Members
6 December 2017 1215 comments
Prokoptas Prokoptas
Share:

Regular readers of the Technical Area articles will no doubt be familiar with expected goals (xG), a key metric introduced to the Fantasy Football Scout Members’ area this year as a means of estimating goal scoring returns on the basis of chance quality.

This week, however, we are flipping our focus to examine the top goalkeepers over this year’s campaign and to introduce, for the first time, our related keeper-specific metric: expected goals prevented (xGP).

In brief, this data tallies the quantity and quality of chances a goalkeeper is faced with, in order to calculate a baseline of their expected goals conceded. From this number, we subtract the true number of goals that have beaten each goalkeeper, in order to determine the expected goals they have personally deterred.

This week’s Technical Area will be running the rule over how FPL’s highest-owned goalkeepers have performed in this particular metric thus far.

We also take a wider view of the position as it now stands, in light of the recent uncertainty surrounding the pitch time of budget-friendly options such as Rob Elliot and Julian Speroni.

  1. ZakAFC_
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Wildcard to get Hazard in?

    Pope
    Azpi, Kolasinac, Ward
    Salah, Sterling, Groß, Richarlison
    Morata, Kane, Vardy

    Elliot, RLC, Daniels, Mariappa

    1FT, 0.2 ITB

    1. liiusions
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Team looks good, I'd try hold off WC if you can.

      Can you afford Vardy->4.5 and Gross->Hazard?

      1. ZakAFC_
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Nah, -0.7m

      2. ZakAFC_
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Would have to take out Azpi as well

    2. gwitbrock
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      azpi to christensen, vardy to dlc, gross to hazard. would be a waste of a wildcard, hits are way underrated on here.

      1. ZakAFC_
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        0.1 short, but would that be worth a -8?

        1. gwitbrock
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          damn that's close. But yes fwiw i think to get in a player like hazard on this form the points hit is really neither here nor there. He is quite likely a season keeper and I would treat it as a credit card fee to buy something online that you really want. The point is getting in the player.

  2. LosBlancos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    (C)outinho to dominate the game

    1. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Mane says hi.

  3. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Excellent Reddit post. If someone passes a penalty and their teammate taps it in (like messi and Suarez), do they get minus points for a ‘missed’ pen?

    1. Arctic monkeys
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Imagine Milner trying to do that.

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Must do surely.

    3. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      They do if its Pires and Henry...

    4. Ronnie Hotdog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      missed penalty + assist probably

    5. d3bug
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      But.. but he still gets the assist

    6. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I'd say assist and goal - the act of the 'tap' penalty is still alive...nothing is actually missed till the ball is out, hits goalframe or keeper saves

  4. FredrikH
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Would you Sterling -> Coutinho (-4) if you already have Salah and no city players?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Wtf, no.

    2. Mackans
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      No,Sterling is rested tonight:)

    3. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Is the arrow the wrong way around? Looks like it is going by the latter part of the sentence.

    4. ZakAFC_
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      No

  5. Js31
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Exact funds for Silva > Countinho. Yes or no?

    1. Visionaries
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Yes

    2. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Yes

    3. ZakAFC_
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Yes

    4. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Let the games play out first just incase.

      1. GAMBIT
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        This

  6. Epic Fail
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    D'you think Poch will keep faith in Llorente for the weekend after his hattrick and 2 assists tonight?

    1. LarryDuff
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      in my opinion regardless of how he plays Kane is still first choice

      1. Fantasy Gold
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        lol

    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Oh, yes! 😉

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Cheers. Just did Kane -> Llorente for a hit before the inevitable price rise.

        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          😯 Aaargggh! 😆

          1. Gnu
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            😆

    3. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Maybe playing him together with Kane. Kane should start.

  7. LosBlancos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Whats hapening with the FFS cups btw?

    1. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Been abandoned due to the train fare rises and internet issues.

      1. LosBlancos
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        your grav is braking my screen

    2. Mark
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 18 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Just doing a final check on the draw.

      Qualifying score looks likely to be 55 - not sure on the rank required to go with that, though.

      1. LosBlancos
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        cool, thanks Mark 🙂

  8. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Do we feel that Kenny is nailed? Trying to decide on a combo over Xmas...

    a) Kiko and Pickford

    b) Gomes and Kenny

    1. the snazzy viking
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A

    2. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      a

  9. simvik91
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    What's the reasoning behind having the injured Atsu (£4.9m) on the watchlist, but not RLC (£4.6m)? Even when fit, the latter seem like much better value for money, no?

  10. LosBlancos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    What do we think on Lindelof nailedness?

    1. Odikostar
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      very not at all

    2. Deano
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      If you’ve got to ask, that defines the answer.

    3. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Claw Hammer

  11. aidmata
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Elliot* Foster

    Naughton Christensen Mbemba* Cedric* Mee

    Richarlison Salah Sterling Carroll* Hazard

    Kane Morata Niasse*

    1FT 1.4ITB

    Best transfers for this week? Obviously a few issues needing sorting out but quite tempted to save. Any suggestions guys?

    1. Podge
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Take a hit it’s nearly Xmas 😉

  12. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Between Femenia, Kabasele and Zeegelaar who wins it for you in your team?
    Assuming price were not an issue

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Fememia

      1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Is it his goal threat? Zeegelaar looks very good for assists. Do you think Kabasele can keep up his scoring rate or has he done his bit for the season?

        1. zotter
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Always pick a wing back over centre back. And fememia more nailed v zee

    2. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Amazing names the Watford defenders have tbh. Just so exciting... Kabasele sounds like a type of exotic fruit like a papaya or something.

    3. Geoff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Femenia for me

    4. Mackans
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Femenia! Certain starter and good attacken threat. Also gets bonus every clean sheet Watford have

    5. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Cheers all! Femenia will be the one entering my team next week

    6. Gruu
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Kiko for me

  13. Frozen flying mammoth
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Would you:
    A) Sane to Coutinho
    B) sub out Elliot/Niasse
    C) save transfer

    1FT
    1.9m ITB

    Pope (Elliot)
    Trippier, Azpi, Monreal, Ward (Otamendi)
    GroB, Hazard, Sane, Salah, Richardison
    Morata (Diouf, Niasse)

  14. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Which combination is better?

    A) Alonso and Ramsey
    B) Christensen and Coutinho

    1. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      b but gametime issue would be problem

  15. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Alonso and Shaqiri?

    Or

    Coutinho and DCL?

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Alonso and shaq

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Thanks, O.T. What's the thinking?

        1. The Overthinker
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Chelsea are a team where you will get cs. His attacking threat are just bonus

          Shaq is the centre of stoke's attack, take set pieces and is in really good form .

          Had it been between Alonso and coutinho I would have maybe selected coutinho.
          Don't really fancy DCL.

          So as a combo Alonso and shaq have higher ceiling than coutinho and dcl.

          Hope it justifies my opinion and is convincing to you FPLV

          1. FPL Virgin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            Thanks so much, very helpful!

    2. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Couts and DCL

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Why?

        1. Salah’s Sonnet
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Well, for me, i was just loking at it seperately, like Alonso vs Coutinho, Couts obvs the better player, and i reckon DCL will perform better than Shaqiri also should he get starts.

          1. FPL Virgin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            Interesting. Thanks!

            1. Salah’s Sonnet
              • 14 Years
              8 years, 9 days ago

              Welcome mate

    3. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Very tough. In the end, Alonso hasn't been performing consistently enough so far this season to warrant an expenditure of 6.9... Couts is a classic pick and DCL is maybe at the head of an Everton revival. More upside with B?

    4. jimmy.floyd
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A

    5. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      The one with Coutinho in

  16. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Is having a bench of Elliot Daniels Holgate Carroll just too weak to go into the winter period with?

    1. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Yes

  17. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Considering going without Hazard just for this week. Wouldn't be captaining him anyway when he's primed for an early sub. Nervous.

    1. I Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Same. Will get him for free next GW rather than taking a hit this week unless something changes between now and the deadline. Fingers crossed.

    2. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Had his rest last week. He will start. They played at home yesterday.

    3. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      risky

    4. La Gazzetta
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      I did that last week and didn't work out. Good luck!

  18. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    2FT

    Azpi Christensen
    Silva
    Morata

    They're the players that matter: would you switch Azpi and Silva together to get in Hazard, or just switch Silva to Rich/Ram?

  19. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    By next Monday I'm hoping to end up with

    Fabs
    Moreno Christensen Ward Kiko Daniels
    Richarlison Hazard Salah RLC Carroll

    1. FPL ZB
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Morata Vardy Kane

      Is that a good thing to aim for? Uses my next 3 FTs (1 this week, 2 on Monday)

    2. The Head-Ake
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      That is legit my team except for Kikon and RLC. Not sure of Vardy though tbf

  20. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    That’s it Harry, you rest up for that 4 pointer this weekend

  21. My heart goes Salalalalah
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Kane (C)

  22. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Foster for the win.

  23. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    A. Kane + Gross or
    B. Lacazette + Coutinho

    Thanks.

    1. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A.
      Lacazette is frustrating to own.

    2. LosBlancos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      B

    3. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      B

    4. Pegboy
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A, easily. Laca still not a viable option for me.

    5. La Gazzetta
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A

  24. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Any moves needed?

    Mee in for Mustafi if need be.

    Hennessey
    Alonso / Mustafi / Moreno
    Hazard / Salah / Sterling / Richalison / Loftus-Cheek
    Kane / Morata

    Speroni / Mee / Francis / Niasse

    1ft, 0.2itb

    1. Klopptomist Scott Jelly
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Save it I think, unless you want to try DCL in for Niasse before any changes

      1. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Not against Liverpool. More than happy to bench a 4.9m striker.

        1. Klopptomist Scott Jelly
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Assumed that was the case 🙂 Hopefully he gets his chance the week after!

          1. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            Fingers crossed. Easy move to DCL if not.

    2. Edmond
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Save FT

      1. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Thanks.

    3. La Gazzetta
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Looks more like the template every time I see it. If you had DCL i think it just about would be (minus the keepers). I love Alonso but I think Christensen and Kola is better than Alonso and Mustafi personally, just from what I've seen in games

  25. Klopptomist Scott Jelly
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    That's an interesting concept (obvs can't see the actual article) 🙂

    1. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Pretty much says Hennessey / Speroni double up is the way of the future!

      1. Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Might choose these on WC as well, so cheap

        1. We Will Klopp you
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          I'm looking to get whichever is no.1 in once that becomes clear, conveniently leaves enough to get Heaton in for Pope when he's back

      2. Klopptomist Scott Jelly
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Hmmm... I'm happy with DDG at the mo 😛

  26. Jimbo-Jones
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Ok to use 1 of my 2FTs to just upgrade Rosenior for Xmas period?
    Gives me 2 FTs next week.

    DDG
    Otamendi Azpi Mee
    Sane Salah Richarlison Gross
    Morata Kane Abraham

    Elliot, RLC, Duffy, Rosenior

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Ha. No Hazard.

    2. Mateja
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Abraham->DCL and Sane->Hazard

      1. Jimbo-Jones
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Thanks.
        £0.7m away from above move. And would be nervous about having no City forwards.

        Kane/Morata are only two to fund Haz.
        Kane I'm holding; Morata -> Haz seems too sideways.

  27. LosBlancos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    G2G?
    Schmeichel
    Alonso Otamendi Daniels (Duffy, Mbemba)
    Coutinho Hazard Salah Sterling Richarlison
    Morata Rooney (DCL)
    1FT .2m itb

    C torn between Couta and Haz, will assess after Liv game tonight

    1. MartialMatas
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      think id go haz
      g2g

    2. GAMBIT
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      C Hazard

  28. MartialMatas
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Any reason not to do Sane and Alonso to Christensen and Hazard now?

    Begovic Elliot
    Alonso Otamendi Mee Naughton Duffy
    Salah Sane Sterling Richarlison RLC
    Kane Morata Abraham

    2ft 1m itb
    WC still available

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Niether are rising or falling. Might as well wait a day or two.

    2. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Alonso nailed this weekend.

  29. Erez Avni
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Which cheap striker is best for next 2-3 GW?
    a. Tammy
    b. Dcl
    c. Austin
    d. Bony
    c. someone else

    cheers!

    1. MartialMatas
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      dcl

    2. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      B

  30. BenjaminFlow
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Should I do Eriksen + Jesus to Hazard + X (max 8.9m)? If so, which striker under 8.9m should I get? Vardy? Firmino? Someone form 6-7m price range?

    1. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Firm

    2. Davidinho
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Do it for Firmino