Spot the Differential
2 December 2017 2220 comments
James H James H
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Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez came through for us in midweek with a goal in the 5-0 victory over Huddersfield, and we’re backing two other big-name midfielders to shine as differentials this time around.

Our third selection sees us take a chance on a Southampton striker who proved in Gameweek 13 that he can still find the back of the net when given the pitch time and service.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

Everton’s club-record signing is beginning to make his mark on Merseyside and he looks set for further profit with Huddersfield Town visiting Goodison Park this afternoon.

A goal and two assists in his last three Gameweek starts provide indication that the Iceland international has now settled at his new club, following an indifferent start.

The midfielder’s underlying statistics illustrate a growing influence.

He has registered more shots (five) than any team-mate over the last four Gameweeks, and has also created two big chances. The former Swansea City midfielder has supplied 19 crosses during the same spell, more than double that of any other Toffees player.

Confidence levels in the Toffees camp will have been boosted by the emphatic 4-0 victory over West Ham United, and also by the arrival of Sam Allardyce as manager.

This afternoon’s match-up will be Big Sam’s first game in charge and looks to be a platform to claim back-to-back victories.

No team has conceded more goals than Huddersfield (11) over the last four Gameweeks, while they have also given up more big chances (13) than any other side over that period.

Now down to 8.0 in Fantasy Premier League, having started the season at 8.5, Sigurdsson will be a factor today and could yet feature in our seasons.

Everton’s fixture list for the rest of 2017 remains favourable, and we might see the 2.1%-owned midfielder emerge as an effective differential under Allardyce.

Gameweek 15 looks as good opportunity to take a chance on a player who has been a firm Fantasy favourite in seasons past.

Charlie Austin

After playing just seven minutes in midweek, and with Shane Long an injury doubt, we fancy that Charlie Austin will be handed a start when Southampton travel to Bournemouth on Sunday.

The striker made the most of his first start of the season in Gameweek 13, scoring twice in the 4-1 victory over Everton.

His performance could not have been more impressive. Austin registered six shots, with five coming from inside the penalty-area.

His lack of pitch-time so far this season means the forward resides in just 1% of FPL squads. But given his proven track record, he may well be worth a look as a third striker differential.

He tallied six goals and one assist from just 11 starts last term and produced 18 goals and eight assists back in 2014/15.

His aerial prowess, in particular, could be a major factor against the Bournemouth defence. Only West Bromwich Albion (39) have conceded more headed attempts (36) this season.

Available at just 6.0 in FPL, Austin may be viewed as a possible rotation option, with his historical fitness issues perhaps meaning he won’t be able to start every match over this congested period.

But with a favourable Gameweek 15 match-up, and strong home fixtures against Leicester City and Huddersfield coming up, he could warrant a gamble.

Philippe Coutinho

The forgotten man in the FPL midfield shake-up can be a major game-changer for Fantasy managers.

After being an unused substitute in the 3-0 win over Stoke City on Wednesday night, Philippe Coutinho is expected to return to the starting XI for this afternoon’s trip to Brighton & Hove Albion.

While it’s been a stop-start campaign for the Brazilian so far, he’s still totalled three goals, two assists and eight bonus points from just seven starts.

Now down to just 8.8 in FPL, he could be a great option to double up on the Liverpool attack, alongside Mohamed Salah, for the favourable run of fixtures heading into 2018.

While today’s opponents Brighton have been relatively solid at the Amex Stadium, conceding just seven goals, there is every chance the free-scoring Reds can prosper.

The Seagulls rank sixth for the most big chances allowed in home matches, with 12, and fifth for shots on target conceded (29).

Meanwhile, Jurgen Klopp’s side currently boast the Premier League’s in-form attack. They lead the way for both goals scored (11) and big chances (13) over the last four Gameweeks.

When he’s been on the pitch, Coutinho has been hugely influential, averaging a shot every 20.5 minutes, which matches the prolific Salah.

While Coutinho mainly relies on efforts from range, he has also created a chance every 29 minutes, superior to both Salah (50) and Sadio Mane (51).

An FPL goal involvement rate of 50% highlights Coutinho’s importance to the Liverpool attack.

If you’re seeking a differential with the potential for a big tally, the 5.2%-owned Reds midfielder fits the profile perfectly.

  1. WE GO FOR IT
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Who is more important to get in? Hazard or Chelsea defender? I have Morata.

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Alonso

    2. Cok3y5murf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Hazard

    3. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Eden

    4. La Gazzetta
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      I went for Chelsea defender. I'm waiting a bit longer with hazard. Will be hard to resist if gets returns this week though

    5. jia you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Was all set on Hazard for Alli/Sane but I've changed my mine, Alonso is a better fit for me as I have both Dann & Jones to deal with!

    6. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Cheers all! 🙂

  2. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Morataaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

    Hazarrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrd

  3. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Dann ruled out or today's match?

      1. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Ta

    1. jia you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      he would have been on the bench more than likely regardless, sad owner here, second time in my team this season, terrible transfers 🙁

      1. Tree House
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Same. What were we thinking?

  4. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Fabianski-> Courtois for -4?

    Don't see Swansea keeping a CS vs Stoke...Courtois seems a good long term pick, having no other Chelsea defence.

    Thanks!

    1. GHB
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      No. Didn’t see fabianski with a clean sheet at Chelsea and he ended up with 5 points unlucky not to get 7

      1. Ibralicious
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Alright thanks

    2. La Gazzetta
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Not for a hit. I did it for a hit but had no playing keeper. I expect to break even at best. Fab is a decent keeper. If Elliot is your other keeper wait one week and see if he miraculously regains his spot in my opinion.

      1. Ibralicious
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Fair enough, cheers.

    3. TheRealDog
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      No

  5. Captain Blanks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Dann > ?

    A) Sakho
    B) Moreno
    C) Other (up to 5.4)

    I'm leaning towards Sakho atm, thinking he's probably more nailed over the xmas period. Thoughts?

    1. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      I’ve gone Dann to Sakho, I had Dann purely for the fixture run, and rotation with my existing defenders.

      Moreno/Gomez were tempting, but I stuck with my original plan.

  6. turd ferguson
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Play Niasse or Doucoure ?

    1. Captain Blanks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Niasse

  7. NachoMan
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    I'm feeling risky.

    Morata to Kun for free.

    ?

    1. Mr. Jenkins
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Ballsy

    2. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Think line between genius and idiot.

    3. NachoMan
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      I have Hazard but no City attack

    4. DaddyPig
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      No way

    5. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      No

    6. Chucky
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      You need help

      1. NachoMan
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Correct. Hence the question!

  8. Lionel Ronaldo
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Start Richarlison or Loftus-Cheek?

      - Goalscoring odds favour Richarlison
      - Clean sheet odds favour Loftus-Cheek
      - Fixture favours Loftus-Cheek
      - Form in last 5 is quite even

      1. Captain Blanks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Richarlison

      2. WE GO FOR IT
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Richarlison

      3. Sloopy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Richarlison

    • FPL Mentor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Bench one:

      A. Rashford
      B. RLC
      C. Groß.

      1. Captain Blanks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        B

      2. Pacer.
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        I would go for Rashford. Mourinho won't even try to win, whereas Pardew doesn't do defending and matip is crocked for Liverpool. Be brave

      3. Bonus magnet
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Rashford

    • Blue Gaffer
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Morara, Kane or Salah captain?

      1. Rhys85
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        I have all 3, going for Kane

      2. Captain Blanks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Kane. All 3 are great options this week though imo

    • Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Play Murray or Moreno?

      1. Astronautovic
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Always the forward for me
        Murray

        1. Rhys85
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          Cheers, that’s my thinking usually as well

      2. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Murray

      3. AWPD
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        I'd play Moreno. I have Gomez with Murray first sub. Liverpool CS more favourable.

        1. Gooner97
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          lol

      4. Gerci
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Moreno will be on the bench today

    • diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Template?

      DDG - (Elliot)
      Azpi - Daniels - Kolasinac - Ward - (Fodder)
      Sterling - Gross - Richarlison - Hazard - Salah
      Kane - Morata - (Fodder)

      1. Astronautovic
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        G2g

      2. GOTHAM City F.C.
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        close, no Fodder in template.

      3. Meeseeks
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Doesn't seem affordable... What's your TV?

    • Al
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Start one:

      RLC (WBA)
      Ward (LEI)
      Vertonghen (WAT)

      Vardy and Richarlison owner...

      1. Astronautovic
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Ward

      2. Woy_is_back
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Ward

    • Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Captain check

      Hazard!!!

    • Astronautovic
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      G2G?

      fabianski
      Christensen mee moreno
      Richarlison sterling sane salah zaha
      Morata kane

      Krul DCL kolasinac naughton

    • Weasel51
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Captain

      Kane
      Haz

      1. Podge
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Kane

      2. Woy_is_back
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Haz

      3. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Kane

      4. MFC86
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Toss a coin, my coin has landed on Hazard.

        1. GOTHAM City F.C.
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          landed Hazard up or down?

      5. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        If I had Hazard, I'd captain him.

    • Fernando Torres
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Chances of these starting...

      A) Elliot
      B) Wilson
      C) DCL

    • Ace Ventura
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Would ye swap any of vertonghen, otamendi or maguire for Christians en?

      1. Pacer.
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Mag
        Vert
        Ot

        In that order. Bin off the first two def

    • Corgz Dark side of the Loon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      RLC away to WBA or Crouch home to Swansea with Chopo Mo a doubt ??

    • Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Play McArthur(wba) or Gross(LIV)?

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Gross

    • jia you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Anybody else just got in Salah for this GW?
      I'm starting to feel that it was an error if I'm not going to captain him (and I probably never will) as every serious player has him and I need to make up ground!
      But at least if he keeps up his scoring rate I won't lose more ground haha!!

      1. Marv25
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        I rage transferred him in after last week's brace. Everyone in my MLs has him.

        Was a fear transfer

      2. MAVER!CK
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        3 gws ago when Mane and salah were same price, i went with Mane as a "Differential" and got punished. Swapped them this week, but thats cost me 20 or so points and 0.4m

    • Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Play Grob or Crouch?

      1. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Grob

    • pjomara
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Best

      1. Optimus.
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Too soon

    • AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Sorry for repost:

      G2G?

      Fab
      Azpi, Mee, Daniels
      Sane, Pogba, Salah, Sterling
      Kane(C), Morata, Niasse

      Elliot, RLC, Dunk, Mariappa

    • Cocky Spaniel Alves
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Final check.

      DDG
      Azpi Christensen Moreno
      Salah (c) Sane Sterling Richarlison
      Kane (vc) Morata Niasse

      Speroni RLC Mee Kiko

      1 FT 0 ITB

      Save FT, and G2G right?

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Looks good! Best of luck.

        1. Cocky Spaniel Alves
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          Tnx

    • pundit of punts
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      It's GW 15 and I haven't owned an Arsenal attacker yet.

      Never happened before.

      1. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Only owned Ramsey but sold

      2. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Same here. Even as an Arsenal fan I usually try to be quite optimistic with Ozil / Sanchez / Ramsey but nothing going this season.

        1. Gooner97
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          Too overpriced and not consistent.
          Even though I'd never thought of saying this in past years, defence looks more prolific now.

          1. The Count of Monte Cristo
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 3 months ago

            Exactly, and there's hardly been any rotation as well which helps. The amount of times last year we mixed up the back 4 was far more than this season.

      3. Chucky
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        had lacashette for the first 4 gws,never again...

      4. Captain Blanks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Owned Lacazette for 1 week, blanked, sold him for Kane immediately 🙂

      5. Sloopy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        I had Sanchez but sold 4 weeks ago 🙁
        Ramsay is coming in soon.

    • pjomara
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Best 5m or less goalie for December?
      Thinking Gomes based on fixtures, agree or disagree?

    • CarrollsPonytail
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Silva out, Sterling in for a hit?

      1. Podge
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        No

      2. Sloopy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        NO imo

    • The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Anything worth a hit here, lads?

      Foster
      Otamendi | Maguire | Daniels
      Salah | Sterling | Pogba | Richarlison
      Morata | Kane | Abraham

      Elliot - Mee - TC - Long [0FT + 1.5m ITB]

    • Rash
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      The gameweeks I've felt optimistic I've done pretty poor.. this week I'm feeling the opposite so hoping for a good score

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Ha, I've just been doing **** all season, so I aim low and avoid disappointment