Scout Notes
14 January 2018 4816 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
Share:

A star turn from an in-form striker makes history for Bournemouth as Arsenal’s defensive fragility is exposed once again.

Callum Wilson helped Bournemouth to their first ever Premier League win over the Gunners and boosted his increasingly strong claims to be our third forward for good measure.

The striker hit the equaliser and then set up Jordon Ibe’s winner, grabbing maximum bonus for a 12-point return.

Injury kept Wilson out of the team until Gameweek 10 and he then scored in just one match, although that did involve a hat-trick against Huddersfield, up to Gameweek 19.

But his current form has been well worth the wait for his 2.4% ownership, with strikes in three of the last four fixtures.

Priced at 5.7 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Wilson has the form and some favourable fixtures (whu che STK hud NEW lei) to be a strong third striker candidate.

He’s certainly got the attacking numbers to back up his claims. Only Harry Kane can better him for goals (five to three), shots (22 v 15), efforts in the box (14 v 12) and attempts on target (12 to eight) over the last four Gameweeks.

Ibe has also been producing the figures – as we detailed in yesterday’s Spot The Differential article – to warrant interest and he duly obliged with a first ever league goal for the Cherries.

He’s had more shots (19) and efforts on target (nine) than any other midfielder in the last four Gameweeks, while only four have bettered his 11 key passes.

Ibe thrived alongside Ryan Fraser, who provided the other assist, in a central support role in a 3-4-2-1 formation.

His 4.8 price and 0.4% ownership mark him out as a budget differential in a side showing some serious attacking intent – Bournemouth continue to rank top for shots inside the box over the last four Gameweeks.

Bellerin boost for owners

Just one Arsenal player, Hector Bellerin (12.6%), is currently enjoying double-figure ownership in FPL and he delivered in an otherwise dismal display from the Gunners.

Having failed to score in the first 21 Gameweeks of the season, the Spaniard has now netted back-to-back goals, with the assist today coming from Alex Iwobi.

Bellerin is finally starting to translate attacking statistics into points – among defenders, only Marcos Alonso has bettered his 24 shots so far this season.

Defensively, however, it’s another matter for him and his team-mates.

Arsenal’s nine clean sheets this season is bettered by just five teams, but they’ve now gone five matches without a shut-out and have kept only three in the last ten.

Injuries to key personnel such as Laurent Koscielny and Nacho Monreal haven’t helped, although Sead Kolasinac was fit enough to return to the squad today.

However, the summer signing was consigned to bench-warming duties as Ainsley Maitland-Niles’ continued at left wing-back at the Vitality Stadium.

Mesut Ozil’s knee injury seemingly kept him out, while Alexis Sanchez was omitted from the starting XI and edges ever closer to the Emirates exit. However, Arsenal’s attacking depth was at least boosted by the return of Aaron Ramsey, who was handed 16 minutes from the bench after recovering from a hamstring injury.

The Welsh international averaged 5.4 points per match prior to that problem and he will now be pushing for a return to the starting XI, particularly with the Sanchez saga finally nearing its end.

Arsene Wenger had this to say on the Chilean’s situation post-match

“He’s [Sanchez] in a mode where he doesn’t know what’s happening to him. That’s why I decided to leave him out, because he could have moved today, or not. I didn’t want to come down with him here travelling away from the team.”

The 2-1 defeat today made it just one win in five for Arsenal, yet their attack has ticked over, scoring 10 times.

And their medium-term schedule remains one of the kindest – the Gunners play just three of the top eight over the next 12 fixtures, facing Spurs in Gameweek 27, Man City the week after and Leicester City in Gameweek 31.

  1. NestorC
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    0,1 priced out to get Alonso, if there could only be 4,4m forward...

  2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Chelsea interested in signing Andy Carroll from West Ham this month to replace "tired" morata

    https://twitter.com/guardian_sport/status/952672273764319232

    1. liiusions
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Morata could be a good option with some decent playmakers like Lanzini playing him in

    2. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Lool

    3. Pooodle
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Lol

  3. A Team Of James McCleans
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Harry Kane has scored in 10 league games this season. I’m only two of them has he only scored one. Those were back to back games. #Explosive.

    1. Pooodle
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Very explosive but it’s all or nothing which can be pretty annoying.

  4. MTPockets
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Morata/Zeegelaar -> Firmino/Stones done. The relief.

    • Batchain
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      So next 2 weeks -

      Aguero (NEW, WBR)

      or Salah? (swa, hud) (Just to head it off - can't have both).

      1. Rik Waller
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Salah defo

      2. A Team Of James McCleans
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Aguero for a bit of differential, Salah to be safe. Aguero may not be nailed in a couple of weeks, choose wisely.

      3. Legomané
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Well, Salah is essential, Kun is desirable

      4. Thinkering like a Boss
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Salah the most ESSENTIAL player on FPL this SEASON!

      5. Francescoli
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Salah

      6. liiusions
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Salah

      7. Ibracadabra
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Aguero.

        1. Ibracadabra
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          and I own Salah.

      8. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        No doubt Salah

      9. Pooodle
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Get Salah in - 1 blank in his last 14 games. He’s killing non-owners.

      10. Batchain
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks for the quick response. It only applies to next 2-3 weeks, after then def. have Salah for rest of season.

        1. Pooodle
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Don’t overthink it, just get Salah in asap

    • chaser123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      DCL + Morata > Wilson + Firmino + £0.9 for -4

      1. MTPockets
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Maybe but Bournemouth play midweek (wigan).

      2. Francescoli
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Ryan Adrian
        Otamendi Jones TAA Dunk Lascelles
        Eriksen Sterling Son Arnautovic Lanzini
        Aguero Kane Quaner

        2FT 0.1ITB

        : Eriksen and Otamendi —> Salah and Stones

        any other suggestions?

      3. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Southgate would be mad not to take Wilshere and Chamberlain to the world cup.

        1. liiusions
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Was just speaking about this. Got to be the 2 starting mids with Dier or Hendo sitting in front of the defence

          1. AlCapwnUK
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            You playing 4-3-3?
            Kane up top with sterling and another winger?

            1. liiusions
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Yup seems to be the way to go with our squad. Not sure how Alli would fit in

              1. AlCapwnUK
                • 11 Years
                7 years, 11 months ago

                Agreed, just a shame england rarely get to counter and use the pace of sterling / rashford

        2. AlCapwnUK
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Wishere definitely. If the ox can make the case for himself over lallana / alli in the middle then fine, but I imagine Southgate is going to go with alli

          1. Davido989
            • 15 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Chamberlain is better than Lallana, imo. And that's why Klopp has him in the team too.

            1. My Name Is Prince
              • 12 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              *faster

        3. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Months to go yet

          1. Davido989
            • 15 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Yeah. Hope Wilshere stays fit.

            1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              He did look awesome today tbf, and he's generally looked good playing for England.

        4. Pooodle
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          They’re about the perfect midfield duo to ensure England go out immediately after the group stages.

          Having said that virtually all of england’s centre mids are poor.

      4. Digital-Real
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Triple up on Pool?
        Salah
        Mane
        Firmino

        1. BERGKOP
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Two is enough I think.

        2. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Salah Firmino

      5. Radisson
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I've got a big pot of cash that I want to spend on this lot:

        DDG / Elliot
        Otamendi / Jones / Christensen / Kenny / Mariappa
        Salah / Son / Sterling / Lingard / RLC
        Kane / Firmino / DCL

        I have £4.2m ITB.

        Kenny > Alonso (leaves 1.3m itb)
        Christensen + RLC > Alonso + Arnautovic (leaves £0m itb)
        Any other thoughts?

        Thanks for your thoughts

        1. FPL_Hazards
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          A&A

        2. Kun Tozser
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Yep

        3. golly28
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          You got pretty much the same
          Team as me! Only I’m considering DCL our this week

      6. Ligdon
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Expected goal data is a bit of a joke at times, both liverpool and city had expected goals of 0.81 in that match as we know it ended 4-3 :/

        1. AlCapwnUK
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Agreed. It is a bit of a useless statistic for a single match. Far more useful when looking at longer term.

        2. liiusions
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          It's a load of rubbish

        3. Rik Waller
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          The biggest flaw in XG is that it doesn't take the quality of the player into account

          1. liiusions
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            This is my exact problem with it. Messi could have the same chance as myself and it would still be the same xG

            1. Rik Waller
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              I guess it's more a reflection on how well the team are at creating opportunities.

        4. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Its a joke metric.

        5. Pooodle
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Didn’t City only have 4 shots on target? Pretty unusual to score 3 goals from that number of shots.

      7. RIPAguero
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Morata & DCL > Firmino & Ayew for a -4?

        Morata & DCL will both drop tonight and I like Firmino over Aguero.

        1. GE
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Not for a hit

        2. Pooodle
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          You’ll presumably bench Ayew so don’t he’s not worth a hit.

      8. Kun Tozser
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Rp
        Ogbonna + Alli
        Or
        Alonso + Choupo

        1. arndff_
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          b

        2. Old Wulfrunian
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Alonso+Choupo

        3. GE
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          B

        4. Prøfeßör …
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          B

      9. AlCapwnUK
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Who's the new best defender under 4.5? After finally getting rid of Rooney this week it's my next priority

        1. Pooodle
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Ogbonna if West Ham can start keeping cleanies.

      10. arndff_
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Will Mahrez a good option from next GW?

        1. arndff_
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Is Mahrez *

        2. Thinkering like a Boss
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          maybe. Who know what

        3. Rainer
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Been a good option all season.

          1. arndff_
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Dont know whether Haz + Christensen to Alonso + Mahrez worths a -8pts

            1. Pooodle
              • 16 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              No not -8

        4. GE
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Yup, he looked really good against Chelsea

        5. Ambrosiana Inter
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Vardy better

      11. Digital-Real
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Spurs version of fab four

        D- Delle
        E- Eriksen
        S- Son
        K- Kane

        Go to to laugh!

      12. GE
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        1) or 2)? 🙂

        1) Morata -> Aguero
        2) Mee -> Alonso

        Current team:
        (1FT, 2.6 itb)

        Hennessey (Speroni)
        Ota/Jones/Mee/Duffy (Ogbonna)
        Salah/Sterling/Son/Arnie (RLC)
        Kane/Morata (Quaner)

        1. My Name Is Prince
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          2

        2. Prøfeßör …
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          2

        3. Thinkering like a Boss
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          1

      13. My Name Is Prince
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        How about Kenny/Alli/Morata —> Alonso/Arnautovic/Firmino -4?

        1. liiusions
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Aye

        2. Thinkering like a Boss
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Yes do it

      14. Ibracadabra
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        0.1m off Vardy -> Aguero for free. Scrap the move? Or find 0.1m somewhere? 3.2M in bank.

        Courtois
        Jones - Christensen - Ogbonna
        Salah - Son - Arnautovic - Lingard
        Kane - Firmino - Vardy

        Krul - Kenny - Francis - RLC

        Could just do Lingard -> Sane or Sterling and forget Aguero. Vardy looked dangerous at Chelsea despite not scoring and always has a random brace in him at any time.

        1. Ibracadabra
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Another option is Vardy, Christensen -> Stones, Aguero (-4)

          1. Pooodle
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            That could be good

        2. Old Wulfrunian
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          It's tough.Vardy is a good pick against Watford.It's not worth for a hit imo.

          1. Ibracadabra
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Agree - it's tough to sell Vardy for a hit especially when I could just get Sterling or Sane for free for Lingard.

            1. Ibracadabra
              • 16 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Will monitor midweek fixtures and see if any injuries pop up, etc.

      15. George James
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Lloris
        Azpil • Jones • XXX
        Salah • Arnie • Son • Sterling • XXX
        Kane • XXX

        A) Mustafi / Young / Firminio

        B) TAA / Mane / Wilson -4

        C) TAA / KDB / Ayew -4

        D) Mustafi / Sane / Wilson

        1. George James
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Subs - Masuaku / Mee / Niasse

        2. Jimmy Boy
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          D

      16. careta
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Posting once again, sorry.
        Team is:
        Fabianski (Elliot)
        Jones Alonso Otamendi Gomez (Zeegelaar)
        Sterling Salah Lingaard Choupo-Moting (Richarlison)
        Kane Morata (Ayew)
        2FT 0.4ITB
        Thinking of:
        1. Morata+CM->Firmino + Arnautovic
        2. Morata+Richarlison->Firmino+Son/Arnautovic
        3. Morata+Fabianski->Firmino+ De Gea
        4. Any ideas?

        1. Ibracadabra
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          I like #1

        2. golly28
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Yes - 2. Morata just not firing at the moment

      17. Jimmy Boy
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        A) Son and Morata (Currently in my team)
        B) Aguero and Arnautovic

        1. George James
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          B by a country mile

          Thoughts on my post above?

        2. Iceball
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          B

        3. james 101
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Assuming you have Kane, I'd go didn't instead.

          I'm sure you can use the cash elsewhere.

          That's just me though. I'm not loving kun this season...

          1. james 101
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Sorry. Didn't = firmy!

      18. james 101
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Question

        How much attention have you paid to Team/Squad value so far this season

        And are you happy about how you've approached that aspect of the game?

        1. the snazzy viking
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Not much

          no

          1. james 101
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Ha. Feeling the pinch now mate?

            I always pay attention as Itmakes the second half of the season more fun...

            1. Patch
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              This is the first season for me...will be clued up next time...

        2. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Not enough after the 1st few GWs.
          Not really.

        3. thisisdiz
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          I'm happy with my team value. And it will be more easy to build on 2nd WC in a later day..

      19. grifster69
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        a) Eriksen >de brune
        is it worth it have sterling and kane.

      20. Iceball
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Firmino sure is better long term than Aguero right?
        But Aguero(C) tempting next two, and if blank GW28 just sell him then...

        1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Looks like a good plan

      21. Expected Toulouse
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Adrian
        Alonso Otamendi Jones Robertson
        Sterling Son Arnautovic Lingard
        Kane Aguero
        Ryan Quaner Mee Carroll
        1 FT, 2.7 itb. Thinking of Son to Salah for free?

        1. golly28
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Nice team. Yes get Salah in.

      22. golly28
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        A) Firmino out to get Aguero in
        B) DCL out for Vardy in (-4)

        1. Expected Toulouse
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Don't do A, see why below. I would only pick Albrighton or Mahrez from Leicester. Vardy has been average. Could you do Dcl to Wilson for free?

      23. Pras (FPL)
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Aguero + Sane or KDB + Firmino?

      24. Duffy Dunk
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Was thinking of doing Firmino+Son -> Aguero+Doucoure but feel like not doing it now.
        Would you change anything?

        Ryan Elliot
        Alonso Otamendi Jones Mustafi Cresswell
        Salah Sterling Son Arnautovic Lingard
        Kane Firmino Calvert

        1 FT , 0.3 itb

        1. Expected Toulouse
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          As tempting as Aguero is for the next two, don't rip your team up to get him. Especially if you are getting rid of equally as good options like Firmino.

      25. A19
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Hi guys, thoughts on this lot:

        Foster
        Alonso Ota Jones
        Salah Sterling Son Arnie Lingard
        Kane Firmino

        Elliot Mee Ogbonna Crouch
        1ft 0.6itb

        As I don’t have any obvious issues should I use my transfer to change my gk? WBA have awful fixtures coming up..
        if so Foster to who?
        A) Pickford
        B) Pope
        C) Lossl
        D) Adrian

        Cheers!

        1. MTPockets
            7 years, 11 months ago

            If Elliot's not starting, isn't he the priority to sell.

          • Kolarov Fpl Legend
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            I'm in the same situation but with Pope...he doesn't bring the points lately and doesn't have good fixtures so i'm selling for Pickford.
            Elliot is my second but he can be perma benched.