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6 December 2017 1215 comments
Prokoptas Prokoptas
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Regular readers of the Technical Area articles will no doubt be familiar with expected goals (xG), a key metric introduced to the Fantasy Football Scout Members’ area this year as a means of estimating goal scoring returns on the basis of chance quality.

This week, however, we are flipping our focus to examine the top goalkeepers over this year’s campaign and to introduce, for the first time, our related keeper-specific metric: expected goals prevented (xGP).

In brief, this data tallies the quantity and quality of chances a goalkeeper is faced with, in order to calculate a baseline of their expected goals conceded. From this number, we subtract the true number of goals that have beaten each goalkeeper, in order to determine the expected goals they have personally deterred.

This week’s Technical Area will be running the rule over how FPL’s highest-owned goalkeepers have performed in this particular metric thus far.

We also take a wider view of the position as it now stands, in light of the recent uncertainty surrounding the pitch time of budget-friendly options such as Rob Elliot and Julian Speroni.

  1. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Hey mates:

    TC to RLC and play him or Dann to Kiko and play Kiko?

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I would do the latter this week

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Leaning towards this

  2. Monkey Hanger
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Any word on Andy and his shit internet connection? Is it the end of 'Lets Talk FPL'? Hoping someone has some good news.

    1. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Only whats on his twitter.

      "I think the YouTube stuff is likely going to have to stop.

      I used to record the videos after streams / Scoutcast and get it uploaded the same night to save time. Took about 10-15 mins to upload.

      Think I've missed maybe 2 Scoutcasts in total since I started doing them. Unfortunately tonight I had to miss another as the connection just won't hold up so that will have to stop too.

      I will look into alternatives to get back on track but I don't think there are any..."

      1. The Wise Owl
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Where is he uploading from? A well?

        1. CloudSky
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Galway. So yeah.

      2. Monkey Hanger
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Cheers Cloudsky. That doesn't sound at all hopeful. Shame.

  3. zotter
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    How am I looking ??

    Foster
    Ward. Naughton. Alonso
    Rlc. Richarlison. Hazard. Salah. Mane
    Morata. Kane c

    Elliott. Mariappa. Kenny. Niasse

  4. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Watford, Leicester and Crystal Palace with good fixtures, who to get max 4.9?
    A) Sakho
    B) Zee or Femenia
    C) Simpson/Morgan

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Ferminia

    2. OBAMA
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      zee for me

    3. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Femenia or Sakho

    4. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I don't think Leicester's fixtures are good.In the next 6 only New,Cpal are good on papers.Sou(A),Wat(A) are tricky.Kiko for me in gw19.

  5. OBAMA
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Please help me pals..

    Fab / Elliot
    Mustafi / Naughton / Daniels / Ward / Mbemba
    Salah / Sane / Silva / Alli / Stephens
    Diouf / Kane / Firm

    (0.6m in the bank)

    Team is very shakey I know... thinking of getting in Hazard as have no Chelsea cover atm.

    Do you think I need to get Mustafi and Silva out or should I monitor?

    Thanks!

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Sane Alli to Richarlison Hazard ?

      Sane will be rotated more than silva imo

      1. OBAMA
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        but silva and mustafi on 75% ...?? or no need to worry?

    2. Red Dagger ✪
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Alli out for sure and probably Sane / Silva. Bring in Haz and Sterling and you are GTG.

      1. OBAMA
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        why is sterling suddenly nailed on ahead of Sane?

        I originally took sterling out for sane 2 weeks ago :O

        1. Red Dagger ✪
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          So did I and that was a mistake. He just gets in better areas and is playing sort of as a second striker. Plus he is less money.

          1. OBAMA
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            hmm ok, would you take out silva or sane?

            1. OBAMA
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 9 days ago

              also can't afford to bring in haz and sterling

              1. fishnil
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 9 days ago

                Get Richarlison instead

  6. Maddamotha
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Good evening!
    I have 2 fts. 0itb

    Foster (Elliot)
    Otamendi, Ward, Daniels, Jones (Mbemba)
    Salah, Hazard, Sterling, Chopou, Carroll
    Lukaku - Kane

    A) Lukaku, Daniels to Morata, Christensen (leaves me with 0itb)
    B) Lukaku, Chopou, to Firmino. Ramsey (leaves me with 0.3itb)
    C) Other

    1. OBAMA
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Lukaku -> morata

      Chopou -> rambo

      ????

      1. Maddamotha
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Dont have the cash mate

    2. gwitbrock
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A for me. Choupo could easily come good the next few weeks.

  7. Carcaju
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Hey! Any of you know if Davies, Christensen, Niasse or Calvert Lewin are likely to drop or raise tonight?

    Cheers!

    1. KingOfLuck
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      No, doesn't look like it.

    2. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      fplstatistics.co.uk

      Reliable for rises 90% of the time, reasonable for drops. Best out there currently.

  8. Zinedine Kilbane
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Good to see the English keepers performing so well

    1. The Wise Owl
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Joe Hart for England

    2. Zinedine Kilbane
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Who you think should be number 1?

      1. The Big Fella
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Pope on current form

  9. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Guys, should I play:

    A) RLC
    B) Daniels
    C) play them both but bench Dunk

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      C

      1. AzzaroMax99
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        thx

  10. KingOfLuck
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    I will do a repost but add an alternative C!!! 😉

    Would you rather have A, B or C?

    A Courtois and Kabasele = 10m
    B Gomes and Christensen = 10m
    C DDG and Kabasele = 10.3m

    Why did Kabasele go of at 63 min last game? (Is it worth finding 0.1 to pick Kiko instead?)
    What does Value (form) and Value (season) stand for when sorting transfer objects?

  11. Gudjohnsen
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Best City attacker to have and why?

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I would say kdb

    2. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Otamendi.

    3. Sandy Ravage
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Sterling or Jesus

      1. zotter
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Not Jesus. Can’t captain him. Sterling or kdb

    4. Emp
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      sane

      1. Emp
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        or sterling

    5. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Coutinho 😉

    6. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Depends if you can deal with how frustrating Sterling is, how streaky Sané is, how expensive kdb is. The strikers are a no go atm with Jesus acting as a super sub and Aguero all out of form.

  12. JurgenRodgers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Which players would you like to see emerge over the next month or so?

    Going to throw a few out there!!

    Shaw at £4.9

    Deeney £6.3 (At Everton)

    Lamela £6.3

    Pereyra £5.8

    Any thoughts?

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Maybe deeney.

      Perhaps Lallana?

    2. Red Dagger ✪
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Lamela. Always liked him. Must be those eyes 😉

  13. Ballistics
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Aguero Chopo Surman Bavies
    To
    Quaner Ramsey Hazard Kenney
    For -8?

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Seems a worthy -8 to me

  14. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Kane gonna fall down tonight?

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Hope not, if he gets flagged as a result of that he might drop in price

      1. We Will Klopp you
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        All joking aside, he's at 97.2% atm, so it's possible but don't think it will happen until the last minute if at all personally

        1. The Overthinker
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          if at all he falls, I hope he repays it over the weekend

    2. Speédy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Been there for 3 days now. I think he falls Friday/Saturday

      1. The Big Fella
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Hopefully Saturday

  15. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Best defender below 5.5 for next 3 ?

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Sakho, Moreno, Femenia/Zeegelaar all good options

      1. The Overthinker
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Moreno with two home games is tempting .

    2. Gomez, Moreno or Mustafi?

      1. The Overthinker
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Tempted to do Francis to Moreno for ft

        1. zotter
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          I would do Gomez over Moreno

          1. The Overthinker
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            Why is that?

            1. Better at earning baps.

              1. The Overthinker
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 9 days ago

                Ah okay cheers .

                One more thing doos, will you do Francis to say Gomez or Moreno this week and bench rlc ?

                1. Yes. I am not Loftus-Cheek's biggest fan. He flatters to deceive.

    3. Speédy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Sakho,Kiko, Christensen,Mustafi

  16. Lanley Staurel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Anyone know why Silva is flagged?

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Pep said he's a doubt for the Derby

  17. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Pick one to play from

    Daniels (cry)
    Moreno (EVE)
    Dunk (hud)

    &

    Gross (hud)
    Richarlison (bur)

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Moreno

      And can’t you play both ?!

  18. FCExpectedToulouse
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    DDG / Elliot

    Nacho/Ota/Daniels/Ward/Rangel

    Salah/Sane/GroB/Hazard/Davis

    Vardy/Lukaku/Ayew

    2FT/ 1.4 ITB

    Thinking of
    A} Daniels => Kabasele
    Lukaku => Morata
    Davis => Ramsey
    B} Daniels => Zeeglar
    Wait a week
    Lukaku => Kane
    C} Daniels => Valencia
    Davis => random

  19. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    How can i do my team better in the coming gameweeks?

    Hennessey
    Alonso Ward Femenia
    Hazard Salah Sterling Richarlison RLC
    Kane Morata

    Bench: Elliot Kenny Marriappa Quaner
    0 ft right now - 0,0mil IB

    1. Oven Glover
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Pick the right captain

    2. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Same as my team. Except mine better as have foster mane Niasse over Hennessy sterling quaner

      Thinking about it not sure about the better bit !

  20. SomeoneKnows
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Any idea if Mane is going to play this gameweek?

    1. liiusions
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      He will

    2. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Almost certainly. Might not in the midweek after tho

    3. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      The teamsheet in 30 minutes will provide some clues.

  21. ZakAFC_
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Want Hazard in my team and still have my wildcard available. Will take 3 moves to get him. Should I..

    A.) Use the wildcard
    B.) Take a -8 and save WC

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A

      Gotta use that WC at some point buddy 🙂

    2. dark91
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A and improve your team overall

    3. Mackans
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      It depends on the rest of your team

      1. ZakAFC_
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Team is linked mate

        1. Mackans
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          I would take (-8) because you have a great team overall:)

          1. Homer21
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            NOT THIS

    4. Homer21
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Would have now is best time to use your wildcard

    5. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A! It runs out in few weeks anyways doesn’t it??

      1. ZakAFC_
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Yeah GW20

  22. Salah’s Sonnet
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Hiya lads,

    Elliot + Mustafi + Wilson > DDG + Zeegelaar + DCL worth a -8?
    (Alternatively i could do Ward > Mbemba and keep Mustafi)

    Have exact cash to do this, Kane going down in price, Elliot dropped, Zeegelaar rising.

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Nobody? anyone?

      1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Here I am! Wait a mo

    2. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I don't think it's worth -8 (depending on your other gk), Mustafi is decent value and could be back for next week

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Cheers WP, my other keeper is Krul haha 🙂
        I agree about Mustafi, and i could keep him by moving on Ward instead as above.
        For Context, my team is:

        Elliot
        Christensen - Otamendi - Mustafi
        Richarlison - Hazard - Salah - Sterling
        Kane - Morata - Wilson
        ______________________________
        Krul: Ward, Moreno, RLC

  23. Jon Bones Jones
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    This is my first season. Everybody is talking about Spurs and WH double gameweek. Is it important so much that you, because of that, change your team so much ( 3 from Spurs, 3 from WH! ) or is overrated?

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Nah, would be no need to have three from each, i'll just be rolling with Kane, and maybe a spurs defender, dunno yet.

    2. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      You don't need 3 from each at all. I really wouldn't consider any West Ham players on current form, and maybe 2 Spurs if they keep this up.

      1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Seeing as it's your first season, a trend (which may or may nor continue this year) was that goalkeepers with DGWs tended to do very well. I would be eyeing Kane and maybe Lloris, Eriksen if Spurs are in form by then.

        1. Jon Bones Jones
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          My gk is DDG and midfield is Hazard, Salah, Sterling, Richarlison and RLC. So it's going to be little hard for me to sell them :). Thanks for advice

    3. Jon Bones Jones
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I only have Kane from those two teams and don't have a plan to bring anybody else ( maybe Eriksen but my midfield is so strong, don't want to drop anybody) . And when Spurs don't play the week before, I also don't want to sell Kane. My bench would be DCL, RLC and Moreno or Femenia. So I'm thinking it's ok if I leave Kane in my team in that gameweek when he is not playing. Your opinion on that?

      1. Johnny Leghorn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        I'm planning on shifting Kane out after GW17 and getting back for GW22. Only Southampton at home is a real risky fixture.
        Just need to keep the rebuy money easily available so don't spread it around too much.

  24. zotter
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    My predicted pool front four:

    Tonight. Coutinho. Mane. Salah. Firmino

    Everton. Coutinho. Mane. Salah. Sturridge

    Wba. Lallana. Mane. Ox. Firmino

    Bourne. Coutinho. Ox. Salah. Firmino.

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Coutinho will get baggies! Defensive team needs unlocking 🙂

  25. Speédy
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Start or bench Mustafi?

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Start surely if you have him. Who are other options.

      1. Speédy
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Duffy and Daniels on the bench. Christensen and Mee starting

        1. zotter
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Start Duffy. Sell mustafi

  26. zotter
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    For the double. Thinking

    Get lloris in next couple weeks. After city game

    Keep Kane throughout

    Get lanzini soon for richarlison.

    Then transfer in alli or eriksen that week.

  27. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Will Wilson start next game?

    Yes or no

    1. Monkey Hanger
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Yes.

    2. Speédy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Yes imo

  28. Clifford☯
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Best defender upto 5.0 to replace Daniels?
    Rest of the defenders are Azpilicueta, Otamendi, Maguire & Dunk.

    1. DAZZ
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Probably femenia, or moreno

    2. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Mariappa given the rest of your defence

    3. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Sakho, Femenia, Moreno

    4. Clifford☯
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Cheers everyone.

  29. DAZZ
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    You feel Ronaldo will start tonight? Worth moving my UCL captain from Pogba to CR7?

    1. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Easiest choice

  30. ZeBestee
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Which 2 will you start?

    1) Ward
    2) Daniels
    3) Ota

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Ward

      1. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        You meant bench Ward right?

    2. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Ward. Ota

    3. Mackans
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Ota & Ward - I think United wanna keep it tight and i dont think they will score. Ward över Daniels because Burnley have a bryter defence

    4. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Thanks all