Spot the Differential
17 March 2018 2383 comments
James H James H
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While we have a limited pool of players to choose from this week, we are still confident our trio of differentials can deliver once again.

A returning Crystal Palace attacker tops the bill, while a West Brom forward and a Liverpool defender are also backed to produce.

Wilfried Zaha

After supplying an assist on his return from injury in last weekend’s 2-1 defeat to Chelsea, Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha could be a powerful differential in Gameweek 31.

The Ivory Coast international is expected to return to the starting XI for this afternoon’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Eagles boss Roy Hodgson is likely to continue with a 4-4-2 formation and Zaha could be handed a start alongside either Christian Benteke or Alexander Sorloth up front.

Despite injuries limiting him to just 20 starts this season, Zaha sits second for penalty area shots (36), shots on target (15) and chances created (38) among Palace players.

He may have managed just four goals and as many assists so far, but Zaha’s minutes per shot (61.7 to 41.6) and minutes per chance created (80 to 48) are both up from last season, when he supplied seven goals, 11 assists and a career-high 149 points.

Owned by just 6.0% of Fantasy Premier League managers, Zaha promises to be a key influence against Huddersfield.

The Terriers kept a clean sheet at home to 10-man Swansea City last weekend, but they had conceded eight goals across their previous three matches at the John Smith’s Stadium.

Zaha’s 3.6 points per match is superior to any other Palace attacker and, at just 6.8 in FPL, he represents a stand-out differential option.

Salomon Rondon

With two goals from his last five Gameweek starts, and faced with a favourable trip to Bournemouth, West Bromwich Albion’s Salomon Rondon is worth a look.

The Cherries have mustered a single clean sheet from their last 17 encounters, while they rank first for the most shots conceded inside the box (43) and big chances allowed (16) over the last four Gameweeks.

Eddie Howe’s side have also conceded the most headed chances this season with 82, which is a weakness the 6.0-priced Rondon can exploit.

The Venezuelan’s numbers in recent weeks underline his status as the Baggies’ main attacking threat.

His nine shots inside the box over the last four Gameweeks put him fourth among players with a Gameweek 31 fixture, while no team-mate has registered more than three penalty area attempts.

With an ownership of only 1% in FPL, Rondon can be a real difference maker in Gameweek 31 for those maverick managers amongst us.

Virgil van Dijk

Liverpool’s star-studded attacking trio are garnering much of the interest ahead of this evening’s home meeting with Watford, but Virgil van Dijk is unfortunate to be on the periphery of our thinking.

The centre-back has been brought in by just 29,000 managers since Saturday’s deadline, which is less than a tenth of the interest there has been in team-mate Roberto Firmino.

Indeed, he is only the fifth most transferred-in Reds player.

But with the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch, the 7.7%-owned defender is worthy of taking up one of our three Liverpool slots.

Jurgen Klopp’s side boast the third strongest home defence, having conceded just 10 goals at Anfield.

Eight of their 12 clean sheets have come in front of their own fans.

Today’s opponents Watford travel to Merseyside having scored just two goals in their last eight away matches.

So the omens for defensive returns appear strong, while van Dijk has offered a real set-piece threat after joining from Southampton in January.

Since making his Reds debut in Gameweek 24, van Dijk has produced nine shots, with eight of those coming from inside the penalty area.

Only Leicester City’s Harry Maguire (11) and Burnley’s Ben Mee (nine) have registered more penalty area attempts among FPL defenders.

Offering arguably the best chance of both defensive and attacking returns of any defender in the reduced Gameweek 31, the Dutch international makes the decision on the three Liverpool slots a difficult one.

  1. OnionBag
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Quick poll - if you're not on a free hit.......
    1. How many players will you have playing this week?
    2. Have you taken a -4?

    My answers
    1. 8 nailed on + 1 maybe
    2. No

    1. rrcmc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      8 nailed + 1 maybe (Shaq)

      1. rrcmc
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        I took a minus 4

      2. There's Always One!
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Your team must have suffered over the last few weeks!

    2. GAMBIT
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      9
      Yes

    3. Ady87
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Why would you have 8 of these players if not on a FH and without hits? OR can't be great?

      1. OnionBag
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        ?????

      2. _figu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        It's called planning.

      3. OnionBag
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        I get your point now....

        I've had 3 LIV players for a while out of choice.
        My 4 bench players have been gradually built built up with this GW in mind.
        Swapped Jones for Schindler after Jones injury.
        Have been holding Walcott for this GW despite poor returns.

    4. @NF_Janner
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Same. Fk sake shaq!

    5. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      8 + Shaq

      -4

    6. MGD
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      10 No hit 🙂

      Only GK spot vacant

    7. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      1 8
      2 -4

    8. Kuqi Monster
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      11 no

      1. kennethrhcp
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        same but 1 is shaq

    9. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      8 + Quaner
      Not yet but will take 1 or 2

    10. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      9 nailed -4 and zeeglaar who isn't worth the steam off my piss

  2. darrellb
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    zaha, shaq, baines or stanislas?

    1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Stan

    2. @NF_Janner
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Stan

  3. dvdguy
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Yannick Bolasie

  4. adam28193
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    How do these look for -8?

    Kane, JWP, Eriksen > Mounie, Zaha and Stanislas. 

    Would give me:

    Foster

    Bauer VVD

    Stanislas Zaha Salah (C) Shaqiri 

    Firmino Wilson Mounie 

    Thoughts?!

    Reply

    1. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I did similar for -8, praying Shaqiri plays

  5. Ady87
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    2 FTs, 40k OR, 5 players playing today. What do?

    Ryan
    VVD Daniels Fernandez
    Sterling KDB Salah(c) Walcott
    Aguero Vardy Firmino

    Playing Subs: Lowton Carroll

    Please help.

  6. There's Always One!
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    I am very surprised more people arent using FH. I made the decision last week to play free hit this week which let me bring in Mahrez, mick and Willian instead of bringing some crap for this week whilst also getting dgw players in for gw34. So i gained about 30 points on people around me bringing in rubbish for this week and thats along with having to take no hits this week. So i am more than happy with my FH decision.

    1. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Yup. I’ve gone from 8k to 12k in last 4 weeks as I’ve been stuck with dross ahead of the blank. Meant I ignored people like Willian / Son.

      Not sure I’ll make that back up when I use FH later

      1. There's Always One!
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Thats the problem with planning for a terrible week. My cuz done that and he has dropped like a stone this last few weeks! Plus some of the dross he got are now injury doubts

    2. DAZZ
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Some people have been planning to use it for weeks some havnt, personal preference

    3. Over Midwicket
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Cool.

    4. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      you're using hindsight, qit's not an attractive quality

    5. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      This is a crap GW with crap players (except Liverpool). Will free hit in GW35 when I can put in good players who have quality

      1. European Bob
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        True dat

        1. Hansel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          What's the most likely scenario for GW35? Anywhere I can find info?

      2. Warblers
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Spot on. I've got 7-8 on board for today. I can't see taking hits for crap players I will have to dump later. Hoping for a liverpool haul and then build for DGWs and FH in 35.

    6. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Hindsight

      1. There's Always One!
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Its not hindsight! It was common sense. How can bringing in crap players over the last few weeks to play a crap gw been a good idea? Also people will now be taking hits to get rid of the dross

        1. Rhinos
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          no they wont they'll be wildcarding. If you're gonna gloat at least wait till this week over, and then hide in 35

          1. _figu
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            Haha yup

          2. There's Always One!
            • 15 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            Its not gloating. I have been reading a lot of people say to others that its a big mistake to use it this week.

          3. There's Always One!
            • 15 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            There will be no hiding in gw 35. As ive said it has already worked perfect for me. Even if am in poor shape for 35 ill still have got my FH right as ive jumped way ahead of my rivals who have no wc to get rid of the dross they got for this week

        2. _figu
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          Some have done both. You do know people still have wildcards left

          1. There's Always One!
            • 15 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            Of course i do. But the people am against in my 700 euro money league dont have a wc left.

  7. Defcons are for Kinnear
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Can't wait to get rid of the dross

  8. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    It worth doing Baines for a -4 and benching Depoitre? Worried Shaq won’t play

    1. Richd
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      -4 for any gaps imo. I’m going -12. It’s a risk with very viable rewards imo.

      1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        I’ve actually got a full team (no gk) but with doubts about Depoitre, Ibe and Shaq was wondering whether it’s better to take a -4 and bench one

  9. Fat Frank
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Who's on penalties for Bournemouth?

    1. mookie
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Wilson imo

    2. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      defoe, king, wilson

    3. @NF_Janner
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      King n stan have both had 1

      1. Fat Frank
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Interesting Cheers!

  10. Richd
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Imagine this snow postpones a game. It’s getting very heavy and fast! It’s all about fans safety.

    1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      really

      1. Richd
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        It’s snowing a lot yeah

    2. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      fast snow? Good one

    3. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Huddersfield v Palace most at threat

      1. Richd
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Probably the only one. But that’s mainly due to the infrastructure i guess

        1. Rhinos
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          its yorkshire not puerta rica1

        2. Rhinos
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          ps hudds ground is a 15min walk from a mainline train station so infrastructure just fine thanks

      2. Rhinos
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        by most at threat you mean higher than zero %

      3. Hairy Potter
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Unlikely. Light dusting here in Leeds and mainly just wet.

  11. Ady87
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Next week the Everton players have City, the Stoke players have Arsenal away, Palace players have Liverpool. Could be clamouring for dross today only to gain a ten point lead on those who haven't taken hits and be left up a creek next week?

    1. There's Always One!
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      For me it was a huge mistake for people not to use FH this week

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Everyone with a wildcard will be using it. I don’t have a wc but I don’t have any Everton Stoke or Palace players

    3. Dannyb
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Wildcarding 32 has always been the plan for most people.

      1. There's Always One!
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Surely just before a dgw would be best to WC if you still have it

    4. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      WC

    5. LeicesterA
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      That's why pool, Bournemouth and huddesfield players are sound options for both.

  12. Mr_Barbs
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Saving FH. 6 players this week with 1 FT (although rumours gomez starts ahead of TAA). Will probably WC GW32.

    What transfers would you make?
    Thinking Son to Stanislas, (lose 0.1)
    Mahrez to Zaha, (lose 0.1)
    Baines to one of my defenders

    DeGea,*
    TAA, Mariappa, Davies*
    Salah, Van La Parra, Sterling*, Mahrez*, Son*
    Firmino, Wilson

    Elliot, Kane*, Maguire*, Mee*

    Thanks

    1. Gorbitz
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Where does the Gomez rumours come from?

        1. La Roja
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          Gomez 🙂

  13. Toast
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Currently have:

    Mariappa, Schindler, Robertson
    Salah, Milo, Stanislas, Wallcott
    Firmino, Wilson

    Do I do

    A: Elliot to Butland & Alonso to Baines (get full 11)
    B: Kane to Mounie & Alonso to Baines (play 10 and drop Mariappa to bench)

    Thanks

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A

  14. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    If chasing who to captain?

    A. Salah
    B. Firmino

    1. Dannyb
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Haha snap

    2. Bonus magnet
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      mane

    3. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Don't be tempted... Choose Salah!!

    4. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      you know the answer, right?

      1. THFC4LIFE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Salah if leading Bobby if chasing?

  15. Dannyb
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Mane or Firmino captain if I'm chasing?

    1. mcrayeps
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Mane

    2. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Mane

  16. Bonus magnet
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    where`s the love for Adam smith come from? seen him mentioned in many teams in the last 48 hours

    has played 90 minutes in 14 of the last 15 Bournemouth games and only once did he score more than 2 points

    1. mcrayeps
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      OOP in the last 2 games

    2. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Doesnt play WBA home every week

  17. Over Midwicket
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Will Adam Smith start today? Good minutes and form recently.

    1. mcrayeps
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      anyone can answer this?

      1. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Would be harsh to drop him. Took Ibe’s spot who’s now back so could be benched.

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      No idea but I’m hoping Ibe gets the call. At home against the worst team in the league why play a right back on the wing?

  18. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    A) Adrian -> Butland

    b) B.Davies -> Baines

    c) Both for an additional -4

    No other Everton

  19. Ian Davis
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    A) Shaqiri / Tosun (first sub)

    or

    B) Walcott / Benteke (first sub)

    1. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B!!

  20. The_FF_King
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Should I play:

    A) Zaha
    B) Mounie

    1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      a

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      b

    3. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Mounie

  21. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    will we know before the deadline that shaq 100% doesn't play or he plays.any reliable stoke sources.

    1. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Twitter, Google (search last hour) and IG always good to check... But I highly doubt we'll know 100% until the lineup is announced.

  22. Mooster©️
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Except Liverpool players, which players are worth a hit?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      stan, wilson, mounie, zaha, baines/coleman, butland

  23. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    right, anyone doing a last minute -8 and if so you is the player you're transferring in? i m tempted baines or zaha...

    1. Dannyb
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Exact 2 I'm tempted with, it's technically only a -4 right? Haha

    2. Ron_Swanson
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Same here

    3. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Baines is coming in for me. Not sure I will go for Zaha as I have Schindler. Kinda limits the potential gain having a Hudde defender already.

    4. Warblers
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      So, if you take a -8 to take in crap players for the week, and assuming you don't have a WC, you have to factor in the FTs you need to use to get rid of them. Can't see how that's worth it.

      1. _figu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Not in that situation. But for those planning to wc bext week it is a low risk situation to take some calculated risks

    5. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      good luck all

  24. Holmes
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Unlikely but 0-0 would be nice in Liverpool-Watford game 😮

  25. FantasyFan
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Who will you bench:
    Z)aha
    B)enteke
    W)alcott
    M)ilivojevic

    1. amsemp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B

  26. AnderEstimatedHerrera
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Hell yeah, was waiting for this article to be sure if to take a hit for bringing Rondon in! 1-2 Albion win is coming..

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      haha 🙂

  27. amsemp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    On a FH. Have Firmino and Wilson in already but who to pick for the 3rd striker?

    A) Tosun
    B) Mounie

    1. Lecky Legs FC
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A

  28. fab
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    a) Tosun
    b) Benteke
    c) Wilson

    1. Dannyb
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A

  29. Cjandrews82
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    baines or zouma?

    1. mcrayeps
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      baines

  30. Ruinenlust
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    VVD or Mane?

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Mane

    2. Cjandrews82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Ive gone for Mane. liverpool will score and probably keep a clean sheet, think mane will get more points from assisting / score than vvd with a clean sheet +/- yellow card