Scout Notes

Scout Notes – Chelsea And Leicester Progress

FA Cup wins for Premier League sides are achieved in markedly different ways as the Gameweek 31 schedule remains threadbare.

Chelsea and Leicester City gave Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers two more compelling reasons to perhaps delay the Free Hit chip by confirming their absence from Gameweek 31.

Had the Blues lost at home to Hull City and Leicester done likewise against Sheffield United in last night’s FA Cup fifth round ties, then Gameweek 31 would have been boosted by an additional two fixtures.

As it was, both top-flight teams progressed to the quarter-finals, to be played on the weekend of March 17, meaning their league matches on that date will now have to be rescheduled.

The Blues were due to travel to Burnley, while the Foxes would have entertained Arsenal.

We’ll have a far clearer idea as to the final make-up of Gameweek 31 once today’s four cup ties are played, but it’s already starting to look like a particularly light weekend of Premier League action.

Only two matches are already certain to go ahead – Stoke City v Everton and Liverpool v Watford.

They will be joined by the losers of this evening’s tie between Huddersfield and Man United.

If that’s the Terriers, they’ll entertain Crystal Palace in Gameweek 31, while United will travel to West Ham should they bow out of the cup.

There had been a strong case for managers to employ their Free Hit chip to cope with Gameweek 31’s fractured schedule.

But exploiting the benefits of the chip on a Gameweek involving just three matches would be a tricky proposition; potentially there will be very few effective differentials at our disposal.

And as the FA Cup quarter-finals could very well involve exclusively Premier League teams, that will also have an impact on Gameweek 35’s fixtures when the semi-finals are due to be played. That would make using the Free Hit chip at that point all the more attractive.

Willian the Conqueror

Last night’s victories couldn’t have been more different.

Chelsea were home and hosed by half-time, four goals to the good thanks to a brace from Willian and one each for Pedro and Olivier Giroud, the latter scoring his first for his new club.

Assists came from Cesc Fabregas, Emerson and two from Giroud, while any thoughts of an unlikely Hull comeback after the break were quickly snuffed out when Willy Caballero saved a penalty.

While Willian’s clinical finishing will have turned heads, the biggest news for Fantasy managers arrived in Antonio Conte’s post-match press conference. The Chelsea boss confirmed that he expects Marcos Alonso to return from an ankle sprain to face Barcelona in midweek.

Alonso is the most sold asset player of Gameweek 28, with over 112,000 moving him out. His remaining owners may now look to hold the top-scoring defending, though investing in Chelsea assets at present is an unattractive proposition.

Conte’s men will face both Manchester sides – and both away – over the next two Gameweeks, with a visit from Spurs looming in Gameweek 32.

The Gameweek 31 blank therefore means they’ll play three of the top five over their next four matches, with two Champions League Round of 16 clashes with Barcelona to add into the mix as well.

Vardy strikes again

Leicester fielded a strong side against Championship promotion-chasers Sheffield United but had to wait until the 66th minute to break the deadlock.

Jamie Vardy scored what turned out to be the winner, set up by the returning Riyad Mahrez, who came out to boos but left the pitch to a standing ovation.

Vardy has now notched in five successive matches in all competitions and has picked up 55,000 new owners ahead of Gameweek 28. Only Oumar Niasse and Roberto Firmino have enjoyed more transfer interest.

Meanwhile, Fantasy managers will have welcomed Ben Chilwell’s presence at left-back for the Foxes. He ousted Christian Fuchs to provide another hint at the pecking order. Club skipper Wes Morgan also returned to the teamsheet, as Aleksandar Dragovic dropped out of the squad.

Leicester’s schedule is far more obliging than Chelsea’s.

A visit from Arsenal and a trip to Spurs are the only blots on an otherwise agreeable fixture landscape all the way through to the end of the season.

But with their Premier League status in no major doubt, coach Claude Puel picked a very strong team last night to signal his intention to make the FA Cup a priority.

That could eventually lead to squad rotation in the league, although their schedule, for now, is sufficiently well-spaced to make that an issue for the longer term, particularly if they make the cup semi-finals.

The whole picture will be a lot clearer following today’s ties and tonight’s quarter-final draw. But for now, Gameweek 31 looks to be a case of make do and mend for most FPL managers.

For further reference, we’ve written two articles providing a detailed look at the FA Cup implications for Fantasy managers.

Part One is available here, while Part Two can be found here.

1,751 Comments Post a Comment
  1. CRO KLOPP
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    My ML rival played his FH early in the season with 101 TV,I will have 106 TV (102.8 SV)
    Do I have advantage here money wise or it's irrelevant?

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      you know you do

    2. Postman Ty
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      In GW31 the most expensive team you can get is about 90-95m given the lack of premium options.

  2. steven8991
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Is ben davies nailed now?

    Monreal > Bavies for free. Do it?

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Hes not no

  3. soup natsi
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    I have 5 players with gw31 fixtures. In theory can field 11 with 3 hits. Or would you use the free hit?

  4. 2pointhit
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Why a WC this week could be a high-risk, high-reward strategy for teams with all their remaining chips.

    If you're chasing, with all your chips remaining, it seems this week is a unique time to WC if you want to take a calculated risk to catch some players ahead of you.

    The rationale goes something like this:

    - most informed players (on here) seem to be opting for a strategy of: transfers to get through BGW31, WC 32/33, BB 34, FH 35, TC 37 etc
    - by choosing a differential strategy this seems to be a good opportunity to make some ground on these players (with some luck needed), particularly if you're chasing
    - a WC now will enable you to stack your squad with the best 3 players from each of the teams who have a significant fixture swing for the next block of 4 fixtures from GW28 - Spurs, Leicester, Arsenal, (as well as 3 Liverpool players)
    - Between now and 32 your rivals will still have Man City, Chelsea and United assets (all of whom you will have dropped on WC 28). You can also predict from their strategy that your rivals' transfers in the next 3 weeks will likely be to bring in players who are playing BGW31 (i.e Shaqiri, Walcott, Wilson etc)
    - With a bit of luck, the teams with the fixture swing (Spurs, Leicester, Arsenal and Liverpool) will explode points in their upcoming easy fixtures, and the good fantasy assets most people own in the City, Chelsea and United teams could have a relative downturn with their bad fixtures.
    - By using FH in 31, you could ignore all the players your rivals will transfer in for the BGW 31 (Everton, Stoke, Watford, Bournemouth players), and focus all of your next 6 transfers in bringing in the best players for each gameweek from 28 onwards (as well as planning for BB DGW 34). This would maximise your chance of returns in the period from GW 28-33.
    - There doesn't seem to be another opportunity in the season where you can predict what strategy your rivals will take, and potentially take advantage by moving aggressively onto a fixture swing that your rivals won't be able to follow due to BGW 31 transfer commitments and the later wildcard.

    I accept a lot will have to fall your way in order for this to be profitable, but if the points follow the fixture swing then a GW28 WC could work. BGW 35 is where you would expect your rivals to make up some lost ground. However, if City, Liverpool, and Arsenal all have BGW35 fixtures it may not be too difficult to plan for.

    Just a thought!

  5. Pringle
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    What to do with Son? Worth to keep one more week?

  6. EFENDI
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Guys, can I use free hit and bench boost in 1 gameweek? thanks in advance