Spot the Differential
31 March 2018 2111 comments
James H James H
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With partial success back in Gameweek 31 via a Salomon Rondon assist, we’ve opted for three strikers in our selection of Differentials this time around.

Front men from Manchester City, Southampton and Burnley are backed to produce as we enter the final block of the season.

Gabriel Jesus

With Sergio Aguero remaining a doubt for Manchester City’s trip to Everton, his team-mate and fellow striker Gabriel Jesus looks a tempting option.

The Brazilian made his first start against Stoke City in Gameweek 30 following a spell on the sidelines and produced his fifth assist of the campaign in the 2-0 win.

The forward now faces an Everton side that have managed just one clean sheet from their last 11 encounters.

Jesus has scored eight goals from 21 league outings and just 13 starts, and should be handed plenty of opportunities at Goodison Park leading the line for league’s top scoring side.

Pep Guardiola’s men have scored a sensational 85 goals, 12 more than second-placed Liverpool.

They have also created an astounding 108 big chances, with Liverpool again the next best on 93.

Given the injuries to Aguero and Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane, Jesus could represent good value as a replacement, priced at 10.0 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

Owned by only 6.7% of FPL managers, he might just be worth a roll of the dice if you believe City can run riot on Merseyside in their bid to seal the title.

Charlie Austin

With an eye not just on Gameweek 32, but also the upcoming Double Gameweek 34, Southampton’s Charlie Austin is an interesting name to consider.

The Saints forward is in line to return to the squad for this afternoon’s crunch trip to fellow strugglers West Ham United after recovering from a hamstring injury.

By the time Mark Hughes’s side face Chelsea and Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34, the striker is expected to be fully up to speed.

Austin’s importance to Southampton’s survival hopes cannot be understated.

He is their top goalscorer with six goals, despite injuries and a suspension limiting him to just five starts.

Significantly, his underlying statistics are hugely impressive given his budget price tag of just 5.8 in FPL.

The former Queens Park Rangers front man has fired a shot every 22.1 minutes over the season, which is only bettered by Kane (15) and Aguero (21.4) among regular starting forwards.

Indeed, only Aguero betters Austin’s minutes per goal record this campaign, with the Saints striker finding the net every 98.1 minutes compared with the Argentine’s 93.8 minutes.

Facing a West Ham side that have conceded more goals (11) than any other side over the last four matches, Austin could enjoy another successful afternoon at the London Stadium, having produced a goal and an assist in this fixture last term.

He also netted the winner from the penalty spot in a 3-2 victory in the reverse fixture this season, despite only playing 10 minutes as a substitute.

While investment in the 0.6%-owned striker does carry a risk as he may not be fit to start this afternoon, his goalscoring record when on the pitch suggests he could be worth a gamble for the run-in, particularly with the south coast club benefitting from two double Gameweeks.

Chris Wood

While team-mate Ashley Barnes (5.3) has been the name on the lips of many managers due to his more budget-friendly price tag, fellow Burnley forward Chris Wood should not be overlooked.

The New Zealand international has scored three goals in two substitute appearances since returning from a knee injury, and has strong claims for a recall for this afternoon’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

His chances have certainly increased since he was omitted from the New Zealand squad for their friendly with Canada.

Wood matches up very well when compared to Barnes.

Despite being limited to just 17 appearances, as opposed to 29 for Barnes, the New Zealander holds the edge for goals scored (seven to six).

Indeed, he has a goal every 157.4 minutes, which is far superior to Barnes (269.3).

Wood has also been involved in a staggering 62% of Burnley’s goals scored when he’s been on the pitch, which helps justify the extra outlay required to bring in the 6.2-price forward.

Facing a West Brom defence that has shipped nine goals in their last three encounters at the Hawthorns, Wood looks to have the ideal platform to maintain his strong form.

With his appeal also boosted by a Double Gameweek 34 (LEI/CHE) and a fixture in Gameweek 35 away to Stoke City, the 1.2%-owned Wood could be a powerful differential for the season run-in.

  1. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Boxing Hot Topic

    Anthony Joshua v Joseph Parker

    What are you predicting the outcome will be ????

    1. Ghost Gooner
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      JK in 8

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      AJ TKO 5

    3. batmaniac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Think I seen an at 1/6

  2. AYLD28
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Any leaked Liverpool team news?

    1. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Wondering the same.

    2. Comment removed. Please refer to our terms and conditions on posting comments.

      1. Defcons are for Kinnear
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        ....hopefully

      2. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Reported. Not funny.

  3. Romford Pele - Don't w…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Who to start?

    A) Lowton (wba)
    B) Chilwell (bha)

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

  4. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Pick one combo on WC
    A- Vardy Robertson Smalling + 0.7 itb
    B- Vardy Robertson bailly + 0.1 itb C- Barnes Alonso vertonghen + 1.3 D- Wood Alonso Robertson + 1.4 itb

    BB 34 FH 35

    Help!

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Vardy, Rob, Bailly

    3. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      why put robertson choice if you pick anyway. A sound reasonable

    4. 50 Shades Oshea
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      C

  5. Ghost Gooner
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Salah, too early to be taking a risk vs his high EO

    1. Ghost Gooner
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Reply fail 😳

  6. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Repost:

    DDG^, Pope*
    Alonso, Monreal, Smalling^, Lowton^*, Chilwell*
    Mahrez, Mkhi, Salah, Gross*, Gudmun^
    Murray, Vardy, Auba

    * = Bench for GW32
    ^ = Bench for GW33
    GW34 = Mkhi & Auba > Son & Lukaku
    GW35 = Free hit

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Play monreal, smalling, Lowton this week

    2. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Lovely formatting.

      Was about to question no son, then saw transfers.

      Tasty tasty

  7. seanie3
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    existing WC is following (BB 34 FH 35)

    ddg, ryan
    alonso, mustafi, lowton, tark, morgan
    salah, mahrez, willian, gudmundsson, *
    auba, * , *

    best choices to fill in the last 3 spaces

    a) son, lukaku, murray
    b) gross, firminio, vardy

  8. Punty McPuntface
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Has the leaked Liverpool line up been announced yet?

  9. AYLD28
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Which is better, no free hit:

    1. Ryan, Bailly, Miki
    2. Karius, Smalling, Son

    1. WARIO
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      1

  10. WARIO
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    If you were to choose one:
    A) Alonso
    B) Willian

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. Harmonica1967
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      On current form, Willian

    3. Limbo
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      B.

  11. Harmonica1967
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    G2G for this week with this WC team? Got funds to transfer in Christensen for Ward after this week. Then BB in 34, FH in 35 and then try and sort the team out with FT's for GW37

    DDG
    Robertson-Chilwell-Ward
    Salah (c)-Mahrez-Son-D Silva-Willian
    Auba-Firmino

    Ryan, Barnes, Mariappa, Vertonghen

  12. FF Dirtbag
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    How's the WC look? Like everyone else's?
    Set up right?

    DDG
    Smalling Robertson Lowton
    Salah Mahrez Willian Son Stanislas
    Aubameyang Lukaku(c)

    Ryan; Barnes, tarkowski, Morgan

  13. Patrick Bateman
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    What to do here guys? Was thinking Wally for Son, Willian, Silva. No WC left....

    Schmeichel (Speroni)
    Alonso, Smalling, Van Dijk, Simpson (Bauer)
    Salah (C), Shaq, Mahrez (Wally, Milo)
    Wilson, Firm, Aub

    1 transfer. 4.1 itb

  14. Guy Demel
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Marc Albrighton

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      hello Marc

  15. Egg noodle
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Hi lads, any room for improvement here?

    DDG (Schmeichel)
    Holebas Valencia Alonso (Ward Baines)
    Gross Salah Mahrez Willian (Gudmundsson)
    Auba Barnes Lukaku(C)

    1. Limbo
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Holebas out.

  16. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    DDG Ryan
    Mustafi Lowton Tarkowski Morgan X
    Willian Salah Gross Mahrez X
    Auba Vardy X

    a) Christensen Gudmunssen Kaku
    b) Alonso Son Barnes

    (Bench boost in 34)

  17. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Worth a punt on Austin? Or pointless? Currently in Barnes on WC with 0.5ITB

    1. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I’d prob wait a week

      Think Barnes might disappoint though

  18. flipthebuzzard
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Hmmm...
    Struggling on this one;

    Who to bench out of Son, Gross or Willan this week....?

    1. Teror
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Son

  19. TerryVenables
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Opinions please.
    1. Bench one
    (A) Walcott
    (B) Shaq
    (C) Mounie

    2. Start one
    (A) Azpil
    (B) Shaq
    (C) Schindler

  20. FPL Footy Show Pod
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Which 2 to play:

    A) Tarkowski
    B) Robertson
    C) Azpi
    D) Lowton
    E) Mustafi

    Currently on A B C

  21. Teror
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Firmino or Vardy?

    1. 50 Shades Oshea
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Vardy

    2. reeceon
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Vardy

  22. 50 Shades Oshea
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    On Wildcard

    A) keep sterling

    B) Lindgard

    C) mkhi

    Got 9.7

    Thanks

    1. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Prob b or c

      1. 50 Shades Oshea
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks

    2. Teror
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Mkhi short term. Sterling if you're going to keep him forever.

  23. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Play Quarner or Allen this week!?

  24. Woy_is_back
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    WC now or next GW? ..

    Adrian
    Naughton Mee Alonso
    Stanlislas Ramsey Salah Mane
    Wilson Firmino Mounie

    Speroni Coleman Mbemba Milivoljevic

    1 FT, 9,5 ITB

  25. reeceon
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Defender dilemma:

    A) Azpi, Smalling, Dunk
    B) Christensen, Smalling, Vert
    C) Christensen, Valencia, Dunk

  26. MFPL
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    A or B? On WC.

    A) Ryan
    Alonso Maguire Smalling
    Salah Mahrez Son Willian Groß
    Aubameyang (C) Firmino

    McCarthy Murray Lowton Mariappa 0.6mITB

    B) De Gea
    Alonso Christensen Mustafi
    Salah Mahrez Son Willian Groß
    Aubameyang (C) Firmino

    Ryan Barnes Lowton Chilwell

    1. reeceon
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

  27. Viper
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Verthongen or Bailly? I have DDG and want to double up but just not sure he'll play both. I'll get Verthongen on gwk 34 for Mustafi if I go Bailly now..

  28. The Yorkshire Pirlo
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Two questions.

    Choose one
    A) Son
    B) Mkhi, transfer to Son in gwk 33/34

    Captain one
    1) Salah
    2) Aubameyang
    3) Lukaku
    4) Mahrez

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A1

    2. Viper
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      B2

  29. motit
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Hi,
    Draft - Pls help me -

    Bench one:
    Gros (LEI)
    Murray(LEI)
    Deeney(BOU)
    Wood(WBA)
    Lingard(SWA)

    THX

  30. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Last desicion is killing me. Please Help!
    A) Alonso and Vardy
    B) Christensen and Lukaku
    Going A means ill have 0.9 more but going B will make it much easier to get Kane for DGW34 or after