Spot the Differential
16 December 2017 1543 comments
James H James H
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Two players who scored in midweek and now face favourable home fixtures have taken our fancy in our latest differential picks.

We’ve also been drawn to a West Ham midfielder whose improved performances of late suggest he could return to haunt his former club later today.

Shinji Okazaki

Following a sensational display in Leicester City’s 4-1 win over Southampton, Shinji Okazaki is our headline selection ahead of the visit of Crystal Palace.

The Japanese international produced 16 points via two goals, an assist and maximum bonus, which tied for the highest individual score of Gameweek 17.

Despite being limited to just nine starts this season, the 5.2%-owned forward has still produced an impressive six goals and two assists.

Interestingly, he is averaging a shot every 37.5 minutes, which is superior to team-mate Jamie Vardy (53).

The in-form Foxes face a favourable match-up in today’s early kick-off.

Only Stoke City have conceded more big chances (26) in away matches than the Eagles (24), while Roy Hodgson faces a defensive injury crisis, with Mamadou Sakho, Joel Ward and most likely Timothy Fosu-Mensah all sidelined by injury.

Meanwhile, no team has scored more goals over the last four Gameweeks than Leicester (10).

Available at 5.4 in Fantasy Premier League, Okazaki has the potential to be an absolute steal.

He scored in a 3-1 win for the Foxes in the corresponding fixture last season, and given his current form, looks an outstanding differential option.

Marko Arnautovic

Returning to the bet365 Stadium for the first time following his summer move to West Ham United, we’re backing Marko Arnautovic to produce against his former club Stoke City.

The Austrian netted his first Hammers goal in last weekend’s 1-0 win over Chelsea and has been their chief goal threat over the last four Gameweeks.

He has produced more shots (eight) and three times as many penalty-area efforts (six) as any other West Ham player.

He is also ranked top for penalty box touches over that period, with 21.

Stoke’s defensive struggles make this fixture a promising one for David Moyes’ side.

The Potters have conceded more goals (36) and allowed more big chances (42) than any other team this season.

They have won only one of their last seven encounters and are currently just two points above the relegation zone.

Following a slow start to his career at the London Stadium, Arnautovic appears to be finding his feet at his new home.

Priced at 6.8 and sat in just 0.6% of squads, he represents a major differential.

For those maverick Fantasy managers out there, the West Ham midfielder could represent the ideal punt for Gameweek 18.

Jesse Lingard

Flourishing in a No 10 role for Manchester United, Jesse Lingard looks a great option for Sunday’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

The England international has produced double-digit scores in each of his last two away appearances, totalling 27 points.

His underlying statistics over the last four Gameweeks are particularly eye-catching.

No team-mate has produced more penalty-area efforts (eight) over the four matches, while he has received four big chances, with no other Man United player managing more than one.

Lingard has also emerged as the stand-out creative force, leading the way for key passes with seven.

Setting us back just 5.9 in FPL, the midfielder is a hugely enticing budget option.

Sunday’s match at The Hawthorns could be very profitable for the Man United attack.

The Baggies have conceded 11 goals in their last five home matches, shipping at least two goals on four occasions. 

Jose Mourinho’s side, meanwhile, have scored seven goals in their last two away trips.

The Red Devils also benefit from a very kind upcoming schedule, further boosting the appeal of the cut-price midfielder.

With an ownership of only 2.1% in FPL, and given his growing influence, Lingard can be an effective differential fourth or fifth midfield option for the festive period.

  1. NachoMan
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Can someone talk me out of this please?

    Fabianski and Kane OUT
    DDG and Kun IN

    1. TheAbear53
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ok

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kun may not start

    3. A Team Of James McCleans
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Enjoy Kuns 1 pointer off the bench while half the game enjoys Kane’s hatty

      1. dark91
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I hope by hatty you means his hat (cap), cause there is no way Kane is getting a hatrick today 😀

        1. Naboo
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          No way? Really? Why? Can see a brace for sure. Does better against expansive attacking teams

          1. dark91
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            It is not about Kane's individual capabilities nowadays but rather Spurs' overall low performance

            1. Naboo
              • 13 Years
              8 years, 2 months ago

              True, fair enough. But they'll be up for this one, biggest game of their season so far, people questioning them etc. Will want to prove those people wrong by putting on a great performance

    4. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Do it! Great moves.

    5. FC nelo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I have both Kun and Kane. But would rather have Kane for the certain start..

    6. Balls of Steel
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kun will start and score today... City's best striker against top team and looking for that 16th win in a row

  2. Disco Pat
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    For once don't have to make transfer but struggling with my first 11

    Pope
    Jones Christensen Mee kenny
    Salah couthino (vc) hazard (c)
    Kane morata DCL

    Bench
    Elliott richarilson gross kiko

    Feel I should start richarilson but can't figure for who.

    1. yakirh
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I would bench Mee because you play Pope

      1. Robben Mee Blind
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        This

        1. Disco Pat
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Thanks Yakirh and robben mee blind
          Good luck today to ye both.

          1. Robben Mee Blind
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            You too DP

    2. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Play Richarlison for DCL or Kenny

    3. Butlanding
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bench mee for Richarl or Gross?

  3. Manani
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Foster Elliot
    Otamendi Mee Memba Gomez Mariappa
    Hazard Salah Coutinho Richarlison RLC
    Kane Morata DCL

    save FT?

    1. The Chief
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Maybe upgrade Foster?

  4. The Chief
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play two:
    A Mariappa (HUD)
    B Mee (bha)
    C Gross (BUR)

    1. FC nelo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A C

  5. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which player will score the most points this game week?

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ozil.

      1. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Interesting!

        1. badgerboy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Loves playing Newcastle.

    2. TheAbear53
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mahrez

    3. The Chief
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Haz

    4. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Siggy

    5. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Willian, Shaqiri

    6. Brap.
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Fernandez (Swansea)

    7. Sting in the Tail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Probably a defender with a clean sheet and a goal in a 1-0. I'll go Duffy.

    8. England23
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Alonso

      1. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Don't say that. I just got rid.

    9. Garlana
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Coutinho

    10. Krionos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sanchez.

  6. Trovsmash
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pick one to play, please
    A. Niasse
    B. Mee

    1. FPLAdmiral
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mee

  7. yer old da
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A. Ward to Jones

    Or

    B. Tom Carroll to Lingard?

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A)

    2. FC nelo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. STONEROSES
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’d keep Ward esp if u got him at 4.5ish, but Jones IN is solid transfer. Can’t rely on lingard

  8. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Why cant I do transfers in FPL Draft now?
    I confirm signings and nothing happens

  9. Patch
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is there anyone on the forum who has been keeping very quiet despite choosing good captain choices last few GWs?

    I can't seem to pick the right one in yonks...anyone thinking to captain DDG?

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Not with a Rondon masterclass incoming! 🙂

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Hehe you will be a better man than me if you get that right...West Brom haven't scored a single goal in 65% of their matches

        1. badgerboy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          After seeing so many people taking hits for De Gea and Jones on here over the last few days and being Utd-less myself i've set up a Rondon shrine in the corner of my bedroom! 😉

    2. Cuffs
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I have Phil Jones as my vice.

    3. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I caught Kane, Haz and Salah hauls over last few GWs (smug)

    4. AYLD28
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I have ‘nailed the captain picks in recent weeks

      GW11 Lukaku (12)
      GW12 Kane (16)
      GW13 Kane (12)
      GW15 Hazard (30)
      GW16 Kane (24)
      GW17 Aguero (12)

      This week I’m going Hazard. At home, on penalties and Morata will play which means Haz v New and not Haz v Hudd

  10. Jared Dunn
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hi guys, 2FT and 0.6ITB and I'm tempted to lose a FT, really unsure what to do.

    Pope(Adrian)
    Monreal/Christensen/Dunk(Otamendi/Tarkowski)
    Hazard/Salah/Silva/Gross(RLC)
    Kane/Vardy/DCL

    Cheers.

    1. ljuta zena
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      You are very balanced. Maybe RLC for someone else, not necessery.

      1. Jared Dunn
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thinking Kane > Rom and Gross > Richarlison but not sure.

    2. ljuta zena
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Easy. There is Carabao in the midle of the week

    3. Cash'nBurn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      It’s tough passing up a FT, but your squad looks in good shape.

      If you didn’t have Vardy, I would suggest a punt of DCL -> Okazaki.....

      ...but you do.....so I won’t.....

  11. MrMajeika
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on my team?
    Pope (Elliot)
    Monreal mee Kenny
    gross Salah sterling hazard
    dcl morata Kane
    (rlc hegazi daniels)

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Solid

  12. Alli
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Any changes needed?

    DDG - Speroni
    Otamendi - Christensen - Tarkowski - Kabasele - Kenny
    Hazard - Sterling - Salah - Shaqiri - Surman
    Kane - Firmino - DCL

  13. Magic Box
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one?

    A) Gomez
    B) Mee

  14. HD7
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Was planning to get Jones back to my team but then decided tha De Gea is worth the extra. Reason: United has 4-5 Cbs which will see Jones get rotated at least for 1-2 matches in next month...

    Agreed?

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes. De Gea is a set and forget. No rotation worries every week, no injury dramas. The peace of mind is worth the extra cost alone.

      1. HD7
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks. Wanted to hear it

  15. Sims
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    would u get richarlison ths week or wait till next?

    1. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Wait if the alternative is decent enough, he might not play.

      1. Sims
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        ive got sterling and coutinho. thinking to shifting one to richarlison

        1. Robben Mee Blind
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Hold

  16. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    BREAKING: Pogba looks to be played as a defensive midfielder when he returns next week. Very annoying!

    https://mobile.twitter.com/BenDinnery/status/941975827138383872

    1. BbBb
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Fellaini and pogba have hardly played together all season, just because he's out it definitely does not mean pogba will be defensive

    2. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Can’t see it happening

    3. HD7
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      So what?! Matic is bought to be the defensive midf, Pogba is the creative... and if they play with 2nd defensive so that Pogba goes as a 10, there is Herrera and the new kid

    4. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Box to box. His driving runs are what United have been missing, not defensive work! Guaranteed goal threat no matter what his position on the field is. He drives the team forward

  17. Lumberjack
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ward and Tammy to Jones and DCL (-4) - yes or no?

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes! Wow folks still have Abraham...

      1. Lumberjack
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Haha fair comment...!

  18. FPLAdmiral
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Starting Pope, which 1 to bench?

    (A) Kenny (SWA)
    (B) Mee (bha)
    (C) Otamendi (TOT)

    1. iveseenitall
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  19. WE GO FOR IT
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    RP. Pick one:

    A. Keep Kiko. Play Rich and Morata, risk playing with 10 if one of them doesn't feature, play Daniels and save FT.
    B. Replace Kiko. Play replacement instead of Daniels and Daniels comes in if Morata/Richarlison don't play.

    1. A Team Of James McCleans
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

      1. WE GO FOR IT
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers! 🙂

  20. jackhammer1
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Next 4 gw...

    A. Kane DCL and Fabianski
    B. Rooney kdb and de gea

    1. Aston-villain
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    3. AYLD28
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I think B

    4. Jekori
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      For next 4 i'd go B.
      i'd expect Rooney to score vs swansea and 1 of wba/Bou. total of 22 points. DDG probably gets 3 CS in 4. 26 points.
      KdB is a nice differential and if anyone can pick the spurs apart it is him. probably gets something like 4 assists. 26 points = 74

      I'm expecting 1 goal from Kane vs Bur/MCI and a brace vs southampton. 32 points. DCL 2 assists. 16 points. Fabianski has to do with 2-5 points every match. 16 points. = 64 points

      So if you can get kane out and back in for GW22 within 2 hits it might be worth it. If more might not be worth it. Also depends if you have another gk than fabianski and who you captain.

  21. Aston-villain
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench Gross or Mee ??

    1. iveseenitall
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mee, burnley are better defensively at home.

  22. iveseenitall
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is my bench correct? It feels wrong to bench otamendi.
    Fab
    Kenny, monreal, alonso
    Rich, sterling, mahrez, salah
    Firm, kane, dcl

    Elliot, ota, mee, rlc

    1. BbBb
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'd play ota over dcl, got burned for benching him vs Utd

  23. Gaffa914
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who would you transfer in?
    A) Kabasele
    B) Masuaku

    1. Deep Sea Amphipod
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. SUPER MOKH
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Masuaku for better form and attacking threats. Form over fixtures.

  24. Mauricios Cappuccino
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start Mee or Niasse?

    I have Pope.

    1. Deep Sea Amphipod
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mee

  25. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    WIll D Gray start after Okazaki’s performance?

    1. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      After that performance, Okazaki starts no matter what. So it's either Gray or Albrighton on coming in on the left for Chilwell I think

    2. Balls of Steel
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Hard to know but after his stunning performance against Southampton the odds are in his favour for another start

  26. Maddamotha
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ey! Whats most urgent? Foster > Ddg or Daniels > Christensen?

  27. Game of Throw_ins
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Fill in the bench:
    3.9 ______ ______ Quaner

    Team is:
    Pope
    Azpi Otamendi Jones Kolasinac Mariappa
    Salah Coutinho Hazard Richarlison Sterling
    Kane DCL

    1. iveseenitall
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mariappa, then its really tough either ota or dcl

      1. Game of Throw_ins
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Was thinking similar. But hud don't score away..

    2. LÖrKingMuch
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Otamendi Mariappa

  28. The Hoff
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope/Elliot
    Alonso/Ota/Jones/Ward/Gomez
    Salah/Sterling/Richarlson//Choopi/Carroll
    Kane/Mata/DCL

    2.3itb, 2ft,rank:90k

    Any way to get haz or silva in? Or what would you do?
    A- kane/caroll-haz/okazaki
    B-kane/caroll-???/silva
    C-carroll->gross
    D-downgrade ward so can do choopi-> pogba next week?
    E-elliot->adrian
    F-other?
    (Bought ward at 4.5m)

  29. Naboo
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Don't expect anyone to know who I am but just in case I was FKA Benzieyeah.

    New grav and name, same excellent advice and OR 😉

    1. LosBlancos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Hazard Salah or Coutinho?

      1. Naboo
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        for C? Hazard just. Coutinho my VC

  30. Deep Sea Amphipod
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which moves look better?

    a) Morata & RLC > Austin & Mahrez (2FT)

    b) Azpi > Christensen/Jones, save 1FT