of my mids doesn't play will auto-sub bring in one of the three defenders I have on the bench and revert to a 3-4-3 and ignore AOA?

    1. TeamSteam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Yes.

  18. Rhys85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    If Rojo is out, would you play CBJ over PvA or leave on the bench?

    1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      CBJ

    2. Big Sum
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      play CBJ

  19. Backup Dancer
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    No one considering Hazard on here? Or everyone already have him?

    1. The Gambler.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      No thanks!

    2. TeamSteam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Have him but theyre playing the best defence on this side of the year so im not expecting much from a depleted Chelsea team

      1. Backup Dancer
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        I need to block hazard or kdb. You feel the latter is a better option then?

        1. TeamSteam
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Meh. Its pretty close, id say. Hazard better form, playing at home.. City away are crap but then again Chelsea are facing Leicester. If i had to block one of the two, id block Hazard i guess.

  20. Gunned Down
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Who to bench?
    defoe or townsend?

    1. XABI 15
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      I have the same dilemna, currently thinking Defoe

    2. iveseenitall
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      I've been told Defoe is on the bench for sundelrand today if that helps.

  21. iveseenitall
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Heads up on sunderland team news. No Defoe, PVA or Mannone for sunderland today.

    The team will be;

    Pickford
    Yedlin
    Kone
    Oshea
    Robson
    Larsson
    Rodwell
    Lens
    Watmore
    Greenwood
    NDoye

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Source ?

      1. Straitpizza187
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Ready to Go - Sunderland Message Board

      2. Weasel51
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        He is correct

    2. The Real Big Vern
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      source?

      1. iveseenitall
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Sunderland message board and also confirmed by my uncle's friends dog!

  22. Green Ninja
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    What happens if I play AOA chip and Payet and/or Couthino don't play. Do I get my Def emergincies come on or because of set structure do they not come in?

    Also have Migs/Robles in goal. Is Migs playing? only 1FT and want to get max value for it

    1. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Your defenders come on.

  23. elcholo
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Will lineups be announced before the deadline?

    Who would you pick?
    1. One of Firmino or Mahrez
    2. One of KDB or Tadic (or any mid, any price really).

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Lineups are always around 1 hour before each game.

      1. elcholo
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        so probably just too late...

  24. boredjames
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Doing my head in guys, If payet out

    Lingard playing for a man u side going for a cl place against Bournemouth
    or
    -4 for payet to tadic/mane?

  25. UnitedFan
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Quick yes or no, is there a risk of a PVA one-pointer from cameo off the bench or going off early?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Yes.

  26. Weasel51
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Ozil and Long

    Or....

    Tadic and Giroud

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      T & G

      1. Weasel51
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers mate

    2. Weasel51
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Anyone?

  27. UKG
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Play Gomes or Migs in goal?

  28. Railwayman
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Who tu transfer in, Tadic or Mane ? Would be nice to finish the season in top 10K.

  29. European Bob
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Tadic, Mane and Martial in for Firmino, Payet and Defoe for -8? I'm chasing 22 points. Thanks

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      As long as your rival hasn't got those players.

      1. European Bob
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        None of them. He does have Payet and Firmino

    2. Celt Abroad
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    3. Judas
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Not -8 no

      1. European Bob
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        What one or two transfers would you make with those players? Haven't got the cash to only do defoe to martial