Spot the Differential
16 December 2017 1543 comments
James H James H
Share:

Two players who scored in midweek and now face favourable home fixtures have taken our fancy in our latest differential picks.

We’ve also been drawn to a West Ham midfielder whose improved performances of late suggest he could return to haunt his former club later today.

Shinji Okazaki

Following a sensational display in Leicester City’s 4-1 win over Southampton, Shinji Okazaki is our headline selection ahead of the visit of Crystal Palace.

The Japanese international produced 16 points via two goals, an assist and maximum bonus, which tied for the highest individual score of Gameweek 17.

Despite being limited to just nine starts this season, the 5.2%-owned forward has still produced an impressive six goals and two assists.

Interestingly, he is averaging a shot every 37.5 minutes, which is superior to team-mate Jamie Vardy (53).

The in-form Foxes face a favourable match-up in today’s early kick-off.

Only Stoke City have conceded more big chances (26) in away matches than the Eagles (24), while Roy Hodgson faces a defensive injury crisis, with Mamadou Sakho, Joel Ward and most likely Timothy Fosu-Mensah all sidelined by injury.

Meanwhile, no team has scored more goals over the last four Gameweeks than Leicester (10).

Available at 5.4 in Fantasy Premier League, Okazaki has the potential to be an absolute steal.

He scored in a 3-1 win for the Foxes in the corresponding fixture last season, and given his current form, looks an outstanding differential option.

Marko Arnautovic

Returning to the bet365 Stadium for the first time following his summer move to West Ham United, we’re backing Marko Arnautovic to produce against his former club Stoke City.

The Austrian netted his first Hammers goal in last weekend’s 1-0 win over Chelsea and has been their chief goal threat over the last four Gameweeks.

He has produced more shots (eight) and three times as many penalty-area efforts (six) as any other West Ham player.

He is also ranked top for penalty box touches over that period, with 21.

Stoke’s defensive struggles make this fixture a promising one for David Moyes’ side.

The Potters have conceded more goals (36) and allowed more big chances (42) than any other team this season.

They have won only one of their last seven encounters and are currently just two points above the relegation zone.

Following a slow start to his career at the London Stadium, Arnautovic appears to be finding his feet at his new home.

Priced at 6.8 and sat in just 0.6% of squads, he represents a major differential.

For those maverick Fantasy managers out there, the West Ham midfielder could represent the ideal punt for Gameweek 18.

Jesse Lingard

Flourishing in a No 10 role for Manchester United, Jesse Lingard looks a great option for Sunday’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

The England international has produced double-digit scores in each of his last two away appearances, totalling 27 points.

His underlying statistics over the last four Gameweeks are particularly eye-catching.

No team-mate has produced more penalty-area efforts (eight) over the four matches, while he has received four big chances, with no other Man United player managing more than one.

Lingard has also emerged as the stand-out creative force, leading the way for key passes with seven.

Setting us back just 5.9 in FPL, the midfielder is a hugely enticing budget option.

Sunday’s match at The Hawthorns could be very profitable for the Man United attack.

The Baggies have conceded 11 goals in their last five home matches, shipping at least two goals on four occasions. 

Jose Mourinho’s side, meanwhile, have scored seven goals in their last two away trips.

The Red Devils also benefit from a very kind upcoming schedule, further boosting the appeal of the cut-price midfielder.

With an ownership of only 2.1% in FPL, and given his growing influence, Lingard can be an effective differential fourth or fifth midfield option for the festive period.

  1. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    My cup opponent and me got the exact same team except for one defender and goalie.. Comes down to captain choice!

    1. Ballistics
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      They might make a load of last min changes.

  2. N00B
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I have Hazard but I will captain Morata because:

    1. I think Willian will keep his place and he is very good at crossing.
    2. http://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/football/news/alvaro-morata-reveals-baby-joy-11680373 Morata confirmed that he will become a father

    1. grumpyman
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I think this could be the best move this week. I'm not brave enough so Hazard (c) for me. Good luck!

    2. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Can't argue with number 2. Sound logic. That explains the back injury.

      1. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Hahaha

    3. ljuta zena
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Perfect time for Haz to rest. Wilian on fire, Morata rested

    4. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thumb suck celebration x3 incoming

  3. The Chief
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Gross to Silva (ft) or wait a week?

    1. Ballistics
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’m debating shifting Gross too

    2. Dreaming of glory
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Give it one week with the fixtures but move to Silva next week for sure

    3. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I did it

    4. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      yeah, if free, just do it

  4. Ballistics
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who scores more this GW?

    A)Aguero Gross
    B) Morata Arnie -4

    1. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. LosBlancos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. The Chief
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  5. A Team Of James McCleans
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Courtois
    Ward Duffy Cedric
    Haz Salah Sterlin Rich Groß
    Kane Morata
    ____
    Elliot | Daniels Mbemba Ladapo

    A few flags in there, I have 2ft, what to do with that team?

  6. MrMajeika
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    gross to lingard for -4 for a differential a bad idea?

    1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Pogba will replace him soon

    2. STONEROSES
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yup

    3. The Chief
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Backwards

    4. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Not with his next two fixtures no. Leave Gross.

  7. BEEZUS
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start Mariappa or Firmino? Already have Salah in the team.

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Firmino

    2. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Lmao

    3. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Firmino

    4. STONEROSES
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Flip a coin, I’d be tempted by mariappa - controversially!

    5. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Why not stick (c) on Mariappa while you're at it

    6. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      What?

  8. Woy_is_back
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Carroll-> Richarlison
    Daniels-> Maximum 4.6

    For a HIT

    Yay or Nay?

    Which defender 4.6 or below?

  9. ZeBestee
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Best captain options

    1) Hazard
    2) Kane
    3) Ozil
    4) Morata
    5) Coutinho
    6) Salah

    1. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Option*

    2. LosBlancos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      not 2 😀

    3. STONEROSES
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      1.

    4. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      3
      1
      6
      5
      4
      2

      1. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Ozil? Interesting

  10. GOONER
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who to play?

    A) Mariappa
    B) Gross
    C) Alex-Trent*
    D) Niasse

    *Note already have Kalavan as liverpool defenece.

    1. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I am punting on Niasse. If he starts could go really well

    2. STONEROSES
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      D

  11. Sedemuda
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Help please!
    Play Tarko or DLC?
    DDG
    Kola Christ Ota
    Salah Haz Sterling Rich
    Kane Firm

    1. Deep Sea Amphipod
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      DLC

  12. AYLD28
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Good to go?

    Fab
    Jones, Christensen, Kenny
    Salah, Hazard (c), Sterling, Richarlison
    Kane, Kun, DCL

    Eliot, Mee, Dunk, RLC

    1. AYLD28
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      (V) Salah if it matters lol

  13. Deep Sea Amphipod
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which moves look better?

    a) Morata & RLC > Austin & Mahrez (2FT)

    b) Azpi > Christensen/Jones, save 1FT

    Apologies for the repost 🙂

    1. AYLD28
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I like A

      1. Deep Sea Amphipod
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I do too, certainly much more risk involved though

    2. SUPER MOKH
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    3. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    4. Deep Sea Amphipod
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers all

  14. Dynamic Duos
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Mahrez or Vardy?

    1. SUPER MOKH
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mahrez

    2. Deep Sea Amphipod
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Riyad

  15. St. Joseph
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Salah or morata
    Captain

    1. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

    2. vartshk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Morata if you’re chasing

    3. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

    4. Vlekz
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I somehow find morata as the safer option today. Got both. Leading my ML but still going for him

    5. SUPER MOKH
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Captain Pope anyone?

      1. JurgenRocks
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I wouldn't captain a goalkeeper, because there's too much chance of letting in one goal and losing the clean sheet.

      2. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Triple

    6. JurgenRocks
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Gomes,
      Monreal, Mee, Otamendi,
      Salah (C), Sliva, Hazard, Richarlison,
      Wood, Kane, Rooney (VC)

      Elliot, Doucoure, Simpson, Duffy

      Correct bench order and team?

    7. FrankieTheGent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Anybody else really struggling to make transfers on FPL draft?

      1. DA Minnion (Former great)
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I've given up on draft.

    8. 2hotty
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      got 2FT does courtois and moreno to de gea and ogbonna sound good or madness?????????

      1. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        If you have nothing else to do.

        1. 2hotty
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          yes not got much else on was really happy to own courtois but chelsea arnt keeping cleanies and de gea is a save and bps magnet.

      2. ILOVEBAPS
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Good

      3. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Go for it

    9. yer old da
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Tammy to..

      A. DCL
      B. Okazaki?

      1. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        A

      2. Sedemuda
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Oka

      3. 2hotty
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        A

    10. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Pick 2

      A) Dann (lei)
      B) Walker (TOT)
      C) Kenny (SWA)
      D) Simpson (CRY)

    11. A Team Of James McCleans
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Groß and Morata -> Mahrez and Okazaki for free is insane right?

      1. RUUD!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Absolutely. Okazaki had one good game

      2. vartshk
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah, hand off the trigger please!

      3. The Hindu Monkey
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        What?

    12. RUUD!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Can anyone decipher whether they think Mustafi will start. Sounds like he’s been training for the last few days

      1. teneighty
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Just saw that he is down to 50% and I don't know what to do. He is the only doubt in my team and I will get the RLC two pointer off the bench if he doesn't start. Thinking of getting Jones in for him but not sure he will start either.

    13. vartshk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Pope
      Christ kabasele otamendi
      Salah sterling (h)azard richarlison
      Kane morata DCL

      Elliot mee Gross hune

      How we looking? Worth getting mee on the pitch?

    14. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Is Mariappa now nailed? Especially if Silva keeps playing with 3 centre halves.

      https://mobile.twitter.com/BenDinnery/status/941977354720759808

    15. AD2110
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      How long is long nailed for?

      1. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I am back(Me) so not long

    16. jamie1972
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sane > Mahrez for a -4

      Leicester should hit 3 or 4 today

      Worth it?

    17. PlayPercentage
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      On the verge of changing Kane (C) to Salah (C).
      Reason: Spurs might end up with only 30% possession. They may score the odd goal, but I can't see a points haul for Harry.
      Liverpool are going to bounce back and thrash someone soon. It could be this GW.

      1. Krionos
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I had it on salah, but after checking the stats, bournemouth have shown resilience against top sides and Liverpools expected goals are lower than alot of other teams this week.

        Still a close race with Kane though. Many other better options than him this week i would think...

        1. PlayPercentage
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          >Liverpools expected goals are lower than alot of other teams this week<
          Probably because they have just had two disappointing draws.
          Salah will start, won't he?

    18. Krionos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Who would you start:

      a. Masuaku (Stk)
      b. Gomez (bou)

    19. Waynoo
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      1 hour until pens down