Members
6 December 2017 1215 comments
Prokoptas Prokoptas
Share:

Regular readers of the Technical Area articles will no doubt be familiar with expected goals (xG), a key metric introduced to the Fantasy Football Scout Members’ area this year as a means of estimating goal scoring returns on the basis of chance quality.

This week, however, we are flipping our focus to examine the top goalkeepers over this year’s campaign and to introduce, for the first time, our related keeper-specific metric: expected goals prevented (xGP).

In brief, this data tallies the quantity and quality of chances a goalkeeper is faced with, in order to calculate a baseline of their expected goals conceded. From this number, we subtract the true number of goals that have beaten each goalkeeper, in order to determine the expected goals they have personally deterred.

This week’s Technical Area will be running the rule over how FPL’s highest-owned goalkeepers have performed in this particular metric thus far.

We also take a wider view of the position as it now stands, in light of the recent uncertainty surrounding the pitch time of budget-friendly options such as Rob Elliot and Julian Speroni.

  1. boc610
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    If you want a short rundown of what Pep did to Joe Harts career, find an empty coke can, crush it and toss it in the bin.

    1. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      To be fair didn't Pellegrino bench Hart first?

    2. Fpldonny
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      tbf joe hart is not a top class keeper

      1. Kryten
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        He was a few years ago

    3. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I've never bought Head and Shoulders since he started advertising it.

  2. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Benching headaches! Which 3 would you Bench? Thinking Ota, Ward and DCL.

    Fab
    Ota / Christensen / Kiko / Ward / Duffy
    Salah / Richarl / Hazard / Coutinho / RLC
    Kane / Morata / DCL
    (Elliot / XXX / XXX / XXX)

    1. stat
        8 years, 9 days ago

        I agree with benching Ward and DCL but I'm not sure if I'd start Otamendi or Kiko.

      • Stef rocks
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        I would bench RLC DCL and Ward, e.g. play Ota

    2. leonickroberts
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Start:

      a) Ota (mun)
      b) Kenny (liv)
      c) Mariappa (bur)

      1. tafrère
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        C

      2. Kryten
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        C

    3. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I have Duffy, Dunk, Naughton and Mee into 2 spots.

      Big Brighton gamble, one of them or none at all?

      1. The Rumour Mill
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        I would double down on Brighton!

        1. GENERATION X
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Thanks for feedback - I think one of them is due a goal too so may well gamble, maybe Dunk in the right net!

    4. Iceball
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Defender up to 4.9
      A) Sakho
      B) Zee
      C) Simpson/Morgan

      1. Kryten
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Sakho bonus and attacking potential with out dann in the lineups

      2. Football Weekender
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        From that list - C

        Off list - Femenia

      3. Live Lad
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        I went J Ward myself. 0.1 short of Sakho.

    5. XABI 15
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Bench one of:

      Richarlison (Bur A, have Mee)
      Gross (Hud A)
      Wilson (Cry A)
      Abraham (WBA H)

      Thanks

      1. Kryten
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        What's you team look like?

        1. XABI 15
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          DDG Elliot

          Mee Azpi Kola Hegazi Jones
          Hazard Salah Ramsey Gross Richarlison
          Abraham Wilson Kane

      2. stat
          8 years, 9 days ago

          I'd probably bench Abraham, but I have no idea which one of Defoe and Wilson Howe will start so that's something to consider too.

        • The Head-Ake
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          C

      3. Daniel Exeter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Admittedly I don't really know anything about Zeeglar - I see he's on the rise.

        He's only played 4 games all season, yes the last 4 .. but where has he been the rest of the season? Is there a worry he'll be fall back to not playing?

        1. czechow
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          I have the exact same concerns..

        2. Football Weekender
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          There’s always the risk of wingbacks being rotated due to the physical exertion the position requires. The only one who seems immune to it is Alonso. I’d expect Zeegelaar to be rested for Holebas at some point and the same with Femenia and Janmaat on the other side. Won’t stop me from getting Femenia though.

          1. czechow
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            Does similarly priced Kabasele prevent the risk? 2 goals in last 7 or something

            1. Football Weekender
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 9 days ago

              Centrebacks are less prone to rotation but as to who Silva’s preferred three are, I don’t know to be honest. The insight of a Watford supporter would be helpful at this point!

      4. czechow
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Pope - Elliott
        Mee - Daniels - Christensen - Azpi - Dunk
        Richo - RLC - Salah - Sterling - Sane
        Kane - Morata - Wilson

        A) Sane > Coutinho
        B) Sane + Azpi > Hazard + Kabasele / Zeeg / Mariappa (-4)
        C) something else?

        Dead weight I am looking at Elliott, Sane (due to Utd away), Wilson. Would like Hazard above all else.

        Help please guys?

      5. Stef rocks
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Repeating post, but still don’t have answers to myself!

        Need to play 3 - Who would you play out of these:
        A)Gomez vs EVE.
        B)Maguire vs new
        C)Gross vs hud
        D)Richa vs bur
        E) RLC vs BOR
        F) Wilson vs cry

        Currently heading to A, B & C but that would mean playing 5-3-2 which seems kind of weird but could be beneficial at the end of the day?!

        I really want to avoid having 6pts playing and 15+ on bench 🙁

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          A clean sheet
          C great fixture
          E palace should score worth a wee gamble

        2. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          C D F

        3. Surfeit of Lampteys
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Damn that's tough. The only two I'd be comfortable benching are Maguire and Wilson. If Gomez plays tonight there's a chance he plays Trent vs Everton anyway.

          1. Stef rocks
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            Yeah pretty clear with Gomez situation - so there comes the question of 1st sub if I play him and he didn’t play 🙂

            1. Surfeit of Lampteys
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 9 days ago

              I say go ACD with EBF your bench order. V tough call tho so good luck.

        4. Stef rocks
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Rest of the team if this will help you 🙂

          Fab
          Azpi Kola Tripier
          Salah Ozil
          Morata Kane

      6. KingOfLuck
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        I have 2 FT and 1.0 M itb, but not sure were to use them?

        Fabianski
        Daniels - Monreal – Ward – Naugton
        Hazard – Salah – Zaha
        Firmino – Kane – Morata
        Subs: Elliot – Doucouré – Cork - Mbemba

        A) Elliot -> Gomes
        B) Elliot + Fabianski -> Speroni + Courtois
        C) Zaha -> Ramsey
        D) City coverage?
        E) Other?
        F) Waste a FT?!

        1. justlikehoney
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Team looks good for this week. I'd do Elliot to Gomes or Mbemba to a Watford defender.

      7. Scheister
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        2 FT's ...any suggested moves here? Cheers

        Pope (Elliot)
        Alonso Daniels Ward (Mustafi) (Mariappa)
        Salah Sane Sterling Richarlison RLC
        Kane(C) Morata (Niasse)

        1. Stef rocks
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          I would get rid of Daniels and probably save other Ft - how much ITB?

          1. Scheister
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            0.1

          2. Scheister
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            Daniels at Palace is pretty nice on paper, after this week will definitely be ditching him though

        2. tafrère
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Downgrade Alonso to upgrade Sané to Hazard.

        3. Gruu
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Mustafi -> Kiko
          Sane -> Hazard

        4. Mackans
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Mustafi,Alonso,Sane -> Moreno,Christensen and Hazard.

          I think Hazard is essential right now

      8. The Head-Ake
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Fabianski
        Daniels. Christensen. Ward.
        Hazard. Salah. Richarlison. Sterling.
        Morata. Kane. Murray

        Bench : Elliot. Moreno. Cork. Duffy. 1FT and 0.6 ITB. GTG? Thoughts on this?

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          get rid of daniel

          1. The Head-Ake
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            After this GW sure, but for now? Is the benching order right?

            1. Stef rocks
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 9 days ago

              I would play Moreno over Daniels - much bigger chance of CS and bonus points respectively - Daniels could outs ore only if he scores (can’t see Bor keeping a CS)

        2. Differential C (Mark)
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Save and Kane (c)?

          1. The Head-Ake
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            Hazard's performance yesterday confuses me. He was phenomenal but I might go Mavericks

            1. Differential C (Mark)
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 9 days ago

              Yeah, Im (c)ing Haz only cuz I decided to rage transfer Kane out for Morata.

        3. Gruu
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          GTG. Keep FT

        4. Alonso The Great Midfielder
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          might play duffy and moreno than ward and daniels....but it is tight call

      9. Mackans
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        How can i do my team better in the coming gameweeks?

        Hennessey
        Alonso Ward Daniels
        Hazard Salah Sterling Richarlison RLC
        Kane Morata

        Bench: Elliot Kenny Marriappa Quaner
        0,0mil IB

        1. Annie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          It's pretty solid, doubt there are any suggestions that would be likely to improve it based on current available information.

      10. Legohair
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Fabianski
        Kolasinac-Daniels-Moreno
        Salah-Sane-Groß-Richarlison
        Kane(c)-Morata-Firmino

        Elliot,RLC,Mee,Fuchs
        1 FT 1.2 in the bank
        Was thinking Fuchs to Christesen maybe?or somehow Sane to Hazard?

      11. DA Minnion (Former great)
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Fab
        Moreno Kola Kiko
        Gross Salah Hazard Ramsey Sterling
        Morata Kane (c)

        Elliot Dcl Francis Mbemba

        Good to go for weekend?

      12. Kane Train
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Ramsey or Mahrez for David Silva

        1. Alonso The Great Midfielder
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          ramsey...just think mahrez is a bit pricey....

        2. We Will Klopp you
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Ramsey by far, better option and cheaper too, which is why I'd say by far

        3. Stef rocks
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Better get a pool Mid if you can afford (Cout, Mane)

      13. machickenz
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Room for Hazard? 2 FT 0.2 ITB
        Courtois Elliot
        Otamendi Moreno Naughton Clark Mbemba
        Sanchez Salah Sane RLC Cork
        Kane Morata Calvert

        a) Kane + Cork out > Murray + Hazard in 0.9 ITB
        b) Kane + Sane out > Lacazette + Hazard in 0.7 ITB
        c) Morata + Sane out > Vardy + Hazard in 0.1 ITB
        d) Morata + Sane out > Firmino + Hazard in 0.2 ITB
        e) Kane + Sane + Clark out > Vardy + Hazard + Kolasinac 0.7 ITB (-4 hit)
        f) Kane + Sane + Clark out > Firmino + Hazard + Kolasinac 0.8 ITB (-4 hit)

        1. Annie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          I wouldn't lose Kane and Morata to Hazard + options feel sideways.

        2. Odikostar
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          a

      14. George James
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Best keeper / Defender combo up to 9.1m ??

        Rest of back line is...

        Xxxx / Pereria
        Xxxx / Azpil / Mee / Mustafi / Huney

        1. Differential C (Mark)
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          begovic and Kiko?

          1. George James
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            Bournemouth fixtures are nasty.

            How about Gomes and Gomez 🙂

            1. Differential C (Mark)
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 9 days ago

              Plausible, what about GOmez and Simpson? Simpson seems more nailed than Gomez.
              Also, what do you think of Darlow (4.4m)?

              1. Differential C (Mark)
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 9 days ago

                *Gomes

      15. HurriKane
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Sees this stat. Cries in a corner 😉 Not sure im gonna captain Kane any time soon again (apart from dgw22)

        Harry Kane captain 7 times = 58 points (average 8.3 points)

        Lukaku(3) + Aguero(1) captained 4 times = 72 points (average 18 points)

      16. Differential C (Mark)
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        A

        1. Differential C (Mark)
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          reply fail to MAchikenz

      17. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Play one from following (Alonso Daniels other defenders)

        A Ward (means double Burnley with Ward)
        B Fernández if confirmed back fro sad loss
        C Kenny

        1. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          * Pope in goal

        2. Alonso The Great Midfielder
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          a the obvious choice

        3. Henryyy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          I would go B with A first sub

        4. Old Wulfrunian
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          a

      18. Atwood
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Any good FPL extensions/scripts for Chrome? Already using BetterFPL.

      19. Sims
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Would u do Kolasinac > Christensen if u had 2 FTs and absolutely no other moves to make?

        1. Ratatouille
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          No

        2. Odikostar
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          yeah

        3. Podge
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Nah

        4. We Will Klopp you
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          No

        5. Pep bites Kun
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          I wouldn't. Kola is equal to Alonso..

      20. Scheister
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        2 FT's
        Thinking Sane>Hazard and Alonso>Zanka
        Worth it? Chelsea will be keeping some clean sheets, and Sane could score a few too... But Hazarrrrrd?

        Pope (Elliot)
        Alonso Daniels Ward (Mustafi) (Mariappa)
        Salah Sane Sterling Richarlison RLC
        Kane(C) Morata (Niasse)

        1. Differential C (Mark)
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Would do.

      21. Mackans
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        How can i do my team better i the coming gameweeks?

        Hennessey
        Alonso Ward Femenia
        Hazard Salah Sterling Richarlison RLC
        Kane Morata

        Bench: Elliot Kenny Marriappa Quaner
        0 ft right now- 0,0mil IB

        1. Athletic Nasherbo
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          A really strong 11 so well done. That bench could become an issue especially over the festive games. Could do Richarlison to Doucoure in the future to upgrade Quaner/Mariappa

      22. leonickroberts
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Courtois (Speroni)
        Gomez Ward Mariappa (Ota, Kenny)
        Salah Gross Richarlison Sane Silva
        Morata Kane (Tammy)

        Worth doing Silva+Sane > Hazard+Shaqiri/Young for -4?

        Also - which keeper to start this week!?
        a) Courtois (whu)
        b) Speroni (BOU)

        1. Mackans
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Start the safe Courtois because Speroni may not start

        2. Baz
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          always courtois

      23. CRO KLOPP
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Need some advice
        Who to bench here(2 of them)?
        A) Wilson
        B) RLC
        C) Duffy
        D) Otamendi
        E) Daniels
        F) Naughton
        Cheers and GL

        1. Differential C (Mark)
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          E and F

        2. DV8R
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          CE

      24. DV8R
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Is it worth getting Hazard if it means you have 0 Man City players for the next few weeks?

        1. Alonso The Great Midfielder
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          go for it

        2. We Will Klopp you
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Yes Hazard is the most important pick at present, best captain pick at present and an endless run of good to great fixtures

        3. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          ye that what I'm doing, with their fixtures and with other teams lining up defensively I don't think they'll be as explosive/reliable for points
          they area still good options but having hazard is more important right now imo

      25. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        with this article in mind now unsure which way to go?

        A - pope, coutinho, kenny
        B - DDG, ramsey, Moreno (or other 4.7 ish def)

        have salah an haz

        thx all

        1. Podge
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          A

          1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            thanks, most people seem to be swaying this way, I suppose I can always downgrade

      26. HD7
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Team for next GW - Right order of team and Captain?

        Fabianski
        Walker Mustafi Daniels
        Sterling Richarlison Salah Hazard RLC
        Kane(C) Morata

        Subs: Elliot, Mee, DCL, Mbemba

        Mee in for... one of the 3 at the back?

        Want to play Mee but don know who to put out from the first team?

        1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          I'm leaning towards kane unless salah is rested tonight in which case I'll be torn
          was going hazard but he gave a lot last night and think he'll have his minutes managed at the weekend
          think your bench order Is right, and mee may come on anyway for mustafi

        2. DenDanskeDuo
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          I might lean towards Mee over Daniels? But as Shotgun says, he might autosub on anyways..