Spot the Differential
16 December 2017 1543 comments
James H James H
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Two players who scored in midweek and now face favourable home fixtures have taken our fancy in our latest differential picks.

We’ve also been drawn to a West Ham midfielder whose improved performances of late suggest he could return to haunt his former club later today.

Shinji Okazaki

Following a sensational display in Leicester City’s 4-1 win over Southampton, Shinji Okazaki is our headline selection ahead of the visit of Crystal Palace.

The Japanese international produced 16 points via two goals, an assist and maximum bonus, which tied for the highest individual score of Gameweek 17.

Despite being limited to just nine starts this season, the 5.2%-owned forward has still produced an impressive six goals and two assists.

Interestingly, he is averaging a shot every 37.5 minutes, which is superior to team-mate Jamie Vardy (53).

The in-form Foxes face a favourable match-up in today’s early kick-off.

Only Stoke City have conceded more big chances (26) in away matches than the Eagles (24), while Roy Hodgson faces a defensive injury crisis, with Mamadou Sakho, Joel Ward and most likely Timothy Fosu-Mensah all sidelined by injury.

Meanwhile, no team has scored more goals over the last four Gameweeks than Leicester (10).

Available at 5.4 in Fantasy Premier League, Okazaki has the potential to be an absolute steal.

He scored in a 3-1 win for the Foxes in the corresponding fixture last season, and given his current form, looks an outstanding differential option.

Marko Arnautovic

Returning to the bet365 Stadium for the first time following his summer move to West Ham United, we’re backing Marko Arnautovic to produce against his former club Stoke City.

The Austrian netted his first Hammers goal in last weekend’s 1-0 win over Chelsea and has been their chief goal threat over the last four Gameweeks.

He has produced more shots (eight) and three times as many penalty-area efforts (six) as any other West Ham player.

He is also ranked top for penalty box touches over that period, with 21.

Stoke’s defensive struggles make this fixture a promising one for David Moyes’ side.

The Potters have conceded more goals (36) and allowed more big chances (42) than any other team this season.

They have won only one of their last seven encounters and are currently just two points above the relegation zone.

Following a slow start to his career at the London Stadium, Arnautovic appears to be finding his feet at his new home.

Priced at 6.8 and sat in just 0.6% of squads, he represents a major differential.

For those maverick Fantasy managers out there, the West Ham midfielder could represent the ideal punt for Gameweek 18.

Jesse Lingard

Flourishing in a No 10 role for Manchester United, Jesse Lingard looks a great option for Sunday’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

The England international has produced double-digit scores in each of his last two away appearances, totalling 27 points.

His underlying statistics over the last four Gameweeks are particularly eye-catching.

No team-mate has produced more penalty-area efforts (eight) over the four matches, while he has received four big chances, with no other Man United player managing more than one.

Lingard has also emerged as the stand-out creative force, leading the way for key passes with seven.

Setting us back just 5.9 in FPL, the midfielder is a hugely enticing budget option.

Sunday’s match at The Hawthorns could be very profitable for the Man United attack.

The Baggies have conceded 11 goals in their last five home matches, shipping at least two goals on four occasions. 

Jose Mourinho’s side, meanwhile, have scored seven goals in their last two away trips.

The Red Devils also benefit from a very kind upcoming schedule, further boosting the appeal of the cut-price midfielder.

With an ownership of only 2.1% in FPL, and given his growing influence, Lingard can be an effective differential fourth or fifth midfield option for the festive period.

  1. Reuser
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Incredibly dull question - but who should I have as first on my bench?

    Naughton
    RLC

    Will be playing Niasse (who plays Swansea).

    1. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Rlc over naughton.

    2. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      RLC

  2. Demel
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Captain Sanchez over Hazard?

    1. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yup

    2. smitchlovesfunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes! Sanchez is a great differential. Surely about time some of his shots went in, he’s had loads of last 4 gameweeks

  3. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Very much torn between Kun, Hazard and Salah for the captaincy. Currently on Kun, as I am a sucker for "Record v's"...

    Aguero has 10g (2a) in 11 v Spurs.

    Haz record v SOU is pretty healthy too mind, he's got 4g (3a) in 11.

    Either way it's Haz plus one of the others as I'm not C/VC'ing 2x rotation risks!

    A. Kun(c) Haz(v)
    B. Haz(c) Salah(v)
    C. Salah(c) Haz(v)

    1. Forza Papac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A couple publications are predicting Salah to be rested.

      1. The Overthinker
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        He can really damage coming on for 45 mins too

    2. Iceball
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'm on c

    4. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      b

  4. tbhogal
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Will Mustafi start today ?

    1. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I don't think so

  5. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pick 2 to play:

    A) Otamendi
    B) Kenny
    C) RLC
    D) DCL
    E) Dunk

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      You must have a good squad!

      Otamendi and DCL

    2. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B & D

  6. Mr. Sitter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    G2G?

    Fabianski
    Christensen, Otamendi, Mariappa, Duffy
    Salah, Hazard (C), Silva
    Morata, Kane, Niasse

    Elliot, Ogbonna, Groß, RLC

    1. Suarezista
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Gross ahead of Ogbonna for me.

    2. The Chief
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Gross ahead of Niasse for me

  7. Fuchs Mane Kante
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Expect the unexpected when Sky do the six a side.

    Must be getting bungs to rotate.

    Stay woke sodomites.

  8. Suarezista
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Would you change any of the benched players or their order ?

    Pope
    Otamendi, Christensen, Gomez, Dunk
    Salah, Hazard(C), Richarlison, Choupo
    Kane, Firmino

    Elliot; Niasse, Wimmer, RLC

    1. ljuta zena
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      cool

  9. ljuta zena
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Easy with Richarlison, he just came from injury. Maybe benched, restrictive minutes etc...

  10. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    England still in the series, just need to bowl them out for under 600, score 300 themselves and then bowl them out for under 100.

  11. Feloh
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    ota will concede against spurs. tempted to bench him and play zaha

    1. ljuta zena
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      It isnt great idea to play him as 4. defender against Spurs

      1. Team Cruel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Spurs didn't score vs Arsenal or United.

    2. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      This

    3. ljuta zena
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thats wright, but remember they run in Champions league.... They easily beat Real. Total unpredictable

  12. Numb
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Any team sheet rumours?

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes.. Salah to be benched today..
      Might play tomorrow though

  13. amplifiedAnt
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Do one safe transfer or take a hit to fix my defence?

    De Gea, Elliot
    Otamendi, Ward*, Kiko*, Kenny, Naughton
    Hazard, Salah, Sterling, Richarlison, Loftus-Cheek
    Kane, Morata, Calvert-Lewin

    1FT, 0.3 ITB

    A. Ward > Jones (bench Kiko)
    B. Ward + Kiko > Christensen + Ogbonna (-4)
    C. Other FT
    D. Hold

    1. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A. Jones + Kenny have strong cs potential this week. Ota less so.

  14. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Captain Hazard or Salah.

    1. paatmaan
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Hazard!

  15. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Oggy/Masuaku Which one and why ???

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Masu because I like his name better

      1. My Name Is Prince
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        This!

      2. My Name Is Prince
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        "Masu" means belly in finnish 😉

  16. paatmaan
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start RLC or Tammy Abraham?

    1. Tom Heat-is-on
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      RLC

  17. smitchlovesfunk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bring in Sanchez for -4?

  18. ILOVEBAPS
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    WC team! Any help appreciated.

    Pope / Adrian
    Ota Jones Christensen Kenny Kasabele
    Silva Sterling Coutinho Salah Hazard
    DCL Rooney Austin

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mahrez/vardy ( mahrez more) imo

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Instead of who?

    2. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Amazing team one can have without him!

      1. My Name Is Prince
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Well, amazing defense and mids

    3. rainy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Minor point, but Adrian and Hart are still a selection dilemma for Moyes afaik

  19. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Guys. Would you bench Son v MCI or Bench Crouch v WHU.???

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bench Crouch and never look back.

    2. Matt Sk
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Crouch for sure

  20. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Masuaku rather than Ogbonna? Replacing Moreno...

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes. No good reason tho.
      See above ^

  21. Feloh
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    wouldn't charlison's minutes be limited. could bench him for zaha

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Don't

  22. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A. Kane and Sterling
    B. Hazard and Morata

    1. For this GW?
    2. For longer term?

    Thinking 1.B and 2.A... your view? Thanks.

    1. Tom Heat-is-on
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane and Hazard 🙂

  23. Impossibility
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play Mee or Duffy?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mee

    2. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mee

  24. Karan_G14
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Lacazette a good option for the next 2 (NEW, LIV)?

  25. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG?

    DDG
    Ota - Christ - Kenny
    Salah - Haz(c) - Silva - Mahrez - Rich
    Morata - Okazaki

    Speroni - DCL - Jones - Ogbonna

    1. Tom Heat-is-on
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Very solid team. GTG

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks mate. Kept my WC until now which has helped.

  26. TheTeeGees
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Only 9 points behind the lead in mini league.

    Kiko>Marriappa
    Choupo-Moting>Lingard

    For a -4?

    Or stick?

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Just Kiko out .

      1. TheTeeGees
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers.

        If just kicking out Kiko, could afford Holgate. Already have Pickford in goal but rival has Marriappa...?

  27. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    New crowd, old question. Who do you think will start - Aguero or Jesus?

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sergio

    2. AYLD28
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Which do you own?

      I own Aguero and think he will start but may just take a hit and get rid

  28. lordkippe
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Do you think this is good to go ? got 1FT but thinking of saving for next gw. Temptet by arnautovic & Lacazette though.

    Foster

    Kolasinac - Christensen - Maguirre

    Hazard(C) - Salah - Zaha - Gross

    Kane - Morata - DCL

    Elliot - Mee - RLC - Dann

  29. Tom Heat-is-on
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hey! I am having some benching headache. It is probably not about big hauls, but still. I'm leaning towards 5-3-2, is it a bad idea with this material?

    de Gea
    Alonso Tarkowski Kenny Klavan Morgan
    Hazard(c) Salah Richarlison
    Morata Kane

    subs: Elliott, DCL, RLC, Oriol Romeu

    Is the bench order right? Are the right guys on the field?

  30. AYLD28
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I brought Aguero in as my Morata replacement midweek and captained him.

    Do I keep Aguero and suffer the pill of a price drop or:

    1. > Morata
    2. > Lacazette
    3. Someone else

    1. davidmcnamara
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Keep kun