Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
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All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    DDG
    Otamendi, Smalling, Naughton
    Ramsey, Salah (c), KDB, Lingard, CM
    Firmino, Vardy

    Pope, Alonso, DCL, Azpi

    I'm thinking;
    A) Alonso > Robertson
    B) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Davies
    C) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Mustafi
    D) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Morgan
    E) Alonso, Azpi & Lingard > Robertson, Morgan & Arnie (-4)
    F) Other... Please let me know your thoughts.

    1. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  2. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pickford
    VVD, Maguire, Mee
    KDB, Salah, Shaqiri, Mahrez, Lingard
    Kane, Firmino

    xx, Naughton, Quaner, xx

    1FT. 0.8m

    Save a transfer this week?

    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yip

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      yes

      xx to you too

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Who you capatining?

    3. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nice team

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks

  3. Henning
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Gtgor anything worth a hit? have 2.3 m in The bank

    Pickford

    Davies Alonso Mee

    Salah Mahrez De Bruyne Can

    Kane Vardy Ayew

    Adrian Deulofeu Fernandez Duffy

    1. Hulk Smash
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Vardy to Firmino?

      Probably wouldn't do it for a hit mind.

  4. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    RP
    Fabianski, Ellliot
    Alonso, VVD, Ogbonna, Mariappa, Holgate
    Salah, Hazard, Shaqiri, Walcott, Milivo
    Kane, Firmino, Ayew

    A) Milivo > Mahrez
    B) Ayew > Vardy

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  5. Regin
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    play sterling (doubtful- will he come from the bench?) OR Alonso?

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling

  6. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Alonso has City this week and Palace the next who have beaten chelsea 3/5 times in recent years in the League.

    Tempted to get rid...

    1. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Do you think Alonso is a defender?

      1. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Hes a very attacking wing back.

  7. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Kane or Salah and reason pls

    1. Cok3y5murf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I would buy Salah first.

      1. Steve Stiffler
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        For captain sorry

    2. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah. The most consistent. Just.

    3. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane. Gut feeling.

    4. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

  8. Simon69
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Morning all.. Any advice greatly appreciated.. 2FTs with 0.0ITB. Been slipping the last few weeks and unsure how I should use my FTS.. Cheers!

    Pope,

    Alonso, Ogbonna, Smalling

    Walcott, Sterling, Mkhitaryan, Salah

    Kane, Aubameyang, Wilson

    Subs: Elliot, Milivojevic, Zeegelaar, Dunk

    1. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling->Mahrez

  9. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling to Arnie/Mahrez?
    Then upgrade Vardy to Firmino GW31?
    Or just go to Mane but would mean no Firmino.
    It is all about this crucial third Liverpool slot.

    Pickford Elliot
    Maguire VvD Hegazi Kiko Schindler
    Salah KdB Sterling Shaqiri Milli
    Kane Vardy Rondon

    1FT 1.1 ITB Rank 500k
    Appreciate any feedback.

  10. focaccia
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on my team would be really appreciated - perhaps I need some more differential? 0 free transfers £0.1m in the bank...

    Pope
    Van Dijk, Davies, Naughton
    Gross, Eriksen, Salah, Shaqiri, KDB
    Firmino, Kane

    Subs: Elliot, Ogbonna, Quaner, Schindler

    cheers!

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      0 FTs. Hold. Team should do alright this week. I see West Ham more likely to keep a CS than Swansea, but I am a biased West Ham fan. I think Arnie, Antonio and Lanzini will be too much for Swansea when they come at us

  11. DAZZ
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    The FFS cup qualifiers are this weekend if i'm not mistaken? I fancy cruising through no problems! 🙂

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      this could be one of those regretful posts

  12. Regin
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play 1 of the following:
    Alonso (ManC away)
    Ogbonna (Swansea away)
    Hegazi (Watford away)

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ogbonna (biased West Ham fan).

    2. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Never bench alonso

  13. Big P
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I WISH we knew that Coleman/ Baines were going to start today.....

  14. 1895Reds
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Take a 4 point hit to bring in Bellerin for Vertonghen? Can't see Vertonghen playing today

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No

    2. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No

  15. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Worth doing Sterling -> Mahrez for my free transfer? (I have no Leicester player))

    1. rvp786
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      its my move

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      will you have any other city player? can see them doing damage against this Chelsea team and stoke next week

  16. subhojit123
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench Firmino for Arnie?

    1. Regin
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No way! Play both.

    2. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      😆

  17. Essrick
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling & Lingard > Mane & Arnie for free?

    Leaves me with no City attacking players though...

    1. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      It’s not as if you can’t bring a City player back later.

  18. The 12th Man
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling > Ramsey?

    1. Hart-ake
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Tempting but I just know I will want Sterling back.

  19. lordkippe
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Should I get rid of Aguero now ? Already got Kane, Wilson and 3 pool so would probably be for Vardy or Aubameyang

    1. Regin
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      i'll wait 1 more match. after that, if auba shows form, pick him.

  20. Sid07
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Have to fts
    Dunk to mee
    Or
    Ota/alonso to bavies/ aurier

  21. Shuvo127
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    whom to bench..
    1) maguire
    2) long

  22. Ed
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Alonso + Walcott > Davies + Mahrez (-4)?

  23. skodaole2
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start Shawcross or Dawson today? Dawson more attacking threat but wont get a cs Shawcross more chances of a cs but not 100% sure to start.

  24. SuperMario
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Would you rather have:

    Mane or Firmino???

    To accompany VVD and Salah..

  25. Who Ate All Depays?
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play Bardsley or Hegazi?

  26. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play:

    A) Hegazi (wat)
    B) Sterling (CHE)

    Already have De Bruyne

    1. Lyonnais
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  27. The_FF_King
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Should I lose Hazard for Erikson for free?

    Worried not having Haz for Crystal Palace at home next week!

  28. Lignja
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    start Mariapa or Mee?

  29. Lyonnais
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope
    van Dijk, Dawson, Fernandez
    Salah, Sterling, Eriksen, Walcott, Shaqiri
    Kane, Firmino

    Elliot | Wilson, Ogbonna, Daniels

    A) Save FT
    B) Sterling --> Mahrez/Arnautovic/Ramsey
    C) Ogbonna --> Bauer/Schindler

    FH in GW35.

  30. AYLD28
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    1. Milijovic > Doucoure (-4)
    2. Dunk > Bauer (-4, play 4-4-2 and bench Milo)
    3. Play Milo, no hit

    1. skodaole2
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      2 would give you an extra player for GW31 but i would just start Mili