Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
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All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. Scotty B
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Quaner > Deeney for -4?

    Adrian
    TAA Otamendi Alonso
    Walcott Shaqiri Eriksen Salah
    Firmino Kane Quaner

    Elliot Ibe Duffy Schindler

    1.8m ITB.

    1. PocketZola
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Follow ur gut

  2. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Adrian— foster
    Alonso Cedric Gomez Dawson — Duffy
    Salah Son Sterling hazard — Ibe
    Kane Firmino — quaner

    Am worried that Gomez/son/Sterling might not start...gut tells me they all will though but I don’t have a great bench.

    A: Save FT
    B: Son/Sterling >> Walcott/siggy/shaqiri
    C: Duffy >> Watford/stoke/Everton def
    D: hazard/Sterling >> eriksen/mahrez

  3. jg7u
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on which option is the best? 1 FT, 0.7 ITB.

    Foster (Elliot)
    Mee - Van Dijk - Alonso (Ogbonna, Christensen)
    Sterling - Salah - Walcott - Shaqiri (Richarlison)
    Wilson - Kane - Firmino

    A) Christensen > B.Davies, bench Alonso
    B) Sterling > Mahrez (or Arnie or Eriksen)
    C) Save

    Thanks!

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C, A, B in that order imho

  4. Me Spurs
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start 2pt mcarthur, bauer or bardsley...

    1. PocketZola
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bauer

    2. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bauer

    3. Four Letter Wirtz
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bardsley, by a mile. Awful weather, plus a boring 0-0 suits both managers right down to their DNA.

      1. Four Letter Wirtz
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Ahh, got Bardsley mixed up with Lowton. Abort mission!

  5. HonestBlatter
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play Lingard or Walcott?

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      W

  6. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Captain Kane or Salah?

    1. SW6
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

    2. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane for me.

    3. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’m on Kane. Newcastle might set up very defensively under the experience of Benitez. Could try and stifle Salah.

  7. PocketZola
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ddg
    Alonso vvd bauer
    Salah(c) mane Ramsey sterling Walcott
    Kane wilson

    Subs. Pereira,quaner,duffy,holgate

    0.5itb

    For gw31, I will bring in shaq and dawson

  8. EmreCan Hustle
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Lingard to Lanzini for Free?

    0.2m short of Arnie

  9. Toblerone52 - Zlatan Ibra-H…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Wally to Ramsey for a hit?

    1. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nah

      1. PocketZola
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Someone else yes, I did lingard,son to mane,ramsey for -4

    2. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No

  10. Jimbo-Jones
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    1. Sterling -> Mahrez
    2. Sterling -> Eriksen
    3. Gross -> Ramsey
    4. Save, G2G

    DDG
    Otamendi VVD Davies
    Shaqiri Salah Walcott Sterling Gross
    Kane Firmino

    Elliott Ayew Long Ogbonna

    1. Mulla
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I've had Gross for a long time, he's served me well.
      His time is up now though bad fixtures and blank coming, I'd get Ramsey

  11. Bubbles1985
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    My team is :

    Pope
    VVD - Maguire - Dunk
    Albrighton - Son - Salah(vc) - Sterling
    Aguero - Kane(c) - Wilson

    Elliot - TCarroll - Gomez - Kelly

    I have 0.1m itb and 1FT

    A) Gomez + Aguero > Firmino + Anyone

    B) Sterling > Arnie / Shaq

    1. Bubbles1985
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Or C) save!

      1. C'mon the Fylde
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        B

    2. Jaok
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Save

  12. Vlad Tepes
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Would you C Kane over Salah? I am behind two in my ML with 30-50 points. They have Salah but not Kane.

    1. PocketZola
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No, keep pace and go made in last 3games

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      i’m in a similar position and going salah, planning on catching up over gw31 and 34 (they have no WC/BB or FH)

      1. Vlad Tepes
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        They have it all left and me to

    3. Vlad Tepes
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Okey ye maybe I will wait and play safe

  13. Jaok
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Gtg?

    Courtois
    Ota mee robertson
    Salah(c) mahrez hazard walcott c.moting
    Kane firmino

    Elliot daniels niasse kenny

  14. Mr. Funny Name
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which one to bench?

    A) Gomez (NEW)
    B) Mee (EVE)
    C) Daniels (lei)
    D) Alonso (mci)

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

  15. JoshStick26
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling and Dunk out for Arnie and Bavies??

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

  16. Siggy Azalea
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    a) Will Son start against Huddersfield?
    b) Or is it worth playing Naughton / Hegazi in case he gets brought on late on?
    c) Worth a -4 hit to another midfielder for 9.0 Mil?

    Thanks!

  17. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Team is a mess. Tranfer suggestions?

    DDG
    Alons, VVD, Mee
    Walcott, Salah, Son, Sterling
    Kane, Firmino, Wilson

    Speroni, Duffy, Masuaku, RLC

    1FT 1.4 ITB

    RLC > Can with GW 31 in mind?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Have 3 Liv already, ooops

    2. PocketZola
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      U have 3pool, son to.shaq

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Son at home against Huddesrfield...

  18. Loker Joker
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Chances of Sterling starting? Ship him for free? Selling price 8.6

    1. Tekkerslovakiaftw
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Guardiola is hopeful he'll be available

    2. PocketZola
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Keep, hes be in my wc so no point

    3. Mulla
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I think he'll play tbh, I'm keeping

  19. C'mon the Fylde
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who is everyone's captain today?
    Salah or Kane?

    I normally captain Salah every week, but I think I might go for Kane this week. I can see a bag full from him.

    1. Mulla
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Agreed, I'm on Kane aswell

    2. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’m on Kane.

      There’s no doubting Salah’s pedigree and he might bring in a goal and assist or even 2 goals at a push but the potential of Kane hitting a hatty does it for me. Huddersfield aren’t too clever at the back whereas Benitez will set up to frustrate Liverpool, or at least that’s what I’m hoping!

    3. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah I’ve been on Salah for the the last few weeks.

      Going with Kane today

  20. Mulla
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Kun & Gross >>> Firmino & Mahrez for a -4 worth the hit lads ??

    Have Kane as other striker.

  21. dbeck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bottomed

    DDG
    Alonso VVD Lowton
    Son sterling salah Mahrez
    Kane niasse Firmino

    Subs: Elliot Allen Kenny Dunk

    A) save and g2g
    B) sterling to Arnie

    I’ve had 7 red arrows on the trot so need to stop this rot

    1. Mulla
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'd save mate tbh looks decent

  22. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A Save transfer as gtg or
    B Alonso to Davies

    Pope
    Alonso Van Dijk Hegazi
    Salah Eriksen Mahrez Walcott
    Kane (c) Firmino Wilson

    Adrián Choupo-Moting Ogbonna Kenny

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Tough call..... I can't decide myself!

    2. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’d go B.

      Alonso not offering enough for me in recent outings and the money can be used better elsewhere

  23. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Oh boy what to do, 2FT, 0.0itb

    Foster Elliott
    Jones Otamendi Alonso Arnold Ogbonna
    Sterling Salah Walcott Ramsey McArthur
    Wilson Aguero Kane

    Thinking...

    Jones and Sterling to Bavies and DSilva?.

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Just Jones to Davies (or VVD with 31 in mind)

      1. JoeJitzu +42
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Can't no mula in the bank

  24. #Swish41
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hi all , 1FT, all chips left, 20k rank

    1. Lingard > Shaqiri
    2.Save

    DDQ
    Mee VVD Maguire (Naughton Dunk)
    Salah Mahrez Lingard Dacoure (RLC)
    Aguero Kane Firmino

    Cheers!

  25. Turns
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    g2g fellas?

    Foster
    Maguire VVD Bauer
    Erikson Walcott Salah Miki Sterling
    Kane (C) Firmino

    (Elliot Dunk DCL Mbemba)

    1. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      GTG!

  26. Tone E
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    DDG
    Davies VanDijk Alonso
    Mahrez Arnie Salah Shaqiri Walcott
    Firmino Kane

    GTG?

    1. Turns
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah, solid team

  27. milan17
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is it worth to do Sterling to Mane? Already have Salah and Firminho.

    1. C'mon the Fylde
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I would, especially with GW31 looming.

    2. milan17
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks, I'll do it.

  28. Phil's Stamps
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    For those worrying about matches being called off, don't. We're 9 hours ahead here in Korea and all the 3PM games went ahead, the Liverpol match is just approaching half time.

    I'd tell you the scores but i don't want any of you buggers stealing a march on me.

  29. aleksios
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterl to:

    a) Sane
    b) Mahrez

    Thanks

  30. grapesland
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    How is the weather? Will all PL matches go ahead as scheduled for sure?