Spot the Differential
2 December 2017 2220 comments
James H James H
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Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez came through for us in midweek with a goal in the 5-0 victory over Huddersfield, and we’re backing two other big-name midfielders to shine as differentials this time around.

Our third selection sees us take a chance on a Southampton striker who proved in Gameweek 13 that he can still find the back of the net when given the pitch time and service.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

Everton’s club-record signing is beginning to make his mark on Merseyside and he looks set for further profit with Huddersfield Town visiting Goodison Park this afternoon.

A goal and two assists in his last three Gameweek starts provide indication that the Iceland international has now settled at his new club, following an indifferent start.

The midfielder’s underlying statistics illustrate a growing influence.

He has registered more shots (five) than any team-mate over the last four Gameweeks, and has also created two big chances. The former Swansea City midfielder has supplied 19 crosses during the same spell, more than double that of any other Toffees player.

Confidence levels in the Toffees camp will have been boosted by the emphatic 4-0 victory over West Ham United, and also by the arrival of Sam Allardyce as manager.

This afternoon’s match-up will be Big Sam’s first game in charge and looks to be a platform to claim back-to-back victories.

No team has conceded more goals than Huddersfield (11) over the last four Gameweeks, while they have also given up more big chances (13) than any other side over that period.

Now down to 8.0 in Fantasy Premier League, having started the season at 8.5, Sigurdsson will be a factor today and could yet feature in our seasons.

Everton’s fixture list for the rest of 2017 remains favourable, and we might see the 2.1%-owned midfielder emerge as an effective differential under Allardyce.

Gameweek 15 looks as good opportunity to take a chance on a player who has been a firm Fantasy favourite in seasons past.

Charlie Austin

After playing just seven minutes in midweek, and with Shane Long an injury doubt, we fancy that Charlie Austin will be handed a start when Southampton travel to Bournemouth on Sunday.

The striker made the most of his first start of the season in Gameweek 13, scoring twice in the 4-1 victory over Everton.

His performance could not have been more impressive. Austin registered six shots, with five coming from inside the penalty-area.

His lack of pitch-time so far this season means the forward resides in just 1% of FPL squads. But given his proven track record, he may well be worth a look as a third striker differential.

He tallied six goals and one assist from just 11 starts last term and produced 18 goals and eight assists back in 2014/15.

His aerial prowess, in particular, could be a major factor against the Bournemouth defence. Only West Bromwich Albion (39) have conceded more headed attempts (36) this season.

Available at just 6.0 in FPL, Austin may be viewed as a possible rotation option, with his historical fitness issues perhaps meaning he won’t be able to start every match over this congested period.

But with a favourable Gameweek 15 match-up, and strong home fixtures against Leicester City and Huddersfield coming up, he could warrant a gamble.

Philippe Coutinho

The forgotten man in the FPL midfield shake-up can be a major game-changer for Fantasy managers.

After being an unused substitute in the 3-0 win over Stoke City on Wednesday night, Philippe Coutinho is expected to return to the starting XI for this afternoon’s trip to Brighton & Hove Albion.

While it’s been a stop-start campaign for the Brazilian so far, he’s still totalled three goals, two assists and eight bonus points from just seven starts.

Now down to just 8.8 in FPL, he could be a great option to double up on the Liverpool attack, alongside Mohamed Salah, for the favourable run of fixtures heading into 2018.

While today’s opponents Brighton have been relatively solid at the Amex Stadium, conceding just seven goals, there is every chance the free-scoring Reds can prosper.

The Seagulls rank sixth for the most big chances allowed in home matches, with 12, and fifth for shots on target conceded (29).

Meanwhile, Jurgen Klopp’s side currently boast the Premier League’s in-form attack. They lead the way for both goals scored (11) and big chances (13) over the last four Gameweeks.

When he’s been on the pitch, Coutinho has been hugely influential, averaging a shot every 20.5 minutes, which matches the prolific Salah.

While Coutinho mainly relies on efforts from range, he has also created a chance every 29 minutes, superior to both Salah (50) and Sadio Mane (51).

An FPL goal involvement rate of 50% highlights Coutinho’s importance to the Liverpool attack.

If you’re seeking a differential with the potential for a big tally, the 5.2%-owned Reds midfielder fits the profile perfectly.

  1. kysersosa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Pope, never take a hit for a keeper

    1. _Make
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Top of the page classic.

  2. Terry Tibbs
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Do we know if Aguero is playing?

    1. Professor Abel X
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Nobody but Pep knows. But I hope so!

  3. Essrick
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Silva to Sterling for free?

    I’m worried about rotation for Sterling though.

    1. _Make
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      He's due a rest. Wait and see and roll the transfer. You'll kick yourself if he is benched and Silva scores.

    2. Andriy Shevchenko is Back
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      I am doing the move on my WC but because I think Sterling is better long term. This GW... who knows. He may get a rest with Silva returning to the starting 11. Silva overdue some returns too.
      In short - hold if you can use the transfer elsewhere or save

    3. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Sterling better value long term, but Silva is the only city player guaranteed a start today (after midweek rest) so keep for now.

  4. mazkills
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    morata nailed?

    1. _Make
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Sadly no

      1. Takedog1
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Is this a joke. Why isn’t he

        1. Essem
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          Because Hazard can play as striker.

  5. Andriy Shevchenko is Back
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Quick repost guys - need some help on WC setup. A or B?

    A) Femenia, Zaha, Gross, Morata - 0.4 ITB, enables Zaha -> Ramsey after Man Utd game but am concerned about Morata rest + 4 YCs

    B) Dunk, Hazard, RLC, Vardy 0.0 ITB - as a whole feels like a weaker selection but vardy and hazard could be gold.

    1. Dirty Leeds
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      A

  6. WUSS
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    choose one guys?

    A. Azpi, Kenny, RLC in

    1. jia you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      B.

  7. trinzoo
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Would you start Moreno or is there a chance of a few minutes cameo ?

    Have Mee (Pope in goal) and Vertonghen on the bench.

    1. TheEgyptianKing
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Robertson is playing so not worth it

      1. AttackAttackAttack
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Since when has Robertson been likley to start?

    2. Sims
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      same dilemma with naughton instead of mee

  8. majorbriggs
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Captain Morata (NEW), Salah (bha) or Kane (wat)?

    1. Andriy Shevchenko is Back
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Salah out of the 3. But I am so tempted to get Hazard instead of Morata on WC and captain him

    2. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Kane

    3. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Is love enough Major Briggs?

      1. majorbriggs
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Sometimes it just isn't

    4. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Kane out of the 3

  9. The King
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    I own Sterling, Sane and Jesus this GW

    How many points do you reckon this will get me

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      15

      1. jia you
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Ahh...so both Sterling & Jesus don't play then! 😉

    2. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      If all 3 okay then I feel a haul. West ham are dire atm. I'd go with 25

  10. TheEgyptianKing
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Any ideas on what i should do with

    Sane
    Alexis
    Speroni/Eliott

    1. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Gk needs most immediate attention, but after that id be downgrading Sanchez. Needs a goal and assist every game to be worth the value

      1. Pacer.
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Nobody needs that, it would be like 450 points

  11. mazkills
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Now I am in the spot where I have had mortara captained this whole time, and if I switch i will be so sick if he goes off.

    Switch (c) to Salah/Kane?

    1. majorbriggs
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Same for me. C on Morata now but tempted to switch

    2. majorbriggs
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Just switched to Kane. Anxiety attack incoming

  12. DannyD
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Hi all, really struggling to with what changes to make this gw. Would appreciate any advice. So far I have:

    De Gea
    Davies, Monreal, Azpi
    Surman, Salah (C), Sterling, Richarlison
    Kane, Morata (VC), Tammy

    Subs: Foster, RLC, Memba, Rangel
    £2.9m ITB, 1 FT

    Considering:

    A. Surman -> Ramsey
    B. Davies -> Daniels
    C. Davies, Richarlison -> Mee, KDB -4
    D. Save FT
    E. Another option?

    1. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      It's a week too early for option A, so go for B.

    2. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Or Davies > Christensen

  13. Yozzer
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone benching Niasse?

    Feel I should probably start RLC

    1. mazkills
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      I'm starting Niasse, and have RLC. RLC certainly more nailed, but not crazy about him pushed out wide with Benteke return...

    2. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Starting Niasse, if he doesnt start RLC comes in off the bengh

    3. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Think niasse set for a cameo role today, so maybe a 1 pointer. For this reason RLC is ahead of niasse on my bench

  14. Steevo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Hennessey
    Alonso Azpi Davies
    Salah Silva Groß Choupo
    Kane(C) Jesus DCL

    Speroni Ritchie Naughton Hun

    Good to go with this bunch? Or Naughton ahead of Ritchie?

  15. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Is Moreno starting this week? any rumour line up?

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Rumour is that Robertson starts

    2. Sims
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      robertson starting

    3. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      cheers

    4. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Why you guys think Robertson starts? Source?

  16. Pep says
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone else counting gameweeks to Christmas instead of days or is that just me.

  17. Thiga
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Are we getting the reverse Hazard this season? Looking at those mammoth away returns, is he better away this season?
    (Tbf, the only good games he's had at home are WAT and SWA and he missed the latter)

    1. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Shhhhhhuussh

      Don't put people off captaining him.

      1. Pep says
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Why would this put people off. You make it sound like he's a bad pick certain to blank

        1. Yozzer
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          Not a bad pick at all. Kane or salah are better imo. Hazard not owned by as many either so less damage

  18. That Fantasy Guy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Quick vote:

    Captain
    A. Hazard
    B. Kane

    1. Pep says
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Just look at the captaincy hot topic and the poll dude!

  19. nkurylo12
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    On WC
    A) Courtois / Elliot
    Otamendi / Mustafi / Mee / Moreno / Kenny
    Hazard / Salah / Sterling / Richarlison / RLC
    Kane / Vardy / Niasse, 0.2 ITB

    B) Courtois / Elliot
    Otamendi / Mustafi / Tarkowski / Moreno / Kenny
    Salah / Sterling / Mahrez / Richarlison / RLC
    Kane / Morata / Abraham, 0.0 ITB

    C) Courtois / Elliot
    Maguire / Mustafi / Tarkowski / Moreno / Kenny
    Salah / Sterling / Grosz / Richarlison / RLC
    Kane / Morata / Vardy, 0.0 ITB

    A, B or C?

    1. Andriy Shevchenko is Back
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Not C. I am on a similar WC dilemma between Hazard and Morata. Gut feeling says Hazard. Just need some moral support to lock it down 🙂

    2. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      A by a distance imo.

  20. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Sterling very unlikely to play right?

    1. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      I would think so but no one knows.

      1. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Started 3 matches in a row...

    2. Sims
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      not sure about very. probably 60-40 in favour of starting

      he'll most likely come off the bench if he doesn't start

      1. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        He's too on form for the bench imo

    3. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      4 days rest
      He can be rested midweek
      He's in top form

      Maybe not

      1. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        I hope so.

      2. AttackAttackAttack
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        This

  21. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Woukd you do D Gray & Rojo > Cahill & Ndidi for free?

    Defence: Mustafi Mee Dunk Mariappa

    Midfield: Carroll Gray KDB Salah Sane

    0.4 ITB 2 FT

    1. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Christiansen seems nailed and much better vakuebthan Cahill imo. Plus you can save a ft

  22. Fpldonny
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    So Hennessey is now Roys number 1 yes? I can only afford Krul to him or Lee grant and i think id prefer to have him! Cheers

  23. sully sonic
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Dead Team update:

    GW 1 players and still going strong!!
    Jesus Captain all the way!!

    hovering around the 150k mark!

    https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/team/3603680/event/14

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      These dead teams are the cancer of FPL.

        1. Gooner97
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          ...

  24. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Will Swansea concede?

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Surely

  25. GreenArrows
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Any sources to all the rumours of Moreno being benched?

  26. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Why was Elliott dropped ? Best budget replacement ?

  27. Mr. Jenkins
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Chances of a Burnley clean sheet?

    1. TheEgyptianKing
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Never happening

    2. Pacer.
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Fair

  28. TheEgyptianKing
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Bring in

    i) Fabianski
    ii) Pickford
    iii) Pope
    iv) Other

  29. Nolberto Solano
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    De Gea

    Alonso Azpi Ward

    Salah Sterling Richarlison Choupo-Moting

    Kane (c) Jesus Wilson

    Subs: RLC Fernandez Hunumeier

    A) Save FT
    B) Fernandez -> ???

  30. In Bale We Trust
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    People seem very convinced here that morata won't start. Why is that?