Opinion
2 November 2017 948 comments
Crab Dogg Crab Dogg
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Fantasy Premier League’s reigning champion, Ben Crabtree, is finding his title defence…problematic.

But after a disastrous start, recovery is in the air, although it’s a slow and often painful process.

In the second of a series of articles from the champion, Ben details where it’s gone wrong and how he’s attempting to put it right.

Back to basics

After Gameweek 4, I was just inside the top three million.

Even though it was early in the season, it felt like all credibility gained last year had disappeared.

The outlandish ambition of back-to-back wins was well and truly over, so the plan was to hit a few good scores, get back on track, sneak up the rankings, win a few mini-leagues and achieve a respectable ‘season after’ finish.

To some extent, that happened up to Gameweek 7 when an Alvaro Morata hat-trick helped me to a 130,000 Gameweek rank, which was followed by a correct Harry Kane captaincy call to put me up to 1.6 million overall.

My next move was to use two free transfers and one hit to swap Christian Eriksen, Jese and Marcos Alonso to Raheem Sterling, Leroy Sane and a defender, with Nicolas Otamendi a consideration.

I had planned it all, and it paid off massively…..for those that did it.

The Morata injury threw me, and I somehow ended up with Eden Hazard and Dominic Calvert-Lewin in my team, while omitting City players altogether.

I’d been three transfers away from how I wanted my team to be, only to move another two transfers in the wrong direction.

The City demolition hurt and, after bringing in Sterling for a blank while Sane continued to pound big scores, I’d fallen back to thinking about the previous Gameweeks rather than the upcoming ones.

Now placde just inside 1.6 million, things have improved. But there’s still much to be done.

From the distant memory of last season, the method for success in this game can be simplified into two rather obvious decisions: pick good captains and make good transfers.

My Captains

For Gameweeks 5 to 10, I made the following captaincy choices:

Gameweek Captain Points Top in team Points
5 Kane 2 Lukaku 12
6 Kane 13 Morata 17
7 Kane 13 Kane 13
8 Kane 2 Eriksen 11
9 Morata 1 Kane 16
10 Morata 5 Kolasinac 14


Each Gameweek, I’ve had the option of a great captain pick but only made the right, or a high-scoring, choice twice out of six.

In a Gameweek with no obvious captains, Sead Kolasinac could have even been chosen this week – similar situation last season had me captaining Leighton Baines for 15 points. Attacking defenders should be considered for the few occasions when the big-hitting attackers look unlikely to produce.

Forty seven extra points were achievable across those six Gameweeks just from picking the correct captain alone. I need to be closer to the maximum over the next five.

For the upcoming Gameweeks my plan for the armband currently looks like this:

Gameweek Option 1 Fixture Option 2 Fixture
11 Kane CRY Aguero ARS
12 Aguero lei Kane ars
13 Kane WBA Aguero hud
14 Aguero SOT Morata SWA
15 Morata NEW Kane WAT



The faith in Kane, who appears to have made a full recovery from his hamstring injury, is obvious. For the Palace clash, he may have a relatively low ownership given that he’s dropped under 30%.

I’ll always be worried about captaining Sergio Aguero, but the potential is huge. Already with a 20-point tally under his belt, in this City team, we can surely expect further big hauls to come.

This could change should Romelu Lukaku come in to my team for his favourable fixtures.

My Transfers

For GW5 – 10 my transfers have been:

Gameweek Transfer out Transfer in Immediate points Average GW points
5 Chicharito Morata 1 6.33
6 Hegazi Kolasinac 6 5.6
7 – – – –
8 Jese

Morata

Hazard

C-Lewin

2

5

2

5

9 Hazard

C-Lewin

Alonso

Sterling

Morata

Ward

Benched

1

1

3.5

3

6

10 Lukaku Aguero Benched 0


I looked at the immediate gains and then compared them to the overall points per Gameweek that they provided when in my team. I feel that this gives me a clear indication of whether a transfer has been worthwhile or not.

As a result, there has been very little immediate success, but I’m hoping Kolasinac, Morata, Aguero, Sterling and Stephen Ward are good picks that will pay off over time.

Kolasinac’s 14 points may have convinced me to stick with him through the next two tricky fixtures where before I was looking at alternatives.

For upcoming fixtures, assuming I keep three big forwards, my transfers are likely to be based around swapping defenders as they come to the end of their shelf life. I’ll also be tweaking the midfield.

The returns from Ruben Loftus-Cheek as a fourth midfielder will play a key part in whether to switch money from defence to midfield.

My Targets

Currently, I’m looking at the following players:

Defenders

Charlie Daniels (4.9) – With six strong fixtures in a row, he finally looks poised for a run of clean sheets and possibly further attacking returns.

DeAndre Yedlin (4.4) – The full-back is cheap and could be a long-term defender to rotate. Has been getting stronger Bonus Points System (BPS) scores than Jamaal Lascelles of late.

Jamaal Lascelles (4.7) – The Magpies skipper is possibly a touch too expensive, and this would also give me a double with the Newcastle defence (I already have Rob Elliot). However, the goal threat on the end of set-plays is tempting.

Federico Fernandez (4.5) – He has some kind fixtures and is favoured in the BPS in a clean sheet scenario. However, he would require a rotation partner.

Nicolas Otamendi (5.9) – The City defender doesn’t allow for money to be moved into midfield, but the clean sheet and goal potential is obvious.

Kyle Walker (6.6) – I prefer the right-back to Otamendi, but he comes at a premium. Maybe 0.7m extra is too much, but he might just finish on around 170 – 180 points if he can avoid rotation. Four assists in nine games screams of further big hauls to come.

Chris Smalling (5.3) – If he plays, he’s another bargain defender with Jones. I bought Jones for 5.0, so 10.3 invested could return 12+ points regularly. He seems unlikely to retain his start, but I’m monitoring the situation.

Kevin Wimmer (4.4) – Although Stoke City have been abysmal at the back, they may be due their familiar cyclical run of form where they suddenly become hard to beat – particularly with Ryan Shawcross now fit. Keenly priced, Wimmer is another to consider if he can secure his start.

Midfielders

Leroy Sane (8.7) – Not signing Sane to this point is my major regret. I will possibly leave him for another Gameweek, with Christian Eriksen hosting Palace, plus I already have Sterling and want to avoid a transfer hit.

Wilfried Zaha (6.9) – For Gameweek 13, he looks to be an option that I need to plan for. Particularly with Christian Benteke’s return some weeks away.

Aaron Ramsey (7.0) – The same applies to the Arsenal man, who, like Zaha, is hinting at outstanding value in midfield.

Eden Hazard (10.6) – I’ve chosen Morata over him for now, but his form in a potential No 10 role demands monitoring.

Pascal Gross (5.8) – He has become annoyingly consistent and has made me regret that I doubted his ability to return in a shot-shy Brighton side.

Ademola Lookman (5.2) – As an Everton fan, I really like Lookman and can’t believe how little he’s featured so far. If he starts a game and does well, he will become an astute cut-price signing.

Forwards
Romelu Lukaku (11.6) – At some point, he is going to have to come back in. It’s just a question of for who and when.

I’ve currently got a few options open, but none of them excite without taking hits. So I’ll probably hold the transfer this week, monitoring the players above to see who emerges as the most urgent.

All in all, the first ten Gameweeks have been my worst run of form since the Luis Suarez 2013/14 season.

Maybe I should have quit, left on a high and then I wouldn’t have found myself glued expectantly to Burnley versus Newcastle on Monday night.

But football isn’t as good without FPL, so I’ll just have to keep battling through each Gameweek. With so many options this season, there’s still plenty of potential for big swings in either direction. I just need to hope the next falls in my favour.

A few simple tweaks can make all the difference. For Gameweek 11, captaining Kane or Aguero and banking my transfer is going back to basics.

Hopefully it pays off.

948 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Epic Fail
    9 years, 7 days ago

    TM?

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      9 years, 7 days ago

      I hear he has given up modding and deleted his team but I can't reveal my sauces .

      1. Sánchez
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Really? That's a shame.
        Hope he returns

        1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
          9 years, 7 days ago

          No

      2. Gnu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        9 years, 6 days ago

        Fanny Craddock was always happy to reveal her sauces.
        I like Fanny for that reason.

  2. Lucky Z
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Simple question, to use FT

    A) Lacazette => Kane
    B) Aguero => Kane

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      A

    2. Professor Abel X
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      A all day every day

  3. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Good keeping by £50m Pickford.

  4. Jelder
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Got Monreal and maguire, one needs to go to afford Kane.

    A. Get rid of Monreal and have 5.3 available for a defender
    B. Get rid of Maguire and have 4.9 available

    Thoughts?

    1. Lucky Z
      9 years, 7 days ago

      A if you have not got Jones

      1. Jelder
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Yeah already got jones. I can just seem Monreal as a good option when they have favour ale fixtures to get rid now and pay the extra .1 to get him back

        1. Lucky Z
          9 years, 7 days ago

          Maguire => Daniels can be an option then

          Two away fixtures and home games vs Spurs and ManCity in next 4

    2. Sweetboi
      9 years, 7 days ago

      B and get Daniels.

    3. Professor Abel X
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      B Daniels

  5. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Ignoring .1 price difference would you rather bring in Dunk or Duffy?

    1. Lucky Z
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Duffy

    2. Sweetboi
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Duffy

  6. Sweetboi
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Pick one to bring in lads:

    a) Alli
    b) Sane
    c) Silva

    1. Yozzer
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Alli

    2. Professor Abel X
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      B

    3. Unbowed Unbent N'Golo
      9 years, 7 days ago

      A or B.. assuming you have one other of both City and Spurs - A

      1. Sweetboi
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Exactly that (Kane and Sterling), cheers boys.

  7. The Mighty One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Good stuff, Crabby! Keep battling!

  8. Scotty B
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Best 3 defenders 5m or less this week on free hit?

    1. Sweetboi
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Cedric
      Schindler
      Lascelles

  9. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Seems like Crabtree got complacent during the summer.

  10. fpork
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Pick one:
    1) Mee + Eriksen
    2) Ward + Alli

    1. Professor Abel X
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      2

    2. Sweetboi
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Alli usually gets going around this time, would go 2.

    3. Unbowed Unbent N'Golo
      9 years, 7 days ago

      2

  11. Professor Abel X
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    -8 for GW 9, smacks of desperation that!

  12. Aaaatsu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    I am using Windows10 and Google Chrome.
    Everytime I open mail page of FFS it scrolls all the way to the bottom of itself. Also when I open an article.

    All other web pages display fine. Anyone else have this problem?

    1. The Mighty One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      I'm seeing this too...using chrome but an older Windows.

    2. Epic Fail
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Works ok for me. You got an adblocker running?

      1. Aaaatsu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        9 years, 7 days ago

        No adblocker..

    3. Pooodle
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Yup. Stops if you log-in though.

    4. lugs
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Firefox FTW 🙂

  13. The Mighty One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    A philosophical question for you all:

    I could do 3 transfers right now for 3 players that I definitely want long term. All 3 will rise tonight. One of them is a strong captain choice this week.

    Is it worth the -8 to save that 0.3 of value???

    Cheers!

    1. Sweetboi
      9 years, 7 days ago

      No

    2. Ode
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Tell us what the players in question are

    3. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Are you selling injured/suspended players ? .

      1. Epic Fail
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Human trafficking?

        1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
          9 years, 7 days ago

          Not right now I'm trying to pick my team . Maybe later ?

          1. Epic Fail
            9 years, 7 days ago

            Sounds good to me. I've got some good deals for you to mull over.

            1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
              9 years, 7 days ago

              Cheers

      2. The Mighty One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Nope...all healthy.

    4. Unbowed Unbent N'Golo
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Is one of them Kane then? It depends how badly your team needs it really. Probably not necessary, I'd wager.

      1. The Mighty One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Yes, Kane is one. See below. My team doesn't need the cash but captaincy is critical here too. Thanks!

    5. the snazzy viking
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Or flip the sentence, is it worth to lose 8 points to gain just 0.3m of team value you don't need and won't affect your team?

      1. The Mighty One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Great point!

    6. The Mighty One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Thanks all! I didn't mean to be vague by not describing the players. I wanted to avoid this usual "these players vs those players" question, and I do appreciate the help!

      In: Kane, Zaha, Jones
      Out: Morata, Salah, Bavies

      Cheers!

  14. Unbowed Unbent N'Golo
    9 years, 7 days ago

    RP:
    Elliot (Speroni)
    Ward / Ota / Moreno (Kiko, Dunk)
    Salah / Richa / Groß / Sane / Sanchez
    Kun / Morata (DCL)

    In order to do Sanchez --> Kane, which do you prefer?

    a) DCL --> RLC
    b) Morata --> Alli / Eriksen

    It's very tempting to see how it plays out with Calvert-Lewin a bit longer, and
    there are early signs of an Alli purple patch ahead. But Morata is probably the better pick, despite really struggling for confidence and form. So very torn...

  15. Gideons Rolling Another One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    I’m seriously considering the following:

    Jesus, Eriksen and Davies to Kane, Salah and Duffy -8

    Which will give me this:

    Ota Jones Duffy
    Sanchez Sterling Salah Richarlison
    Kane Morata DLC

    Trying to keep hold of Sanchez. Right or wrong?

    1. Sweetboi
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Getting rid of Eriksen before Palace at home isn't smart imo. Get Kane in for Jesus with another downgrade imo.

      1. Gideons Rolling Another One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Yeah you’re probably right.

    2. Unbowed Unbent N'Golo
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Extremely similar to mine above. I'm definitely losing Sanchez.

      1. Pooodle
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Sanchez to Salah and Jesus to Kane looks good.

        1. Gideons Rolling Another One
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          9 years, 7 days ago

          This is the other option.

    3. Ninja Fury
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Bit late, and also responded to your reply to my thread!

      But i think do your original A plan of -4 and lose Sanchez

  16. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Everton are terrible. Ri(c)harlison?

    1. Ode
      9 years, 7 days ago

      If you don't have Kane, Kun, Salah then yeah maybe

    2. Sweetboi
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Not in a week where Kane has Palace at home.

      1. Pooodle
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Plus remember that he plays for Watford. Not captaincy material for me.

  17. the snazzy viking
    9 years, 7 days ago

    lol @ Everton

  18. Professor Abel X
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Wow the 3 arrows down on FPLStatistics is like a who’s who of top quality players

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      9 years, 7 days ago

      The guy doing Fpl Statistics is not updating it and it's going to be a mess till Monday . Keep up

      1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Wait that might be wrong here is a tweet with useful information
        https://twitter.com/fpl_statistics?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

        1. fedolefan
          9 years, 7 days ago

          Lol, what does parametric even mean? I think I can guess as to what gradient means.

        2. Professor Abel X
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          9 years, 7 days ago

          Apologies, pesky work getting in the way of FPL!

  19. Monkey Hanger
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Looking very much like Everton exit Europa Cup with two matches still to play.

    They should give the managers job to BFS right now.

    Before their season disappears completely down the pan.

    And to make matters worse Schniederlin has just been sent off.

    1. the snazzy viking
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Who's BFS again? And I agree with your thoughts

      1. Professor Abel X
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Big Fat Sam

        1. the snazzy viking
          9 years, 7 days ago

          Cheers

    2. Professor Abel X
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      He blatantly got sent off on purpose so he could have a midweek off

  20. Up the tics
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Coutinho out for sane?

    1. Professor Abel X
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Before West Ham? No

      1. Fpl Richie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Injured

        1. Professor Abel X
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          9 years, 7 days ago

          If this is the case, definitely

  21. Pooodle
    9 years, 7 days ago

    This article makes me feel much better about my struggles this year...! Top 600k doesn't look so bad after all.

    1. Epic Fail
      9 years, 7 days ago

      600k is pretty bad to be fair.

      1. The Fantastic Mr Fox
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Meanie.

        600k is a decent platform pooodle

        1. Pooodle
          9 years, 7 days ago

          Thanks mate. Still plenty of time to go.

      2. the snazzy viking
        9 years, 7 days ago

        what is 900k then

        1. Epic Fail
          9 years, 7 days ago

          My current rank.

          1. Professor Abel X
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            9 years, 7 days ago

            Exactly that, rank

            1. Epic Fail
              9 years, 7 days ago

              Worse than that.

      3. Pooodle
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Ha thank you.I'm 529k actually which is a bit better. Was up to 294k the week before but just had an absolute shocker last week - thanks Richarlison and Kiko.

    2. the snazzy viking
      9 years, 7 days ago

      I'm in the top 600k club too, don't feel too bad about it given this is a tough season and there are now over 5 million players

      1. Pooodle
        9 years, 7 days ago

        To be fair last season I was outside the top 1m after 12 weeks and finished just outside the top 5k. Still plenty of time.

  22. Ode
    9 years, 7 days ago

    I feel bad for Giroud. He deserves better than Europa league and sitting on the bench

  23. VardysParty
    9 years, 7 days ago

    1 FT and 0 ITB

    Fabianski (Nordfelt)
    Azpi, Otamendi, Cedric, Ward, (Hunemeir)
    Salah, Sterling, Richarlison, (Carroll, RLC)
    Kane, Aguero, Morata

    Any suggestions or save FT?

    Thanks!

  24. The Fantastic Mr Fox
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Is it a better option to sell Monreal or Davies (to Ward), in order to fund a Morata to Kane transfer?

    1. Professor Abel X
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      This week, Monreal

    2. La Roja
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Sell Bavies

  25. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Thoughts here ?

    Foster - Elliot
    Davies - Jones - Otamendi - Mee - Long
    Salah - Eriksen - Sterling - Richarlison - Carroll
    Kane - Lukaku - Abraham

    2 FT 0.0 ITB

  26. Mr. Blonde
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    This worth a hit? Have exact funds:
    Stones, Andy King, Vardy - > Dunk/Francis, Sane, Abraham

  27. Chidi LaLa
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Banking my free transfer too. Back to basics is the way to go.

  28. La Roja
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Depay scores

  29. Fletcher Moss
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Hey folks, am I right to just save a transfer here? Would all but rule out an international break wildcard but not sure I’ll want to change enough anyway.

    £2.2m in the bank.

    Elliot(BOU)
    Davies(CRY) Jones(che) Ward(sou)
    Salah(whu) Sterling(ARS) Richarlison(eve) Groß(swa)
    Kane(CRY) Morata(MUN) Vardy(stk)

    Foster(hud) Dunk(swa), Carroll(BHA), Löwe(WBA)

    1. Hazari300
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Save transfer imo

  30. Hazari300
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Who starts on the weekend, Defoe or Wilson?

    1. Monkey Hanger
      9 years, 7 days ago

      How do you know its one of those two? Afobe and King also in the mix.